{"id":37740,"date":"2025-11-06T10:21:58","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T15:21:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=37740"},"modified":"2025-11-06T10:22:00","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T15:22:00","slug":"ufc-fight-night-bonfim-vs-brown-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-november-8-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-bonfim-vs-brown-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-november-8-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds November 8, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> <\/span>gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for <\/strong>November 8, 2025 with the main event headlined by Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown<\/strong> in a welterweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, November 8<\/th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Moneyline:<\/td>Gabriel Bonfim -180 vs Randy Brown +150<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>2.5 (Over -120 \/ Under -105)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET \/ 4:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>UFC APEX,\u00a0Las Vegas,\u00a0NV<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Undercard UFC Fight Night Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Robert Valentin -162 vs Jackson McVey +128\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valentin is 0-3 and McVey 0-1 in the UFC, so both fighters are desperate for a win. McVey\u00a0prefers to grapple but isn\u2019t strong enough to control opponents at this level, and he made big\u00a0 mistakes in his debut that led to a submission loss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valentin has looked tentative in past fights\u00a0against larger opponents, but McVey doesn\u2019t pose the same physical threat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

When confident,\u00a0Valentin is aggressive and violent, which makes all the difference here. Pick: Valentin, and\u00a0 expect this fight not to go the distance.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Denise Gomes -230 vs Tecia Pennington +176\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gomes continues to impress with her blend of power, wrestling, and reliable cardio. Pennington\u00a0has done well since returning from maternity leave, winning two straight, but she lacks finishing\u00a0power and doesn\u2019t create much danger. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Pennington uses steady pressure and activity to win rounds, Gomes will be the more precise and powerful striker. Expect Gomes to land the\u00a0cleaner, harder shots throughout. Pick: Gomes by decision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Josh Hokit -400 vs Max Gimenis +285\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a clear setup fight for Hokit\u2019s UFC debut. Gimenis is primarily a grappler with very\u00a0limited MMA experience, and he\u2019s unlikely to handle Hokit\u2019s athleticism or wrestling strength.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hokit should dominate wherever the fight goes, as his striking is far superior and his ground\u00a0control is solid. Don\u2019t expect this one to last long. Pick: Hokit by quick finish.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacqueline Cavalcanti -280 vs Mayra Bueno Silva +210\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Silva has looked disinterested and unmotivated in recent fights, often fading when things don\u2019t go her way. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cavalcanti\u2019s striking should be enough to frustrate Silva, but she isn\u2019t strong on the\u00a0ground, which leaves a potential submission path for Silva. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Still, Silva\u2019s lack of consistency and\u00a0gas tank make her hard to back. Pick: Pass on the moneyline \u2014 Silva\u2019s only chance is a\u00a0 submission.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adrian Yanez -245 vs Cristian Quinonez +186\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quinonez starts fast but fades quickly, relying heavily on early aggression. His cardio issues will\u00a0 cost him against Yanez, who has superior hand speed, boxing technique, and composure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the fight progresses, expect Yanez to take over completely as Quinonez slows down. A late finish is\u00a0 very possible once Quinonez begins making mistakes. Pick: Yanez, likely by late KO\/TKO.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hyder Amil -140 vs Jamall Emmers +110\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amil is in a great bounce-back spot after his first career loss via flash knockout. He\u2019s aggressive,\u00a0 powerful, and durable, with the cardio to go three hard rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Emmers is dangerous early but\u00a0 reckless, often leaving himself open during wild exchanges. This fight should be full of chaos\u00a0and violence, but Amil\u2019s pressure and accuracy should eventually pay off. Pick: Amil by finish.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Marco Tulio -180 vs Christian Leroy Duncan +140\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tulio has been on a roll, but this matchup favors Duncan\u2019s experience and physicality. Both are\u00a0skilled strikers, yet Duncan\u2019s clinch work and strength should neutralize Tulio\u2019s offense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tulio\u00a0won\u2019t have the same success landing big shots against someone as durable as Duncan. Expect the\u00a0 veteran to frustrate Tulio with movement and composure. Pick: Duncan in an upset.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ricky Simon -164 vs Raoni Barcelos +128\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Barcelos has looked rejuvenated lately, riding a three-fight win streak built on sharp striking and\u00a0 composure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Simon, though a strong wrestler, hasn\u2019t shown the same dominance recently,\u00a0struggling against lower-level competition and fading late. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Barcelos can defend the early\u00a0takedowns, his crisper striking should win him the later rounds. Pick: Barcelos by close\u00a0decision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ismael Bonfim -215 vs Chris Padilla +164\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bonfim\u2019s last loss came via doctor stoppage after a leg kick injured his eye, but he looked solid\u00a0before that moment. His forward pressure and fast combinations make him the more dangerous\u00a0 fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Padilla has heart but lacks the technical polish or power to keep Bonfim honest. Expect\u00a0Bonfim to overwhelm him with volume and aggression. Pick: Bonfim by dominant decision or\u00a0late stoppage.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uros Medic -190 vs Muslim Salikhov +160\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The odds are puzzling here, as Medic\u2019s chin remains a major concern. Salikhov, sthough 41, still\u00a0carries fight-ending power and has scored two straight knockout wins. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Medic\u2019s speed may keep\u00a0 him safe early, but he\u2019s vulnerable to being caught clean. Salikhov\u2019s experience and precision\u00a0give him the edge in a firefight. Pick: Salikhov by KO.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joseph Morales -265 vs Matt Schnell +200\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This looks like a mismatch. Schnell\u2019s durability, speed, and skill have all declined, and he no\u00a0 longer poses a real threat to top-level opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Morales has shown strong striking and\u00a0 wrestling, along with good fight IQ, and he should dictate every aspect of this bout. Unless\u00a0Morales gets reckless, Schnell won\u2019t survive three rounds. Pick: Morales in a one-sided fight.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Gabriel Bonfim -180 vs Randy Brown +150<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

These odds feel off, with Brown being the value side. Bonfim\u2019s defensive lapses on the feet\u00a0could be costly against Brown\u2019s reach and power. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brown\u2019s inconsistency and occasional lack of\u00a0 aggression are concerns, but he\u2019s much bigger and should be able to stuff Bonfim\u2019s wrestling\u00a0over time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Bonfim can\u2019t control him on the mat, Brown\u2019s experience and cardio will take over.\u00a0 Pick: Brown by decision or late KO.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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