{"id":40323,"date":"2026-10-01T07:32:50","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T11:32:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40323"},"modified":"2026-10-01T07:41:01","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T11:41:01","slug":"best-home-run-props-today-hr-picks-predictions-for-october-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mlb\/best-home-run-props-today-hr-picks-predictions-for-october-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB Home Run Props Today: HR Picks & Predictions for October 1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Looking for the best\u00a0MLB home run props today<\/strong>? WagerTalk has you covered with\u00a0HR picks, predictions and best bets for Thursday, October 1<\/strong>, as we break down today\u2019s MLB slate in search of the top hitters to go deep. Check out our latest home run prop picks and betting analysis as we identify potential value across the daily MLB player prop markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Follow WagerTalk all season long for\u00a0MLB home run predictions, player prop picks and\u00a0free MLB picks<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0every day. Check out our\u00a0best MLB home run prop bets today for Thursday, October 1<\/strong>!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB Home Run Props Today: Best HR Picks, Predictions & Bets (Phillies vs Braves)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best MLB Home Run Prop Today #1: <\/strong>Matt Olson (ATL) +490<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Out of the first four wildcard series\u2019 only one is going to a Game 3 as the Phillies and Braves meet in Atlanta for the final time this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt Olson has struggled mightily over the last week or so in general so we\u2019re going to take advantage of his valuable odds to hit his home run props. It\u2019s all hands on deck for both teams but the Phillies look like they\u2019re opting to start Aaron Nola who was very prone to giving up home runs this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

All-time Olson is 11-43 with five home runs against Nola with the Phillies starter giving up a whopping 37 home runs during the regular season which was most of any single pitcher in the MLB. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of those 37 home runs he allowed, 22 came against left handed batters with Olson smacking 25 of his 41 home runs off right handed pitching and 20 of 41 home runs at home while slugging .516. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We understand Olson has just four home runs in the last 30 days but he did have two of the three RBIs for the Braves yesterday so maybe that was enough confidence to get Olson\u2019s power back on track tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite Olson\u2019s recent power struggle, we\u2019re going to take his valuable +490 odds to hit his home run props<\/strong> tonight. Other Braves batters to consider for home run props who have solid splits against Nola are Ronald Acuna Jr. (+590)<\/strong> and Austin Riley (+650)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Best MLB Home Run Prop Today #2: <\/strong>Trea Turner (PHI) +680<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

We are inspired by Alec Bohm\u2019s unexpected home run yesterday to choose a long shot home run prop tonight in Trea Turner against the Braves who are seem to be turning to Grant Holmes for a bulk of their innings pitched tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure, Turner isn\u2019t known for his power but he does sport solid splits against various Braves pitchers including Holmes who he\u2019s 4-11 with a double and home run against. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He\u2019s 3-9 with a home run against reliever Dylan Lee and 5-11 with three home runs against Braves closer Raisel Iglesias. Holmes allowed a home run in his final three appearances of the season for Atlanta including two of those on the road and has allowed a .432 slugging percentage to right handed hitters compared to a .374 slugging percentage against lefties this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure, Turner has been a worse hitter on the road this season overall, but it may take a home run from an experienced playoff veteran like Turner tonight to get the Phillies over the hump on the road and into the divisional round of the playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Take Tuner at +680 to cash his home run props<\/strong> tonight, but if you can also take Kyle Schwarber (+270)<\/strong> or Bryce Harper (+430)<\/strong> for home run props as well.
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