{"id":38549,"date":"2026-04-02T13:08:59","date_gmt":"2026-04-02T17:08:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=38549"},"modified":"2026-04-02T13:09:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T17:09:01","slug":"ufc-fight-night-moicano-vs-duncan-picks-predictions-and-odds-april-4-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-moicano-vs-duncan-picks-predictions-and-odds-april-4-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan Picks, Predictions and Odds April 4, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions<\/strong> come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> for April 4, 2026 with the main event headlined by Renato Moincano vs Chris Duncan<\/strong> in a lightweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from the Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Renato Moincano vs Chris Duncan:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, April 4<\/th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Moneyline:<\/td>Renato Moincano +145 vs Chris Duncan -175<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>2.5 (Over +110 \/ Under -140)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 8:00pm ET \/ 5:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Tabatha Ricci -115 vs Virna Jandiroba -105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both fighters rely heavily on wrestling and clinch work, and both have strong cardio and\u00a0 durability. This likely comes down to who creates the bigger moments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ricci has momentum\u00a0coming off a win over Ribas, while Jandiroba is coming off a grueling loss to Dern and may not be fully recovered physically or mentally. I\u2019ll side with Ricci to edge this fight<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev -1600 vs Brendson Ribeiro +800\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yakhyaev is a dangerous prospect training with elite fighters and has already shown dominant\u00a0 performances in quick succession. His pressure, takedowns, and ground game are elite. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ribeiro\u00a0has been finished in the first round in two straight fights and offers little resistance. The only way\u00a0 to play this is Yakhyaev by first-round finish<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ethyn Ewing -150 vs Rafael Estevam +125\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ewing pulled off a big upset in his debut, but the performance was aided by a poor opponent showing. He has decent striking and cardio but hasn\u2019t shown much ground game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Estevam is undefeated at 14-0 and brings a more complete skill set. He should be able to secure takedowns\u00a0and control the fight on the ground. Estevam is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Manolo Zecchini +650 vs Tommy McMillen -1000\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a low-level fight where the UFC is trying to get McMillen a win. He\u2019s aggressive and high energy but lacks defense and polish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zecchini hasn\u2019t fought in nearly two years and is also\u00a0very flawed, but at these odds the value is on the underdog. It\u2019s Zecchini or pass<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jose Delano -400 vs Robert Ruchala +310\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Delano has strong cardio, movement, and pressure, and looks like a solid prospect despite\u00a0coming off Contender Series. Ruchala\u2019s debut wasn\u2019t impressive \u2014 he looked slow and\u00a0 defensively vulnerable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Delano should be more efficient on the feet and control the fight with his movement. Delano is the pick<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alessandro Costa -400 vs Stewart Nicoll +310\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Costa is in a great spot. He\u2019s well-rounded with solid striking and decent grappling, and his losses have come against strong competition. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nicoll has looked like a fraud at the UFC level\u00a0with poor striking and an underwhelming ground game. Costa should dominate this fight<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Darrius Flowers +180 vs Lando Vannata -220\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vannata hasn\u2019t fought in two years and hasn\u2019t shown much improvement. His striking and\u00a0wrestling are both questionable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flowers also has major limitations and struggles to generate\u00a0offense. This is a low-level fight with little betting value, but Flowers at plus money would be\u00a0the lean<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alice Pereira -125 vs Hailey Cowan +105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This feels like Cowan\u2019s last chance in the UFC. She has struggled with injuries and inactivity,\u00a0but at least has some striking and clinch ability. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pereira is very limited with no real strengths and\u00a0struggles in all areas. Neither fighter is impressive, but Cowan is the side<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guilherme Pat -115 vs Thomas Petersen -105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pat is 31 with limited experience and showed little upside in his debut, relying heavily on clinch control. Petersen isn\u2019t elite but is more well-rounded and has a wrestling edge if needed. This\u00a0 projects as a slow, low-damage fight. Best play is fight to go the distance<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Azamat Bekoev -600 vs Tresean Gore +430\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bekoev\u2019s last loss came against an improved opponent, so it\u2019s not overly concerning. Gore lacks\u00a0striking and isn\u2019t an effective wrestler despite relying on it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bekoev has significant power and\u00a0should eventually land something big. Bekoev by KO<\/strong>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dione Barbosa -150 vs Melissa Gatto +125\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Barbosa is a grinder but struggles with volume and can be controlled by stronger opponents. She\u00a0didn\u2019t look impressive even in her last win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gatto hasn\u2019t fought in nearly two years, but she has\u00a0better striking, length, and a more diverse skill set. Barbosa is overpriced based on a questionable\u00a0win. Gatto or pass<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Chris Duncan -175 vs Renato Moicano +145<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Duncan is my favorite pick on the card. He\u2019s well-rounded with striking, wrestling, and\u00a0 submission ability, and he\u2019s won four straight fights showing durability and finishing upside.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moicano has openly said he\u2019s just fighting for paychecks, is dealing with injuries, and lacks\u00a0dangerous striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He needs this fight on the ground, but Duncan should be able to defend those\u00a0attempts. Moicano\u2019s recent performances have been poor. Duncan has all the upside and should\u00a0 get the win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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