{"id":39916,"date":"2026-08-20T08:11:49","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T12:11:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=39916"},"modified":"2026-08-20T08:11:51","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T12:11:51","slug":"best-home-run-prop-bets-today-hr-prop-picks-for-thursday-august-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mlb\/best-home-run-prop-bets-today-hr-prop-picks-for-thursday-august-20\/","title":{"rendered":"Best Home Run Prop Bets Today &#8211; HR Prop Picks For Thursday, August 20"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn&#8217;t love <strong>home run prop bets<\/strong>? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we&#8217;re ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Let&#8217;s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">free MLB picks<\/a> every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for <strong>Thursday, August 20!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Home Run Prop Bets &#8211; MLB Free HR Props Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #1: Jake Burger (TEX) +470<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Nationals and Rangers wrap up their three-game series in Arlington tonight with Washington sending lefty Andrew Alvarez to the mound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sure, he has only given up three home runs in 75 innings pitched this season but one of those home runs came in his last start at the Mets so we\u2019re sensing more regression to the means tonight in another road start. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We\u2019re going to take Jake Burger to hit his home run prop batting .284 and slugging .539 against lefties this season compared to a .226 average and .389 slugging percentage against righties. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burger has been a better hitter on the road this season but over the last week he is batting .429 and slugging .929 including two home runs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burger got the day off in yesterday\u2019s 6-0 loss to the Nationals but we should expect to see him back in today rested up and taking his role in the middle of the batting order. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Take <strong>Burger to hit his home run prop at +470<\/strong> with other Rangers to consider for a home run prop are <strong>Corey Seager (+420)<\/strong> and <strong>Wyatt Langford (+520)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MLB <strong>Home Run Prop<\/strong> Best Bet of the Day #2: Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +230<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s been a down month for Yordan Alvarez\u2019s standards and we think with today\u2019s shortened slate this is the perfect time to take his home run prop at decent odds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alvarez is in the driver\u2019s seat to win the AL MVP Award and has a serious chance to win the triple crown as well. The Astros host the Angels in the rubber game of their three-game series as LA sends righty Grayson Rodriguez to the mound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Angels starter has allowed 10 home runs in 59 innings pitched this season and has struggled against left handed batters. Although he has only allowed five of his 10 home runs to lefties he allows a .318 batting average and .543 slugging percentage to them this season compared to a .240 average and .471 slugging percentage against right handers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That lines up perfect with Alvarez who\u2019s a lefty batting .338 and slugging .655 against right handed pitching this season including 27 of his 35 home runs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Astros DH has also been much better at home this season batting .369 and slugging .708 compared to a .262 average and .507 slugging percentage on the road. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With that let\u2019s take <strong>Alvarez at +230 to hit his home run prop <\/strong>tonight with other Astros to look at for a home run prop includes <strong>Christian Walker (+400)<\/strong> and <strong>Daulton Varsho (+500)<\/strong>.<br><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_14698\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;list=PLhz4vN97EdvhLDiG6QgiDH1cA7xReWX6P&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"\u26be\ufe0f Free MLB Picks Today: Your Guide to Winning MLB Bets!\"  data-facadeoembed=\"playlist?list=PLhz4vN97EdvhLDiG6QgiDH1cA7xReWX6P\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Enjoyed the Home Run Prop Bets? Get More MLB Bets at the GoldSheet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Play Ball! GoldSheet&#8217;s daily MLB betting guide has made its triumphant return. We provide marquee hitter vs pitcher matchup notes, <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rm\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ralph Michaels<\/a>&#8216; NRFI first inning guide and two recommended free plays each day. Oh yeah, we forgot to mention the price\u2026FREE! Use the link below each day to access the download.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/gunnar-henderson-hits-home-run-e1722604182180.jpg\" alt=\"home run prop bets\" class=\"wp-image-30405\" style=\"width:311px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/gunnar-henderson-hits-home-run-e1722604182180.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/gunnar-henderson-hits-home-run-e1722604182180-300x165.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/gunnar-henderson-hits-home-run-e1722604182180-768x422.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L5&amp;type=4&amp;cb=0.041518762314237456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for a variety of domestic and international leagues. Find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">free MLB picks<\/a>, even for Home Run prop bets, and odds!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn&#8217;t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we&#8217;re ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk. Let&#8217;s see if we can beat the books with home run [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":6370,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[15960,1155,5000,3088,836,840,837,6045,1139],"class_list":["post-39916","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-best-home-run-prop-bets","tag-best-home-run-prop-picks","tag-best-home-run-props","tag-home-run-prop","tag-home-run-prop-bets","tag-home-run-prop-picks","tag-home-run-prop-predictions","tag-jake-burger","tag-yordan-alvarez"],"basic_html":"\n<p>The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn't love <strong>home run prop bets<\/strong>? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we're ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Let's see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">free MLB picks<\/a> every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for <strong>Thursday, August 20!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Home Run Prop Bets - MLB Free HR Props Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #1: Jake Burger (TEX) +470<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Nationals and Rangers wrap up their three-game series in Arlington tonight with Washington sending lefty Andrew Alvarez to the mound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Sure, he has only given up three home runs in 75 innings pitched this season but one of those home runs came in his last start at the Mets so we\u2019re sensing more regression to the means tonight in another road start. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re going to take Jake Burger to hit his home run prop batting .284 and slugging .539 against lefties this season compared to a .226 average and .389 slugging percentage against righties. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Burger has been a better hitter on the road this season but over the last week he is batting .429 and slugging .929 including two home runs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Burger got the day off in yesterday\u2019s 6-0 loss to the Nationals but we should expect to see him back in today rested up and taking his role in the middle of the batting order. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Take <strong>Burger to hit his home run prop at +470<\/strong> with other Rangers to consider for a home run prop are <strong>Corey Seager (+420)<\/strong> and <strong>Wyatt Langford (+520)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>MLB <strong>Home Run Prop<\/strong> Best Bet of the Day #2: Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +230<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s been a down month for Yordan Alvarez\u2019s standards and we think with today\u2019s shortened slate this is the perfect time to take his home run prop at decent odds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Alvarez is in the driver\u2019s seat to win the AL MVP Award and has a serious chance to win the triple crown as well. The Astros host the Angels in the rubber game of their three-game series as LA sends righty Grayson Rodriguez to the mound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Angels starter has allowed 10 home runs in 59 innings pitched this season and has struggled against left handed batters. Although he has only allowed five of his 10 home runs to lefties he allows a .318 batting average and .543 slugging percentage to them this season compared to a .240 average and .471 slugging percentage against right handers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That lines up perfect with Alvarez who\u2019s a lefty batting .338 and slugging .655 against right handed pitching this season including 27 of his 35 home runs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Astros DH has also been much better at home this season batting .369 and slugging .708 compared to a .262 average and .507 slugging percentage on the road. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With that let\u2019s take <strong>Alvarez at +230 to hit his home run prop <\/strong>tonight with other Astros to look at for a home run prop includes <strong>Christian Walker (+400)<\/strong> and <strong>Daulton Varsho (+500)<\/strong>.<br><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Enjoyed the Home Run Prop Bets? Get More MLB Bets at the GoldSheet<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Play Ball! GoldSheet's daily MLB betting guide has made its triumphant return. We provide marquee hitter vs pitcher matchup notes, <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rm\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rm\">Ralph Michaels<\/a>' NRFI first inning guide and two recommended free plays each day. Oh yeah, we forgot to mention the price\u2026FREE! Use the link below each day to access the download.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/gunnar-henderson-hits-home-run-e1722604182180.jpg\" alt=\"home run prop bets\" class=\"wp-image-30405\" style=\"width:311px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L5&amp;type=4&amp;cb=0.041518762314237456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for a variety of domestic and international leagues. Find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">free MLB picks<\/a>, even for Home Run prop bets, and odds!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39916","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39916"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39916\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39917,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39916\/revisions\/39917"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39916"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39916"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39916"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}