| Monday, May 2<\/th>\n | NBA Betting Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n |
|---|---|
| Point Spread:<\/td>\n | Miami Heat -7.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Total:<\/td>\n | 210.5 Points<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Game Time:<\/td>\n | 7:30pm ET \/ 4:30pm PT<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| Arena:<\/td>\n | FTX Arena in Miami, FL<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| TV:<\/td>\n | TNT<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\nHeat vs 76ers Analysis<\/h2>\n*All lines provided by DraftKings<\/p>\n Obviously, Embiid\u2019s absence is the big story line, but it could open up the door for some interesting prop bets, and that\u2019s what we\u2019ll do in this article. We\u2019ll take a look at the team totals and player props and find the best bets to profit off this Game One contest.<\/p>\n Heat vs 76ers Team Total Props<\/h3>\nThe combination of a good Miami defense and no Embiid leaves the 76ers team total at 100.5 while the Heat will have a total of 108.5.<\/p>\n The Heat went over this team total in the last four games of the series against a bad Atlanta defense, and Philly\u2019s defense loses the rim protection without Embiid.<\/p>\n However, the last two games Philly played without Embiid (including one against Miami) they held opponents to 106 in each game. Slight lean to the over for the Heat. I do like the 76ers over their team total here.<\/p>\n It\u2019s a very low number, and they scored 118, 122 and 113 against this Heat team the last three games without Embiid. I expect guys like Harden, Maxey and Harris to be extra motivated to perform, I\u2019ll take the over 100.5.<\/p>\n Team Total Prop: 76ers Over 100.5 Team Total<\/strong><\/p>\n Obviously, there are a lot of stats for Philly to absorb without Embiid, and I\u2019ll go with Maxey over 30.5 PRA. He had 37 PRA the last game without Embiid, and I think he\u2019s one guy that could have an advantage on offense as Lowry is out.<\/p>\n For Miami, I\u2019ll go back to Butler over his 24.5 point total. He had 27 in the last game without Embiid and he\u2019s a matchup nightmare for Philly as Tobias Harris or Danny Green will have to try and guard him.<\/p>\n Player Prop Play: Tyrese Maxey OVER 30.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists<\/strong><\/p>\n Harden went over 8 assists in four out of six games against Toronto, and he\u2019ll need to have a big game for Philly to compete.<\/p>\n Expect him to distribute all night to get everyone involved. I like Butler to be close to 30 points tonight as Philly\u2019s defense shouldn\u2019t be able to stop him getting to the rim.<\/p>\n Look for 8-10 points to come from free throws alone tonight from him. Green had a horrible Game One against Toronto going 0-5 from threes, but then made at least two in every game since then.<\/p>\n He\u2019s attempted 7 or more in four straight, and he should get the same production without Embiid, maybe even 1-2 more attempts. He should hit two pretty easy tonight.<\/p>\n Same Game Parlay:<\/strong><\/p>\n James Harden 8+ Assists<\/strong><\/p>\n Jimmy Butler 20+ Points<\/strong><\/p>\n Danny Green 1+ Three Pointers<\/strong><\/p>\n +119<\/strong><\/p>\n \n |
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