{"id":37749,"date":"2025-11-07T08:00:41","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T13:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=37749"},"modified":"2025-11-07T08:00:43","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T13:00:43","slug":"college-football-week-11-picks-betting-preview-unlv-vs-colorado-state-and-san-diego-state-vs-hawaii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/college-football-week-11-picks-betting-preview-unlv-vs-colorado-state-and-san-diego-state-vs-hawaii\/","title":{"rendered":"College Football Week 11 Picks &#038; Betting Preview: UNLV vs Colorado State and San Diego State vs Hawaii"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">The\u00a0<strong>Mountain West Conference<\/strong>\u00a0takes center stage in college football Week 11 with two pivotal matchups:\u00a0<strong>UNLV vs Colorado State<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>San Diego State vs Hawaii.<\/strong>\u00a0Each game features strong betting trends, notable recent performances, and contrasting styles that define this stretch run of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">Let\u2019s break down both games:\u00a0UNLV vs Colorado State and San Diego State vs Hawaii, using matchup insights from <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/picks\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WagerTalk<\/a>!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UNLV Rebels vs Colorado State Rams<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Colorado State has covered the spread in&nbsp;<strong>five straight meetings<\/strong>&nbsp;between these programs. The Mountain West rivals did&nbsp;<strong>not meet last season<\/strong>, setting up a renewed matchup with plenty of intrigue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This will be Colorado State\u2019s&nbsp;<strong>second game since firing former head coach Jay Norvell.<\/strong>&nbsp;The Rams were shut out in their first outing under the interim staff, falling&nbsp;<strong>28\u20130 at Wyoming<\/strong>, but this week\u2019s contest represents a fresh opportunity for improvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UNLV vs Colorado State Offensive &amp; Defensive Breakdown<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>For UNLV, defensive struggles have dominated recent weeks.&nbsp;<strong>Four of the Rebels\u2019 last five games have gone over the total<\/strong>, largely due to major breakdowns on that side of the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>UNLV\u2019s defense ranks in the\u00a0<strong>bottom five nationally in EPA per rush attempt allowed.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Rebels have surrendered\u00a0<strong>56 and 40 points<\/strong>\u00a0in back-to-back losses to Boise State and New Mexico.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Over the last five contests, UNLV opponents have averaged\u00a0<strong>39.8 points per game.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>That trend paints a clear picture \u2014 UNLV\u2019s defense has been unable to contain opposing rushing attacks or limit explosive scoring drives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: Over 61.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>While Colorado State may not replicate the scoring pace of UNLV\u2019s recent opponents, anything approaching that production level should be enough to\u00a0<strong>push this matchup\u2019s total over<\/strong>\u00a0once again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams\u2019 trajectories \u2014 the Rams\u2019 post-coaching change adjustments and UNLV\u2019s defensive vulnerabilities \u2014 make this one of Week 11\u2019s most interesting Mountain West games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2b50\u00a0<strong>Pick Rating:<\/strong>\u00a03 Stars<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">San Diego State Aztecs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Following Boise State\u2019s loss to Fresno State last week \u2014 and with the Broncos now without their starting quarterback \u2014&nbsp;<strong>San Diego State<\/strong>&nbsp;has emerged as the&nbsp;<strong>favorite to win the Mountain West.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Aztecs have dominated this series recently,&nbsp;<strong>winning four straight meetings<\/strong>&nbsp;against Hawaii. However, the&nbsp;<strong>average margin of victory is just 4.75 points<\/strong>, and none of those games were decided by more than a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That historical trend provides important context for this year\u2019s matchup, as San Diego State enters favored by a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii&#8217;s Recent Form<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Hawaii\u2019s competitiveness has been a defining feature of its 2025 campaign:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Warriors\u00a0<strong>have not lost by more than a touchdown since Week 1 at Arizona.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They benefited from a\u00a0<strong>bye two weeks ago<\/strong>, reducing travel fatigue heading into this contest.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Quarterback\u00a0<strong>Micah Alejado<\/strong>\u00a0impressed in his last outing, going\u00a0<strong>31-of-46 for 367 yards and three touchdowns<\/strong>against San Jose State in a back-and-forth game that came down to the final minute.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Hawaii\u2019s consistent offensive output and late-game resilience have kept the program in nearly every contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: Hawaii +6.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>San Diego State\u2019s strong month of play has elevated its standing in the Mountain West, but recent results between these two programs suggest a competitive game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Aztecs\u2019 winning streak over Hawaii has come by narrow margins, and both sides enter Week 11 with confidence in their respective offensive units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2b50\u00a0<strong>Pick Rating:<\/strong>\u00a04 Stars<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2025 Football GoldSheet Newsletter<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Subscribe to the country&#8217;s longest-running sports betting newsletter for less than $10 per week. The Football GoldSheet will be your betting concierge through the 2025-26 football season, offering weekly NFL and NCAAF game previews, stat logs and much more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-white-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/goldsheet\/football\/\">Subscribe to GoldSheet<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.09536339388008597\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the college football Week 11 games, including Mountain West college football contests. Find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">free college football picks<\/a> from season win total bets through National Championship futures on our free picks pages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0Mountain West Conference\u00a0takes center stage in college football Week 11 with two pivotal matchups:\u00a0UNLV vs Colorado State and\u00a0San Diego State vs Hawaii.\u00a0Each game features strong betting trends, notable recent performances, and contrasting styles that define this stretch run of the season. Let\u2019s break down both games:\u00a0UNLV vs Colorado State and San Diego State vs Hawaii, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37750,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[1866,1088,1862,11840,15486,11832,11833,7471,500,15488,15487],"class_list":["post-37749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-college-football-odds","tag-college-football-picks","tag-college-football-week-11","tag-college-football-week-11-bets","tag-college-football-week-11-odds","tag-college-football-week-11-picks","tag-college-football-week-11-predictions","tag-college-football-week-11-preview","tag-mountain-west-conference","tag-san-diego-state-vs-hawaii","tag-unlv-vs-colorado-state"],"basic_html":"\n<p class=\"wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">The\u00a0<strong>Mountain West Conference<\/strong>\u00a0takes center stage in college football Week 11 with two pivotal matchups:\u00a0<strong>UNLV vs Colorado State<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>San Diego State vs Hawaii.<\/strong>\u00a0Each game features strong betting trends, notable recent performances, and contrasting styles that define this stretch run of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">Let\u2019s break down both games:\u00a0UNLV vs Colorado State and San Diego State vs Hawaii, using matchup insights from <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/picks\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/picks\">WagerTalk<\/a>!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UNLV Rebels vs Colorado State Rams<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Colorado State has covered the spread in&nbsp;<strong>five straight meetings<\/strong>&nbsp;between these programs. The Mountain West rivals did&nbsp;<strong>not meet last season<\/strong>, setting up a renewed matchup with plenty of intrigue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This will be Colorado State\u2019s&nbsp;<strong>second game since firing former head coach Jay Norvell.<\/strong>&nbsp;The Rams were shut out in their first outing under the interim staff, falling&nbsp;<strong>28\u20130 at Wyoming<\/strong>, but this week\u2019s contest represents a fresh opportunity for improvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UNLV vs Colorado State Offensive &amp; Defensive Breakdown<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For UNLV, defensive struggles have dominated recent weeks.&nbsp;<strong>Four of the Rebels\u2019 last five games have gone over the total<\/strong>, largely due to major breakdowns on that side of the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That trend paints a clear picture \u2014 UNLV\u2019s defense has been unable to contain opposing rushing attacks or limit explosive scoring drives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">UNLV vs Colorado State Prediction: Over 61.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>While Colorado State may not replicate the scoring pace of UNLV\u2019s recent opponents, anything approaching that production level should be enough to\u00a0<strong>push this matchup\u2019s total over<\/strong>\u00a0once again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams\u2019 trajectories \u2014 the Rams\u2019 post-coaching change adjustments and UNLV\u2019s defensive vulnerabilities \u2014 make this one of Week 11\u2019s most interesting Mountain West games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>\u2b50\u00a0<strong>Pick Rating:<\/strong>\u00a03 Stars<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">San Diego State Aztecs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Following Boise State\u2019s loss to Fresno State last week \u2014 and with the Broncos now without their starting quarterback \u2014&nbsp;<strong>San Diego State<\/strong>&nbsp;has emerged as the&nbsp;<strong>favorite to win the Mountain West.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Aztecs have dominated this series recently,&nbsp;<strong>winning four straight meetings<\/strong>&nbsp;against Hawaii. However, the&nbsp;<strong>average margin of victory is just 4.75 points<\/strong>, and none of those games were decided by more than a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That historical trend provides important context for this year\u2019s matchup, as San Diego State enters favored by a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hawaii's Recent Form<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hawaii\u2019s competitiveness has been a defining feature of its 2025 campaign:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hawaii\u2019s consistent offensive output and late-game resilience have kept the program in nearly every contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction: Hawaii +6.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>San Diego State\u2019s strong month of play has elevated its standing in the Mountain West, but recent results between these two programs suggest a competitive game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Aztecs\u2019 winning streak over Hawaii has come by narrow margins, and both sides enter Week 11 with confidence in their respective offensive units.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>\u2b50\u00a0<strong>Pick Rating:<\/strong>\u00a04 Stars<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2025 Football GoldSheet Newsletter<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Subscribe to the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter for less than $10 per week. The Football GoldSheet will be your betting concierge through the 2025-26 football season, offering weekly NFL and NCAAF game previews, stat logs and much more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.09536339388008597\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the college football Week 11 games, including Mountain West college football contests. Find <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">free college football picks<\/a> from season win total bets through National Championship futures on our free picks pages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37749"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37752,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37749\/revisions\/37752"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}