{"id":38867,"date":"2026-05-07T11:24:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-07T15:24:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=38867"},"modified":"2026-05-07T11:24:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-07T15:24:16","slug":"ufc-328-chimaev-vs-strickland-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-may-9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-328-chimaev-vs-strickland-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-may-9\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds May 9"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC 328 Picks, Predictions and Odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><strong>UFC 328 picks and predictions for May 9<\/strong> by <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> are available below with the main event headlined by <strong>Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland<\/strong> in a middleweight title fight! The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from the Prudential Center,\u00a0Newark,\u00a0NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland<strong>:<\/strong> UFC 328 Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, May 9<\/th><th>UFC 328 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Khamzat Chimaev -491 vs Sean Strickland +397<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>2.5 Rounds (Over -106 \/ Under -120)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET \/ 6:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>T-Mobile Arena in&nbsp;Las Vegas,&nbsp;NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC 328 Predictions: Undercard<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joshua Van +150 vs Tatsuro Taira -156\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both are young and rising fast. Van is now champion after Pantoja\u2019s injury. He has the striking edge, while Taira has the wrestling advantage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Van\u2019s takedown defense has been\u00a0excellent, and Taira has leaned less on wrestling recently. If this stays on the feet, Van can win.\u00a0<strong>Van is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alexander Volkov -163 vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta +156\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Acosta has found KO power recently, but his win over Delija came in controversial fashion.\u00a0Volkov uses range well and is very durable \u2014 he doesn\u2019t get knocked out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This could be a low volume fight, but Volkov should control distance better. Close fight, <strong>Volkov is the pick<\/strong>, but not a\u00a0betting spot.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sean Brady -138 vs Joaquin Buckley +133\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When Brady can wrestle, he dominates. If he can\u2019t, he struggles badly on the feet. Buckley is the\u00a0better striker but hasn\u2019t proven he can stop takedowns. This is straightforward \u2014 Brady wrestles for three rounds and wins a decision. <strong>Brady is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>King Green -323 vs Jeremy Stephens +265\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stephens relies on a big KO shot and has been focused on boxing, not MMA. This stays on the\u00a0feet, but Green has better speed, movement, and volume. He should pick Stephens apart from range and avoid danger. <strong>Green by decision<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ateba Gautier -872 vs Ozzy Diaz +683\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gautier burned bettors last time by not getting the KO, but this is still a mismatch. Diaz has been\u00a0 knocked out in his last two losses against less powerful fighters. Gautier\u2019s power should be too\u00a0much. <strong>Gautier by KO is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joel Alvarez +156 vs Yaroslav Amosov -163\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Amosov has strong wrestling and a solid debut, but Alvarez is a violent striker who can also fight\u00a0 off his back. Style-wise it\u2019s a tough matchup for Alvarez, but he can turn this into chaos. I\u2019ll take the upside \u2014 <strong>Alvarez is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Grant Dawson -170 vs Mateusz Rebecki +163\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dawson\u2019s durability is a concern, but his wrestling is elite \u2014 if he gets opponents down, they\u00a0stay down. Rebecki is reckless and absorbs a ton of damage. Dawson should avoid extended\u00a0striking exchanges, get takedowns, and control the fight. <strong>Dawson is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jim Miller +252 vs Jared Gordon -307\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miller is past his prime and dealing with injuries, especially in his knees. Gordon fought well last\u00a0 time despite being injured before the fight. He\u2019s more athletic and should have advantages in both striking and wrestling. <strong>Gordon is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Roman Kopylov +163 vs Marco Tulio -170\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kopylov looks to be fading, with back-to-back losses and declining durability. Tulio throws heavy early and has five straight fights ending before Round 3. His power should overwhelm\u00a0 Kopylov early. <strong>Tulio is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pat Sabatini -209 vs William Gomis +173\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sabatini is elite with takedowns and control. Gomis is the better striker, but his wrestling defense\u00a0likely won\u2019t hold up here. Even with his awkward stance, Sabatini should get this to the ground\u00a0 and control it. <strong>Sabatini is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Baisangur Susurkaev -721 vs Djorden Santos +489\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Susurkaev is good but overpriced. He struggled at times last fight, and Santos showed toughness\u00a0 and willingness to brawl. If Susurkaev isn\u2019t sharp, Santos could steal moments. <strong>Susurkaev is the\u00a0pick<\/strong>, but this price is unplayable.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Clayton Carpenter +170 vs Jose Ochoa -178\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Neither fighter is impressive. Ochoa has terrible takedown defense, which is a major issue here.\u00a0 Carpenter isn\u2019t a great striker, but if he commits to wrestling, he should have success. <strong>Carpenter\u00a0is a solid underdog pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC 328 Main Event: Khamzat Chimaev -491 vs Sean Strickland +397<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Strickland wants this to be a boxing match, but Chimaev will wrestle and maul him. Chimaev\u00a0looked like he fixed his cardio issues last fight, and there\u2019s real intensity in this matchup. He\u00a0won\u2019t get cute here \u2014 expect takedowns and dominant ground control. <strong>Chimaev is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get MORE Free Picks on WagerTalk TV!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-white-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\"><strong>Get Andy Lang&#8217;s PREMIUM Picks!<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mma\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long! Also, at WagerTalk you can always find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">free MLB picks<\/a> every day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UFC 328 Picks, Predictions and Odds UFC 328 picks and predictions for May 9 by UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang are available below with the main event headlined by Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland in a middleweight title fight! The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from the Prudential Center,\u00a0Newark,\u00a0NJ.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":38868,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[1580,1210,16025,16026,16027,16030],"class_list":["post-38867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-khamzat-chimaev","tag-sean-strickland","tag-ufc-328","tag-ufc-328-picks","tag-ufc-328-predictions","tag-ufc-328-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC 328 Picks, Predictions and Odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><strong>UFC 328 picks and predictions for May 9<\/strong> by <span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> are available below with the main event headlined by <strong>Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland<\/strong> in a middleweight title fight! The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from the Prudential Center,\u00a0Newark,\u00a0NJ.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland<strong>:<\/strong> UFC 328 Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, May 9<\/th><th>UFC 328 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Khamzat Chimaev -491 vs Sean Strickland +397<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>2.5 Rounds (Over -106 \/ Under -120)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET \/ 6:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>T-Mobile Arena in&nbsp;Las Vegas,&nbsp;NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC 328 Predictions: Undercard<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joshua Van +150 vs Tatsuro Taira -156\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both are young and rising fast. Van is now champion after Pantoja\u2019s injury. He has the striking edge, while Taira has the wrestling advantage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>However, Van\u2019s takedown defense has been\u00a0excellent, and Taira has leaned less on wrestling recently. If this stays on the feet, Van can win.\u00a0<strong>Van is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alexander Volkov -163 vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta +156\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Acosta has found KO power recently, but his win over Delija came in controversial fashion.\u00a0Volkov uses range well and is very durable \u2014 he doesn\u2019t get knocked out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This could be a low volume fight, but Volkov should control distance better. Close fight, <strong>Volkov is the pick<\/strong>, but not a\u00a0betting spot.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sean Brady -138 vs Joaquin Buckley +133\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>When Brady can wrestle, he dominates. If he can\u2019t, he struggles badly on the feet. Buckley is the\u00a0better striker but hasn\u2019t proven he can stop takedowns. This is straightforward \u2014 Brady wrestles for three rounds and wins a decision. <strong>Brady is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>King Green -323 vs Jeremy Stephens +265\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Stephens relies on a big KO shot and has been focused on boxing, not MMA. This stays on the\u00a0feet, but Green has better speed, movement, and volume. He should pick Stephens apart from range and avoid danger. <strong>Green by decision<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ateba Gautier -872 vs Ozzy Diaz +683\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Gautier burned bettors last time by not getting the KO, but this is still a mismatch. Diaz has been\u00a0 knocked out in his last two losses against less powerful fighters. Gautier\u2019s power should be too\u00a0much. <strong>Gautier by KO is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joel Alvarez +156 vs Yaroslav Amosov -163\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Amosov has strong wrestling and a solid debut, but Alvarez is a violent striker who can also fight\u00a0 off his back. Style-wise it\u2019s a tough matchup for Alvarez, but he can turn this into chaos. I\u2019ll take the upside \u2014 <strong>Alvarez is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Grant Dawson -170 vs Mateusz Rebecki +163\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Dawson\u2019s durability is a concern, but his wrestling is elite \u2014 if he gets opponents down, they\u00a0stay down. Rebecki is reckless and absorbs a ton of damage. Dawson should avoid extended\u00a0striking exchanges, get takedowns, and control the fight. <strong>Dawson is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jim Miller +252 vs Jared Gordon -307\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Miller is past his prime and dealing with injuries, especially in his knees. Gordon fought well last\u00a0 time despite being injured before the fight. He\u2019s more athletic and should have advantages in both striking and wrestling. <strong>Gordon is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Roman Kopylov +163 vs Marco Tulio -170\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Kopylov looks to be fading, with back-to-back losses and declining durability. Tulio throws heavy early and has five straight fights ending before Round 3. His power should overwhelm\u00a0 Kopylov early. <strong>Tulio is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pat Sabatini -209 vs William Gomis +173\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Sabatini is elite with takedowns and control. Gomis is the better striker, but his wrestling defense\u00a0likely won\u2019t hold up here. Even with his awkward stance, Sabatini should get this to the ground\u00a0 and control it. <strong>Sabatini is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Baisangur Susurkaev -721 vs Djorden Santos +489\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Susurkaev is good but overpriced. He struggled at times last fight, and Santos showed toughness\u00a0 and willingness to brawl. If Susurkaev isn\u2019t sharp, Santos could steal moments. <strong>Susurkaev is the\u00a0pick<\/strong>, but this price is unplayable.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Clayton Carpenter +170 vs Jose Ochoa -178\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Neither fighter is impressive. Ochoa has terrible takedown defense, which is a major issue here.\u00a0 Carpenter isn\u2019t a great striker, but if he commits to wrestling, he should have success. <strong>Carpenter\u00a0is a solid underdog pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC 328 Main Event: Khamzat Chimaev -491 vs Sean Strickland +397<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Strickland wants this to be a boxing match, but Chimaev will wrestle and maul him. Chimaev\u00a0looked like he fixed his cardio issues last fight, and there\u2019s real intensity in this matchup. He\u00a0won\u2019t get cute here \u2014 expect takedowns and dominant ground control. <strong>Chimaev is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get MORE Free Picks on WagerTalk TV!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mma\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long! Also, at WagerTalk you can always find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">free MLB picks<\/a> every day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38867","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38867"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38867\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38869,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38867\/revisions\/38869"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38868"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38867"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38867"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38867"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}