{"id":38224,"date":"2026-02-05T11:20:12","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T16:20:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=38224"},"modified":"2026-02-05T11:20:16","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T16:20:16","slug":"ufc-fight-night-bautista-vs-oliveira-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-february-7-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-bautista-vs-oliveira-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-february-7-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds February 7, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions<\/strong> come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang<\/a><\/span> for February 7, 2026 with the main event headlined by Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira<\/strong> in a bantamweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from Meta APEX in\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, February 7<\/th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Moneyline:<\/td>Mario Bautista -205 vs Vinicius Oliveira +160<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>3.5 (Over -125 \/ Under -102)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET \/ 7:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>Paramount+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Klaudia Sygula -140 vs Priscila Cachoeira +110 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sygula got mauled in her UFC debut but picked up a win in her second fight by taking advantage of a terrible game plan from Alekseeva. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

She can strike at range and manage distance, but she\u2019s not good on the ground. Cachoeira has lost 3 of her last 4 and fights recklessly, leaving her chin wide open. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

She\u2019s been knocked out and submitted, and her last five fights haven\u2019t gone the distance, so don\u2019t blindly play overs just because it\u2019s a women\u2019s fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With both fighters being poor on the ground, this becomes a striking match, and Sygula manages distance and defense better. Cachoeira is a fade, Sygula is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jakub Wiklacz -120 vs Muin Gafurov -106 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gafurov has won two straight but hasn\u2019t been impressive. His last win came against Nakamura, a  wrestler who oddly chose to strike, allowing Gafurov to coast to a decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His striking is basic, ground game is limited, and offense is pretty flat. Wiklacz won his UFC debut against Patchy Mix and has faced solid competition over the years, showing striking, grappling, and submission ability. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His cardio didn\u2019t look great against Mix, as he chased submissions without much success. I don\u2019t have a strong pick here, they\u2019re fairly equal. Slight lean to Wiklacz due to more weapons on the ground, but fight to go the distance is the best bet<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cong Wang -295 vs Eduarda Moura +220 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This should be straightforward for Wang. Her striking is light years ahead of Moura\u2019s. Moura is big and prefers to wrestle, but Wang is far too fast and mobile for her. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moura also has cardio issues, which will be exposed as Wang stays out of the clinch and works behind her jab. Terrible stylistic matchup for Moura. Wang is the easy pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Javid Basharat -158 v Said Nurmagomedov +124 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both fighters are coming off two straight losses, making this an important fight. Said\u2019s style has been to strike just enough and land a well-timed takedown to steal close rounds, but his cardio\u00a0 has steadily declined. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His recent fights lack aggression, his striking isn\u2019t threatening, and his\u00a0wrestling no longer dominates. Basharat has been humbled recently, losing a close decision and then getting knocked out badly by Ricky Simon, but he\u2019s well rounded with better cardio and a solid ground game to avoid submissions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Without a submission, it\u2019s hard to see Said outpointing\u00a0 Basharat. Basharat should win a decision with better striking output and conditioning<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keten Souza -136 vs Bruna Brasil +106\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brasil will have the height and reach advantage, while Souza will be stronger. Brasil is too\u00a0tentative for my liking, she doesn\u2019t throw enough volume despite her length. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Souza is aggressive,\u00a0willing to brawl, and has looked strong in third rounds. Souza should be able to use her strength\u00a0 in the clinch and have the bigger moments. Souza by decision in a close fight<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daniil Donchenko -500 vs Alex Morono +370\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Morono looks done at the UFC level. He\u2019s lost three straight, was finished by Leal last time out,\u00a0and his durability and cardio are clearly declining. His striking and ground game no longer hold\u00a0up at this level, and this likely ends his UFC run. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Donchenko won The Ultimate Fighter in\u00a0violent fashion, brutalizing Sezinando with elbows before finishing him with a flurry. He\u2019s a\u00a0vicious finisher with nasty strikes and elbows. Donchenko by finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dustin Jacoby -165 vs Julius Walker +132\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a clash of styles, with Jacoby being a rangy kickboxer and Walker preferring to clinch\u00a0 and work takedowns off the fence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Walker\u2019s striking isn\u2019t nearly as crisp, and he gassed badly in\u00a0his last fight against Cerqueira, who is a very low-level opponent. Jacoby can force Walker to\u00a0 work, drain his cardio, and pick him apart on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Walker needs takedowns to win, but if he\u00a0can\u2019t get them, he\u2019ll be a sitting duck. Jacoby is the pick<\/strong>, and if he stuffs takedowns, this could look easy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Farid Basharat -290 vs Jean Matsumoto +215\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

At this price, Matsumoto is the pick. Stylistically, these two are fairly even, but Matsumoto has\u00a0more power and bigger moments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His leg and body kicks are excellent, and his cardio looked\u00a0 strong against Johns last fight. Basharat has slick movement, good kicks, and solid positional\u00a0wrestling, but lacks explosive offense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matsumoto has gone to split decisions in his last two\u00a0fights, and a third wouldn\u2019t be surprising. This line should be much closer to a pick\u2019em, and the value is on Matsumoto<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Oleksiejczuk -290 vs Marc-Andr\u00e9 Barriault +215\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oleksiejczuk switched gyms after losing three straight and has since scored two first-round\u00a0 knockouts, showing the change has helped. While the competition wasn\u2019t elite, back-to-back\u00a0early finishes matter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He\u2019s a pure striker with little ground game and will want this on the feet.\u00a0Barriault has lost four of five, and his durability is questionable after absorbing a lot of damage against Magomedov. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oleksiejczuk also lost to Magomedov but by decision. Barriault\u2019s cardio\u00a0held up late last fight, but Oleksiejczuk has the better chance to score a knockout or clearly out damage him. Bad price, but Oleksiejczuk should win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jailton Almeida -145 vs Rizvan Kuniev +116\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Interesting matchup as both fighters prefer grinding wrestling styles, which isn\u2019t exactly what the\u00a0UFC wants. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Almeida lost his last fight due to a lack of damage despite heavy control time, so he\u00a0knows adjustments are necessary. Kuniev has better striking, but he\u2019s slow, low volume, and\u00a0lacks upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Almeida\u2019s strength and wrestling are undeniable, and this time he should be more aggressive from top position. Look for Almeida to secure takedowns and actually throw strikes to earn the win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kyoji Horiguchi -360 vs Amir Albazi +285\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a bad matchup for Albazi. Horiguchi\u2019s speed advantage should be massive, and Albazi looked noticeably slower in his last fight against Moreno after multiple surgeries. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Horiguchi\u00a0should be able to get in and out of the pocket without taking damage, control the pace, and mix\u00a0in his excellent ground game if needed. No matter where this fight goes, Horiguchi is the better\u00a0 fighter. This should be a straightforward win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Mario Bautista -205 vs Vinicius Oliveira +160<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I like the underdog here<\/strong>. Bautista looked solid against Umar Nurmagomedov but was clearly\u00a0 outmatched by the speed and ground game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His strength of schedule raises questions, with wins\u00a0 over Patchy Mix, who\u2019s already been cut, and a split decision over Jose Aldo. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oliveira has a\u00a0strange but effective style, hands down, marching forward, throwing full power shots. When he\u00a0lands, the damage is obvious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He\u2019ll have the bigger moments that sway judges and crowd\u00a0reaction, and he won\u2019t be scared of Bautista\u2019s offense. Oliveira\u2019s toughness and power are the\u00a0biggest advantages in this fight<\/strong>. I think he pulls the upset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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