Buffalo’s defense was on the field for 78 plays on Monday night, the Bills committed 13 penalties for 112 yards and they still needed overtime to escape the Rams 37-34. Now they have to turn around on a short week, travel to Allegiant Stadium and lay nearly a touchdown before heading into their bye. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
That is a lot to ask, even with Josh Allen playing at an MVP level. Las Vegas has its own problems after getting crushed in Foxboro and fielding the league’s worst rushing attack, but the Raiders also covered in each of their first four games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Our Bills vs Raiders prediction<\/strong> breaks down why the points look valuable, why the over has a strong history in this series and how the line has moved all week. For more NFL picks<\/a>, check out the rest of our weekly card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buffalo was listed at -6 early in the week before the spread dipped as low as 4.5 and settled at 5.5. The total has climbed from 52.5 to 53.5 behind heavy over support. Track the latest numbers on our live odds<\/a> page before kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buffalo drew 95 percent of the money and 89 percent of the tickets early, but the line moved away from the Bills on 10\/13, briefly dropping to 4.5 before returning to 5.5. The split has since tightened, with Las Vegas now holding 53 percent of the money while Buffalo has 65 percent of the tickets. The price on Raiders +5.5 has moved to -115.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The total has settled at 53.5 after bouncing between 52.5 and 53.5. The over is drawing 93 percent of the money and 67 percent of the tickets, while the under price has been juiced slightly to -112.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buffalo is 4-1 straight up and against the spread after Monday night’s 37-34 overtime win over the Rams. Josh Allen put his Superman cape on once again, throwing for 210 yards and adding 121 rushing yards. Four of the Bills’ five games this season have gone over the total, and Allen’s dual-threat production is a big reason why.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The win was not clean, though. Buffalo committed 13 penalties for 112 yards and turned the ball over twice. The defense also spent 78 plays on the field against the Rams’ offense, a heavy workload that could carry into this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Our power ratings are in line with where this game opened, but the situation favors taking the points. The Bills have a bye after this game, so their main goal is to win at Allegiant Stadium and leave healthy. Style points are not a priority. Buffalo’s defense also has to prepare for another road game on a short week after that 78-play marathon on Monday night. Laying this many points under those circumstances is not appealing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Las Vegas is hoping for better luck against the AFC East after getting crushed by the Patriots in Foxboro last week. The Raiders opened the season with four straight covers, but their defense had no answers for Drake Maye and the New England offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The loss also brought a notable development at quarterback. No. 1 draft pick Fernando Mendoza got his first taste of live action, replacing Kirk Cousins in the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Even during the Raiders’ strong start, their rushing attack has been a concern. Ashton Jeanty managed just 27 yards on 10 carries against the Patriots, which helped cement the Raiders’ ground game at the bottom of the league through five weeks. Las Vegas will need more balance to keep pace with Buffalo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n History points toward points. Each of the last seven meetings between the Raiders and Bills has gone over the total. Buffalo has won and covered the last three meetings, most recently with a 38-10 home win in September 2023. With Buffalo’s games consistently going over this season, the scoring trend has strong support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Bills are the better team, but this is a tough spot for them to win by margin. Buffalo is coming off an overtime game in which its defense played 78 snaps, it is traveling on a short week and its focus is on getting out of Las Vegas healthy with a bye coming up. The Bills were also sloppy on Monday with 13 penalties and two turnovers. Las Vegas covered its first four games and should be motivated to bounce back at home after last week’s blowout. Taking the points with the home underdog is the play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Seven straight meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and four of Buffalo’s five games this season have done the same. Josh Allen is producing through the air and on the ground, and a Buffalo defense dealing with fatigue from 78 plays on Monday could give up more than usual. If Las Vegas keeps the game competitive, both offenses will have reasons to keep pushing, which supports the over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Raiders with the points is the strongest play. Buffalo should still win, which makes the Bills the moneyline pick, but the short week, tired defense and look-ahead to the bye all point toward a closer game than the spread suggests. The over rounds out the card, backed by a seven-game series trend and Buffalo’s high-scoring start to the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Josh Allen does enough to keep Buffalo in front, but the Bills’ tired defense and sloppy execution let Las Vegas hang around all game. The Raiders find a way to score despite their struggling run game, and Buffalo settles for a close road win before heading into the bye. The series over streak continues in a back-and-forth finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Buffalo’s defense was on the field for 78 plays on Monday night, the Bills committed 13 penalties for 112 yards and they still needed overtime to escape the Rams 37-34. Now they have to turn around on a short week, travel to Allegiant Stadium and lay nearly a touchdown before heading into their bye. That […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":31767,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[5991,5998,5992,5993,5999,276,52],"class_list":["post-40630","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-bills-vs-raiders","tag-bills-vs-raiders-odds","tag-bills-vs-raiders-picks","tag-bills-vs-raiders-prediction","tag-bills-vs-raiders-preview","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-las-vegas-raiders"],"basic_html":"\n Buffalo's defense was on the field for 78 plays on Monday night, the Bills committed 13 penalties for 112 yards and they still needed overtime to escape the Rams 37-34. Now they have to turn around on a short week, travel to Allegiant Stadium and lay nearly a touchdown before heading into their bye. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n That is a lot to ask, even with Josh Allen playing at an MVP level. Las Vegas has its own problems after getting crushed in Foxboro and fielding the league's worst rushing attack, but the Raiders also covered in each of their first four games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n Our Bills vs Raiders prediction<\/strong> breaks down why the points look valuable, why the over has a strong history in this series and how the line has moved all week. For more NFL picks<\/a>, check out the rest of our weekly card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBills vs Raiders Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Odds and Line Movement for Bills vs Raiders<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th> Spread<\/th> Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Buffalo Bills<\/td> -6 (-110)<\/td> Over 52.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr> Las Vegas Raiders<\/td> +6 (-110)<\/td> Under 52.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th> Spread<\/th> Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> Buffalo Bills<\/td> -5.5 (-105)<\/td> Over 53.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr> Las Vegas Raiders<\/td> +5.5 (-115)<\/td> Under 53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n Line Movement – Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Date<\/th> Buffalo<\/th> Las Vegas<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> 10\/13<\/td> -5.5 (-105)<\/td> +5.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -5.5 (-110)<\/td> +5.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -5.5 (-112)<\/td> +5.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -4.5 (-112)<\/td> +4.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -4.5 (-115)<\/td> +4.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -5.5 (-105)<\/td> +5.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -5.5 (-108)<\/td> +5.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -5.5 (-112)<\/td> +5.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> -6 (-108)<\/td> +6 (-112)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/12<\/td> -6 (-110)<\/td> +6 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n Line Movement – Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Date<\/th> Over<\/th> Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead> 10\/13<\/td> 53.5 (-108)<\/td> 53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> 53.5 (-105)<\/td> 53.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> 53.5 (-108)<\/td> 53.5 (-112)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/13<\/td> 53.5 (-105)<\/td> 53.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/12<\/td> 53.5 (-110)<\/td> 53.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/12<\/td> 52.5 (-112)<\/td> 52.5 (-108)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/11<\/td> 53.5 (-110)<\/td> 53.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr> 10\/11<\/td> 52.5 (-110)<\/td> 52.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n Bills vs Raiders Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Bills Escape the Rams in Overtime<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Buffalo’s Tough Spot Before the Bye<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Raiders Crushed in Foxboro<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Las Vegas Still Searching for a Run Game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
BUF and LV Series Trending Over<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
BUF vs LV Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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BUF vs LV Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Bills vs Raiders ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Raiders +5.5 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Bills vs Raiders Over Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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Buffalo vs Las Vegas Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Final Score Prediction for Bills vs Raiders<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Bills vs Raiders Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n