{"id":40812,"date":"2026-10-22T13:53:45","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T17:53:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40812"},"modified":"2026-10-22T13:53:47","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T17:53:47","slug":"michigan-state-vs-ucla-prediction-picks-odds-october-24-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/michigan-state-vs-ucla-prediction-picks-odds-october-24-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds | October 24, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Six games. Six wins. The only undefeated team left in the SEC or Big Ten by mid-October. If you had bet on UCLA owning that distinction back in August, you would be cashing a very large ticket right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First-year head coach Bob Chesney has the Bruins rolling at 6-0 and 5-0-1 against the spread, while fellow first-year coach Pat Fitzgerald is still searching for answers in East Lansing as Michigan State carries a five-game losing streak to the Rose Bowl. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Spartans have not played UCLA in Pasadena since January 1, 1966, when Tommy Prothro&#8217;s two-touchdown underdog Bruins stunned Duffy Daugherty&#8217;s top-ranked team 14-12. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Michigan State vs UCLA prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the quarterback situations and why the home side keeps finding ways to cover. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football predictions<\/a>, check out our full slate before kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> UCLA -14.5 (-115)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Under 43.5 (-108)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> UCLA 28, Michigan State 10<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Michigan State vs UCLA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UCLA opened as a 13.5-point favorite and has been pushed to -14.5, briefly touching -15.5 along the way. The total has fallen three points from 46.5 to 43.5. Track every change on our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">odds<\/a> page leading up to kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Michigan State<\/td><td>+13.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Over 46.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>UCLA<\/td><td>-13.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 46.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Michigan State<\/td><td>+14.5 (-105)<\/td><td>Over 43.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>UCLA<\/td><td>-14.5 (-115)<\/td><td>Under 43.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Michigan State<\/th><th>UCLA<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+15.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-15.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+15.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-15.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-108)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-115)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>+14 (-110)<\/td><td>-14 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>+14 (-108)<\/td><td>-14 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>+14 (-112)<\/td><td>-14 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>+13.5 (-110)<\/td><td>-13.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The spread climbed through the key number of 14 and has toggled between 14.5 and 15.5, settling at UCLA -14.5 with the Bruins juiced to -115. UCLA holds 88 percent of the spread money and the clear majority of the tickets, and the market has steadily moved in the Bruins&#8217; direction since opening.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" style=\"width:532px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion.png 1672w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>43.5 (-112)<\/td><td>43.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>43.5 (-118)<\/td><td>43.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-102)<\/td><td>44.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>43.5 (-118)<\/td><td>43.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-102)<\/td><td>44.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-108)<\/td><td>44.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-110)<\/td><td>44.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/20<\/td><td>44.5 (-115)<\/td><td>44.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/20<\/td><td>44.5 (-108)<\/td><td>44.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>44.5 (-112)<\/td><td>44.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>44.5 (-118)<\/td><td>44.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>45.5 (-105)<\/td><td>45.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>46.5 (-108)<\/td><td>46.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>46.5 (-110)<\/td><td>46.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The total has dropped three full points from 46.5 to 43.5, stepping down through 45.5 and 44.5 along the way. Every tracked dollar has been on the under all week, while the latest ticket count is split evenly at 50 percent on the over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State&#8217;s Rose Bowl History Against UCLA<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Michigan State fans have fond memories of New Year&#8217;s trips to Pasadena under George Perles and Mark Dantonio, but the Spartans have not faced UCLA at the Rose Bowl since that 14-12 upset loss on January 1, 1966. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The last meeting with UCLA in California was no better, a 56-14 rout at the LA Coliseum in 1974 that gave Dick Vermeil his first win as Bruins head coach, on the same night Nolan Ryan threw his third no-hitter for the Angels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State Searching for Answers Under Pat Fitzgerald<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both programs have first-year head coaches, but the similarities end there. Michigan State has been coming closer in recent weeks under Pat Fitzgerald, yet the Spartans have still lost five straight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Supporters are wondering whether Fitzgerald should have searched harder in the portal for a quarterback instead of settling on holdover Alessio Milivojevic, who has thrown just seven touchdown passes in seven games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU Ground Game Stalls Without Cam Edwards<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hopes of balancing the Michigan State offense took a major hit early in the 31-13 loss to Nebraska on September 26, when top rusher and UConn transfer RB Cam Edwards went down with a knee injury. The Spartans&#8217; running game has been choppy at best since, gaining just 3.3 yards per carry. That lack of production has put too much pressure on Milivojevic to carry the offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UCLA Offense Seamless With Ty Dieffenbach<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UCLA suffered a significant injury of its own when free-wheeling QB Nico Iamaleava went down with a knee injury, but Bob Chesney has continued to push all the right buttons. The offense made a seamless transition to Cal Poly transfer Ty Dieffenbach, who led the win at Oregon on October 10 and managed last week&#8217;s rock fight against Wisconsin effectively. Dieffenbach completed 22 of 33 passes for 264 yards and found eight different receivers in the 17-7 win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bruins Defense Leading the Charge<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The real headline for Chesney lately has been the defense. While the offense moved a bit slower the past two weeks, the defense kept Oregon and Wisconsin in relative check. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chesney&#8217;s many transfers from JMU and elsewhere are spearheading a big-play unit that ranks top-20 nationally in overall and rush defense and has forced 19 takeaways, the second-most in the country. Against a Michigan State offense that cannot run the ball, that defense should dictate the game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU vs UCLA Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>UCLA is 6-0 straight up and 5-0-1 against the spread this season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>UCLA is the only undefeated SEC or Big Ten team by mid-October.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Michigan State has lost five straight games.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>UCLA&#8217;s defense ranks top-20 nationally in overall and rush defense and has forced 19 takeaways, second-most in the country.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Michigan State has averaged just 3.3 yards per carry since losing Cam Edwards.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The spread moved from UCLA -13.5 to -14.5 with 88 percent of the money on the Bruins.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The total dropped from 46.5 to 43.5 with 100 percent of the money on the under.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU vs UCLA Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>UCLA QB Nico Iamaleava is out with a knee injury.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>UCLA QB Ty Dieffenbach, a Cal Poly transfer, threw for 264 yards on 22-of-33 passing last week against Wisconsin.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Michigan State RB Cam Edwards suffered a knee injury on September 26 against Nebraska.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Michigan State QB Alessio Milivojevic has seven touchdown passes in seven games.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Both teams are led by first-year head coaches, Pat Fitzgerald at Michigan State and Bob Chesney at UCLA.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Check final injury reports before kickoff, as late updates could move this spread off 14.5.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UCLA -14.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UCLA has proven it can win and cover in a variety of ways, going 5-0-1 against the spread, while Michigan State has not proven it can win at all. The Bruins&#8217; opportunistic defense matches up perfectly against a Spartans offense that cannot run the ball and leans heavily on a quarterback with only seven touchdown passes. The market has backed UCLA through the key number of 14, and the Bruins are the obvious moneyline side as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> UCLA -14.5 (-115)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU vs UCLA Under Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UCLA&#8217;s last two wins have been grinders, including a 17-7 rock fight against Wisconsin. Michigan State&#8217;s offense has struggled to move the ball since losing Edwards, and the Bruins&#8217; defense ranks among the nation&#8217;s best against the run. The total has fallen three points with every tracked dollar on the under, and this matchup has all the makings of another low-scoring afternoon at the Rose Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Under 43.5 (-108)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> UCLA -14.5 (-115)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Under 43.5 (-108)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The strongest play is UCLA laying the points. The Bruins are unbeaten against the spread, their defense creates turnovers at an elite rate and Michigan State has shown little ability to generate offense. The UCLA moneyline is the safest way to back the Bruins, while the defensive profile of this matchup makes the under a strong pairing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Michigan State vs UCLA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UCLA&#8217;s defense smothers Michigan State&#8217;s ground game, forces Milivojevic into mistakes and sets up short fields for Dieffenbach. The Bruins do not need to be spectacular on offense, just efficient, and they pull away in the second half to stay perfect on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> UCLA 28, Michigan State 10<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> UCLA -14.5 (-115) covers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Under 43.5 (-108) cashes with 38 combined points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Six games. Six wins. The only undefeated team left in the SEC or Big Ten by mid-October. If you had bet on UCLA owning that distinction back in August, you would be cashing a very large ticket right now. First-year head coach Bob Chesney has the Bruins rolling at 6-0 and 5-0-1 against the spread, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":2021,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[17388,17779,17784,17782,17780,17781,17785,13324],"class_list":["post-40812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-michigan-state","tag-michigan-state-vs-ucla","tag-michigan-state-vs-ucla-bets","tag-michigan-state-vs-ucla-odds","tag-michigan-state-vs-ucla-picks","tag-michigan-state-vs-ucla-prediction","tag-michigan-state-vs-ucla-predictions","tag-ucla"],"basic_html":"\n<p>Six games. Six wins. The only undefeated team left in the SEC or Big Ten by mid-October. If you had bet on UCLA owning that distinction back in August, you would be cashing a very large ticket right now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>First-year head coach Bob Chesney has the Bruins rolling at 6-0 and 5-0-1 against the spread, while fellow first-year coach Pat Fitzgerald is still searching for answers in East Lansing as Michigan State carries a five-game losing streak to the Rose Bowl. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Spartans have not played UCLA in Pasadena since January 1, 1966, when Tommy Prothro's two-touchdown underdog Bruins stunned Duffy Daugherty's top-ranked team 14-12. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Our <strong>Michigan State vs UCLA prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the quarterback situations and why the home side keeps finding ways to cover. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football predictions<\/a>, check out our full slate before kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Michigan State vs UCLA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>UCLA opened as a 13.5-point favorite and has been pushed to -14.5, briefly touching -15.5 along the way. The total has fallen three points from 46.5 to 43.5. Track every change on our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">odds<\/a> page leading up to kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Michigan State<\/td><td>+13.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Over 46.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>UCLA<\/td><td>-13.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 46.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Michigan State<\/td><td>+14.5 (-105)<\/td><td>Over 43.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>UCLA<\/td><td>-14.5 (-115)<\/td><td>Under 43.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Michigan State<\/th><th>UCLA<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+15.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-15.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+15.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-15.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-108)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+14.5 (-115)<\/td><td>-14.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>+14 (-110)<\/td><td>-14 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>+14 (-108)<\/td><td>-14 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>+14 (-112)<\/td><td>-14 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>+13.5 (-110)<\/td><td>-13.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The spread climbed through the key number of 14 and has toggled between 14.5 and 15.5, settling at UCLA -14.5 with the Bruins juiced to -115. UCLA holds 88 percent of the spread money and the clear majority of the tickets, and the market has steadily moved in the Bruins' direction since opening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" style=\"width:532px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>43.5 (-112)<\/td><td>43.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>43.5 (-118)<\/td><td>43.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-102)<\/td><td>44.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>43.5 (-118)<\/td><td>43.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-102)<\/td><td>44.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-108)<\/td><td>44.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>44.5 (-110)<\/td><td>44.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/20<\/td><td>44.5 (-115)<\/td><td>44.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/20<\/td><td>44.5 (-108)<\/td><td>44.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>44.5 (-112)<\/td><td>44.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>44.5 (-118)<\/td><td>44.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>45.5 (-105)<\/td><td>45.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>46.5 (-108)<\/td><td>46.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><td>45.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/18<\/td><td>46.5 (-110)<\/td><td>46.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The total has dropped three full points from 46.5 to 43.5, stepping down through 45.5 and 44.5 along the way. Every tracked dollar has been on the under all week, while the latest ticket count is split evenly at 50 percent on the over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State's Rose Bowl History Against UCLA<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Michigan State fans have fond memories of New Year's trips to Pasadena under George Perles and Mark Dantonio, but the Spartans have not faced UCLA at the Rose Bowl since that 14-12 upset loss on January 1, 1966. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The last meeting with UCLA in California was no better, a 56-14 rout at the LA Coliseum in 1974 that gave Dick Vermeil his first win as Bruins head coach, on the same night Nolan Ryan threw his third no-hitter for the Angels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State Searching for Answers Under Pat Fitzgerald<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both programs have first-year head coaches, but the similarities end there. Michigan State has been coming closer in recent weeks under Pat Fitzgerald, yet the Spartans have still lost five straight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Supporters are wondering whether Fitzgerald should have searched harder in the portal for a quarterback instead of settling on holdover Alessio Milivojevic, who has thrown just seven touchdown passes in seven games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU Ground Game Stalls Without Cam Edwards<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hopes of balancing the Michigan State offense took a major hit early in the 31-13 loss to Nebraska on September 26, when top rusher and UConn transfer RB Cam Edwards went down with a knee injury. The Spartans' running game has been choppy at best since, gaining just 3.3 yards per carry. That lack of production has put too much pressure on Milivojevic to carry the offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UCLA Offense Seamless With Ty Dieffenbach<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>UCLA suffered a significant injury of its own when free-wheeling QB Nico Iamaleava went down with a knee injury, but Bob Chesney has continued to push all the right buttons. The offense made a seamless transition to Cal Poly transfer Ty Dieffenbach, who led the win at Oregon on October 10 and managed last week's rock fight against Wisconsin effectively. Dieffenbach completed 22 of 33 passes for 264 yards and found eight different receivers in the 17-7 win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bruins Defense Leading the Charge<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The real headline for Chesney lately has been the defense. While the offense moved a bit slower the past two weeks, the defense kept Oregon and Wisconsin in relative check. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Chesney's many transfers from JMU and elsewhere are spearheading a big-play unit that ranks top-20 nationally in overall and rush defense and has forced 19 takeaways, the second-most in the country. Against a Michigan State offense that cannot run the ball, that defense should dictate the game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU vs UCLA Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU vs UCLA Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UCLA -14.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>UCLA has proven it can win and cover in a variety of ways, going 5-0-1 against the spread, while Michigan State has not proven it can win at all. The Bruins' opportunistic defense matches up perfectly against a Spartans offense that cannot run the ball and leans heavily on a quarterback with only seven touchdown passes. The market has backed UCLA through the key number of 14, and the Bruins are the obvious moneyline side as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MSU vs UCLA Under Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>UCLA's last two wins have been grinders, including a 17-7 rock fight against Wisconsin. Michigan State's offense has struggled to move the ball since losing Edwards, and the Bruins' defense ranks among the nation's best against the run. The total has fallen three points with every tracked dollar on the under, and this matchup has all the makings of another low-scoring afternoon at the Rose Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Michigan State vs UCLA Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The strongest play is UCLA laying the points. The Bruins are unbeaten against the spread, their defense creates turnovers at an elite rate and Michigan State has shown little ability to generate offense. The UCLA moneyline is the safest way to back the Bruins, while the defensive profile of this matchup makes the under a strong pairing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Michigan State vs UCLA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>UCLA's defense smothers Michigan State's ground game, forces Milivojevic into mistakes and sets up short fields for Dieffenbach. The Bruins do not need to be spectacular on offense, just efficient, and they pull away in the second half to stay perfect on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40812","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40812"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40812\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40813,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40812\/revisions\/40813"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40812"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40812"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40812"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}