{"id":37598,"date":"2025-10-29T08:27:35","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T12:27:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=37598"},"modified":"2025-10-29T08:27:37","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T12:27:37","slug":"wednesday-college-football-week-10-predictions-jacksonville-state-vs-middle-tennessee-fiu-vs-missouri-state","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football\/wednesday-college-football-week-10-predictions-jacksonville-state-vs-middle-tennessee-fiu-vs-missouri-state\/","title":{"rendered":"Wednesday College Football Week 10 Predictions: Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee & FIU vs Missouri State"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

As college football heads into Week 10, midweek action takes center stage with two intriguing matchups: Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee<\/strong> and FIU vs Missouri State<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both games feature teams looking to establish momentum, and this breakdown from WagerTalk<\/a> gives bettors insight into where the real value may lie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee \u2013 UNDER the Spotlight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kickoff<\/strong>: 7:30PM ET on ESPN2<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The first game of the night kicks off at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN2<\/strong>, as Jacksonville State<\/strong> visits Middle Tennessee<\/strong>. While both teams have had inconsistent seasons, this matchup comes down to contrasting styles and strengths\u2014especially when it comes to the ground game versus the air attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Middle Tennessee: A Struggling Rebound<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Middle Tennessee enters the contest at 1\u20136 straight up<\/strong>, yet they\u2019ve quietly started to reward bettors, covering three of their last five games<\/strong>, including back-to-back covers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, the Blue Raiders have shown signs of life in conference play, particularly with a newly found rushing attack<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

After failing to crack 75 rushing yards in three of their first four games, they’ve averaged over 100 rushing yards per game<\/strong> across their last three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But while the rushing numbers have improved, Middle Tennessee\u2019s passing game remains an issue<\/strong>, which is significant considering Jacksonville State’s primary defensive weakness is against the pass<\/strong>, giving up over 8.0 yards per attempt<\/strong>. This leaves Middle Tennessee ill-equipped to exploit that vulnerability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacksonville State: Ground Game Powerhouse<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Jacksonville State, averaging 31 points per game<\/strong>, leans heavily on its dominant rushing attack<\/strong>. With an offense that runs the ball nearly two-thirds of the time<\/strong>, the Gamecocks have racked up 277 rushing yards per game<\/strong>, averaging 5.7 yards per carry<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, they struggle in the passing game, managing just 5.9 yards per pass<\/strong>, far below the average against teams allowing 7.3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Defensively, Jacksonville State has done well containing the run, giving up just 4.1 yards per carry<\/strong>. That could neutralize Middle Tennessee\u2019s primary strength, turning this game into a grind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee Predictions: Under 54.6<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

With both teams inefficient through the air<\/strong> and relying on the run, this matchup sets up as a clock-draining affair<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The total of 54.5<\/strong> may be too high for a game where explosive plays are unlikely and possessions will be extended by ground-heavy playbooks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recommended look here is the full game UNDER 54.5<\/strong>, with possible interest in team total unders<\/strong>\u2014especially Middle Tennessee, who averages just 18.5 points per game<\/strong> on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Florida International vs Missouri State \u2013 Running Into Value<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kickoff<\/strong>: 8:00PM ET on CBS Sports Network<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The second nationally televised game kicks off at\u00a08:00 PM ET on CBS Sports Network<\/strong>, featuring\u00a0Florida International (FIU)<\/strong>\u00a0on the road against\u00a0Missouri State<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

While both teams enter under the radar, this matchup offers compelling angles in both the\u00a0side and total markets<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FIU: Offensive Surge Despite Recent Loss<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Florida International is coming off a\u00a045\u201326 loss<\/strong>\u00a0to Kennesaw State, but the score hides an important detail\u2014FIU\u2019s offense is\u00a0coming alive<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite the defeat, FIU racked up\u00a0518 total yards<\/strong>, including\u00a0222 on the ground<\/strong>\u00a0and nearly\u00a0300 through the air<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fact, over the past two weeks, FIU has logged more than\u00a0500 rushing yards combined<\/strong>, and has surpassed\u00a0220+ rushing yards<\/strong>\u00a0in\u00a0four of seven games<\/strong>\u00a0this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Missouri State: Questionable Rush Defense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

On the defensive side, Missouri State has posted strong performances against weaker rushing teams\u2014holding Tennessee Martin and Middle Tennessee to under 100 yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But overall, the Bears are allowing\u00a05.1 yards per carry<\/strong>, while their opponents average just 4.0\u2014making them about a\u00a0yard per carry worse than average<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Given that FIU is now averaging over 5.0 yards per carry<\/strong> and nearly 200 rushing yards per game<\/strong>, the ground game edge seems to lie with the Panthers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Florida International vs Missouri State Predictions: Over 51 \/ FIU +4 \/ FIU Total OVER 23.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

With Missouri State more effective through the air and FIU better on the ground, this sets up as a\u00a0strength vs. weakness<\/strong>matchup on both sides of the ball. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\u00a0total is set around 50.5 to 51.5<\/strong>, and both offenses are capable of exploiting defensive vulnerabilities. Sharper markets are already nudging the total\u00a0up to 51 or even 51.5<\/strong>, suggesting\u00a0over momentum<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for the side, FIU could be a value play as a road underdog at +4<\/strong>, particularly given their strong rushing advantage. If you’re hesitant on the spread, a solid alternative is the FIU team total OVER 23.5<\/strong>, which removes volatility tied to the Missouri State home crowd or other game flow variables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

WagerTalk\u2019s live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the college football Week 8 games, including this Florida State vs Stanford contest. Find free college football picks<\/a> from season win total bets through National Championship futures on our free picks pages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n