{"id":40795,"date":"2026-10-22T09:27:53","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T13:27:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40795"},"modified":"2026-10-22T09:27:54","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T13:27:54","slug":"nuggets-vs-thunder-prediction-picks-odds-october-22-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/nba\/nuggets-vs-thunder-prediction-picks-odds-october-22-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds: October 22, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Four meetings last season, four overs, and three Denver covers. Oklahoma City may have won three of those games straight up, but the Nuggets made the Thunder sweat almost every time, including an overtime thriller and a three-point finish in the two games played in Oklahoma City. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now Denver opens its season on the same floor as a sizable road underdog, carrying the core of Nikola Joki\u0107, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon plus a reshuffled supporting cast. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Nuggets vs Thunder prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the roster changes and why Denver can be a thorn in Oklahoma City&#8217;s side once again. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nba\">NBA predictions<\/a>, browse our full slate before tipoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Nuggets vs Thunder<\/strong> Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Moneyline Pick:<\/strong> Denver moneyline<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> Denver +8.5 (-112)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Over 236.5 (-105)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Nuggets 121, Thunder 118<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Nuggets vs Thunder<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oklahoma City has been listed as an 8.5-point home favorite for most of the week, with brief stops at 7.5 and 9.5 along the way. The total has crept up from 234.5 to 236.5. Follow every change on our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">odds<\/a> page leading up to tipoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Denver<\/td><td>+8.5 (-120)<\/td><td>Over 234.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oklahoma City<\/td><td>-8.5 (+100)<\/td><td>Under 234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Denver<\/td><td>+8.5 (-112)<\/td><td>Over 236.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oklahoma City<\/td><td>-8.5 (-108)<\/td><td>Under 236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Denver<\/th><th>Oklahoma City<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+9.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-9.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-118)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-122)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+7.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-122)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+7.5 (-102)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-122)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+7.5 (-102)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-120)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+100)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-115)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-120)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+100)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The spread has bounced between 7.5 and 8.5 repeatedly, and it briefly touched 9.5 on game day before snapping back to 8.5. Early action was all Denver, with 100 percent of the money on the Nuggets on 10\/21. That has flipped since, as Oklahoma City now holds 63 percent of the money and 56 percent of the tickets, giving bettors a chance to grab the Nuggets at a fair number.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" style=\"width:553px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion.png 1672w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>235.5 (-115)<\/td><td>235.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>235.5 (-115)<\/td><td>235.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-115)<\/td><td>235.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-112)<\/td><td>235.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>234.5 (-115)<\/td><td>234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-112)<\/td><td>235.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/20<\/td><td>234.5 (-115)<\/td><td>234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>234.5 (-110)<\/td><td>234.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>234.5 (-115)<\/td><td>234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The total has climbed two points from 234.5 to 236.5, flipping between 235.5 and 236.5 several times on game day. The over has been the public&#8217;s choice throughout, drawing 100 percent of the money and 100 percent of the tickets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs Thunder Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Denver Covered Three of Four Last Season<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oklahoma City went 3-1 straight up against Denver last season, but just 1-3 against the spread. The two games played in Oklahoma City were especially tight, as the first went to overtime and the Thunder won the second by only three points. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every one of the four meetings also went over the total. That history suggests Denver matches up well with Oklahoma City, and laying more than eight points against the Nuggets has not been a profitable approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets Retool Around Joki\u0107, Murray and Gordon<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Denver makes its season debut after being eliminated by Minnesota in last season&#8217;s playoffs. The Nuggets kept their core of Nikola Joki\u0107, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon intact but changed much of the supporting cast. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown are gone, replaced by DeMar DeRozan, Alpha Diallo and Marvin Bagley III. Questions about the depth will likely linger throughout the season, but Denver enters the opener at full strength with its top three pieces in place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets Sharp in Final Preseason Tune-Up<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Preseason results deserve a grain of salt, but Denver looked impressive in its final warmup last Friday. With both teams playing their starting units, the Nuggets destroyed the Lakers, shooting 58.2 percent from the field and leading by 14 after the first quarter. That kind of crisp offensive play from the starting group is an encouraging sign heading into a tough road opener.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oklahoma City Rolls Past San Antonio<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oklahoma City returns home after a 116-104 win over San Antonio on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 32 points, and the Thunder knocked down 14 of 31 attempts from three-point range, good for 45.2 percent. The Thunder already have a game under their belt, while Denver is just getting started, but the Nuggets&#8217; starting unit appears ready to compete from the opening tip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oklahoma City Matchups Keep Going Over<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With all four meetings last season going over the total, this matchup has consistently produced points. Oklahoma City&#8217;s hot shooting against San Antonio and Denver&#8217;s 58.2 percent effort in its preseason finale both point toward another efficient offensive night. The market has noticed, pushing the total up two points from its opening number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DEN vs OKC Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Oklahoma City went 3-1 straight up but 1-3 against the spread against Denver last season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>All four Denver vs Oklahoma City meetings went over the total last season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The first meeting in Oklahoma City went to overtime, and the second was decided by three points.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oklahoma City shot 14-of-31 (45.2 percent) from three-point range in its 116-104 win over San Antonio.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Denver shot 58.2 percent and led by 14 after the first quarter in its preseason finale against the Lakers.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oklahoma City holds 63 percent of the spread money and 56 percent of the tickets.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The total has risen from 234.5 to 236.5 with 100 percent of the money and tickets on the over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DEN vs OKC Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Denver is making its season debut and enters the opener at full strength.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Denver was eliminated by Minnesota in last season&#8217;s playoffs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Denver added DeMar DeRozan, Alpha Diallo and Marvin Bagley III to replace Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Nikola Joki\u0107, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon remain Denver&#8217;s core.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32 points in Oklahoma City&#8217;s opener against San Antonio.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Check final injury reports before tipoff, as late news could shift this line again.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs Thunder ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets +8.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Denver covered three of four meetings against Oklahoma City last season, and both games in Oklahoma City came down to the final possessions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Nuggets&#8217; core remains intact, the starting unit looked sharp in its final preseason test, and the team enters the opener at full health. Getting 8.5 points in a matchup that has been this competitive is too much value to pass up, and Denver has enough upside to back on the moneyline as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Denver +8.5 (-112)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DEN vs OKC Over Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All four meetings last season went over the total, and both offenses enter this game shooting well. Oklahoma City hit 45.2 percent from deep against San Antonio, while Denver&#8217;s starters shot 58.2 percent in their final preseason game. The total has climbed two points with every tracked dollar on the over, and this matchup has a history of rewarding that side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Over 236.5 (-105)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs Thunder Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> Denver +8.5 (-112)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Moneyline:<\/strong> Denver to win outright<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Over 236.5 (-105)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The top play is Denver catching 8.5 points. The Nuggets have consistently played Oklahoma City close, their core trio is healthy and the starting unit enters the season in rhythm. For bettors willing to take a bigger swing, the Denver moneyline offers strong value given last season&#8217;s tight finishes in Oklahoma City, while the series&#8217; scoring history makes the over a natural complement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Nuggets vs Thunder<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Joki\u0107, Murray and Gordon pick up where Denver&#8217;s starters left off in the preseason, and the Nuggets trade buckets with Oklahoma City in another high-scoring battle. Gilgeous-Alexander keeps the Thunder in it, but Denver makes the key plays late to steal a season-opening win on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Nuggets 121, Thunder 118<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Moneyline:<\/strong> Denver wins outright<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> Denver +8.5 (-112) covers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Over 236.5 (-105) cashes with 239 combined points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four meetings last season, four overs, and three Denver covers. Oklahoma City may have won three of those games straight up, but the Nuggets made the Thunder sweat almost every time, including an overtime thriller and a three-point finish in the two games played in Oklahoma City. Now Denver opens its season on the same [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":38394,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[79],"tags":[174,17737,17738,17739,17740,17741,388],"class_list":["post-40795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-denver-nuggets","tag-nuggets-vs-thunder","tag-nuggets-vs-thunder-picks","tag-nuggets-vs-thunder-prediction","tag-nuggets-vs-thunder-predictions","tag-nuggets-vs-thunder-preview","tag-oklahoma-city-thunder"],"basic_html":"\n<p>Four meetings last season, four overs, and three Denver covers. Oklahoma City may have won three of those games straight up, but the Nuggets made the Thunder sweat almost every time, including an overtime thriller and a three-point finish in the two games played in Oklahoma City. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Now Denver opens its season on the same floor as a sizable road underdog, carrying the core of Nikola Joki\u0107, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon plus a reshuffled supporting cast. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Our <strong>Nuggets vs Thunder prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the roster changes and why Denver can be a thorn in Oklahoma City's side once again. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nba\">NBA predictions<\/a>, browse our full slate before tipoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Nuggets vs Thunder<\/strong> Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Nuggets vs Thunder<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Oklahoma City has been listed as an 8.5-point home favorite for most of the week, with brief stops at 7.5 and 9.5 along the way. The total has crept up from 234.5 to 236.5. Follow every change on our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">odds<\/a> page leading up to tipoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Denver<\/td><td>+8.5 (-120)<\/td><td>Over 234.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oklahoma City<\/td><td>-8.5 (+100)<\/td><td>Under 234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Denver<\/td><td>+8.5 (-112)<\/td><td>Over 236.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oklahoma City<\/td><td>-8.5 (-108)<\/td><td>Under 236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Denver<\/th><th>Oklahoma City<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+9.5 (-112)<\/td><td>-9.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-118)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>+8.5 (-122)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+7.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-122)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+7.5 (-102)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-122)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+7.5 (-102)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-120)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+100)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-115)<\/td><td>-8.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>+8.5 (-120)<\/td><td>-8.5 (+100)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The spread has bounced between 7.5 and 8.5 repeatedly, and it briefly touched 9.5 on game day before snapping back to 8.5. Early action was all Denver, with 100 percent of the money on the Nuggets on 10\/21. That has flipped since, as Oklahoma City now holds 63 percent of the money and 56 percent of the tickets, giving bettors a chance to grab the Nuggets at a fair number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WagerTalk-NFL-Pickem-20K-Promotion-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" style=\"width:553px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>235.5 (-115)<\/td><td>235.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>235.5 (-115)<\/td><td>235.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/22<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-115)<\/td><td>235.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><td>235.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>236.5 (-105)<\/td><td>236.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-112)<\/td><td>235.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>234.5 (-115)<\/td><td>234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/21<\/td><td>235.5 (-112)<\/td><td>235.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/20<\/td><td>234.5 (-115)<\/td><td>234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>234.5 (-110)<\/td><td>234.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/19<\/td><td>234.5 (-115)<\/td><td>234.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The total has climbed two points from 234.5 to 236.5, flipping between 235.5 and 236.5 several times on game day. The over has been the public's choice throughout, drawing 100 percent of the money and 100 percent of the tickets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs Thunder Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Denver Covered Three of Four Last Season<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Oklahoma City went 3-1 straight up against Denver last season, but just 1-3 against the spread. The two games played in Oklahoma City were especially tight, as the first went to overtime and the Thunder won the second by only three points. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Every one of the four meetings also went over the total. That history suggests Denver matches up well with Oklahoma City, and laying more than eight points against the Nuggets has not been a profitable approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets Retool Around Joki\u0107, Murray and Gordon<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Denver makes its season debut after being eliminated by Minnesota in last season's playoffs. The Nuggets kept their core of Nikola Joki\u0107, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon intact but changed much of the supporting cast. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown are gone, replaced by DeMar DeRozan, Alpha Diallo and Marvin Bagley III. Questions about the depth will likely linger throughout the season, but Denver enters the opener at full strength with its top three pieces in place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets Sharp in Final Preseason Tune-Up<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Preseason results deserve a grain of salt, but Denver looked impressive in its final warmup last Friday. With both teams playing their starting units, the Nuggets destroyed the Lakers, shooting 58.2 percent from the field and leading by 14 after the first quarter. That kind of crisp offensive play from the starting group is an encouraging sign heading into a tough road opener.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oklahoma City Rolls Past San Antonio<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Oklahoma City returns home after a 116-104 win over San Antonio on Tuesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 32 points, and the Thunder knocked down 14 of 31 attempts from three-point range, good for 45.2 percent. The Thunder already have a game under their belt, while Denver is just getting started, but the Nuggets' starting unit appears ready to compete from the opening tip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oklahoma City Matchups Keep Going Over<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With all four meetings last season going over the total, this matchup has consistently produced points. Oklahoma City's hot shooting against San Antonio and Denver's 58.2 percent effort in its preseason finale both point toward another efficient offensive night. The market has noticed, pushing the total up two points from its opening number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DEN vs OKC Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DEN vs OKC Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs Thunder ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets +8.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Denver covered three of four meetings against Oklahoma City last season, and both games in Oklahoma City came down to the final possessions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Nuggets' core remains intact, the starting unit looked sharp in its final preseason test, and the team enters the opener at full health. Getting 8.5 points in a matchup that has been this competitive is too much value to pass up, and Denver has enough upside to back on the moneyline as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">DEN vs OKC Over Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>All four meetings last season went over the total, and both offenses enter this game shooting well. Oklahoma City hit 45.2 percent from deep against San Antonio, while Denver's starters shot 58.2 percent in their final preseason game. The total has climbed two points with every tracked dollar on the over, and this matchup has a history of rewarding that side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs Thunder Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The top play is Denver catching 8.5 points. The Nuggets have consistently played Oklahoma City close, their core trio is healthy and the starting unit enters the season in rhythm. For bettors willing to take a bigger swing, the Denver moneyline offers strong value given last season's tight finishes in Oklahoma City, while the series' scoring history makes the over a natural complement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Nuggets vs Thunder<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Joki\u0107, Murray and Gordon pick up where Denver's starters left off in the preseason, and the Nuggets trade buckets with Oklahoma City in another high-scoring battle. Gilgeous-Alexander keeps the Thunder in it, but Denver makes the key plays late to steal a season-opening win on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40795"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40795\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40796,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40795\/revisions\/40796"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}