09\/22<\/td> 45.5 (-110)<\/td> 45.5 (-110)<\/td> N\/A<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\nKansas City vs Las Vegas Key Matchups and Handicap<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n An unbeaten Raiders team against a Chiefs offense rolling behind Mahomes makes for an intriguing divisional matchup, but the details underneath the 3-0 record tell a more complicated story for Las Vegas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Raiders Keep Games Tight in the Rivalry<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n Las Vegas has been a thorn in Kansas City's side in recent years. Over the last eight meetings, the Raiders are 5-3 against the spread, with a pair of outright upset wins and a couple of other close calls mixed in. The two teams split their meetings last season. These games also tend to stay grounded, with four of the last five meetings finishing under the total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Chiefs Rookie Kahlil Benson Holding the Line<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n One of the best under-the-radar stories in the NFL so far has been Chiefs offensive lineman Kahlil Benson. An undrafted rookie who never played left tackle in college, Benson was handed the job of protecting Patrick Mahomes after starting left tackle Josh Simmons missed the first three games of the season, and he has thrived in a difficult spot. The results show up in Mahomes' numbers. He went 20-of-24 for 246 yards and two touchdowns in last week's win in Miami. That game was 14-10 heading into the fourth quarter, but Kansas City kept the Dolphins at arm's length for most of the afternoon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
LV Ground Game vs a Nightmare Matchup<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n The Raiders' perfect record hides a real weakness. Las Vegas ranks 25th in EPA per rush attempt and 28th in rushing success rate, and second-year running back Ashton Jeanty has not given the offense much help. History offers little hope for a breakout here. Kansas City was a nightmare matchup for the Raiders' rushing attack last season, holding Jeanty to 108 yards on 32 carries, just 3.38 yards per carry, with no touchdowns across two games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Las Vegas Leaning Heavily on Cousins<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n Credit belongs to Klint Kubiak for the job he has done so far, but the schedule ahead looks considerably tougher than the first three weeks. Kirk Cousins has carried a heavy load and provided a steady hand, but at 38 years old, he is going to need the running game to show up at some point. Against a defense that has bottled up Jeanty before, that help may not arrive this week, and the loss of a key receiver makes his job even harder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Chiefs Cannot Coast This Time<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n In past years, Kansas City might have sleepwalked through this game with minimal preparation. That is no longer an option. An unbeaten Raiders team will force Andy Reid and his staff to put real effort into the game plan, and a focused Reid team with Mahomes playing this efficiently is a difficult combination to fade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\nKC vs LV Betting Trends<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nKC vs LV Key Injuries and Notes<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nLosing Bech removes one more option for a Raiders offense that already depends heavily on its quarterback. With the ground game struggling, Cousins has fewer ways to keep drives alive against a Kansas City defense that will know what is coming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kansas City vs Las Vegas ATS and Total Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n ATS Pick: Chiefs -4.5 (-112).<\/strong> The Raiders' recent ATS success in this series is worth respecting, and the line moving down a point gives Kansas City backers a better number than the opener. The matchup itself favors the Chiefs. Las Vegas cannot run the ball, Kansas City shut down Jeanty last season, and the Raiders just lost a receiver to IR. With Reid forced to take this game seriously and Mahomes playing at a high level, the Chiefs have the tools to win by more than a field goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nTotal Pick: Under 47.5 (-105).<\/strong> Four of the last five meetings have gone under, and this total has been pushed up two full points by one-sided public action. A Raiders offense with no running game and one fewer receiver is unlikely to sustain long drives, and Kansas City has shown it is comfortable controlling a game without lighting up the scoreboard, as it did in a 14-10 game in Miami through three quarters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nChiefs vs Raiders Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nThe Under is the top play, supported by the series history and a total inflated by lopsided betting. The Chiefs on the moneyline and spread complete the card, as Kansas City's ability to neutralize the Las Vegas run game should leave Cousins without enough help to keep pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Final Score Prediction for Chiefs vs Raiders<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n The Raiders have earned their 3-0 start, but this is the wrong opponent for an offense that cannot run the ball. Kansas City should dictate the pace, lean on an efficient Mahomes, and keep Las Vegas one-dimensional. Expect the Raiders to hang around early, as they often do in this rivalry, before the Chiefs pull away late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
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