UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> <\/span>gives his UFC 322 picks and predictions for November 15<\/strong> with the main event headlined by Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev<\/strong> in a welterweight title fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from Madison Square Garden in\u00a0New York,\u00a0NY.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n Viacheslav Borshchev vs Matheus Camilo\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Camilo is a striker with little ground game \u2014 and so is Borshchev. The issue is that neither man\u00a0has shown much growth or upside lately. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Borshchev sits at 8-6 and has dropped three of his last\u00a0 four, while Camilo was dominated in his UFC debut. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Both fighters are hittable, inconsistent, and\u00a0unreliable from a betting perspective. If there\u2019s an edge, it\u2019s Camilo\u2019s youth (only 24 years old)\u00a0and slightly heavier hands, but this is a low-level, unbettable matchup.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Camilo (no bet)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Pat Sabbatini -136 vs Chepe Mariscal +108\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n If this fight hits the mat, Sabbatini dominates \u2014 plain and simple. His grappling control and\u00a0submission setups are elite, and he\u2019s won seven of nine UFC fights with that formula. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Chepe is tough, physical, and can make it messy on the feet, but he doesn\u2019t have the explosiveness or\u00a0 takedown defense to consistently keep it standing. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Sabbatini has also been active in grappling\u00a0 competition, winning seven straight matches, which keeps him sharp in his strongest area. As\u00a0long as he avoids getting clipped early, this is his fight to lose.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Sabbatini by decision (dominant grappling control)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Malcolm Wellmaker -145 vs Cody Haddon +120\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Haddon steps in on short notice after a scrappy win over Argueta, but that fight said more about Argueta\u2019s decline than Haddon\u2019s upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n His striking is fine, his ground game is fine \u2014 but\u00a0 \u201cfine\u201d doesn\u2019t beat someone as explosive and composed as Wellmaker. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Wellmaker, though only\u00a010 fights deep into his career, is physically imposing, fights smart, and has real knockout power.\u00a0 Expect him to overwhelm Haddon early and finish him inside the first round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Wellmaker by finish<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Gregory Rodrigues -166 vs Roman Kopylov +130\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Rodrigues remains a dangerous but flawed fighter \u2014 powerful early, vulnerable late. His cardio\u00a0 continues to be a concern, but his violence and pressure often carry him through. Kopylov,\u00a0meanwhile, appears stuck in neutral. <\/p>\n\n\n\n He\u2019s low volume, doesn\u2019t threaten much grappling, and\u00a0hasn\u2019t shown the power to test Rodrigues\u2019 sometimes-suspect chin. Kopylov\u2019s recent loss to\u00a0 Costa exposed those holes again. Expect Rodrigues to bully forward and land the heavier shots early.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Rodrigues by finish<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Bo Nickal -235 vs Rodolfo Vieira +180\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Nickal\u2019s decline in wrestling usage has been alarming. Once a dominant grappler, he\u2019s fallen in love with striking \u2014 and it cost him dearly in his last fight when he was knocked out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Vieira can\u00a0 wrestle, he\u2019s a submission threat, and he\u2019s the more comfortable striker of the two. Nickal\u2019s\u00a0 wrestling pedigree still matters, but if he refuses to use it, he\u2019s in trouble. Given his recent approach, it\u2019s hard to justify laying a big number.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Vieira (dog value)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Kyle Daukus -325 vs Gerald Meerschaert +250\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Meerschaert is fading fast. He\u2019s 2-6 in his last eight, and his only wins came against fringe-level opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n His striking lacks power, his wrestling has regressed, and his submission setups are\u00a0 slower and easier to defend. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Daukus, meanwhile, is rejuvenated after a UFC cut and a strong\u00a0regional comeback, including a KO of Michel Pereira. He\u2019s younger, sharper, and far more\u00a0durable at this stage.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Daukus by finish<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Fatima Kline -440 vs Angela Hill +310\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Kline is a powerhouse in all phases. Her wrestling, submissions, and now her striking have all\u00a0leveled up \u2014 and she looks like a future title contender. Hill, now 40, is on the decline. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Her\u00a0output and cardio are both slipping, with her strike volume dropping significantly over her last few fights. Against a physical grappler like Kline, that\u2019s a nightmare combination. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Kline by dominant win (likely finish)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Balsangur Susurkaev -800 vs Eric McConico +575\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This is a tailor-made showcase for Susurkaev. He\u2019s well-rounded, composed, and deadly with submissions or ground-and-pound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n McConico, on the other hand, doesn\u2019t excel in any one area\u00a0 \u2014 limited striking, basic grappling, and no knockout power. This is as close to a mismatch as it\u00a0gets.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Susurkaev by finish<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Erin Blanchfield -210 vs Tracy Cortez +162\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n A great stylistic matchup between two strong, physical grapplers. Cortez thrives on pressure and\u00a0 control, but Blanchfield matches her physicality and brings the sharper striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Both are durable\u00a0with great cardio, but Blanchfield\u2019s volume and technical precision give her the edge. The fight\u00a0 should go long, but Blanchfield\u2019s cleaner work wins rounds.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Blanchfield by decision<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Sean Brady -132 vs Michael Morales +104\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This could be a passing-of-the-torch moment. Brady is an elite wrestler, but Morales is a special talent \u2014 only 26, yet already polished and powerful. Brady\u2019s striking still lags behind, and\u00a0Morales\u2019 speed and athleticism may overwhelm him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Add in Morales\u2019 national championship\u00a0background in freestyle wrestling, and Brady might find his usual grappling advantage\u00a0neutralized. Expect a tight fight early with Morales taking over late.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Morales by decision (underdog value)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Benoit Saint Denis -215 vs Beneil Dariush +164\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Dariush\u2019s best days are clearly behind him. He\u2019s been finished early in two of his last three and\u00a0 struggled badly even in his win against Moicano. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Saint Denis has rebounded from his own skid\u00a0with two straight finishes built on relentless takedowns and aggression. Dariush\u2019s chin and durability won\u2019t hold up to that pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Saint Denis by finish<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Carlos Prates -210 v Leon Edwards +162\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Leon Edwards\u2019 recent run has been up and down \u2014 an iconic upset over Usman followed by\u00a0uninspired performances against Muhammad and Brady. <\/p>\n\n\n\n His volume and explosiveness have\u00a0faded. Prates, meanwhile, is in his prime, a dynamic striker with serious power, cardio, and\u00a0 momentum. Unless Edwards can rediscover his wrestling, he\u2019ll get outworked on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Prates by decision or late finish<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Valentina Shevchenko -120 vs Weili Zhang -106\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n This is a near-perfect stylistic mirror match \u2014 both elite strikers, both strong in the clinch, both durable and well-conditioned. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Weili\u2019s wrestling may be a touch sharper; Valentina\u2019s precision striking might be cleaner. The big question is how Weili\u2019s power and frame translate at the\u00a0 higher weight. Expect a tactical fight with both having moments, but it\u2019s hard to see a finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Weili Zhang by close decision\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Best Bet: Fight to go the distance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n Makhachev is aging, but his skill set remains world-class. His wrestling, striking, and composure\u00a0 under pressure are unmatched. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Jack Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker but lacks the\u00a0takedown defense needed to survive here \u2014 we\u2019ve seen Bassil Hafez and Gilbert Burns take him\u00a0down easily. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Makhachev\u2019s camp knows that\u2019s the path, and he\u2019ll exploit it. Expect domination\u00a0 on the mat leading to a submission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pick: Islam Makhachev by submission<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, WagerTalk TV<\/a> is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.<\/em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\nJack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev:<\/strong> UFC 322 Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, November 15<\/th> UFC 322 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr> Moneyline:<\/td> Jack Della Maddalena +215 vs Islam Makhachev -290<\/td><\/tr> Rounds:<\/td> 3.5 Rounds (Over -125 \/ Under +105)<\/td><\/tr> Fight Time:<\/td> Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET \/ 7:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr> Arena:<\/td> Madison Square Garden,\u00a0New York,\u00a0NY<\/td><\/tr> TV:<\/td> PPV<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n UFC 322 Predictions: Undercard<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
UFC 322 Main Event: Dricus Du Plessis +165 vs Khamzat Chimaev -215<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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