{"id":40318,"date":"2026-09-30T16:20:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T20:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40318"},"modified":"2026-09-30T14:29:54","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T18:29:54","slug":"auburn-vs-tennessee-picks-predictions-and-best-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/auburn-vs-tennessee-picks-predictions-and-best-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Auburn vs Tennessee Picks, Predictions and Best Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Should you lay a touchdown with Tennessee against Auburn? The Volunteers are coming off a home loss to Texas in which their offense stalled and freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon was sacked ten times, while Auburn bounced back from its loss to Florida with a solid win over Vanderbilt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fifth-year senior Byrum Brown brings plenty of big-stadium experience into Knoxville, and that makes the Tigers an appealing underdog. This Auburn vs Tennessee prediction breaks down the line movement, the key matchups, the betting trends and our best bets on the spread and total. For more expert handicapping every week, check out our latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Spread Pick:<\/strong> Auburn +7 (-108)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total Pick:<\/strong> Under 54.5 (-110)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Tennessee 24, Auburn 20<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, TN<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Key Factor:<\/strong> Tennessee allowed ten sacks against Texas last week<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Market<\/th><th>Auburn<\/th><th>Tennessee<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Spread<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total<\/td><td>Over 54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 54.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Auburn<\/th><th>Tennessee<\/th><th>Public ($)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>09\/29<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><td>TENN 53%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-105)<\/td><td>-7 (-115)<\/td><td>TENN 97%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-105)<\/td><td>-7 (-115)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7.5 (-120)<\/td><td>-7.5 (+100)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7.5 (-115)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-105)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7.5 (-110)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-110)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement &#8211; Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><th>Public ($, #)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>09\/29<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>UN 93%, OV 94%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/29<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 93%, OV 94%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-118)<\/td><td>54.5 (-102)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn vs Tennessee Key Matchups and Game Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both teams enter this SEC showdown looking to build on or rebound from their most recent results. Auburn is riding the momentum of a solid win over Vanderbilt, while Tennessee is trying to regroup after an offensive meltdown against Texas. The spread has dipped from 7.5 to 7, and the key question for bettors is whether the Volunteers&#8217; offense has shown enough to justify laying a full touchdown against an SEC opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn Bounce Back Against Vanderbilt<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Auburn rebounded nicely after falling at home to Florida, handling business last week against Vanderbilt. Byrum Brown went 18-of-27 through the air and added a rushing touchdown as the Tigers&#8217; group of transfers from South Florida continues adjusting to life in the SEC. That performance showed an offense beginning to find its rhythm, which is an encouraging sign heading into a road game against a Tennessee team with offensive problems of its own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn QB Byrum Brown&#8217;s Road Experience<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is Auburn&#8217;s first road test of the season, but Brown is far from a stranger to hostile environments. The fifth-year senior has already played at Florida, Miami and Alabama during his lengthy career with South Florida and Auburn. He knows how to prepare for a crowd like the one he will face in Knoxville. A composed, experienced quarterback is exactly what an underdog needs to stay within the number on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Offense Stalls Against Texas<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee is looking for a bounce-back performance after falling at home to Texas. The Volunteers&#8217; defense was largely up for the challenge, but the offense could not get much going. Laying a touchdown requires a team to score consistently, and Tennessee has not shown enough offensive production to inspire confidence in that role right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Protection Problems for Faizon Brandon<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon was pressured all afternoon against Texas as the Longhorns generated ten sacks in Knoxville. Brandon was even briefly knocked out of the game at one point. Protection issues of that magnitude do not disappear in a week, and a young quarterback who has absorbed that kind of punishment may be hesitant in the pocket. That is a serious concern for a team trying to cover a touchdown spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volunteers Win Over Georgia Tech in Context<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee did beat Georgia Tech by 21 points earlier this season, but that margin was aided by two Georgia Tech interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. In that game, Brandon went 10-of-21 through the air for just 148 passing yards. That level of passing production is not going to be enough to cover spreads like this one in the SEC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Defense Keeps It Competitive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The strength of this Tennessee team appears to be its defense, which held up well against Texas despite getting little help from the offense. That defensive capability is a big reason the Volunteers can still win this game. However, a defense that keeps games close also tends to produce tighter final margins, which works in favor of the team getting points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AUB and TENN Series History<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is the first meeting between these programs since Auburn&#8217;s 30-17 home win in November 2020. With nearly six years between matchups, the rosters and coaching staffs have changed considerably, so there is little head-to-head carryover to lean on. This game will be decided by current form, and the current form points toward a close contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Betting Trends: AUB vs TENN<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Public money has been heavily on Tennessee for most of the week, yet the spread has moved toward Auburn. The total has seen a notable split between money and tickets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AUB Spread Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tennessee opened at -7.5 and dropped to -7, where it has held since.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Volunteers drew 100% of the spread money in early betting, yet the line moved toward Auburn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Spread money on Tennessee has fallen to 53% in the latest update.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A line moving against heavy public support is a signal that respected money may be backing Auburn.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Auburn won the last meeting 30-17 in November 2020.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TENN Total Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The total has toggled between 53.5 and 54.5, currently sitting at 54.5 (-110).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Under money has dominated, ranging from 93% to 100% of the handle.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tickets have shifted toward the over, with 94% of bets now on the over.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The split of heavy under money against over tickets suggests larger wagers favor the under.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee&#8217;s offense struggled badly against Texas, and Brandon threw for just 148 yards against Georgia Tech.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Injuries and Things To Know: AUB vs TENN<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn Things To Know<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Auburn beat Vanderbilt last week after losing at home to Florida.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Byrum Brown went 18-of-27 passing and ran for a touchdown against Vanderbilt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This is Auburn&#8217;s first road game of the season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Brown is a fifth-year senior who has played at Florida, Miami and Alabama.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Auburn&#8217;s offense features a group of transfers from South Florida.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Things To Know<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Faizon Brandon (QB):<\/strong> Briefly knocked out of the Texas game; monitor his status.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee allowed ten sacks in its home loss to Texas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Volunteers&#8217; defense played well against Texas despite the loss.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Tennessee beat Georgia Tech by 21 with help from two interceptions, including a pick-six.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Brandon went 10-of-21 for 148 yards against Georgia Tech.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"http:\/\/splashsports.com\/wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" data-id=\"40319\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/WT-25K-graphic-1-7-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40319\" style=\"width:462px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/WT-25K-graphic-1-7-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/WT-25K-graphic-1-7-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/WT-25K-graphic-1-7-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/WT-25K-graphic-1-7-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/WT-25K-graphic-1-7.png 1672w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.store\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" data-id=\"40320\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/wagertalk-store-graphic-6-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/wagertalk-store-graphic-6-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/wagertalk-store-graphic-6-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/wagertalk-store-graphic-6-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/wagertalk-store-graphic-6-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/wagertalk-store-graphic-6-2048x1151.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn vs Tennessee Side and Over\/Under Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tigers +7 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We have not seen enough from Tennessee&#8217;s offense to feel comfortable laying a touchdown. The Volunteers allowed ten sacks last week, their freshman quarterback was briefly knocked out, and their best win was padded by defensive takeaways. Auburn, meanwhile, has an experienced quarterback who has played in some of the toughest environments in college football. The line dropping from 7.5 to 7 despite heavy Tennessee money adds further support. Auburn is the side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Auburn +7 (-108)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AUB vs TENN Under Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee&#8217;s offense has struggled to produce consistently, and its defense is capable of keeping Auburn in check. That combination points toward a lower-scoring game than the total implies. Larger wagers have backed the under all week, and with the Volunteers&#8217; protection issues likely to stall drives, we like the under at 54.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Pick:<\/strong> Under 54.5 (-110)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn vs Tennessee Final Score Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Expect a defensive, grind-it-out SEC game in which Tennessee&#8217;s defense keeps the Volunteers in front but their offense struggles to pull away. Brown&#8217;s experience should help Auburn handle the Knoxville crowd and stay within striking distance through the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Projected Final Score:<\/strong> Tennessee 24, Auburn 20<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Spread:<\/strong> Auburn +7 (-108) covers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Total:<\/strong> Under 54.5 (-110) cashes with 44 combined points<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Auburn Covers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tennessee&#8217;s offense has not shown enough to cover a touchdown spread in the SEC.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Volunteers allowed ten sacks against Texas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Byrum Brown has extensive experience in hostile road environments.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The line has moved toward Auburn despite heavy public money on Tennessee.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Tennessee Needs to Cover<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Much better pass protection for Faizon Brandon.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>More passing production than the 148 yards Brandon managed against Georgia Tech.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Continued strong play from a defense that held up against Texas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Defensive takeaways like the ones that padded the Georgia Tech win.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L5&amp;type=4&amp;cb=0.041518762314237456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track moneylines, spreads, totals and betting percentages for a variety of leagues. Find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">free college football picks<\/a>, even for player props, and odds!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Should you lay a touchdown with Tennessee against Auburn? The Volunteers are coming off a home loss to Texas in which their offense stalled and freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon was sacked ten times, while Auburn bounced back from its loss to Florida with a solid win over Vanderbilt. Fifth-year senior Byrum Brown brings plenty of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":40321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[4408,16802,16803,16804,16806,4566],"class_list":["post-40318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-auburn-football","tag-auburn-vs-tennessee","tag-auburn-vs-tennessee-picks","tag-auburn-vs-tennessee-predictions","tag-auburn-vs-tennessee-preview","tag-tennessee-football"],"basic_html":"\n<p>Should you lay a touchdown with Tennessee against Auburn? The Volunteers are coming off a home loss to Texas in which their offense stalled and freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon was sacked ten times, while Auburn bounced back from its loss to Florida with a solid win over Vanderbilt. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fifth-year senior Byrum Brown brings plenty of big-stadium experience into Knoxville, and that makes the Tigers an appealing underdog. This Auburn vs Tennessee prediction breaks down the line movement, the key matchups, the betting trends and our best bets on the spread and total. For more expert handicapping every week, check out our latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Odds and Line Movement<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Current Odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Market<\/th><th>Auburn<\/th><th>Tennessee<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Spread<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total<\/td><td>Over 54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>Under 54.5 (-110)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Spread<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Auburn<\/th><th>Tennessee<\/th><th>Public ($)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>09\/29<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><td>TENN 53%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-105)<\/td><td>-7 (-115)<\/td><td>TENN 97%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-108)<\/td><td>-7 (-112)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-115)<\/td><td>-7 (-105)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-112)<\/td><td>-7 (-108)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-110)<\/td><td>-7 (-110)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7 (-105)<\/td><td>-7 (-115)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7.5 (-120)<\/td><td>-7.5 (+100)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7.5 (-115)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-105)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>+7.5 (-110)<\/td><td>-7.5 (-110)<\/td><td>TENN 100%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Line Movement - Total<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Over<\/th><th>Under<\/th><th>Public ($, #)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>09\/29<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>UN 93%, OV 94%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/29<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 93%, OV 94%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/28<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><td>UN 96%, OV 75%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-118)<\/td><td>54.5 (-102)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-108)<\/td><td>54.5 (-112)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-105)<\/td><td>54.5 (-115)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>53.5 (-115)<\/td><td>53.5 (-105)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>09\/27<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>54.5 (-110)<\/td><td>UN 100%, UN 100%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn vs Tennessee Key Matchups and Game Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams enter this SEC showdown looking to build on or rebound from their most recent results. Auburn is riding the momentum of a solid win over Vanderbilt, while Tennessee is trying to regroup after an offensive meltdown against Texas. The spread has dipped from 7.5 to 7, and the key question for bettors is whether the Volunteers' offense has shown enough to justify laying a full touchdown against an SEC opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn Bounce Back Against Vanderbilt<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Auburn rebounded nicely after falling at home to Florida, handling business last week against Vanderbilt. Byrum Brown went 18-of-27 through the air and added a rushing touchdown as the Tigers' group of transfers from South Florida continues adjusting to life in the SEC. That performance showed an offense beginning to find its rhythm, which is an encouraging sign heading into a road game against a Tennessee team with offensive problems of its own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn QB Byrum Brown's Road Experience<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This is Auburn's first road test of the season, but Brown is far from a stranger to hostile environments. The fifth-year senior has already played at Florida, Miami and Alabama during his lengthy career with South Florida and Auburn. He knows how to prepare for a crowd like the one he will face in Knoxville. A composed, experienced quarterback is exactly what an underdog needs to stay within the number on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Offense Stalls Against Texas<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee is looking for a bounce-back performance after falling at home to Texas. The Volunteers' defense was largely up for the challenge, but the offense could not get much going. Laying a touchdown requires a team to score consistently, and Tennessee has not shown enough offensive production to inspire confidence in that role right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Protection Problems for Faizon Brandon<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon was pressured all afternoon against Texas as the Longhorns generated ten sacks in Knoxville. Brandon was even briefly knocked out of the game at one point. Protection issues of that magnitude do not disappear in a week, and a young quarterback who has absorbed that kind of punishment may be hesitant in the pocket. That is a serious concern for a team trying to cover a touchdown spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volunteers Win Over Georgia Tech in Context<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee did beat Georgia Tech by 21 points earlier this season, but that margin was aided by two Georgia Tech interceptions, one of which was returned for a touchdown. In that game, Brandon went 10-of-21 through the air for just 148 passing yards. That level of passing production is not going to be enough to cover spreads like this one in the SEC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Defense Keeps It Competitive<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The strength of this Tennessee team appears to be its defense, which held up well against Texas despite getting little help from the offense. That defensive capability is a big reason the Volunteers can still win this game. However, a defense that keeps games close also tends to produce tighter final margins, which works in favor of the team getting points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AUB and TENN Series History<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This is the first meeting between these programs since Auburn's 30-17 home win in November 2020. With nearly six years between matchups, the rosters and coaching staffs have changed considerably, so there is little head-to-head carryover to lean on. This game will be decided by current form, and the current form points toward a close contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Betting Trends: AUB vs TENN<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Public money has been heavily on Tennessee for most of the week, yet the spread has moved toward Auburn. The total has seen a notable split between money and tickets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AUB Spread Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">TENN Total Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Injuries and Things To Know: AUB vs TENN<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn Things To Know<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tennessee Things To Know<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped\">\n\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn vs Tennessee Side and Over\/Under Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tigers +7 Spread Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>We have not seen enough from Tennessee's offense to feel comfortable laying a touchdown. The Volunteers allowed ten sacks last week, their freshman quarterback was briefly knocked out, and their best win was padded by defensive takeaways. Auburn, meanwhile, has an experienced quarterback who has played in some of the toughest environments in college football. The line dropping from 7.5 to 7 despite heavy Tennessee money adds further support. Auburn is the side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AUB vs TENN Under Pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee's offense has struggled to produce consistently, and its defense is capable of keeping Auburn in check. That combination points toward a lower-scoring game than the total implies. Larger wagers have backed the under all week, and with the Volunteers' protection issues likely to stall drives, we like the under at 54.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Auburn vs Tennessee Final Score Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Expect a defensive, grind-it-out SEC game in which Tennessee's defense keeps the Volunteers in front but their offense struggles to pull away. Brown's experience should help Auburn handle the Knoxville crowd and stay within striking distance through the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Auburn Covers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Tennessee Needs to Cover<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L5&amp;type=4&amp;cb=0.041518762314237456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track moneylines, spreads, totals and betting percentages for a variety of leagues. Find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">free college football picks<\/a>, even for player props, and odds!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40318","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40318"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40318\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40322,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40318\/revisions\/40322"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40318"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40318"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40318"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}