{"id":40596,"date":"2026-10-13T10:16:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T14:16:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40596"},"modified":"2026-10-13T10:16:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T14:16:34","slug":"ufc-fight-night-buckley-vs-malott-picks-predictions-and-odds-october-17-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-buckley-vs-malott-picks-predictions-and-odds-october-17-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott Picks, Predictions and Odds October 17, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions<\/strong> come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> for October 17, 2026 with the main event headlined by Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott<\/strong> in a welterweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from Rogers Place in Edmonton,\u00a0Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>: UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, October 17<\/th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Moneyline:<\/td>Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>3.5 (Over -135 \/ Under +105)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 8:00pm ET \/ 5:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>Rogers Place in Edmonton,\u00a0Canada<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Erin Blanchfield (-300) vs Jasmine Jasudavicius (+240)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a terrible matchup for Jasmine. Her striking isn’t very good, and she relies heavily on\u00a0getting fights to the ground to have success. The problem is that Blanchfield has the takedown\u00a0 defense to keep this standing, and she’s the significantly better striker. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I don’t see Jasmine having\u00a0much success trying to wrestle Blanchfield, and if this becomes primarily a striking fight, she’s\u00a0 going to be badly outworked. Blanchfield is the easy pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kyle Nelson (+240) vs Cristian Perez (-300)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perez is making his UFC debut, but he already has plenty of experience and brings a well rounded skill set. He’s an exciting fighter who forces the action, throws with power, and looks to\u00a0 overwhelm opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He can be hit, but he also lands a lot of damaging strikes himself. Nelson\u00a0 has been knocked out in his last two losses, which raises serious questions about his durability. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u00a0 don’t think Nelson has the striking ability or speed to keep up with Perez, and I expect this to\u00a0turn into a firefight early. Under 1.5 rounds is the play, with Perez winning by finish<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marc-Andre Barriault (+185) vs Kyle Daukaus (-225)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Barriault has lost five of his last six fights, and the decline is becoming obvious. He’s getting\u00a0outworked, his speed isn’t there anymore, and he doesn’t have the wrestling or punching power to\u00a0 create the big moments needed to steal rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daukaus is coming off a loss himself, but he has\u00a0a much more complete skill set and can be effective both striking and wrestling. Daukaus fights\u00a0 also have a tendency to end inside the distance, and I think that happens again here. Daukaus is the pick<\/strong>, and I also like the fight to go under.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Louis Jourdain (-205) vs Timmy Cuamba (+170)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jourdain hasn’t fought in a while, and while his striking is decent, I’m not overly impressed with his overall game. I like his leg kicks, but he holds his hands low, gets complacent, and leaves\u00a0 himself open to getting hit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He just doesn’t look like a particularly polished fighter. Cuamba has\u00a0plenty of flaws himself, but he can strike, looks faster to me, and already has UFC experience.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He needs to increase his volume, but I think this is a matchup where he can do that. The biggest\u00a0 concern is Cuamba’s ground game, so keeping this fight standing will be critical. If he can do\u00a0 that, he’s a very live underdog. Cuamba at +170 is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n

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Mandel Nallo (-250) vs Nate Landwehr (+220)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Landwehr is damaged goods at this point. He’s absorbed a tremendous amount of punishment\u00a0 throughout his career, and his durability simply isn’t there anymore. He’s been finished in three\u00a0 straight fights, and his style makes things even worse. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He loves getting into firefights and\u00a0 exchanging big shots, but he can no longer absorb the punishment that comes with fighting that\u00a0way. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nallo nearly won his UFC debut, rocking his opponent and coming close to a finish before running out of gas and getting stopped himself. He clearly has striking ability, and I don’t think\u00a0 Landwehr has enough left to survive those exchanges. Nallo by finish<\/strong> is the play.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tanner Boser (+200) vs Jhonata Diniz (-240)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neither guy is particularly impressive. Both can be low-volume strikers, neither is especially\u00a0 dynamic, and neither offers much on the ground. This looks like a pretty low-level heavyweight\u00a0 fight that’s likely to be decided by basic striking exchanges. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I don’t see enough separating these two fighters to justify laying -240 on Diniz. If you’re going to get involved, the only logical side\u00a0 is the underdog at this price. Boser at +200 is the pick<\/strong>, but I’m not betting this fight with my own\u00a0 money.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Julien Leblanc (+430) vs Nick Galanti (-600)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Leblanc is getting this opportunity because he’s Canadian and the event is taking place in\u00a0Canada. He’s a polarizing personality who can sell tickets, but that doesn’t mean he’s ready to\u00a0 compete at the UFC level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Galanti is a very good wrestler, and I don’t see Leblanc having the\u00a0 tools to stop his takedowns. Once Galanti gets this fight to the ground, he should be able to\u00a0establish control and work toward a finish. Leblanc simply isn’t close to being a UFC-caliber fighter. Galanti by finish is the easy pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Javad Mahjoub (-125) vs Joel Faglier (+105)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’ve got two big guys who aren’t particularly technical. Faglier should have the advantage in\u00a0 the striking department, while Mahjoub prefers to wrestle, clinch, and fight on the inside. He’ll\u00a0look to get this to the ground and turn it into a physical, grinding matchup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I don’t expect this to\u00a0 be an especially exciting fight, particularly once both guys start getting tired. I think Mahjoub\u00a0will have enough success with his wrestling to control stretches of the fight, but it’s not a\u00a0 matchup I feel strongly about. Mahjoub at -125 is the lean<\/strong>, but it’s not a confident pick.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Katlyn Cerminara (-260) vs Mackenzie Stiller (+210)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cerminara has been extremely inactive, having not fought in more than two years. She’s now 37\u00a0years old and has lost two straight, so there are legitimate questions about what she has left. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

She\u00a0likes to use her length and jab to keep opponents at distance, occasionally mixing in clinch work\u00a0 against the fence. However, she’s no longer in her prime, isn’t particularly strong, and that\u00a0massive layoff is a major concern.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stiller lost on The Ultimate Fighter, but it was a close decision. She throws a decent amount of\u00a0 volume and will look for takedowns, although she doesn’t set them up particularly well and gets\u00a0 hit too often. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neither fighter is without flaws, but I think this matchup will be much closer than the odds suggest. With Cerminara’s inactivity and age, I don’t want to lay this kind of price.\u00a0Stiller at +210 is the underdog pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chad Anheliger (-130) vs Steven Koslow (+110)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a bizarre matchup. Koslow hasn’t fought since 2022, when he was beaten soundly. He’s\u00a0 primarily a grappler who likes to wrestle and hunt for submissions, but we have no idea what\u00a0 version of him is going to show up after such a long absence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anheliger hasn’t fought in a couple of years either. He’s a fairly basic fighter who can do a little bit of everything without being\u00a0 particularly impressive in any one area. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With both guys returning from lengthy layoffs, there’s\u00a0 simply too much uncertainty to have confidence in either side. No bet<\/strong>. There’s no way I’m\u00a0 putting money on this fight.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Melissa Croden (-270) vs Chelsea Chandler (+220)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chandler is an unorthodox fighter with a strange stance, sloppy technique, and poor striking\u00a0defense. Her offense is average at best, although she did pull off a surprising win in her last fight,\u00a0 showing some power and a solid ground game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Croden is the more complete fighter. She’s tough,\u00a0has good striking, can do real damage, and has shown the ability to handle adversity. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

She can\u00a0also work effectively in the clinch, giving her multiple ways to win this fight. Chandler is\u00a0 unpredictable, but Croden is simply better in more areas. Croden is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soo Young Yoo (+130) vs Cody Chovancek (-155)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a bad matchup for Yoo because he struggles with wrestling, and that’s exactly where\u00a0Chovancek should have the advantage. Yoo doesn’t have the defensive grappling to consistently stop takedowns, and Chovancek should be able to exploit that weakness throughout the fight.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yoo was submitted in his last appearance, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the same thing\u00a0happen here. Chovancek should be able to get this fight to the ground, establish control, and\u00a0 work toward a submission. Chovancek is the pick<\/strong>, with a submission finish the likely outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Main Event: <\/strong>Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Buckley’s last two losses have come because he was outwrestled, but I don’t see that being a\u00a0 problem in this matchup. Malott has good striking, but he’s faced a relatively weak schedule, and\u00a0Buckley is by far the toughest opponent he’s encountered. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buckley should be able to land clean\u00a0 shots, push the pace, and force Malott to work for all five rounds. That’s important because\u00a0 Malott has shown cardio issues in the past. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’re getting a great price on Buckley because he’s\u00a0lost two straight, but stylistically, this is a much better matchup for him. Buckley at +123 is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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