{"id":41231,"date":"2026-11-11T10:59:17","date_gmt":"2026-11-11T15:59:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=41231"},"modified":"2026-11-11T10:59:18","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T15:59:18","slug":"memphis-vs-south-florida-predictions-picks-odds-november-12-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/memphis-vs-south-florida-predictions-picks-odds-november-12-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Memphis vs South Florida Predictions, Picks &amp; Odds | November 12, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The spread on this game has dropped three full points in three days, and every dollar of public money is still riding on the favorite. That disconnect is the starting point for this <strong>Memphis vs South Florida prediction<\/strong>. Memphis arrives fresh off a bye having won five of its last six games and eight of the last nine meetings in this series, including a stunning comeback upset a year ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">South Florida, meanwhile, is searching for answers on offense under Brian Hartline and may be weighing a quarterback change. Add in growing chatter about Charles Huff\u2019s future, and this American Conference clash has more layers than the standings suggest. Before you place your bet, check out our latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football picks<\/a>, then dig into the full breakdown below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick Picks and Prediction for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Moneyline Pick:<\/strong> Memphis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> South Florida +3.5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Under 49.5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Memphis 23, South Florida 21<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Memphis opened as a 6.5-point road favorite, and the spread has steadily fallen to -3.5 despite 100% of the public money backing the Tigers. The total has flip-flopped between 49.5 and 50.5 for days and currently rests at 49.5, with all of the public money on the Over. Track every move through our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">live odds<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Memphis<\/td><td>-6\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>Over 49\u00bd (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>South Florida<\/td><td>+6\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>Under 49\u00bd (-108)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Memphis<\/td><td>-3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>Over 49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>South Florida<\/td><td>+3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>Under 49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Memphis<\/th><th>South Florida<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>-3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>+3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>-4 (-105)<\/td><td>+4 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4 (-110)<\/td><td>+4 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>+4\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>+4\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>+4\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-5\u00bd (-108)<\/td><td>+5\u00bd (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-105)<\/td><td>+6 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-108)<\/td><td>+6 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-110)<\/td><td>+6 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-115)<\/td><td>+6 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-110)<\/td><td>+6 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>+6\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>+6\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>11\/11<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/11<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-112)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-108)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" style=\"width:684px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion.png 1672w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis vs South Florida Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis Owns the Recent Series<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Memphis has won eight of the last nine meetings with South Florida, including an outright upset as a home underdog last season. In that game, South Florida went into the Liberty Bowl as a 3.5-point road favorite, but the Tigers closed on a 17-0 run to steal the win despite being outgained by 114 yards. That result shows how Memphis has repeatedly found ways to beat the Bulls, even on days when the stat sheet suggests otherwise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis Rested and Rolling After the Bye<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Tigers are coming off a bye week, giving them extra time to prepare. Memphis has won five of its last six games, and its lone loss in that stretch, against Tulane, looks worse with each passing week. Since beating the Tigers last month, the Green Wave lost by 23 at home to UTSA, lost by 50 at home to Tulsa, and needed overtime to beat 1-8 Charlotte. That context makes Memphis\u2019 recent form even more impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MEM Coaching Uncertainty Around Charles Huff<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One factor worth monitoring is head coach Charles Huff\u2019s future. Memphis is Huff\u2019s third school in three years, and his name is already being linked to several job openings. That history matters, because his Southern Miss team went 0-4 straight up and against the spread down the stretch last season once it became clear he would be leaving after one year in Hattiesburg. Huff may not be on the move, but if speculation continues to swirl, Memphis could be vulnerable to a similar late-season downturn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">South Florida Offense Stuck in Neutral<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brian Hartline has struggled to get anything going offensively at South Florida. The Bulls lost 20-17 at East Carolina last week and converted just 1 of 10 third-down attempts. Five of their last six games have stayed under the total, and they have averaged only 21.2 points per game during that stretch against a schedule that includes Bowling Green, Temple, Kent State, and UAB. The offensive struggles are real, but they also point toward a lower-scoring, tightly contested game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USF Quarterback Decision: Kromenhoek or Van Buren<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Backup quarterback Luke Kromenhoek, a Florida State transfer, saw his first notable playing time in nearly two seasons at East Carolina and was solid but not spectacular. It remains to be seen whether Hartline sticks with Kromenhoek or returns to original starter Michael Van Buren Jr. Either way, South Florida\u2019s chances in this game will depend more on its defense than on whoever lines up under center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bulls Defense Built to Keep It Close<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">South Florida\u2019s defense is good enough to keep this game within the number. With a Bulls offense that has been grinding out low-scoring games, the defense has carried much of the load and kept South Florida competitive. Playing at home as an underdog, the Bulls have a realistic path to keeping this one close against a Memphis team that has won its last meeting in this series despite being outplayed statistically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Betting Trends: MEM vs USF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Memphis has won eight of the last nine meetings with South Florida.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Memphis won outright as a home underdog in last season\u2019s meeting after closing on a 17-0 run.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Memphis has won five of its last six games and is coming off a bye.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Charles Huff\u2019s Southern Miss team went 0-4 straight up and ATS down the stretch last season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>South Florida lost 20-17 at East Carolina while going 1-for-10 on third down.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Five of South Florida\u2019s last six games have stayed under the total.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>South Florida has averaged 21.2 points per game over its last six contests.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The spread opened at Memphis -6.5 and has dropped to -3.5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Public spread betting shows 100% of the money and 60% of the tickets on Memphis.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The total has moved between 49.5 and 50.5, with 100% of the public money on the Over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Injuries and Notes: MEM vs USF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>South Florida QB Luke Kromenhoek:<\/strong> Played significant snaps at East Carolina and could start again.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>South Florida QB Michael Van Buren Jr.:<\/strong> Original starter; his role for this game remains uncertain.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Memphis:<\/strong> No notable absences have been reported heading into this matchup.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Coaching Note:<\/strong> Charles Huff\u2019s name has been linked to other job openings.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Schedule Note:<\/strong> Memphis is coming off a bye week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ATS and Total Picks for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Moneyline Pick: Memphis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Memphis has won eight of the last nine meetings, is coming off a bye, and has won five of its last six games. The Tigers remain the more likely winner, even if the margin figures to be tight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Spread Pick: South Florida +3.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The line has dropped three points despite 100% of the public money backing Memphis, a strong signal in favor of the home underdog. South Florida\u2019s defense should keep this game close, and the uncertainty surrounding Huff adds a potential distraction for the Tigers. Getting more than a field goal at home with a defense capable of limiting Memphis makes the Bulls the better side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Total Pick: Under 49.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Five of South Florida\u2019s last six games have gone under, and its offense has averaged just 21.2 points per game in that span. With a possible quarterback change and a defense-first approach from the Bulls, this projects as a lower-scoring game than the total suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis vs South Florida Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> South Florida +3.5 (-110)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Moneyline:<\/strong> Memphis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Bet:<\/strong> Under 49.5 (-105)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Key Edge:<\/strong> A South Florida defense capable of keeping the game close against a Memphis team facing coaching speculation<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Market Signal:<\/strong> Spread fell from -6.5 to -3.5 despite 100% of the public money on Memphis<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Memphis has made a habit of finding ways to beat South Florida, and it should do so again after a week of rest. However, the Bulls\u2019 defense should keep this game within a field goal, and South Florida\u2019s struggling offense should keep the final score under the total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Memphis 23, South Florida 21<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Moneyline Pick:<\/strong> Memphis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> South Florida +3.5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Under 49.5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The spread on this game has dropped three full points in three days, and every dollar of public money is still riding on the favorite. That disconnect is the starting point for this Memphis vs South Florida prediction. Memphis arrives fresh off a bye having won five of its last six games and eight of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":32268,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[18572,18578,18577,18573,18575,18574,18576],"class_list":["post-41231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida-football","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida-odds","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida-picks","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida-prediction","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida-predictions","tag-memphis-vs-south-florida-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<p>The spread on this game has dropped three full points in three days, and every dollar of public money is still riding on the favorite. That disconnect is the starting point for this <strong>Memphis vs South Florida prediction<\/strong>. Memphis arrives fresh off a bye having won five of its last six games and eight of the last nine meetings in this series, including a stunning comeback upset a year ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>South Florida, meanwhile, is searching for answers on offense under Brian Hartline and may be weighing a quarterback change. Add in growing chatter about Charles Huff\u2019s future, and this American Conference clash has more layers than the standings suggest. Before you place your bet, check out our latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football picks<\/a>, then dig into the full breakdown below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick Picks and Prediction for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Memphis opened as a 6.5-point road favorite, and the spread has steadily fallen to -3.5 despite 100% of the public money backing the Tigers. The total has flip-flopped between 49.5 and 50.5 for days and currently rests at 49.5, with all of the public money on the Over. Track every move through our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">live odds<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Memphis<\/td><td>-6\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>Over 49\u00bd (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>South Florida<\/td><td>+6\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>Under 49\u00bd (-108)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Memphis<\/td><td>-3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>Over 49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>South Florida<\/td><td>+3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>Under 49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Memphis<\/th><th>South Florida<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>-3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>+3\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>-4 (-105)<\/td><td>+4 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4 (-110)<\/td><td>+4 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>+4\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>+4\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>-4\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>+4\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-5\u00bd (-108)<\/td><td>+5\u00bd (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-105)<\/td><td>+6 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-108)<\/td><td>+6 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-110)<\/td><td>+6 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-115)<\/td><td>+6 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6 (-110)<\/td><td>+6 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>+6\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/08<\/td><td>-6\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>+6\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>11\/11<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/11<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/10<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>50\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-110)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-105)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>11\/09<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-112)<\/td><td>49\u00bd (-108)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" style=\"width:684px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis vs South Florida Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis Owns the Recent Series<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Memphis has won eight of the last nine meetings with South Florida, including an outright upset as a home underdog last season. In that game, South Florida went into the Liberty Bowl as a 3.5-point road favorite, but the Tigers closed on a 17-0 run to steal the win despite being outgained by 114 yards. That result shows how Memphis has repeatedly found ways to beat the Bulls, even on days when the stat sheet suggests otherwise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis Rested and Rolling After the Bye<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Tigers are coming off a bye week, giving them extra time to prepare. Memphis has won five of its last six games, and its lone loss in that stretch, against Tulane, looks worse with each passing week. Since beating the Tigers last month, the Green Wave lost by 23 at home to UTSA, lost by 50 at home to Tulsa, and needed overtime to beat 1-8 Charlotte. That context makes Memphis\u2019 recent form even more impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MEM Coaching Uncertainty Around Charles Huff<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>One factor worth monitoring is head coach Charles Huff\u2019s future. Memphis is Huff\u2019s third school in three years, and his name is already being linked to several job openings. That history matters, because his Southern Miss team went 0-4 straight up and against the spread down the stretch last season once it became clear he would be leaving after one year in Hattiesburg. Huff may not be on the move, but if speculation continues to swirl, Memphis could be vulnerable to a similar late-season downturn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">South Florida Offense Stuck in Neutral<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Brian Hartline has struggled to get anything going offensively at South Florida. The Bulls lost 20-17 at East Carolina last week and converted just 1 of 10 third-down attempts. Five of their last six games have stayed under the total, and they have averaged only 21.2 points per game during that stretch against a schedule that includes Bowling Green, Temple, Kent State, and UAB. The offensive struggles are real, but they also point toward a lower-scoring, tightly contested game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USF Quarterback Decision: Kromenhoek or Van Buren<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Backup quarterback Luke Kromenhoek, a Florida State transfer, saw his first notable playing time in nearly two seasons at East Carolina and was solid but not spectacular. It remains to be seen whether Hartline sticks with Kromenhoek or returns to original starter Michael Van Buren Jr. Either way, South Florida\u2019s chances in this game will depend more on its defense than on whoever lines up under center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bulls Defense Built to Keep It Close<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>South Florida\u2019s defense is good enough to keep this game within the number. With a Bulls offense that has been grinding out low-scoring games, the defense has carried much of the load and kept South Florida competitive. Playing at home as an underdog, the Bulls have a realistic path to keeping this one close against a Memphis team that has won its last meeting in this series despite being outplayed statistically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Betting Trends: MEM vs USF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Injuries and Notes: MEM vs USF<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ATS and Total Picks for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Moneyline Pick: Memphis<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Memphis has won eight of the last nine meetings, is coming off a bye, and has won five of its last six games. The Tigers remain the more likely winner, even if the margin figures to be tight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Spread Pick: South Florida +3.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The line has dropped three points despite 100% of the public money backing Memphis, a strong signal in favor of the home underdog. South Florida\u2019s defense should keep this game close, and the uncertainty surrounding Huff adds a potential distraction for the Tigers. Getting more than a field goal at home with a defense capable of limiting Memphis makes the Bulls the better side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Total Pick: Under 49.5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Five of South Florida\u2019s last six games have gone under, and its offense has averaged just 21.2 points per game in that span. With a possible quarterback change and a defense-first approach from the Bulls, this projects as a lower-scoring game than the total suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Memphis vs South Florida Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Memphis vs South Florida<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Memphis has made a habit of finding ways to beat South Florida, and it should do so again after a week of rest. However, the Bulls\u2019 defense should keep this game within a field goal, and South Florida\u2019s struggling offense should keep the final score under the total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41231"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41231\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41232,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41231\/revisions\/41232"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32268"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}