{"id":38920,"date":"2026-05-14T11:43:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T15:43:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=38920"},"modified":"2026-05-14T11:44:19","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T15:44:19","slug":"2026-preakness-stakes-picks-predictions-and-odds-handicapping-a-wide-open-race-at-laurel-park","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/horse-racing\/2026-preakness-stakes-picks-predictions-and-odds-handicapping-a-wide-open-race-at-laurel-park\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Preakness Stakes Picks, Predictions and Odds: Handicapping a Wide-Open Race at Laurel Park"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>2026 Preakness Stakes<\/strong> brings a very different setup than horseplayers are used to seeing. Golden Tempo, the Kentucky Derby winner, is skipping the race. Creed Velocity, originally viewed as a major contender and morning-line favorite, is also out. And for the first time in 108 years, the Preakness will not be run at Pimlico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, the middle jewel of the Triple Crown moves to Laurel Park on Saturday, May 16, with a tentative post time of 6:50 p.m. ET. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With a 14-horse field and several contenders sitting at single-digit Preakness Stakes odds, this shapes up as one of the most open editions of the race in years. Get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/horse-racing\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/horse-racing\">Preakness Stakes premium picks<\/a> at WageTalk now! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2026 Preakness Stakes Preview: Why Laurel Park Matters<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The venue switch is a major handicapping factor. Laurel Park is a one-mile oval, and the configuration changes how bettors should evaluate pace, positioning and late runners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Preakness distance remains the same, but the stretch is different from Pimlico. The Laurel Park stretch is shorter than what bettors are used to seeing at Pimlico, and that naturally raises questions about deep closers who need time to build momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Speed Hold Up in the Preakness?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Speed has often held up at Laurel and Pimlico, especially across major race cards. However, it will be important to watch races Thursday, Friday and early Saturday to see whether the dirt is favoring speed or playing fair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Laurel\u2019s wider, more sweeping turns may also help stalkers and closers compared to Pimlico\u2019s tighter turns. Wider turns can allow horses to maintain momentum and slingshot into the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That makes the 2026 Preakness pace picture especially important, because several horses want to be forward early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Preakness Stakes Odds: Iron Honor the Favorite at 9-2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Iron Honor enters as the 9-2 favorite from post nine, but whether he deserves that role is debatable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Case for Iron Honor<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Iron Honor fits the Chad Brown playbook. Brown has skipped the Kentucky Derby before with horses pointed specifically to the Preakness, winning with Cloud Computing and Early Voting. Iron Honor also picks up Flavien Prat, a major jockey upgrade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is an argument that Iron Honor had excuses in the Wood Memorial, where he was wide and took contact into the first turn. With blinkers coming off, the hope is that Iron Honor settles better and makes one strong move into a pace that could be quick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Concern With Iron Honor<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The biggest concern is that Iron Honor comes into the Preakness off the worst race of his short career. The blinkers-off move could be a smart fix, but it could also signal that the connections are still searching for answers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For Preakness Stakes predictions, Iron Honor looks usable underneath and dangerous with Prat, but he may be shorter than ideal from a value perspective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_69374\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gdk4f-52RQI?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Preakness Stakes 2026 Picks \ud83c\udfc7 Pony Pundits Best Bets, Longshots &amp; Analysis\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/gdk4f-52RQI\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gdk4f-52RQI\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Preakness Stakes 2026 Picks \ud83c\udfc7 Pony Pundits Best Bets, Longshots &amp; Analysis\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Preakness Stakes 2026 picks including best bets, longshots, trifecta strategy and horse racing betting analysis. Looking for Preakness Stakes picks, predictions, longshots, and best bets? The Pony Pundits crew breaks down the 2026 Preakness Stakes with in-depth horse-by-horse betting analysis, wagering strategy, longshot value, and trifecta discussion ahead of the second leg of horse racing\u2019s Triple Crown. Get expert insight into the field, pace setup, Derby carryover storylines, and betting value for one of the biggest horse racing events of the year. \u23f1\ufe0f SHOW TIMESTAMPS \ud83c\udfac 0:00 - 1:02 \u2014 Introduction \ud83c\udfc7 1:03 - 5:40 \u2014 Laurel Park Discussion \ud83d\udc0e 5:41 - 10:30 \u2014 Iron Honor \ud83d\udc0e 10:31 - 13:40 \u2014 Chip Honcho \ud83d\udc0e 13:41 - 18:54 \u2014 Taj Mahal \ud83c\udfc6 18:55 - 19:50 \u2014 Kentucky Derby Horses Recap \ud83d\udc0e 19:51 - 23:02 \u2014 Ocelli \ud83d\udc0e 23:03 - 27:00 \u2014 Great White \ud83d\udc0e 27:01 - 28:45 \u2014 Robusta \ud83d\udc0e 28:46 - 33:18 \u2014 Talkin \ud83d\udc0e 33:19 - 36:35 \u2014 The Hell We Did \ud83d\udcb0 36:36 - 46:58 \u2014 Team Trifecta Betting Strategy \ud83c\udfc7 WHAT\u2019S COVERED \ud83d\udd25 Preakness Stakes Betting Breakdown \u2022 Horse-by-horse analysis \u2022 Pace and track condition discussion \u2022 Triple Crown betting storylines \ud83d\udcca Best Bets &amp; Longshots \u2022 Value horses and overlays \u2022 Exacta, trifecta &amp; exotic betting angles \u2022 Derby-to-Preakness adjustments \ud83d\udcc8 Horse Racing Betting Strategy \u2022 Speed figures and pace projections \u2022 Trainer and jockey analysis \u2022 Public betting trends vs sharp action \ud83d\udcca HORSE RACING BETTING MARKETS \u2022 Win \/ Place \/ Show \u2022 Exacta \u2022 Trifecta \u2022 Superfecta \u2022 Futures \u2022 Head-to-Head Matchups \ud83d\udcfa HOW TO WATCH THE PREAKNESS STAKES \ud83d\udcc5 Race Day: Saturday \ud83d\udccd Pimlico Race Course \u2014 Baltimore, Maryland \ud83d\udcfa TV Coverage \u2022 NBC \u2022 Peacock \ud83d\udcbb HOW TO WATCH ONLINE \u2022 Peacock \u2022 NBC Sports App \u2022 TwinSpires Live Racing \u2022 FanDuel Racing Preakness Stakes picks Preakness predictions horse racing betting Preakness longshots Triple Crown betting horse racing best bets Preakness trifecta sports betting picks today This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not guarantee results or profits. WagerTalk discusses legal, regulated U.S. sports betting only. Must be 21+ to wager. Please bet responsibly. \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/gdk4f-52RQI\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT46M58S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-05-13T01:21:29Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chip Hancho: A Fresh Horse With Jose Ortiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Chip Hancho is listed at 5-1 and has one of the most appealing jockey angles in the race. Jose Ortiz comes in hot after winning the Kentucky Derby aboard Golden Tempo and also winning the Oaks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chip Hancho is not the same type of horse as Golden Tempo. He is expected to be closer to the pace rather than making one deep closing run. He profiles as a big horse with high cruising speed, most effective when he gets into a steady rhythm rather than producing a sudden turn of foot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pace Problem for Chip Hancho<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The concern is that there is a lot of gate speed in this field, including Taj Mahal, Great White and Robusta. Chip Hancho may not have enough early burst to stay comfortably near the leaders, and he may not have enough late kick to hold off closers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, Chip Hancho is a live contender thanks to Ortiz, a fresh setup, and his Risen Star effort, where he finished well ahead of eventual Derby winner Golden Tempo at the same distance and surface.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Taj Mahal: Local Horse, Local Story, Short Price<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Taj Mahal is 5-1 from post one and brings one of the best storylines in the 2026 Preakness Stakes. He is three-for-three at Laurel Park, trained by Brittany Russell, and ridden by her husband.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Laurel Experience Matters<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Only two horses in the field have raced at Laurel, and Taj Mahal\u2019s local experience is a clear positive. He does not need to ship in, adjust to new surroundings or change his routine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That matters because horses can react poorly to travel or new environments, especially when preparing for a major race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why the Value May Be Gone<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The concern is price. Taj Mahal won the Federico Tesio, a win-and-you\u2019re-in Preakness prep, but previous Tesio winners entering the Preakness have not had much success. This year is unique because both the prep and the Preakness are at Laurel, but Taj Mahal\u2019s competition level remains a question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He also drew inside and has speed, which helps his position, but there are several other speed horses signed on. Expect him to take money because of the undefeated record, home-track angle and trainer storyline, making him more attractive for exactas and trifectas than as a win bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby Horses in the Preakness<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Running back in two weeks is not as common or easy as it once was. Modern horses are generally trained with more time between starts, often a month or more. Derby horses now have to overcome the quick turnaround plus shipping.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ocelli: Derby Third, Still a Maiden<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Ocelli is 6-1 from post two after finishing third in the Kentucky Derby. The issue is that he has still never won a race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ocelli got an ideal trip in the Derby, dropping back and making one run, similar to Golden Tempo and Renegade. But going from 70-1 in the Derby to 6-1 in the Preakness is a major price change, especially for a maiden trying to make a Grade 1 race his first career win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Longshot Preakness Stakes Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Great White at 15-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Great White did not race in the Kentucky Derby after flipping in the gate and being scratched. He has since been cleared and worked back, but post 13 creates a challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From that outside draw, Great White likely has to use speed early to establish position. That could force him into fast fractions and leave him backing up late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Robusta at 30-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Robusta was the final horse added to the Kentucky Derby field after scratches. He looks more like a pace factor than a win threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has gate speed and could pressure horses like Taj Mahal and Great White, but the concern is whether he has the finishing kick to stay around late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Talking at 20-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Talking is one of the most interesting value plays at 20-1. The morning-line price looks high for a horse that broke his maiden first out and has since raced only in graded stakes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Talking has faced quality competition, owns recent speed figures of 85 and 87, and now makes his third start off the layoff, which can be a strong form-cycle angle. The addition of Irad Ortiz Jr. only strengthens the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Hell We Did at 15-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Hell We Did draws post seven and picks up Luis Saez. The horse has closed into tighter-turn tracks before and now may get quick fractions to run at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the amount of early speed signed on, The Hell We Did could sit back, settle into stride and make one late run down the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best 2026 Preakness Stakes Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For a team-ticket approach, Incredibles at 5-1 from post 12 deserves serious consideration. The case is based on a tough Kentucky Derby trip, where Incredibles had to check after being carried sideways by Renegade before regaining momentum and finishing sixth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With Golden Tempo, Renegade, Chief Wally B and Danon Bourbon not in this field, Incredibles profiles as one of the best Derby runners returning for the Preakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Iron Honor is also a major player if the Wood Memorial trouble is forgiven and the blinkers-off change helps him settle. Chip Hancho remains dangerous with Jose Ortiz and a cleaner setup, while Taj Mahal must be respected because of his Laurel Park record and early speed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Preakness Stakes Betting Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2026 Preakness Stakes odds board is wide open, and the move to Laurel Park adds another layer to the handicap. Speed is dangerous, but a contested pace could set the table for stalkers and closers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For bettors building Preakness Stakes picks and trifectas, Iron Honor, Chip Hancho, Taj Mahal and Incredibles all demand respect, while Talking and The Hell We Did offer the most interesting longshot value from the transcript\u2019s handicapping discussion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/md\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1000\" data-id=\"38921\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.35.13-AM-1024x1000.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38921\" style=\"width:340px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.35.13-AM-1024x1000.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.35.13-AM-300x293.png 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.35.13-AM-768x750.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.35.13-AM.png 1282w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/sa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1013\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"38922\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.37.35-AM-1013x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38922\" style=\"width:312px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.37.35-AM-1013x1024.png 1013w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.37.35-AM-297x300.png 297w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.37.35-AM-768x777.png 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.37.35-AM-120x120.png 120w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Screenshot-2026-05-14-at-11.37.35-AM.png 1254w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1013px) 100vw, 1013px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 Preakness Stakes brings a very different setup than horseplayers are used to seeing. Golden Tempo, the Kentucky Derby winner, is skipping the race. Creed Velocity, originally viewed as a major contender and morning-line favorite, is also out. And for the first time in 108 years, the Preakness will not be run at Pimlico. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6794,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[825],"tags":[16049,16051,16050,16053,16055,16052,859,16048,2973,16047,2974,16054],"class_list":["post-38920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing","tag-2026-preakness-stakes","tag-2026-preakness-stakes-odds","tag-2026-preakness-stakes-preview","tag-chip-hancho","tag-great-white","tag-iron-honor","tag-preakness-stakes","tag-preakness-stakes-odds","tag-preakness-stakes-picks","tag-preakness-stakes-predictions","tag-preakness-stakes-preview","tag-taj-mahal"],"basic_html":"\n<p>The <strong>2026 Preakness Stakes<\/strong> brings a very different setup than horseplayers are used to seeing. Golden Tempo, the Kentucky Derby winner, is skipping the race. Creed Velocity, originally viewed as a major contender and morning-line favorite, is also out. And for the first time in 108 years, the Preakness will not be run at Pimlico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, the middle jewel of the Triple Crown moves to Laurel Park on Saturday, May 16, with a tentative post time of 6:50 p.m. ET. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With a 14-horse field and several contenders sitting at single-digit Preakness Stakes odds, this shapes up as one of the most open editions of the race in years. Get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/horse-racing\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/horse-racing\">Preakness Stakes premium picks<\/a> at WageTalk now! <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2026 Preakness Stakes Preview: Why Laurel Park Matters<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The venue switch is a major handicapping factor. Laurel Park is a one-mile oval, and the configuration changes how bettors should evaluate pace, positioning and late runners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Preakness distance remains the same, but the stretch is different from Pimlico. The Laurel Park stretch is shorter than what bettors are used to seeing at Pimlico, and that naturally raises questions about deep closers who need time to build momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Speed Hold Up in the Preakness?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Speed has often held up at Laurel and Pimlico, especially across major race cards. However, it will be important to watch races Thursday, Friday and early Saturday to see whether the dirt is favoring speed or playing fair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Laurel\u2019s wider, more sweeping turns may also help stalkers and closers compared to Pimlico\u2019s tighter turns. Wider turns can allow horses to maintain momentum and slingshot into the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That makes the 2026 Preakness pace picture especially important, because several horses want to be forward early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Preakness Stakes Odds: Iron Honor the Favorite at 9-2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Iron Honor enters as the 9-2 favorite from post nine, but whether he deserves that role is debatable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Case for Iron Honor<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Iron Honor fits the Chad Brown playbook. Brown has skipped the Kentucky Derby before with horses pointed specifically to the Preakness, winning with Cloud Computing and Early Voting. Iron Honor also picks up Flavien Prat, a major jockey upgrade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There is an argument that Iron Honor had excuses in the Wood Memorial, where he was wide and took contact into the first turn. With blinkers coming off, the hope is that Iron Honor settles better and makes one strong move into a pace that could be quick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Concern With Iron Honor<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The biggest concern is that Iron Honor comes into the Preakness off the worst race of his short career. The blinkers-off move could be a smart fix, but it could also signal that the connections are still searching for answers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For Preakness Stakes predictions, Iron Honor looks usable underneath and dangerous with Prat, but he may be shorter than ideal from a value perspective.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/gdk4f-52RQI?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chip Hancho: A Fresh Horse With Jose Ortiz<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Chip Hancho is listed at 5-1 and has one of the most appealing jockey angles in the race. Jose Ortiz comes in hot after winning the Kentucky Derby aboard Golden Tempo and also winning the Oaks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Chip Hancho is not the same type of horse as Golden Tempo. He is expected to be closer to the pace rather than making one deep closing run. He profiles as a big horse with high cruising speed, most effective when he gets into a steady rhythm rather than producing a sudden turn of foot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pace Problem for Chip Hancho<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The concern is that there is a lot of gate speed in this field, including Taj Mahal, Great White and Robusta. Chip Hancho may not have enough early burst to stay comfortably near the leaders, and he may not have enough late kick to hold off closers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Still, Chip Hancho is a live contender thanks to Ortiz, a fresh setup, and his Risen Star effort, where he finished well ahead of eventual Derby winner Golden Tempo at the same distance and surface.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Taj Mahal: Local Horse, Local Story, Short Price<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Taj Mahal is 5-1 from post one and brings one of the best storylines in the 2026 Preakness Stakes. He is three-for-three at Laurel Park, trained by Brittany Russell, and ridden by her husband.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why Laurel Experience Matters<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Only two horses in the field have raced at Laurel, and Taj Mahal\u2019s local experience is a clear positive. He does not need to ship in, adjust to new surroundings or change his routine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That matters because horses can react poorly to travel or new environments, especially when preparing for a major race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why the Value May Be Gone<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The concern is price. Taj Mahal won the Federico Tesio, a win-and-you\u2019re-in Preakness prep, but previous Tesio winners entering the Preakness have not had much success. This year is unique because both the prep and the Preakness are at Laurel, but Taj Mahal\u2019s competition level remains a question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He also drew inside and has speed, which helps his position, but there are several other speed horses signed on. Expect him to take money because of the undefeated record, home-track angle and trainer storyline, making him more attractive for exactas and trifectas than as a win bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby Horses in the Preakness<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Running back in two weeks is not as common or easy as it once was. Modern horses are generally trained with more time between starts, often a month or more. Derby horses now have to overcome the quick turnaround plus shipping.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ocelli: Derby Third, Still a Maiden<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ocelli is 6-1 from post two after finishing third in the Kentucky Derby. The issue is that he has still never won a race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ocelli got an ideal trip in the Derby, dropping back and making one run, similar to Golden Tempo and Renegade. But going from 70-1 in the Derby to 6-1 in the Preakness is a major price change, especially for a maiden trying to make a Grade 1 race his first career win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Longshot Preakness Stakes Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Great White at 15-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Great White did not race in the Kentucky Derby after flipping in the gate and being scratched. He has since been cleared and worked back, but post 13 creates a challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>From that outside draw, Great White likely has to use speed early to establish position. That could force him into fast fractions and leave him backing up late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Robusta at 30-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Robusta was the final horse added to the Kentucky Derby field after scratches. He looks more like a pace factor than a win threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He has gate speed and could pressure horses like Taj Mahal and Great White, but the concern is whether he has the finishing kick to stay around late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Talking at 20-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Talking is one of the most interesting value plays at 20-1. The morning-line price looks high for a horse that broke his maiden first out and has since raced only in graded stakes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Talking has faced quality competition, owns recent speed figures of 85 and 87, and now makes his third start off the layoff, which can be a strong form-cycle angle. The addition of Irad Ortiz Jr. only strengthens the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Hell We Did at 15-1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Hell We Did draws post seven and picks up Luis Saez. The horse has closed into tighter-turn tracks before and now may get quick fractions to run at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With the amount of early speed signed on, The Hell We Did could sit back, settle into stride and make one late run down the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best 2026 Preakness Stakes Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For a team-ticket approach, Incredibles at 5-1 from post 12 deserves serious consideration. The case is based on a tough Kentucky Derby trip, where Incredibles had to check after being carried sideways by Renegade before regaining momentum and finishing sixth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With Golden Tempo, Renegade, Chief Wally B and Danon Bourbon not in this field, Incredibles profiles as one of the best Derby runners returning for the Preakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Iron Honor is also a major player if the Wood Memorial trouble is forgiven and the blinkers-off change helps him settle. Chip Hancho remains dangerous with Jose Ortiz and a cleaner setup, while Taj Mahal must be respected because of his Laurel Park record and early speed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Final Preakness Stakes Betting Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The 2026 Preakness Stakes odds board is wide open, and the move to Laurel Park adds another layer to the handicap. Speed is dangerous, but a contested pace could set the table for stalkers and closers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For bettors building Preakness Stakes picks and trifectas, Iron Honor, Chip Hancho, Taj Mahal and Incredibles all demand respect, while Talking and The Hell We Did offer the most interesting longshot value from the transcript\u2019s handicapping discussion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped\">\n\n<\/figure>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38923,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38920\/revisions\/38923"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6794"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}