UFC 326 picks and predictions for March 7<\/strong> by UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> are available below with the main event headlined by Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira<\/strong> in a light heavyweight fight! The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from T-Mobile Arena in\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n Luke Fernandez -235 vs Rodolfo Bellato +180\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Fernandez is a solid prospect who hits hard and has multiple grappling wins, so he\u2019s dangerous\u00a0 everywhere. <\/p>\n\n\n\n His Contender Series opponent was one of the worst fighters you\u2019ll see, so that\u00a0 performance shouldn\u2019t be overvalued, but Fernandez still looks like a complete, UFC-ready\u00a0fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Bellato has some power but gets hit and dropped in almost every fight. His durability and\u00a0cardio are questionable, and he\u2019s struggled against fighters I rate lower than Fernandez.\u00a0 Fernandez should get the win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Jeongyeong Lee -290 vs Gaston Bolanos +215\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Bolanos is not very good and doesn\u2019t have the tools to exploit Lee\u2019s biggest weakness, which is\u00a0 takedown defense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Lee was winning against Santos in his last fight until Santos took him down\u00a0and controlled rounds two and three. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Lee can strike well though, and this likely stays on the feet.\u00a0Bolanos also got dominated on the ground by Quang Le in his last fight. If this turns into a\u00a0 striking match, Lee is clearly better and should win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Rafael Tobias -225 vs Diyar Nurgozhay +172\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Tobias already has 15 pro fights at just 22 years old and is still improving. His striking is good\u00a0and he has solid ground skills, though he\u2019s a bit slow and plodding with limited head movement.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n Nurgozhay has lost both UFC fights to weak competition, his durability looks questionable, and\u00a0he was submitted in his last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n He came into the UFC undefeated but hasn\u2019t shown the upside\u00a0needed to exploit Tobias\u2019s youth and lack of speed. It should be competitive, but Tobias is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Sumudairji -265 vs Jesus Aguilar +200\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Aguilar is undersized and doesn\u2019t have much reach, but he\u2019s incredibly tough. He marches\u00a0forward constantly and has a nasty guillotine. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Despite being a frequent underdog, he\u2019s 4-2 in the\u00a0UFC with one loss coming against Tatsuro Taira. Sumudairji has won two in a row, but those\u00a0wins haven\u2019t aged well and he has a history of major injuries. I\u2019ll take the plus-money dog here\u00a0because Aguilar fights hard for every minute<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tumendemberel -156 vs Cody Durden +122\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Durden is 1-5 in his last six UFC fights. His striking is decent early but he fades badly after the first round. Once he slows down he tends to get taken down and eventually submitted. The only\u00a0real question is whether Tumendemberel can maintain his cardio into the second round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n If he\u00a0 can, he probably finishes Durden. Based on previous fights showing he can last longer than\u00a0 Durden, Tumendemberel is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Alberto Montes -205 vs Ricky Turcios +158\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Montes hasn\u2019t fought since his 2024 Contender Series win due to cancelled bouts, but this is a\u00a0 good spot for him. He\u2019s a submission specialist with dangerous chokes, and his boxing is\u00a0serviceable enough to set things up. <\/p>\n\n\n\n His defensive wrestling can be an issue, but not against\u00a0Turcios. Montes lost once after dropping his hands and getting caught, but since then he\u2019s won\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n three straight by submission. Turcios hasn\u2019t fought much since 2022, has awful ground defense,\u00a0and lacks knockout power. Montes should win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Donte Johnson -620 vs Cody Brundage +400\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Johnson has undergone a remarkable physical transformation, dropping from heavyweight to weighing 184 pounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n He has always had power, but in his last fight he showed wrestling and\u00a0even secured a choke submission. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Brundage is likely on borrowed time in the UFC after two\u00a0straight losses and a recent knockout defeat. His striking is poor and his ground game hasn\u2019t\u00a0 improved. Johnson by finish is the best way to play this fight<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Long Xiao -148 vs Cody Garbrandt +116\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Neither fighter inspires confidence, so I\u2019ll take the underdog. Xiao has fought mostly Asian\u00a0competition through Road to UFC and the UFC. Despite 37 fights at age 27, there\u2019s a lot of wear\u00a0 and tear. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In his UFC win he was getting pieced up before landing a late overhand right.\u00a0Garbrandt has lost two straight due to wrestling, but Xiao doesn\u2019t wrestle. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Cody\u2019s controlled\u00a0striking and counter ability should allow him to accumulate damage and neutralize Xiao\u2019s power.\u00a0Garbrandt is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Gregory Rodrigues -210 vs Brunno Ferreira +162\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This is a rematch after Ferreira knocked Rodrigues out with a brutal counter. Ferreira has had\u00a0some nice submission wins but hasn\u2019t consistently faced fighters capable of finishing him.\u00a0Rodrigues\u2019s biggest issue is cardio\u2014he\u2019s dangerous early but fades late. <\/p>\n\n\n\n He has strong striking\u00a0and can wrestle when needed. If he manages his energy and avoids the big counter shot this time,\u00a0Rodrigues should win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Michael Johnson -125 vs Drew Dober -105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Dober absorbs a tremendous amount of damage. In his last fight he was badly beaten by Propolec\u00a0 before landing an illegal low blow that changed the fight and eventually led to a knockout win.\u00a0His cardio is also questionable and he had lost three straight before that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Johnson has won three in a row and has been durable, suffering only one KO loss in the last five years. Johnson should\u00a0be able to land enough volume to damage Dober and steal rounds<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Raul Rosas Jr -230 vs Rob Font +276\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Font managed to defend takedowns in his last fight, but before that he gave up 22 takedowns\u00a0across four fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Rosas has excellent takedowns and a dangerous body triangle that leads to\u00a0submissions. Font is clearly the better boxer, so Rosas must rely on wrestling. <\/p>\n\n\n\n If Rosas sticks to\u00a0his grappling he should control the fight. As long as he doesn\u2019t get drawn into a striking battle,\u00a0Rosas is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Caio Borralho -290 vs Reinier de Ridder +215\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n I\u2019m not laying this price on Borralho. He built his career on wrestling and grappling, but in his\u00a0 last two fights he has leaned heavily on striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n That worked against Cannonier, but against elite\u00a0competition like Imavov his striking looked exposed. De Ridder looked terrible in his last fight,\u00a0 but he later revealed he was dealing with norovirus. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Before that he had five straight wins\u00a0including a five-round victory over Whittaker. If healthy, de Ridder has the tools to compete on\u00a0the feet and his knees up the middle could be dangerous. At this price, de Ridder is the play<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Oliveira looked great against Gamrot in his last fight but was knocked out by Ilia Topuria before that. Holloway was also knocked out by Topuria, though he lasted longer. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Oliveira will struggle\u00a0on the feet if this fight stays there for long stretches, but he\u2019s not the type of wrestler who can\u00a0easily force the fight to the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Holloway\u2019s boxing volume and durability should take over as\u00a0the fight progresses. Holloway by decision or late KO<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\nMax Holloway vs Charles Oliveira:<\/strong> UFC 326 Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, March 7<\/th> UFC 326 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr> Moneyline:<\/td> Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira<\/td><\/tr> Rounds:<\/td> 2.5 Rounds (Over -175 \/ Under +135)<\/td><\/tr> Fight Time:<\/td> Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET \/ 6:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr> Arena:<\/td> T-Mobile Arena in\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV<\/td><\/tr> TV:<\/td> Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n UFC 326 Predictions: Undercard<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
UFC 326 Main Event: Max Holloway -230 vs Charles Oliveira +175<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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