{"id":37959,"date":"2025-12-11T12:49:08","date_gmt":"2025-12-11T17:49:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=37959"},"modified":"2025-12-11T12:49:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-11T17:49:10","slug":"ufc-fight-night-royval-vs-kane-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-december-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-royval-vs-kane-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-december-13-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kane Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds December 13, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> <\/span>gives his <strong>UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for <\/strong>December 13, 2025 with the main event headlined by <strong>Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape<\/strong> in a flyweight fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from UFC APEX,\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-white-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\"><strong>Get Andy Lang&#8217;s PREMIUM Picks!<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mma\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape<strong>:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, December 11<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Brandon Royval +230 vs Manel Kape -310<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>3.5 (Over -130 \/ Under +102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET \/ 7:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>UFC APEX,\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Undercard UFC Fight Night <span style=\"color: revert; font-size: revert; font-weight: revert; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jamey-Lyn Horth +124 vs Tereza Bleda -158\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bleda is young at just 24, but she hasn\u2019t fought in over two years. She\u2019s a wrestler and grappler\u00a0 with very poor striking. Horth is the better striker, can wrestle a bit, and appears faster in her\u00a0scrambles and offensive bursts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think Horth can stuff takedowns, reverse positions, and\u00a0 outwork Bleda. <strong>Horth by decision<\/strong> at plus money is the pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Allen Frye +144 vs Guilherme Pat -186\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Weird matchup here, but I lean Pat. Both fighters are raw with real power, though Pat appears to\u00a0be the better athlete with stronger cardio. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This fight likely doesn\u2019t go the distance, so wait for\u00a0 props\u2014<strong>Pat by finish<\/strong> is where I\u2019d look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Luana Santos -160 vs Melissa Croden +124\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both women won their last fight, and both wins were over the same opponent. Each fighter is\u00a0solid on the ground, and Croden\u2019s striking looked improved in her UFC debut. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Santos, however,\u00a0seems more polished overall and noticeably quicker. Croden won\u2019t be able to physically\u00a0overwhelm her like usual. Close fight, but <strong>Santos gets the nod<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sean Sharaf +215 vs Steven Asplund -290\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sharaf looked awful in his debut, losing to Junior Tafa\u2014a terrible look. His cardio fell apart after round one, he\u2019s inexperienced, and there\u2019s no visible upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asplund had a strong win on\u00a0Contender Series, showing good IQ and real power. This fight should not go the distance. <strong>Take\u00a0the unders and Asplund inside the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>King Green -218 vs Lance Gibson +180&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Short-notice fight here, and Gibson hasn\u2019t fought in a year. He comes from a wrestling\u00a0 background, but he hasn\u2019t beaten anyone notable, and he lost to the only strong opponent he faced in Bellator. His striking isn\u2019t good, giving Green a major advantage on the feet.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The concern is Green\u2019s durability \u2014 he\u2019s aging and has been finished in the first round in his last two fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His takedown defense has never been reliable, but Gibson would need to have\u00a0 improved significantly to consistently wrestle Green to victory.\u00a0It\u2019s not a fight worth betting for me, but stylistically and based on r\u00e9sum\u00e9, <strong>Green is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Neil Magny +280 vs Yaroslav Amosov -390\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Magny continues to be a tough gatekeeper and still has plenty left. He\u2019s won two straight, cardio looks strong, and his submission game remains solid. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Amosov comes in with hype, but most of his r\u00e9sum\u00e9 is from Bellator and smaller organizations. Fighters entering UFC in their 30s are\u00a0always a concern\u2014why now? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Magny\u2019s experience and versatility make this competitive. <strong>Slight lean to Magny<\/strong>, but not a confident pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amanda Lemos +134 vs Gillian Robertson -172\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lemos brings the striking edge, but Robertson has been on fire, winning 7 of her last 8.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robertson\u2019s ground control and forward pressure continue to improve. Lemos was taken down\u00a0 and held early in her last fight against Suarez but rallied late. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lemos has takedowns, but the\u00a0ground game isn\u2019t her strength. Close fight, but Robertson should win key moments on the mat.\u00a0<strong>Robertson is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joanderson Brito -325 vs Isaac Thomson +260\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thomson just won a close split against an aggressive wrestler in October, he steps in short\u00a0notice, and there\u2019s a lot to like about him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Young, athletic, and plenty of cardio, he should have a decent height and reach advantage, but Brito\u2019s aggression and violence is a big step up for\u00a0Thomson. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brito makes bad decisions, and it cost him big against Sabatini, if he makes those\u00a0 same mistakes (like throwing body kicks against a wrestler who can take him down when he\u00a0throws those kicks), Thomson has a path to victory. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think this fight is closer than the odds\u00a0 suggest, but Brito was training for a fight, he needs a win to snap the skid, his speed and power\u00a0should be too much. <strong>Brito the pick<\/strong>, but way too much juice to lay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kennedy Nzechukwu -125 vs Marcus Buchecha +105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buchecha made his UFC debut and looked bad. He\u2019s a grappler\/wrestler, but he couldn\u2019t take\u00a0Martin Buday down and gassed quickly. His striking is extremely limited. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has one path: get Kennedy down. Kennedy has shown both submission ability and knockout power, but he makes\u00a0mistakes too. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Buchecha can\u2019t get takedowns, Kennedy\u2019s power at heavyweight should end\u00a0this. <strong>Kennedy is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Morgan Cherriere -115 vs Melquizael Costa -105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Charriere has historically been too low volume, but he improved last fight\u2014though Nate\u00a0 Landwehr forces high pace on anyone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Charriere showed good leg kicks and some wrestling,\u00a0though he doesn\u2019t do much with takedowns. Costa is more well-rounded: quick kicks, clean boxing, good movement, and he\u2019s on a four-fight win streak. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I trust Costa\u2019s aggression more.\u00a0Charriere can lose rounds from inactivity. <strong>Costa in a close one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cezary Oleksiejczuk -205 vs Cesar Almeida +175\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Almeida will be a trendy underdog, which is always a little scary, but the line is still off. Cezary\u00a0has real power\u2014four straight first-round finishes\u2014and though he isn\u2019t a wrestler, Almeida\u00a0comes from a kickboxing background and will strike as well. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cezary trains with Fighting Nerds,\u00a0an excellent camp. I like the under here: both guys throw heat, and Almeida\u2019s chin is too\u00a0 exposed. <strong>Cezary should win<\/strong>, but the line should be closer to pick\u2019em.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kevin Vallejos -285 vs Giga Chikadze +245\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Giga is now 37 and slowing noticeably. He\u2019s dropped 3 of his last 4, and although the kicking\u00a0technique remains, the explosiveness is fading. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vallejos is shorter and stockier but has real\u00a0 power. He just went three rounds in a competitive fight, which was good to see. He can mix in\u00a0 takedowns and pressure Giga. <strong>Vallejos by decision is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Manel Kape -255 vs Brandon Royval +215<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Kape is a dynamic striker with elite explosiveness. His only recent loss was to wrestler\u00a0Muhammad Mokaev, and Royval won\u2019t wrestle like that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Royval is long and awkward with his\u00a0 striking, but he was out-struck by Josh Van and hurt late. His two recent wins were split\u00a0 decisions\u2014he\u2019s right on the edge competitively. Kape has the clear striking edge and should\u00a0win. <strong>Kape is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UFC Fight Night Betting Preview UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for December 13, 2025 with the main event headlined by Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape in a flyweight fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from UFC APEX,\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV. Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":31925,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[8983,15645,694,3675,3544,1553],"class_list":["post-37959","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mma","tag-brandon-royval","tag-manel-kape","tag-ufc-fight-night","tag-ufc-fight-night-best-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-bets","tag-ufc-fight-night-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><span style=\"color: initial; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; font-size: revert;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/andy-lang\">UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> <\/span>gives his <strong>UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for <\/strong>December 13, 2025 with the main event headlined by <strong>Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape<\/strong> in a flyweight fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from UFC APEX,\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv\">WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mma\">Free UFC Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape<strong>:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Saturday, December 11<\/th><th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Moneyline:<\/td><td>Brandon Royval +230 vs Manel Kape -310<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Rounds:<\/td><td>3.5 (Over -130 \/ Under +102)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fight Time:<\/td><td>Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET \/ 7:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>UFC APEX,\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Undercard UFC Fight Night <span style=\"color: revert; font-size: revert; font-weight: revert; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, Oxygen-Sans, Ubuntu, Cantarell, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif;\">Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Jamey-Lyn Horth +124 vs Tereza Bleda -158\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Bleda is young at just 24, but she hasn\u2019t fought in over two years. She\u2019s a wrestler and grappler\u00a0 with very poor striking. Horth is the better striker, can wrestle a bit, and appears faster in her\u00a0scrambles and offensive bursts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think Horth can stuff takedowns, reverse positions, and\u00a0 outwork Bleda. <strong>Horth by decision<\/strong> at plus money is the pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Allen Frye +144 vs Guilherme Pat -186\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Weird matchup here, but I lean Pat. Both fighters are raw with real power, though Pat appears to\u00a0be the better athlete with stronger cardio. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This fight likely doesn\u2019t go the distance, so wait for\u00a0 props\u2014<strong>Pat by finish<\/strong> is where I\u2019d look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Luana Santos -160 vs Melissa Croden +124\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both women won their last fight, and both wins were over the same opponent. Each fighter is\u00a0solid on the ground, and Croden\u2019s striking looked improved in her UFC debut. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Santos, however,\u00a0seems more polished overall and noticeably quicker. Croden won\u2019t be able to physically\u00a0overwhelm her like usual. Close fight, but <strong>Santos gets the nod<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sean Sharaf +215 vs Steven Asplund -290\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Sharaf looked awful in his debut, losing to Junior Tafa\u2014a terrible look. His cardio fell apart after round one, he\u2019s inexperienced, and there\u2019s no visible upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Asplund had a strong win on\u00a0Contender Series, showing good IQ and real power. This fight should not go the distance. <strong>Take\u00a0the unders and Asplund inside the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>King Green -218 vs Lance Gibson +180&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Short-notice fight here, and Gibson hasn\u2019t fought in a year. He comes from a wrestling\u00a0 background, but he hasn\u2019t beaten anyone notable, and he lost to the only strong opponent he faced in Bellator. His striking isn\u2019t good, giving Green a major advantage on the feet.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The concern is Green\u2019s durability \u2014 he\u2019s aging and has been finished in the first round in his last two fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His takedown defense has never been reliable, but Gibson would need to have\u00a0 improved significantly to consistently wrestle Green to victory.\u00a0It\u2019s not a fight worth betting for me, but stylistically and based on r\u00e9sum\u00e9, <strong>Green is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Neil Magny +280 vs Yaroslav Amosov -390\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Magny continues to be a tough gatekeeper and still has plenty left. He\u2019s won two straight, cardio looks strong, and his submission game remains solid. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Amosov comes in with hype, but most of his r\u00e9sum\u00e9 is from Bellator and smaller organizations. Fighters entering UFC in their 30s are\u00a0always a concern\u2014why now? <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Magny\u2019s experience and versatility make this competitive. <strong>Slight lean to Magny<\/strong>, but not a confident pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Amanda Lemos +134 vs Gillian Robertson -172\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Lemos brings the striking edge, but Robertson has been on fire, winning 7 of her last 8.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Robertson\u2019s ground control and forward pressure continue to improve. Lemos was taken down\u00a0 and held early in her last fight against Suarez but rallied late. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Lemos has takedowns, but the\u00a0ground game isn\u2019t her strength. Close fight, but Robertson should win key moments on the mat.\u00a0<strong>Robertson is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Joanderson Brito -325 vs Isaac Thomson +260\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Thomson just won a close split against an aggressive wrestler in October, he steps in short\u00a0notice, and there\u2019s a lot to like about him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Young, athletic, and plenty of cardio, he should have a decent height and reach advantage, but Brito\u2019s aggression and violence is a big step up for\u00a0Thomson. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Brito makes bad decisions, and it cost him big against Sabatini, if he makes those\u00a0 same mistakes (like throwing body kicks against a wrestler who can take him down when he\u00a0throws those kicks), Thomson has a path to victory. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think this fight is closer than the odds\u00a0 suggest, but Brito was training for a fight, he needs a win to snap the skid, his speed and power\u00a0should be too much. <strong>Brito the pick<\/strong>, but way too much juice to lay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kennedy Nzechukwu -125 vs Marcus Buchecha +105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Buchecha made his UFC debut and looked bad. He\u2019s a grappler\/wrestler, but he couldn\u2019t take\u00a0Martin Buday down and gassed quickly. His striking is extremely limited. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He has one path: get Kennedy down. Kennedy has shown both submission ability and knockout power, but he makes\u00a0mistakes too. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>If Buchecha can\u2019t get takedowns, Kennedy\u2019s power at heavyweight should end\u00a0this. <strong>Kennedy is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Morgan Cherriere -115 vs Melquizael Costa -105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Charriere has historically been too low volume, but he improved last fight\u2014though Nate\u00a0 Landwehr forces high pace on anyone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Charriere showed good leg kicks and some wrestling,\u00a0though he doesn\u2019t do much with takedowns. Costa is more well-rounded: quick kicks, clean boxing, good movement, and he\u2019s on a four-fight win streak. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I trust Costa\u2019s aggression more.\u00a0Charriere can lose rounds from inactivity. <strong>Costa in a close one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cezary Oleksiejczuk -205 vs Cesar Almeida +175\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Almeida will be a trendy underdog, which is always a little scary, but the line is still off. Cezary\u00a0has real power\u2014four straight first-round finishes\u2014and though he isn\u2019t a wrestler, Almeida\u00a0comes from a kickboxing background and will strike as well. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Cezary trains with Fighting Nerds,\u00a0an excellent camp. I like the under here: both guys throw heat, and Almeida\u2019s chin is too\u00a0 exposed. <strong>Cezary should win<\/strong>, but the line should be closer to pick\u2019em.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kevin Vallejos -285 vs Giga Chikadze +245\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Giga is now 37 and slowing noticeably. He\u2019s dropped 3 of his last 4, and although the kicking\u00a0technique remains, the explosiveness is fading. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Vallejos is shorter and stockier but has real\u00a0 power. He just went three rounds in a competitive fight, which was good to see. He can mix in\u00a0 takedowns and pressure Giga. <strong>Vallejos by decision is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UFC Fight Night Main Event: Manel Kape -255 vs Brandon Royval +215<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Kape is a dynamic striker with elite explosiveness. His only recent loss was to wrestler\u00a0Muhammad Mokaev, and Royval won\u2019t wrestle like that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Royval is long and awkward with his\u00a0 striking, but he was out-struck by Josh Van and hurt late. His two recent wins were split\u00a0 decisions\u2014he\u2019s right on the edge competitively. Kape has the clear striking edge and should\u00a0win. <strong>Kape is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37959","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37959"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37959\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37960,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37959\/revisions\/37960"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31925"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37959"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37959"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37959"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}