Mingyang Zhang (-235)\u00a0vs Alonzo Menifield (+180)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-great bounceback spot for Zhang who lost last fight where he couldn\u2019t defend leg kicks, and it cost him. He\u2019s KO\u2019s all 3 previous UFC opponents, but very low level of competition <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Menifield has 2 shaky wins his last 5 fights, the other 3 fights he\u2019s been knocked out. He tries to clinch up\u00a0 against the fence, cardio is getting worse, striking isn\u2019t\u00a0 good at range, he\u2019s past his prime\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Zhang\u2019s power is too much, he gets the win <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Sergei Pavlovich (-530)\u00a0vs Tallison Teixeira (+380)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-Pavlovich has won 2 decisions in a row, that\u2019s new for him\u00a0 as he\u2019s been a KO guy for his career. Bit more patient and\u00a0measured these days on the feet\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Teixeira showed wrestling and takedowns in his last fight, but wrestling Tai Tuivasa is not hard <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Teixeira doesn\u2019t seem to have the striking at this level, the best guy he\u2019s fought knocked him out in 35 seconds. He\u2019s long, but not a sophisticated game plan, not a great boxer <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-price is crazy, but Pavlovich should win, maybe a solid price on him to win by decision <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kai Asakura (-305)\u00a0vs Cameron Smotherman (+240)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-UFC brings in Asakura to fight Pantoja for the title,\u00a0Pantoja dominates on the ground, then Tim Elliott submitted\u00a0 him after being able to take him down and submit him. So\u00a0 we know that\u2019s his weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Smotherman probably doesn\u2019t have the ability to do what\u00a0 Elliott and Pantoja did, he probably has as bad takedown\u00a0defense as Asakura. Smotherman has no upside, comes from a\u00a0 bad gym, hasn\u2019t improved and on the feet Asakura should\u00a0 control everything.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-last chance for Asakura to get a win, he should get the win\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Jake Matthews (-320)\u00a0vs Carlston Harris (+250)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-easiest pick on the card. Harris is bad. knocked out two\u00a0 times in a row, should\u2019ve lost the fight 3 fights ago as he\u00a0was getting dominated, but pulled off a miracle submission,\u00a0 he\u2019s just old and slow now.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Matthews makes mistakes, it cost him last fight in a\u00a0 submission loss, but he won 3 in a row before that, if he does make a mistake Harris won\u2019t know how to take\u00a0 advantage. Matthews cruises here\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Alex Perez (-143)\u00a0vs Sumudaerji Sumudaerji (+115)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-I\u2019ll take the underdog. I thought Sumuderji was done, but\u00a0 he\u2019s won 3 straight and looked decent. He\u2019s been using his size, reach and now wrestling to get wins.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Perez coming off shocking first round KO of Charles\u00a0 Johnson, but I don\u2019t buy it. He had the brutal knee injury\u00a0against Taira, then got choked out by Almabayev, and I\u00a0 didn\u2019t think Almabayev looked great in that fight. Perez should be faster, should have good volume with strikes, but\u00a0 Sumudaerji has been figuring out ways to win, he\u2019s worth a\u00a0 poke.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Luis Felipe Dias (-175)\u00a0vs Yi Sak Lee (+138)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-Neither of these guys you want to be betting on. Dias\u00a0 doesn\u2019t have good cardio, doesn\u2019t hold position well, low\u00a0volume and inaccurate striking, I don\u2019t think he has much\u00a0 success in UFC after this debut\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Lee fought a bunch of nobody\u2019s in low level promotions,\u00a0moves slow, can be controlled, and striking is mediocre at\u00a0 best<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-this is a bad fight, I think Lee is getting this fight\u00a0because of location and not his talen. Dias coming off\u00a0Contender Series, UFC wants to get him a win, he\u2019s the pick\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Meng Ding (-132)\u00a0vs Jose Henrique (+102)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-another fight with 2 bad fighters, both making their\u00a0 debut. Ding lucky to get the win last fight when ref\u00a0 stopped the fight super early, but he absorbed a lot of\u00a0 damage, and that\u2019s a problem cause he\u2019s 31 years old and\u00a0has over 40 fights. He looks slow and worn down to me,\u00a0 stiff movement\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Henrique doesn\u2019t impress, he\u2019s not too powerful, low voulume with striking <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-this is just a bad fight, only way to bet it is to take the underdog, but I\u2019m not betting it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Aoriqileng (+280)\u00a0vs Cody Haddon (-360)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-Haddon is a dog, he can wrestle, clinch and strike good.\u00a0 Last fight he stuffed 17 takedown attempts from UFC vet\u00a0Argueta and still had the cardio to win the fight. He\u2019s a\u00a0 powerful bralwer that came from well respected Australian\u00a0 promotion\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Aoriqileng coming off flash KO win on his first strike of the match, but he lost the previous fight to a grappler, and striker Daniel Marcos really damaged him up on the feet so he can easily be beaten <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Haddon can win anywhere, I think he dominates here <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rei Tsuruya (-278) vs Luis Gurule (+210)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-Gurule coming off first UFC win, he comes in short notice\u00a0 in a matchup I think is bad for him. He just beat Daniel\u00a0Barez who isn\u2019t great 2 weeks ago, Barez can\u2019t wrestle like\u00a0 Tsuruya can, that\u2019s what Tsurya will do here. His only\u00a0 career loss is to current Champ Josh Van, he\u2019s relentless\u00a0 with takedowns, he\u2019ll tire out Gurule and get the win\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Angela Hill (+195) vs Xiong Jingnan (-265)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-Hill is getting older, and it\u2019s showing with cardio as she\u00a0 really slows down over 3 rounds. Her striking isn\u2019t\u00a0powerful, never has been, and Xiong can push a grueling\u00a0 pace with clinch, takedowns and ground and pound -Hill will keep up in round 1, and then fade in rounds 2\u00a0 and 3\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kangjie Zhu (+112)\u00a0vs Rodrigo Vera (-137)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-Zhu been playing with fire with close fights winning 2\u00a0 straight on Road to UFC by split. His striking is ok, I\u00a0like his kicks to the body, but he\u2019s really low volume,\u00a0 throws only 1 strike at a time, doesn\u2019t do much with\u00a0 takedowns, he\u2019s just really vanilla, all his fights at this\u00a0 level will be close\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Vera has good length and jabs, he can strike, good, he can get taken down, but he\u2019s tough on the ground, has plenty of experience, and I don\u2019t think Zhu can exploit anything here as Vera will be piecing him up from distance <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Loma Lookboonmee (-105)\u00a0vs Jaqueline Amorim (-118)\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n-this fight is between 2 women who will probably be cut soon\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-neither strike good, neither are great on the ground, but\u00a0 I think Loma is a bit more aggrressive and can win some close exchanges in the clinch or with takedowns -gross fight to bet on, but Lookboonmee is my pick<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night Main Event: Song Yadong -590 vs Deiveson Figueiredo +390<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Figueirdo is way past his prime, he doesn\u2019t have the speed\u00a0 or the volume anymore, he doesn\u2019t have a KO win since 2020. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
-Yadong has lost 2 out of 3, but to title holder and title\u00a0 challenger, but he\u2019s quicker on the feet, throws more\u00a0 volume, he\u2019s going to overwhelm Figueiredo and pull away\u00a0the longer the fight goes<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
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