{"id":38284,"date":"2026-02-19T11:36:11","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T16:36:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=38284"},"modified":"2026-02-19T11:36:12","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T16:36:12","slug":"ufc-fight-night-strickland-vs-hernandez-picks-predictions-and-odds-february-21-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-strickland-vs-hernandez-picks-predictions-and-odds-february-21-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez Picks, Predictions and Odds February 21, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions<\/strong> come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> for February 21, 2026 with the main event headlined by Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez<\/strong> in a middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from the Toyota Center in\u00a0Houston,\u00a0TX.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, February 21<\/th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Moneyline:<\/td>Sean Strickland +225 vs Anthony Hernandez -280<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>4.5 (Over -180 \/ Under +140)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET \/ 7:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Carli Judice -675 vs Juliana Miller +420\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Judice has a massive striking advantage with both power and volume. Miller is coming off a win\u00a0over Petrovic, but that doesn\u2019t mean much \u2014 she\u2019s still very limited and won\u2019t be competitive\u00a0on the feet here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Miller has improved slightly in the clinch and physically, she\u2019s not on\u00a0Judice\u2019s level striking. Judice by KO or decision is the prop to target<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yadier Del Valle -400 vs Jordan Leavitt +290\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Del Valle is coming off the Dulgarian fight where Dulgarian essentially threw the bout, but I\u00a0liked Del Valle even before that matchup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He\u2019s physically imposing on fight night and should be\u00a0too strong for Leavitt both on the feet and on the ground. Leavitt has slick submissions, but I\u00a0don\u2019t see him securing the takedowns needed to set them up. Del Valle by finish is the play<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jean Paul Lebosnoyani -215 vs Phil Rowe +170\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPL has improved a lot over the last few years and is coming off a big KO win on Contender Series. He looks like a complete fighter with power, striking, and submission ability. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rowe is a veteran, but his recent wins have come against low-level competition and he was losing badly\u00a0 before his opponent gassed in his last victory. Rowe is tough to finish, but doesn\u2019t offer much\u00a0offense. JPL by decision is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ramiz Brahimaj -136 vs Punahele Soriano +106\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soriano has reinvented himself with three straight wins, fixing his cardio issues and\u00a0implementing more wrestling. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brahimaj is dangerous with submissions and all but one of his\u00a0wins are by finish, mostly by submission. Soriano\u2019s power and wrestling should allow him to\u00a0stay out of danger and avoid the chokes. Soriano by decision is the play<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joselyn Edwards -325 vs Nora Cornolle +260\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Edwards has found finishing ability with three straight wins by finish. Cornolle has power, but\u00a0throws low volume and is vulnerable to counters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In her last fight she was taken down easily and\u00a0couldn\u2019t get up. This is a rematch where many thought Edwards won the first time. With added\u00a0motivation and fewer flaws, Edwards should get the win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alden Coria -279 vs Luis Gurule +225\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Underdog is the only way to look at this fight. Coria won his UFC debut and showed good\u00a0composure and striking, but his opponent injured his foot late which led to the finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gurule has lost two straight and has cardio concerns late in fights. Gurule can strike and isn\u2019t terrible on the\u00a0ground, but laying nearly -300 on Coria is too steep. Not a betting fight for me, but Gurule is the\u00a0 only playable side<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alivi Idiris -135 vs Ode Osbourne +114\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Idiris looked great on TUF but was dominated in the finale and finished. Osbourne continues to\u00a0make costly mistakes and has one win in his last five. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He has striking ability but poor decision-making and weak ground defense. This is a sloppy fight where one mistake likely ends it. Fight\u00a0does not go the distance is the play<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Carlos Leal -135 vs Chidi Njokuani +114\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both fighters are hard to trust. Leal nearly won his debut, then knocked out Morono, but walked into a KO shot in his last fight due to poor defense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chidi uses range well but leaves his chin\u00a0 exposed and was submitted quickly in his last bout. I don\u2019t know if Chidi has the power to finish\u00a0Leal cleanly. I can see Leal wearing him down in the clinch and with body work. Leal is the\u00a0pick<\/strong>, but not confidently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michel Pereira -162 vs Zach Reese +136\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I can\u2019t trust Pereira anymore. He\u2019s looked awful in his last three fights, with cardio and durability\u00a0 concerns. His finishing ability hasn\u2019t shown up in a long time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reese has a solid ground game\u00a0and is younger, though he hasn\u2019t looked explosive lately. Pereira might simply be done. Reese at\u00a0plus money is the pick<\/strong>. Fight not to go the distance is a strong parlay piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacobe Smith -258 vs Josiah Harrell +240\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Smith has strong pedigree, discipline, and fight IQ. He\u2019s fast and powerful but has shown a tendency to burn energy early. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Harrell is undefeated with great cardio and a solid ground game.\u00a0He weathered adversity in his last fight and finished late. If Smith fades late, Harrell could\u00a0capitalize. Small sprinkle on the dog is justified<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ante Delija -155 vs Serghei Spivac +130\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Delija likes to start fast and strike early. He was unlucky in his last fight when a KO was\u00a0overturned due to an eye poke. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spivac struggles badly on the feet and must get this to the ground. If he can\u2019t wrestle successfully, he\u2019s in trouble. Delija is the pick and could win by early finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Melquizael Costa -205 vs Dan Ige +170\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ige looked flat and tentative in his last fight, which is unlike him. Costa continues to improve and\u00a0has won five straight with a mix of finishes and decisions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His movement, cardio, and ground\u00a0game give him multiple paths to victory. I expect Ige to perform better here, but Costa is the better fighter and the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geoff Neal -185 vs Uros Medic +154\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neal has only lost to elite competition and recently admitted to battling substance issues during\u00a0prior fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

When he\u2019s focused, his striking and movement are excellent. Medic is kill-or-be killed and hasn\u2019t gone to decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He leaves his chin open and takes risks. If Neal is in shape, he\u00a0should catch Medic and finish him. Neal by KO is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Sean Strickland +225 vs Anthony Hernandez -280<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Hernandez\u2019s cardio is elite and his grappling suffocates opponents over five rounds. He doesn\u2019t spend\u00a0much time striking and overwhelms fighters on the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strickland is durable and a solid\u00a0boxer but lacks knockout power, which may allow Hernandez to walk through shots to secure takedowns. If Hernandez is healthy after his injury, his style should dominate. Hernandez is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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