{"id":40617,"date":"2026-10-14T08:02:34","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T12:02:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40617"},"modified":"2026-10-14T08:02:36","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T12:02:36","slug":"texans-vs-jaguars-prediction-picks-and-odds-october-18-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/nfl\/texans-vs-jaguars-prediction-picks-and-odds-october-18-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Texans vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks and Odds | October 18, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The last five meetings between the Texans and Jaguars have all been decided by one score, and four of them stayed under the total. So why does this AFC South clash at Wembley Stadium look like a shootout waiting to happen? Houston cannot run the ball, Nico Collins is back to fuel a passing game that is far more dangerous than its ground attack and Jacksonville just let Jalen Hurts throw 40 times a week ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Add in the Jaguars&#8217; long history in London and a Texans team making its first international trip since 2019, and this Week 7 matchup has plenty of angles worth exploring. Our <strong>Texans vs Jaguars prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the key matchups and our picks on the spread, moneyline and total. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NFL predictions<\/a>, check out the rest of our weekly card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> Jacksonville -3 (+100)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Over 42.5 (-118)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Jaguars 27, Texans 21<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Texans vs Jaguars<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jacksonville opened as a 3-point favorite, dipped to -2.5 on 10\/11 and has since returned to -3 with the price now at even money. The total has dropped a full point from 43.5 to 42.5. Keep tabs on every move through kickoff with our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">live odds<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Houston Texans<\/td><td>+3 (-102)<\/td><td>Over 43.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td><td>-3 (-118)<\/td><td>Under 43.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Houston Texans<\/td><td>+3 (-120)<\/td><td>Over 42.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td><td>-3 (+100)<\/td><td>Under 42.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Houston<\/th><th>Jacksonville<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>+3 (-120)<\/td><td>-3 (+100)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+3 (-118)<\/td><td>-3 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (+105)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-125)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (+102)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-122)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (+100)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-120)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (-102)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+3 (-118)<\/td><td>-3 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+3 (-115)<\/td><td>-3 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/06<\/td><td>+3 (-102)<\/td><td>-3 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The market briefly moved off the key number of 3 before returning to it, and the price has shifted steadily toward Houston since opening. Jacksonville -3 went from -118 to +100 even though the Jaguars are drawing 71 percent of the money and 69 percent of the tickets, which means bettors can now lay the field goal at even money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>42.5 (-118)<\/td><td>42.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>42.5 (-115)<\/td><td>42.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>43.5 (-105)<\/td><td>43.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>43.5 (-115)<\/td><td>43.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/06<\/td><td>43.5 (-110)<\/td><td>43.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The total fell from 43.5 to 42.5 on 10\/12, with 95 percent of the money on the under while 67 percent of the tickets back the over. The over price has since been bet up to -118 at the lower number, suggesting buyback interest at 42.5.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40455\" style=\"width:564px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3.png 1672w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jaguars Back at Their London Home<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The NFL&#8217;s London series shifts from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to Wembley, the Jaguars&#8217; unofficial home away from home since 2013. This will be the 28th NFL game played at the historic venue, and Jacksonville has been part of several of them. The most recent visit did not go well, as the Jaguars suffered a 35-7 loss to the Rams there last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jacksonville played only one international game last season, but the team is familiar with the two-week overseas trip it is currently on. In 2023, the Jaguars swept their two-week Euro trip with wins over Buffalo and Tennessee. In 2024, they bounced back from a loss to the Bears at Tottenham by beating the Patriots at Wembley one week later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jacksonville Riding Momentum After Beating Philadelphia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Spirits should be high after last week&#8217;s dramatic win over the Eagles. Jacksonville trailed for a total of just 11 seconds, but it still took a 57-yard field goal from Cam Little as time expired to get past a beat-up Philadelphia team. The final margin was misleading. The Jaguars out-gained the Eagles by 176 yards and held a +2.1 yards per play advantage, a performance that was far more dominant than the scoreboard showed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Houston Returns to London for the First Time Since 2019<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While Jacksonville is well versed in hearing God Save the King before kickoff, Houston is not. This is the Texans&#8217; first international game since 2019, when they beat the Jaguars at Wembley. The lack of recent experience with the travel and routine of an overseas game is something to keep in mind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans Defense Smothers Tennessee<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Houston&#8217;s playbook should be relatively full because the Texans did not have to reveal much in last week&#8217;s win over Tennessee. The defense dominated, holding the Titans to 187 total yards on 3.2 yards per play while generating two turnovers and four sacks. The 26-3 victory snapped a five-game losing streak for the Texans, both straight up and against the spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HOU Rushing Attack Ranks Near the Bottom<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Houston&#8217;s biggest weakness is on the ground. Much like the Raiders&#8217; offense right now, any designed run from the Texans is essentially a wasted play. Houston ranks 31st in rushing success rate this season, just one-tenth of a percentage point above Cleveland for the worst mark in the league. The backfield is also thin. With David Montgomery battling a groin injury, Woody Marks and Dare Ogunbowale are the only two healthy running backs on the roster, and Ogunbowale was signed off the practice squad just two weeks ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The passing game is a different story. With Nico Collins back in the mix, Houston&#8217;s aerial attack is significantly better than its rushing attack. Jalen Hurts attempted 40 passes against Jacksonville last week, and the Texans should follow a similar script, only with much better receiving weapons than Philadelphia had. That pass-heavy approach is exactly why this game sets up for more scoring than the recent series history suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HOU vs JAC Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The last five meetings between Houston and Jacksonville have all been decided by one score.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Four of the last five meetings between these teams stayed under the total.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Houston and Jacksonville split their two games last season, with the home team winning each matchup.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Houston&#8217;s 26-3 win over Tennessee snapped a five-game losing streak both straight up and against the spread.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jacksonville swept its two-week Euro trip in 2023 and went 1-1 on its two-week trip in 2024.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jacksonville lost 35-7 to the Rams in its most recent Wembley appearance last year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jacksonville is drawing 71 percent of the spread money and 69 percent of the tickets.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The total has dropped from 43.5 to 42.5, with 95 percent of the money on the under and 67 percent of the tickets on the over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HOU vs JAC Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Houston running back David Montgomery is battling a groin injury.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Woody Marks and Dare Ogunbowale are Houston&#8217;s only two healthy running backs, and Ogunbowale was signed off the practice squad two weeks ago.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Houston wide receiver Nico Collins is back in the lineup.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Houston ranks 31st in rushing success rate this season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This is Houston&#8217;s first international game since 2019.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jacksonville kicker Cam Little hit a 57-yard game-winning field goal against Philadelphia last week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Check final injury reports before kickoff for any late changes to either roster.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jaguars -3 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jacksonville brings experience, comfort and momentum into Wembley. The Jaguars have handled this two-week overseas routine before, and their win over Philadelphia was far more convincing than a last-second field goal suggests, with a 176-yard edge in total offense. Houston&#8217;s defense is legitimate, but an offense that cannot run the ball becomes predictable. With the series trending toward one-score finishes and the price on Jacksonville -3 now at even money, this is a good number to back the Jaguars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Jacksonville -3 (+100)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars Over Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recent history points to the under, but this matchup sets up differently. Houston&#8217;s rushing attack is among the worst in the league, which pushes the Texans toward a pass-heavy game plan with Nico Collins back in the lineup. Jacksonville just allowed Jalen Hurts to throw 40 times, and the Texans have better receiving weapons than the Eagles did. More passing means more clock stoppages, more possessions and more scoring opportunities. At 42.5, a full point below the opener, the over offers value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Over 42.5 (-118)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Houston vs Jacksonville Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> Over 42.5 (-118)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> Jacksonville -3 (+100)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The over is the strongest play on the board. Houston&#8217;s broken run game forces a pass-first approach, and Jacksonville&#8217;s defense just faced 40 pass attempts from Philadelphia. On the side, the Jaguars&#8217; familiarity with Wembley and their strong all-around showing against the Eagles make them the preferred play on the moneyline and at -3 with an even-money price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Texans vs Jaguars<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Houston leans on Nico Collins and the passing game because it has no other choice, and the Texans move the ball through the air. Jacksonville answers with the same balanced attack that out-gained Philadelphia by 176 yards. True to the series history, the game stays within one score, but the Jaguars use their London experience to pull away just enough late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Jaguars 27, Texans 21<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> Jacksonville -3 (+100) covers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Over 42.5 (-118) cashes with 48 combined points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The last five meetings between the Texans and Jaguars have all been decided by one score, and four of them stayed under the total. So why does this AFC South clash at Wembley Stadium look like a shootout waiting to happen? Houston cannot run the ball, Nico Collins is back to fuel a passing game [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":37945,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[257,201,17352,17356,17354,17353],"class_list":["post-40617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-houston-texans","tag-jacksonville-jaguars","tag-texans-vs-jaguars","tag-texans-vs-jaguars-odds","tag-texans-vs-jaguars-picks","tag-texans-vs-jaguars-prediction"],"basic_html":"\n<p>The last five meetings between the Texans and Jaguars have all been decided by one score, and four of them stayed under the total. So why does this AFC South clash at Wembley Stadium look like a shootout waiting to happen? Houston cannot run the ball, Nico Collins is back to fuel a passing game that is far more dangerous than its ground attack and Jacksonville just let Jalen Hurts throw 40 times a week ago. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Add in the Jaguars' long history in London and a Texans team making its first international trip since 2019, and this Week 7 matchup has plenty of angles worth exploring. Our <strong>Texans vs Jaguars prediction<\/strong> breaks down the line movement, the key matchups and our picks on the spread, moneyline and total. For more <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">NFL predictions<\/a>, check out the rest of our weekly card.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement for Texans vs Jaguars<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville opened as a 3-point favorite, dipped to -2.5 on 10\/11 and has since returned to -3 with the price now at even money. The total has dropped a full point from 43.5 to 42.5. Keep tabs on every move through kickoff with our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds\">live odds<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Opening Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Houston Texans<\/td><td>+3 (-102)<\/td><td>Over 43.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td><td>-3 (-118)<\/td><td>Under 43.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Spread<\/th><th>Total<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Houston Texans<\/td><td>+3 (-120)<\/td><td>Over 42.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jacksonville Jaguars<\/td><td>-3 (+100)<\/td><td>Under 42.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Houston<\/th><th>Jacksonville<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>+3 (-120)<\/td><td>-3 (+100)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+3 (-118)<\/td><td>-3 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (+105)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-125)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (+102)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-122)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (+100)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-120)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (-102)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+2.5 (-105)<\/td><td>-2.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+3 (-118)<\/td><td>-3 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>+3 (-115)<\/td><td>-3 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/06<\/td><td>+3 (-102)<\/td><td>-3 (-118)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The market briefly moved off the key number of 3 before returning to it, and the price has shifted steadily toward Houston since opening. Jacksonville -3 went from -118 to +100 even though the Jaguars are drawing 71 percent of the money and 69 percent of the tickets, which means bettors can now lay the field goal at even money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>42.5 (-118)<\/td><td>42.5 (-102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>42.5 (-115)<\/td><td>42.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/12<\/td><td>43.5 (-105)<\/td><td>43.5 (-115)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/11<\/td><td>43.5 (-115)<\/td><td>43.5 (-105)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10\/06<\/td><td>43.5 (-110)<\/td><td>43.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The total fell from 43.5 to 42.5 on 10\/12, with 95 percent of the money on the under while 67 percent of the tickets back the over. The over price has since been bet up to -118 at the lower number, suggesting buyback interest at 42.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/WT-25K-graphic-3-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40455\" style=\"width:564px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jaguars Back at Their London Home<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The NFL's London series shifts from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to Wembley, the Jaguars' unofficial home away from home since 2013. This will be the 28th NFL game played at the historic venue, and Jacksonville has been part of several of them. The most recent visit did not go well, as the Jaguars suffered a 35-7 loss to the Rams there last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville played only one international game last season, but the team is familiar with the two-week overseas trip it is currently on. In 2023, the Jaguars swept their two-week Euro trip with wins over Buffalo and Tennessee. In 2024, they bounced back from a loss to the Bears at Tottenham by beating the Patriots at Wembley one week later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jacksonville Riding Momentum After Beating Philadelphia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Spirits should be high after last week's dramatic win over the Eagles. Jacksonville trailed for a total of just 11 seconds, but it still took a 57-yard field goal from Cam Little as time expired to get past a beat-up Philadelphia team. The final margin was misleading. The Jaguars out-gained the Eagles by 176 yards and held a +2.1 yards per play advantage, a performance that was far more dominant than the scoreboard showed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Houston Returns to London for the First Time Since 2019<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>While Jacksonville is well versed in hearing God Save the King before kickoff, Houston is not. This is the Texans' first international game since 2019, when they beat the Jaguars at Wembley. The lack of recent experience with the travel and routine of an overseas game is something to keep in mind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans Defense Smothers Tennessee<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Houston's playbook should be relatively full because the Texans did not have to reveal much in last week's win over Tennessee. The defense dominated, holding the Titans to 187 total yards on 3.2 yards per play while generating two turnovers and four sacks. The 26-3 victory snapped a five-game losing streak for the Texans, both straight up and against the spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HOU Rushing Attack Ranks Near the Bottom<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Houston's biggest weakness is on the ground. Much like the Raiders' offense right now, any designed run from the Texans is essentially a wasted play. Houston ranks 31st in rushing success rate this season, just one-tenth of a percentage point above Cleveland for the worst mark in the league. The backfield is also thin. With David Montgomery battling a groin injury, Woody Marks and Dare Ogunbowale are the only two healthy running backs on the roster, and Ogunbowale was signed off the practice squad just two weeks ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The passing game is a different story. With Nico Collins back in the mix, Houston's aerial attack is significantly better than its rushing attack. Jalen Hurts attempted 40 passes against Jacksonville last week, and the Texans should follow a similar script, only with much better receiving weapons than Philadelphia had. That pass-heavy approach is exactly why this game sets up for more scoring than the recent series history suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HOU vs JAC Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">HOU vs JAC Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Jaguars -3 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville brings experience, comfort and momentum into Wembley. The Jaguars have handled this two-week overseas routine before, and their win over Philadelphia was far more convincing than a last-second field goal suggests, with a 176-yard edge in total offense. Houston's defense is legitimate, but an offense that cannot run the ball becomes predictable. With the series trending toward one-score finishes and the price on Jacksonville -3 now at even money, this is a good number to back the Jaguars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs Jaguars Over Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Recent history points to the under, but this matchup sets up differently. Houston's rushing attack is among the worst in the league, which pushes the Texans toward a pass-heavy game plan with Nico Collins back in the lineup. Jacksonville just allowed Jalen Hurts to throw 40 times, and the Texans have better receiving weapons than the Eagles did. More passing means more clock stoppages, more possessions and more scoring opportunities. At 42.5, a full point below the opener, the over offers value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Houston vs Jacksonville Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The over is the strongest play on the board. Houston's broken run game forces a pass-first approach, and Jacksonville's defense just faced 40 pass attempts from Philadelphia. On the side, the Jaguars' familiarity with Wembley and their strong all-around showing against the Eagles make them the preferred play on the moneyline and at -3 with an even-money price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Score Prediction for Texans vs Jaguars<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Houston leans on Nico Collins and the passing game because it has no other choice, and the Texans move the ball through the air. Jacksonville answers with the same balanced attack that out-gained Philadelphia by 176 yards. True to the series history, the game stays within one score, but the Jaguars use their London experience to pull away just enough late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40617","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40617"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40617\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40618,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40617\/revisions\/40618"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40617"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40617"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40617"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}