{"id":40641,"date":"2026-10-14T11:23:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T15:23:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40641"},"modified":"2026-10-14T11:23:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T15:23:09","slug":"alabama-vs-tennessee-prediction-picks-odds-october-17-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/alabama-vs-tennessee-prediction-picks-odds-october-17-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds | October 17, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Three weeks ago, Tennessee closed as a 5.5-point home underdog to Texas. This week, the Vols are catching 8.5 points against an Alabama team that just lost to Georgia and will likely be without star receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That gap is hard to explain, especially with Jim Knowles&#8217; defense playing at a high level and Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell, a 19-year-old making his seventh career start, coming off a four-sack game. Tennessee still has its own quarterback questions, but this rivalry has a habit of producing chaos. The losing team has out-gained the winner in three of the last four meetings. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Alabama vs Tennessee prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the key matchups and our picks on the spread, moneyline and a total that has already dropped five points. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">free college football predictions<\/a>, check out the rest of our weekly card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> Tennessee +8.5 (-110)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Under 51.5 (-105)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Alabama 24, Tennessee 20<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Alabama vs Tennessee<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alabama opened as a 6.5-point favorite and has been bet up through the key number of 7 to -8.5. The total has gone the other direction, falling from 56.5 to 51.5. Follow the latest moves, including any Tennessee quarterback news, on our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">live odds<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Alabama<\/td><td>-6.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Over 56.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tennessee<\/td><td>+6.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 56.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Alabama<\/td><td>-8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Over 51.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tennessee<\/td><td>+8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 51.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Alabama<\/th><th>Tennessee<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>-8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>+8.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>-8.5 (-105)<\/td><td>+8.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>-7.5 (-112)<\/td><td>+7.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7.5 (-105)<\/td><td>+7.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-118)<\/td><td>+7 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-115)<\/td><td>+7 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-112)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-118)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-115)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-110)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alabama has drawn 100 percent of the money and tickets from the start, and that one-sided support has pushed the spread two full points. The move through 7 to 8.5 means Tennessee backers now get the key number plus a cushion compared to the opener.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>51.5 (-115)<\/td><td>51.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>52.5 (-105)<\/td><td>52.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>52.5 (-110)<\/td><td>52.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>53.5 (-108)<\/td><td>53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>53.5 (-110)<\/td><td>53.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>53.5 (-108)<\/td><td>53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>53.5 (-112)<\/td><td>53.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-118)<\/td><td>54.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>55.5 (-102)<\/td><td>55.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>55.5 (-105)<\/td><td>55.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>55.5 (-110)<\/td><td>55.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>56.5 (-110)<\/td><td>56.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The total has fallen five full points despite the over drawing 100 percent of the money and tickets for most of the week. The over still holds 54 percent of the money and 80 percent of the tickets, making this one of the strongest reverse line moves on the board<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40373\" style=\"width:510px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2.png 1672w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama Regroups After First Loss<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alabama suffered its first loss of the season last week against Georgia. The defeat stings, but from a power rating perspective, the Crimson Tide went toe-to-toe with the team now widely viewed as the championship favorite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The bigger concern is personnel. Star receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams is not expected to play after suffering a head injury against Georgia. Quarterback Keelon Russell has played very well this season, but it is easy to forget that he is just 19 years old and making only his seventh career college start. Georgia sacked him four times last week, and losing his top target only makes his job harder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee&#8217;s Quarterback Question<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee has won back-to-back games over Auburn and Arkansas after losing to Texas in Week 4. Head coach Josh Heupel is leaving the door open for freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon to return this week. Brandon battled some early-season struggles and did not play in the win over Arkansas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His replacement, George MacIntyre, threw two interceptions against the Razorbacks before leading the game-winning touchdown drive with under two minutes remaining. More clarity on Tennessee&#8217;s quarterback plans would be ideal, but the Vols do not need a perfect quarterback performance to stay competitive in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vols Defense Thriving Under Jim Knowles<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles is pushing all the right buttons in Knoxville. Tennessee&#8217;s last four games have all stayed under the total, and this defense is good enough to keep this game close. Facing a young quarterback who was just sacked four times and is missing his top receiver, Knowles should have plenty of options to make life uncomfortable for Alabama&#8217;s offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The market price also stands out. Tennessee closed as a 5.5-point home underdog to Texas three weeks ago, and now the Vols are catching a bigger number against an Alabama team without its best receiver. That adjustment looks like an overreaction to one-sided public betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ALA vs TENN Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The home team has won and covered each of the last five meetings between Alabama and Tennessee.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee won 24-17 in Knoxville in 2024, and Alabama won 37-20 in Tuscaloosa last season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The losing team has out-gained the winning team in three of the last four meetings.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee&#8217;s last four games have all stayed under the total.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee has won back-to-back games over Auburn and Arkansas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee closed as a 5.5-point home underdog to Texas three weeks ago.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alabama is drawing 100 percent of the spread money and tickets, pushing the line from -6.5 to -8.5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The total has dropped from 56.5 to 51.5 despite heavy over support.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ALA vs TENN Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Alabama receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams is not expected to play after suffering a head injury against Georgia.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell is making his seventh career start and was sacked four times last week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon could return after missing last week&#8217;s game.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>George MacIntyre threw two interceptions against Arkansas before leading the game-winning touchdown drive.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee&#8217;s defense under coordinator Jim Knowles has helped the Vols stay under in four straight games.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Check final injury reports and Tennessee&#8217;s quarterback decision before kickoff.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee +8.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The market has pushed Alabama through the key number on one-sided public action, and the result is a number that looks too high. Tennessee&#8217;s defense is playing well, Alabama is without its top receiver and the Crimson Tide&#8217;s young quarterback just took four sacks. This rivalry has also been unpredictable, with the losing team out-gaining the winner in three of the last four meetings. Even with the uncertainty at quarterback, the Vols&#8217; defense is good enough to keep this within a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Tennessee +8.5 (-110)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ALA vs TENN Under Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The total has fallen five points despite most of the betting support landing on the over, a clear sign that respected money sees a lower-scoring game. Tennessee&#8217;s last four games have stayed under, Alabama is missing its best receiver and both offenses have questions at quarterback, whether it is Tennessee&#8217;s starter or Alabama&#8217;s pass protection. Knowles&#8217; defense should keep this game in a range where the under cashes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Under 51.5 (-105)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> Tennessee +8.5 (-110)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Under 51.5 (-105)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee with the points is the strongest play. The line has climbed two full points on public money, and the Vols&#8217; defense is built to keep this close. Alabama remains the more likely outright winner, but the margin should be tighter than the spread suggests. The under rounds out the card thanks to a sharp five-point drop and Tennessee&#8217;s run of low-scoring games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Alabama vs Tennessee<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee&#8217;s defense pressures Keelon Russell all afternoon, and Alabama&#8217;s passing game struggles to find a rhythm without Ryan Coleman-Williams. The Vols&#8217; offense has its ups and downs, but it makes enough plays to stay in the game until the end. Alabama escapes with a narrow win, while Tennessee covers in another tight and chaotic chapter of this rivalry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Alabama 24, Tennessee 20<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> Tennessee +8.5 (-110) covers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Under 51.5 (-105) cashes with 44 combined points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three weeks ago, Tennessee closed as a 5.5-point home underdog to Texas. This week, the Vols are catching 8.5 points against an Alabama team that just lost to Georgia and will likely be without star receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams. That gap is hard to explain, especially with Jim Knowles&#8217; defense playing at a high level and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":40321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[1092,11610,17398,11609,11608,17397,4566],"class_list":["post-40641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-alabama-football","tag-alabama-vs-tennessee","tag-alabama-vs-tennessee-odds","tag-alabama-vs-tennessee-picks","tag-alabama-vs-tennessee-prediction","tag-alabama-vs-tennessee-preview","tag-tennessee-football"],"basic_html":"\n<p>Three weeks ago, Tennessee closed as a 5.5-point home underdog to Texas. This week, the Vols are catching 8.5 points against an Alabama team that just lost to Georgia and will likely be without star receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That gap is hard to explain, especially with Jim Knowles' defense playing at a high level and Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell, a 19-year-old making his seventh career start, coming off a four-sack game. Tennessee still has its own quarterback questions, but this rivalry has a habit of producing chaos. The losing team has out-gained the winner in three of the last four meetings. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Our <strong>Alabama vs Tennessee prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the key matchups and our picks on the spread, moneyline and a total that has already dropped five points. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">free college football predictions<\/a>, check out the rest of our weekly card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Alabama vs Tennessee<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Alabama opened as a 6.5-point favorite and has been bet up through the key number of 7 to -8.5. The total has gone the other direction, falling from 56.5 to 51.5. Follow the latest moves, including any Tennessee quarterback news, on our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">live odds<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Alabama<\/td><td>-6.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Over 56.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tennessee<\/td><td>+6.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 56.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Alabama<\/td><td>-8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Over 51.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Tennessee<\/td><td>+8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 51.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Alabama<\/th><th>Tennessee<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>-8.5 (-110)<\/td><td>+8.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>-8.5 (-105)<\/td><td>+8.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>-7.5 (-112)<\/td><td>+7.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7.5 (-105)<\/td><td>+7.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-118)<\/td><td>+7 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-115)<\/td><td>+7 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-112)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-118)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-115)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>-6.5 (-110)<\/td><td>+6.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Alabama has drawn 100 percent of the money and tickets from the start, and that one-sided support has pushed the spread two full points. The move through 7 to 8.5 means Tennessee backers now get the key number plus a cushion compared to the opener.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>51.5 (-115)<\/td><td>51.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>52.5 (-105)<\/td><td>52.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>52.5 (-110)<\/td><td>52.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>53.5 (-108)<\/td><td>53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>53.5 (-110)<\/td><td>53.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>53.5 (-108)<\/td><td>53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>53.5 (-112)<\/td><td>53.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>54.5 (-118)<\/td><td>54.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>55.5 (-102)<\/td><td>55.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>55.5 (-105)<\/td><td>55.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>55.5 (-110)<\/td><td>55.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>56.5 (-110)<\/td><td>56.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The total has fallen five full points despite the over drawing 100 percent of the money and tickets for most of the week. The over still holds 54 percent of the money and 80 percent of the tickets, making this one of the strongest reverse line moves on the board<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-2-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40373\" style=\"width:510px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama Regroups After First Loss<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Alabama suffered its first loss of the season last week against Georgia. The defeat stings, but from a power rating perspective, the Crimson Tide went toe-to-toe with the team now widely viewed as the championship favorite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The bigger concern is personnel. Star receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams is not expected to play after suffering a head injury against Georgia. Quarterback Keelon Russell has played very well this season, but it is easy to forget that he is just 19 years old and making only his seventh career college start. Georgia sacked him four times last week, and losing his top target only makes his job harder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee's Quarterback Question<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee has won back-to-back games over Auburn and Arkansas after losing to Texas in Week 4. Head coach Josh Heupel is leaving the door open for freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon to return this week. Brandon battled some early-season struggles and did not play in the win over Arkansas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His replacement, George MacIntyre, threw two interceptions against the Razorbacks before leading the game-winning touchdown drive with under two minutes remaining. More clarity on Tennessee's quarterback plans would be ideal, but the Vols do not need a perfect quarterback performance to stay competitive in this matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Vols Defense Thriving Under Jim Knowles<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles is pushing all the right buttons in Knoxville. Tennessee's last four games have all stayed under the total, and this defense is good enough to keep this game close. Facing a young quarterback who was just sacked four times and is missing his top receiver, Knowles should have plenty of options to make life uncomfortable for Alabama's offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The market price also stands out. Tennessee closed as a 5.5-point home underdog to Texas three weeks ago, and now the Vols are catching a bigger number against an Alabama team without its best receiver. That adjustment looks like an overreaction to one-sided public betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ALA vs TENN Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ALA vs TENN Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee +8.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The market has pushed Alabama through the key number on one-sided public action, and the result is a number that looks too high. Tennessee's defense is playing well, Alabama is without its top receiver and the Crimson Tide's young quarterback just took four sacks. This rivalry has also been unpredictable, with the losing team out-gaining the winner in three of the last four meetings. Even with the uncertainty at quarterback, the Vols' defense is good enough to keep this within a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ALA vs TENN Under Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The total has fallen five points despite most of the betting support landing on the over, a clear sign that respected money sees a lower-scoring game. Tennessee's last four games have stayed under, Alabama is missing its best receiver and both offenses have questions at quarterback, whether it is Tennessee's starter or Alabama's pass protection. Knowles' defense should keep this game in a range where the under cashes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Alabama vs Tennessee Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee with the points is the strongest play. The line has climbed two full points on public money, and the Vols' defense is built to keep this close. Alabama remains the more likely outright winner, but the margin should be tighter than the spread suggests. The under rounds out the card thanks to a sharp five-point drop and Tennessee's run of low-scoring games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Alabama vs Tennessee<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee's defense pressures Keelon Russell all afternoon, and Alabama's passing game struggles to find a rhythm without Ryan Coleman-Williams. The Vols' offense has its ups and downs, but it makes enough plays to stay in the game until the end. Alabama escapes with a narrow win, while Tennessee covers in another tight and chaotic chapter of this rivalry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40641","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40641"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40641\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40642,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40641\/revisions\/40642"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}