Stay on top of the latest MLB news and betting notes<\/a> from Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n The Philadelphia Phillies travel to Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres in the first of a four game series. The Phils lost two games in Texas to the Rangers, while the Padres swept three games from Arizona.<\/p>\n The Padres have a record of 44-27 and are tied with the Dodgers for 1st in the NL West. The Phillies are 36-34 in 3rd place and 8.5 games behind the Mets in the NL East. Southpaw Ranger Suarez gets the start against Padres right-hander Joe Musgrove.<\/p>\n The Phillies had a good run of baseball after firing manager Joe Girardi, but have now lost three in a row – and their offense has regressed.<\/p>\n The Fighting Phils have a 17th best OPS against right handers at .711 and a .243 team average. That’s not good news going against one of the best right handers in the National League in Musgrove.<\/p>\n Starter Ranger Suarez has posted below average numbers this season. In 13 starts and 65.0 innings, he has a 4.43 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP with 54 strikeouts. The Phillies’ southpaw has limited home runs to only seven this season, but has had a problem with control as he’s issued 29 walks.<\/p>\n That comes out to just under 4.5 free passes per nine innings. This isn’t good against a patient Padres lineup with the 5th most walks in MLB at 254.<\/p>\n Musgrove is the Padres #1 pitcher, and has the numbers to back it up. In 12 starts and 79.0 innings, Java Joe has a 1.59 ERA, a WHIP of 0.92 with 81 strikeouts.<\/p>\n All of his starts have been quality starts – at least 6.0 innings and three earned runs or less – and hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in any of his outings. He could be due for some negative regression, but I won’t bet against Musgrove anytime soon.<\/p>\n After losing Manny Machado to an ankle injury in Colorado on Sunday, the Padres have rallied to win three in a row versus Arizona, with the first two in extra innings.<\/p>\n San Diego also hits left-handed pitching well, with a 9th best OPS of .751 and a .254 team batting average. Even without Machado and Tatis Jr., the home team should be able to do some damage against a struggling Ranger Suarez.<\/p>\n The Padres have the edge with Musgrove over Suarez, have a better bullpen than the Phillies and hit southpaws better than the Phils hit right-handers.<\/p>\n The books think it’ll be a low scoring game with a total of 7. However, San Diego isn’t as big of a favorite as I thought they would be at just -150. I don’t like leaving low scoring full games up to chance with any bullpen. even one as good as the Padres.<\/p>\n That’s why I’ll take the home team on the 1st 5 innings moneyline, and feel free to sprinkle a little bit on the 1st 5 run line.<\/p>\n Prediction: Padres 1st 5 Innings Moneyline<\/strong><\/p>\n Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET \/ 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.<\/p>\n\n\n
\n Thursday, June 23<\/th>\n MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n \n Moneyline:<\/td>\n San Diego Padres -142 vs Philadelphia Phillies +132<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Runline:<\/td>\n Padres -1.5 (+145) \/ Phillies +1.5 (-165)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Total:<\/td>\n 7 Runs (Over -120 \/ Under -100)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Game Time:<\/td>\n 9:40pm ET \/ 6:40pm PT<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Where:<\/td>\n Petco Park in San Diego, CA<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Weather:<\/td>\n 65 Degrees \/ Clear<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Analysis<\/h2>\n
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview<\/h3>\n
San Diego Padres Betting Preview<\/h3>\n
San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction<\/h2>\n
First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Thursday, June 23<\/h3>\n
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