{"id":40279,"date":"2026-09-30T08:16:37","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T12:16:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=40279"},"modified":"2026-09-30T08:16:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T12:16:39","slug":"best-home-run-props-today-hr-picks-predictions-for-september-30","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mlb\/best-home-run-props-today-hr-picks-predictions-for-september-30\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB Home Run Props Today: HR Picks & Predictions for September 30"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Looking for the best\u00a0MLB home run props today<\/strong>? WagerTalk has you covered with\u00a0HR picks, predictions and best bets for Wednesday, September 30<\/strong>, as we break down today\u2019s MLB slate in search of the top hitters to go deep. Check out our latest home run prop picks and betting analysis as we identify potential value across the daily MLB player prop markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We CASHED yesterday with Manny Machado’s home run props at +410 odds<\/strong>! Follow WagerTalk all season long for\u00a0MLB home run predictions, player prop picks and\u00a0free MLB picks<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0every day. Check out our\u00a0best MLB home run prop bets today for Wednesday, September 30!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB Home Run Props Today: Best HR Picks, Predictions & Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best MLB Home Run Prop Today #1: <\/strong>Isaac Paredes (HOU) +570<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s win or go home for the Astros as they dropped Game 1 of their AL Wildcard series to the White Sox yesterday 6-3 and looking to bounce back today. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We\u2019ll take a shot with Isaac Paredes to hit his home run props tonight at valuable odds after hitting eight home runs and slugging .616 during the final month of the regular season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Houston will once again be playing at home where Paredes hit 14 of his 25 home runs and his 25 home runs in total this season the most by him since he had 31 with the Rays back in 2023. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Righty Sean Burke takes the mound for Chicago who was actually solid in September for Chicago allowing just one home run in his last five starts but before that allowed a home run in five straight starts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

All-time against Burke, Paredes is 3-9 with two doubles with the White Sox bullpen giving up the seventh most home runs of any bullpen in the MLB this season and their pitching staff overall tied for the ninth most home runs given up since the all-star break. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Burke is a righty in which Paredes hit 21 of his 25 home runs off right handed pitching this season and Burke allowing seven of his 19 total home runs on the road in 69.2 innings pitched. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With that, let\u2019s take Paredes at +570 to hit his home run props<\/strong> tonight with other Astros batters to consider for home run props being Yordan Alvarez (+310)<\/strong> and Christian Walker (+390)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Best MLB Home Run Prop Today #2: <\/strong>Ben Rice (NYY) +320<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Yankees DH Ben Rice kicked off his post season with a bang last night in their 9-0 win over Boson going 4-5 with two home runs as we\u2019ll look for him to keep a hot bat and hit his home run props once again tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He capped off the regular season batting .333 and slugging .605 in September including six home runs with Red Sox ace Sonny Gray taking the mound for Game 2. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure, Gray has been excellent this season going 18-5 with a 2.72 ERA, but he has had his struggles against Rice specifically with the Yankees slugger going 3-7 with two home runs all-time against him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of the 16 home runs Gray has allowed this season ten of them have come against lefties and Rice doing most of his damage against right handed pitching blasting 30 of his 41 home runs and slugging .578 against them compared to a .452 slugging percentage against lefties. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Look at Rice to cash his home run props at +320 odds<\/strong> and if if you\u2019re looking at other Yankees for home run props consider Spencer Jones (+410)<\/strong> and Trent Grisham (+440)<\/strong>.
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