{"id":40417,"date":"2026-10-05T08:04:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T12:04:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40417"},"modified":"2026-10-05T08:04:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T12:04:30","slug":"best-home-run-props-today-hr-picks-predictions-for-october-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mlb\/best-home-run-props-today-hr-picks-predictions-for-october-5\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB Home Run Props Today: HR Picks & Predictions for October 5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Looking for the best\u00a0MLB home run props today<\/strong>? WagerTalk has you covered with\u00a0HR picks, predictions and best bets for Monday, October 5<\/strong>, as we break down today\u2019s MLB slate in search of the top hitters to go deep. Check out our latest home run prop picks and betting analysis as we identify potential value across the daily MLB player prop markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We CASHED with Matt Olson last Thursday at +490 odds with our last home run props<\/strong>! Follow WagerTalk all season long for\u00a0MLB home run predictions, player prop picks and\u00a0free MLB picks<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0every day. Check out our\u00a0best MLB home run prop bets today for Monday, October 5<\/strong>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB Home Run Props Today: Best HR Picks, Predictions & Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best MLB Home Run Prop Today #1: <\/strong>Miguel Vargas (CHW) +590<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Although the White Sox are 3-0 this post season so far, Miguel Vargas has been disappointing going just 1-11 although that hit did come in Saturday\u2019s 3-0 win as he also displayed som more patience with two walks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We\u2019re going to take the valuable odds for Vargas to hit his home run props tonight after blasting 33 home runs this regular season. Righty Gavin Williams gets the start for Cleveland and while his numbers look good on the surface, he did allow 28 home runs this season with 14 of them coming against left handed batters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

All-time against Williams, Vargas is 6-14 with a home run and against the Guardians this season Vargas batted .304 to go along with a .565 slugging percentage including three home runs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With spirits still high in the White Sox locker room after three-straight post season wins, let\u2019s take Vargas to snap out of his mini slump and cash his home run props tonight at +590<\/strong>. Other White Sox to look at for home run props includes Munetaka Murakami (+410)<\/strong> and Colson Montgomery (+570)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Best MLB Home Run Prop Today #2: <\/strong>Luis Garcia Jr. (NYY) +490<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The Yankees were dominated by Drew Rasmussen in Game 1 of their ALDS series losing 1-0, but should have an easier time getting the bat on the ball in Game 2 with the Rays sending Freddy Peralta to the mound for tonight\u2019s start. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With that, we\u2019re going to take Luis Garcia Jr. to cash his home run props tonight who belted 13 of his 30 home runs on the road this season although he sported a .523 slugging percentage on the road compared to a .520 slugging percentage at home. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He hit 27 of his 30 home runs off right handed pitching this season with Peralta allowing 17 of his 23 home runs to left handed hitters like Garcia Jr. this season while also allowing a .439 slugging percentage to them compared to a .366 slugging percentage to right handed hitters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure, Peralta was sharp to end the regular season but in 15.1 innings pitched with the Brewers last season he allowed five home runs and has allowed seven post season home runs altogether in 33.1 career post season innings pitched. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

All-time against Peralta, Garcia Jr. is 3-12 with two doubles with Garcia Jr. already mashing a home run in their AL Wildcard series against the Red Sox. Take Garcia Jr. at +490 to hit his home run props<\/strong> tonight with other Yankees to consider for home run props includes Ben Rice (+340)<\/strong> and Spencer Jones (+420)<\/strong>.
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