Shara Magomedov (-300)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nPereira is coming off a win, but he looks finished as a serious contender. The cardio isn't there anymore, and he still makes the same reckless mistakes that have plagued him throughout his\u00a0 career.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Shara isn't a devastating one-punch knockout artist, but he throws volume, keeps a strong pace,\u00a0and consistently wins exchanges. That's a nightmare style for Pereira at this stage.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
As the fight goes on, Shara should steadily take over<\/strong>. This is a terrible stylistic matchup for Pereira.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNazim Sadykhov (-223)\u00a0vs<\/strong> Matheus Camilo (+217)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCamilo is fairly limited. His striking isn't particularly dangerous, and while he had some wrestling success against Slava Borshchev, that's not saying much considering Borshchev's defensive grappling issues. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Sadykhov should be stronger, more physical, and more dangerous everywhere. His striking\u00a0carries more power, he's stronger in the clinch, and every one of his UFC victories has come by\u00a0finish.\u00a0Sadykhov should find another stoppage here<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAsu Almabayev (-233)\u00a0vs Charles Johnson (+223)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJohnson appears to be regressing.\u00a0He barely got past an aging Bruno Silva, suffered a knockout loss to Alex Perez, and was getting beaten badly by Kavanagh before finding a fortunate finish.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His takedown defense remains a major issue, and that's exactly where Almabayev thrives. Expect\u00a0Almabayev to secure takedowns, control the fight on the mat, and rack up minutes. This looks like a straightforward wrestling-heavy win for Almabayev<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBrunno Ferreira (+245)\u00a0vs Ikram Aliskerov (-257)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAliskerov should roll here.\u00a0Ferreira has knockout power and some submission ability, but Aliskerov possesses many of the same weapons while being the more complete fighter overall.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ferreira's grappling probably won't be a major factor because Aliskerov can wrestle effectively himself. On the feet, Aliskerov carries real power and technical advantages.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The only UFC loss on Aliskerov's record came on short notice against Robert Whittaker.\u00a0 Ferreira's path is landing a huge shot, but I don't see it happening often enough.\u00a0Aliskerov is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAbus Magomedov (-117)\u00a0vs Michal Oleksiejczuk (+113)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nOleksiejczuk has quietly won three straight since changing gyms. He's become more disciplined, more controlled, and his striking remains his biggest weapon. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The concern is still the wrestling. His offensive wrestling isn't much of a factor, and that's exactly where Abus can potentially take over. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The problem for Abus is the cardio. If Oleksiejczuk survives the opening round, the momentum\u00a0should swing heavily in his favor.\u00a0I'll take the underdog here.<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nFarman Hasanov (-170)\u00a0vs<\/strong> Eric Nolan (+163)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNolan feels like a short-notice replacement-level fighter more than a true UFC prospect. He has some knockout wins, but most have come against questionable competition.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Hasanov isn't incredibly experienced either, but he's 2-0 in LFA with finishes both on the feet and through ground-and-pound. The athleticism and aggression stand out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Neither man is particularly sound defensively, which makes a finish very likely. I'll side with Hasanov<\/strong> in a fight where someone probably gets stopped.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAbdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (-426)<\/strong> vs Julius Walker (+400)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis is a brutal matchup for Walker.\u00a0He was just knocked out by Dustin Jacoby, and now faces a fighter who can finish fights virtually\u00a0anywhere. Yakhyaev especially loves getting fights to the mat, where he already owns five\u00a0 submission wins.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking defense isn't great. He carries his hands low and absorbs shots, but he's proven durable and hasn't been knocked out yet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I'm not convinced Walker has the power to expose that weakness.\u00a0Yakhyaev by finish is the most likely outcome<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNursulton Ruziboev (-203)\u00a0vs<\/strong> Andrey Pulyaev (+194)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nPulyaev survived against Gautier largely by circling on the outside and avoiding major damage, but he still clearly lost because he offered almost no offense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His only UFC win came when his opponent completely exhausted himself. Even in that fight, Pulyaev was getting dominated early. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ruziboev should be the better striker, and he can mix in wrestling if needed. He's simply the\u00a0more complete fighter.\u00a0Ruziboev is better everywhere<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nKaan Ofli (+144)\u00a0vs<\/strong> Javier Reyes (-150)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nReyes had an exciting UFC debut, scoring a knockout win and showing exactly what kind of fighter he is. He's wild, aggressive, and carries real power. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ofli struggled badly in his first two UFC appearances but has since rebounded with two straight\u00a0wins, including a submission victory.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Power clearly favors Reyes. Ofli's biggest threat comes through his submission game, and Reyes\u00a0will need to be careful not to leave openings.\u00a0I don't think this fight reaches the scorecards. I'll take Reyes by knockout<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDaniil Donchenko (-431) vs Theodor Berggren (+400)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBerggren has good cardio and solid striking, but historically he's struggled with stronger wrestlers and experienced opposition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Donchenko disappointed bettors by failing to finish Alex Morono after a pair of violent finishes entering that fight, but the striking remains dangerous. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The concern is whether Donchenko slows down late because Berggren has shown an ability to\u00a0find finishes in the second half of fights.\u00a0Still, Donchenko has proven he can win decisions if needed and should be fine here<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBekzat Almakhan (+138)\u00a0vs<\/strong> Jean Matsumoto (-144)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI like Matsumoto in this matchup.\u00a0Almakhan scored an early knockout over Katona, but his other two UFC appearances both went\u00a0 the distance and resulted in losses. He has legitimate power, but the volume isn't particularly\u00a0 high.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Aleksandre Topuria showed a blueprint by wrestling him, securing takedowns, and doing damage from top position. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Matsumoto has lost two of his last three, but those defeats came against quality opponents in Rob Font and Farid Basharat. More importantly, he showed excellent wrestling against both Miles Johns and Font.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I expect Matsumoto to lean heavily on that wrestling advantage and grind out a win over\u00a0Almakhan<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUFC Fight Night Main Event: Rafael Fiziev -108 vs Manuel Torres<\/strong> +104<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis is a close fight, and the odds reflect it. Fiziev has spent the last several years fighting elite competition, but the results haven't been there, going just 1-4 in his last five. He's also absorbed a ton of damage during that stretch, including the knockout loss to Mauricio Ruffy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Fiziev will be at a height and reach disadvantage here, and the knockout power that once made him so dangerous doesn't seem to be the same. He can wrestle against opponents with poor takedown defense, but Torres isn't an easy guy to ground consistently. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Torres has advantages in several key areas and is still ascending<\/strong>. I'll side with the younger\u00a0fighter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39422"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39422\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39424,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39422\/revisions\/39424"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}