{"id":37477,"date":"2025-10-16T09:27:24","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T13:27:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=37477"},"modified":"2025-10-16T09:27:26","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T13:27:26","slug":"ufc-fight-night-de-ridder-vs-allen-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-october-18-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/ufc-fight-night-de-ridder-vs-allen-predictions-picks-and-betting-odds-october-18-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: de ridder vs Allen Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds October 18, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> <\/span>gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for <\/strong>October 18, 2025 with the main event headlined by Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen<\/strong> in a light middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen:<\/strong> UFC Fight Night Main Event<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Saturday, October 18<\/th>UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Moneyline:<\/td>Reinier de Ridder -235 vs Brendan Allen +190<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>3.5 (Over +105 \/ Under -135)<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET \/ 4:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>ESPN+<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Predictions<\/span>: Undercard<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Tainara Lisboa -160 vs Melissa Croden +135 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Croden makes her UFC debut in her home country of Canada. She loves to clinch, throws solid knees, and has decent striking, but her loss to Calvacanti showed she struggles against high-level opponents on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lisboa, on the other hand, is a strong striker with real power but can struggle when taken down and controlled. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Croden can keep this fight in the clinch, she\u2019ll have a chance, but Lisboa\u2019s clean striking and footwork should keep her out of danger. Lisboa pieces her up on the feet for the win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Azamat Bekoev -280 vs Yousri Belgaroui +230 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bekoev has been on fire to start his UFC run, finishing both of his opponents violently in the first round. He\u2019s shown solid cardio and strong takedown defense against good wrestlers, proving he\u2019s more than just a knockout artist. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Belgaroui is long and technical, but lacks power against higher-level competition and tires late. This is a tough stylistic matchup for him \u2014 Bekoev will walk him down and control the fight. Bekoev is the easy pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stephanie Luciano -350 vs Ravena Oliveira +275\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oliveira returns after a two-year layoff, and while she wasn\u2019t awful in her debut, she struggled badly in the clinch and got outworked. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luciano, meanwhile, is an active striker who constantly pushes forward with good volume and pressure. She\u2019s coming off a close loss to Sam Hughes\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

but showed great heart and pace. Unless Oliveira has made massive improvements during her\u00a0time off, Luciano\u2019s activity and aggression should carry her to victory. Luciano by decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Drew Dober -500 vs Kyle Prepolic +380\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dober has lost four of his last five, with his only win coming against a low-level opponent. His durability is slipping, but his power remains dangerous. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prepolic stepped in on short notice last time and got finished by Benoit Saint-Denis, showing little resistance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unless Dober\u2019s chin is\u00a0completely gone, he should walk through Prepolic\u2019s limited offense and find the finish. The best\u00a0bet is the fight not to go the distance<\/strong>, with Dober by KO the most likely result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hyunsung Park -250 vs Bruno Silva +205\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bruno Silva\u2019s striking defense is a major liability \u2014 he gets hit far too often and relies on\u00a0landing a big counter shot. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hyunsung Park stepped in on short notice last fight and got\u00a0 dominated by Tatsuro Taira, but that\u2019s forgivable given the opponent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Park\u2019s grappling and\u00a0control game are strong, and if he avoids a flash knockout, he should dominate the fight on the\u00a0 ground. Expect Park to get it down, control position, and possibly lock in a submission. Park by\u00a0submission or dominant decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Charles Jourdain -145 vs Davey Grant +124\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Davey Grant continues to be one of the most undervalued fighters in the UFC. He brings\u00a0relentless pressure, great durability, and surprising power, and he\u2019s never been knocked out.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jourdain has good movement and footwork, but his lack of finishing power is concerning \u2014 no\u00a0knockouts in his last ten fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

This fight likely turns into a brawl, and Grant\u2019s toughness and\u00a0willingness to engage should win rounds. At plus money, Grant is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt Frevola -135 vs Kyle Nelson +115\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a classic Frevola fight \u2014 chaos and violence. Frevola\u2019s last six fights haven\u2019t gone the\u00a0distance, and that trend likely continues here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nelson is a grinder who prefers clinch battles and\u00a0 controlling the pace, but Frevola will turn this into a firefight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both fighters have power, but\u00a0Frevola\u2019s defense is shaky after two straight knockout losses. Take the fight not to go the\u00a0distance<\/strong>, with a small sprinkle on Nelson as the underdog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cody Gibson -120 vs Aoriqileng +100\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This one won\u2019t be a thriller, but Gibson has more tools. Aoriqileng gets pieced up on the feet and dominated on the mat by better opponents, and most of his wins are against fighters no longer in\u00a0the UFC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gibson is a competent striker and grappler who should have enough control time and\u00a0volume to take two rounds. Unless Aoriqileng lands something big, Gibson should grind out a\u00a0decision win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Manon Fiorot -230 vs Jasmine Jasudavicius +176\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A pure striker-versus-wrestler matchup. Jasmine needs to get the fight to the mat to have any chance, but Fiorot\u2019s length, footwork, and defensive awareness should keep her upright. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fiorot\u00a0has been facing elite competition, including Blanchfield and Shevchenko, and that experience\u00a0will serve her well. Expect Fiorot to control the range and keep Jasmine at bay with kicks and jabs. Fiorot by decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aiemann Zahabi -140 vs Marlon Vera +120\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vera looks like a shell of his former self \u2014 low output, little power, and poor urgency. Zahabi isn\u2019t much flashier, but he\u2019s more technical, moves better, and lands at a higher clip. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vera\u2019s inability to pressure and volume disadvantage should cost him rounds. Expect Zahabi to win a\u00a0 close but clear decision. Best bet: fight goes the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mike Malott -140 vs Kevin Holland +110\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Holland\u2019s performances depend entirely on his focus. When he\u2019s engaged, he\u2019s creative and\u00a0dangerous everywhere, but when he\u2019s not, he looks uninterested and loses winnable fights.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Malott has sharp finishing instincts, but his cardio remains questionable in deeper rounds. Holland\u2019s length will frustrate Malott early, though Malott can do damage in the clinch. If\u00a0Holland shows up motivated, he can pull the upset \u2014 I\u2019ll take him as the live underdog<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Reinier de Ridder -235 vs Brendan Allen +190<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

De Ridder continues to evolve, showing improved clinch striking and composure in his recent\u00a0win over Whittaker. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His grappling remains elite, and his physicality in close range makes him a\u00a0handful for most middleweights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Allen, meanwhile, looked sluggish in his recent fights and\u00a0hasn\u2019t displayed much urgency or power. De Ridder\u2019s pressure and wrestling should break Allen\u00a0down over time. De Ridder by inside-the-distance finish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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