{"id":35843,"date":"2025-06-26T11:46:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T15:46:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=35843"},"modified":"2025-06-26T11:46:14","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T15:46:14","slug":"2025-pfl-tournament-7-semifinals-mma-picks-and-betting-odds-june-27-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/mma\/2025-pfl-tournament-7-semifinals-mma-picks-and-betting-odds-june-27-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"2025 PFL Tournament 7 Semifinals | MMA Picks and Betting Odds June 27, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

PFL Tournament 7 Semifinals Betting Preview, Picks and Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MMA WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang<\/a> gives his <\/span>2025 PFL Tournament 7 <\/span><\/strong>picks<\/span> for June 27<\/span><\/strong> with <\/span>Fabian Edwards vs Josh Silveira<\/strong> headlining in the main event. The main card starts up at 10:30pm ET from<\/span> Wintrust Arena in\u00a0Chicago,\u00a0IL!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2025 PFL Tournament 7 Betting Information<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Friday, June 27<\/th>2025 PFL Tournament 7 (Courtesy of Caesars)<\/th><\/tr>
Main Event:<\/td>Fabian Edwards -500 vs Josh Silveira +325<\/td><\/tr>
Rounds:<\/td>N\/A<\/td><\/tr>
Fight Time:<\/td>Main Card Starts at 10:30pm ET \/ 7:30pm PT<\/td><\/tr>
Arena:<\/td>Wintrust Arena in\u00a0Chicago,\u00a0IL<\/td><\/tr>
TV:<\/td>ESPN<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

2025 PFL 7 Tournament Predictions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Rafael Xavier -170 vs Karl Albrektsson +140 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Albrektsson is stepping back into the cage just seven weeks after getting brutally knocked out\u00a0with elbows\u2014a quick turnaround that raises red flags, especially given his known cardio issues.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He tends to fade hard after the first round. Xavier, on the other hand, brings consistent pressure,\u00a0solid cardio across three rounds, and much cleaner striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He just went the distance in a close\u00a0split decision loss to Simeon Powell, a high-level opponent. As long as Xavier stays off the fence\u00a0 and avoids the clinch early, he should take over and pull away late. Xavier is the play<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oleg Popov -225 vs Rodrigo Nascimento +175 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This projects to be a low-output, grind-it-out heavyweight fight with minimal fireworks. Popov\u00a0will likely lean on his wrestling to control position, while Nascimento will try to keep range with\u00a0kicks and avoid being dragged to the mat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neither fighter is a big finisher, and both tend to fight\u00a0at a slower pace. Rather than picking a side in what could be a dull, position-heavy affair, the\u00a0better option is to take this fight to go the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biaggio Ali Walsh -1200 vs Ronnie Gibbs +700\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Don\u2019t overthink this one \u2014 this is a setup fight. The PFL continues to build up Biaggio Ali\u00a0 Walsh carefully, matching him with low-level opponents to develop his skills and rack up wins.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Walsh is still raw, but he has a massive edge in striking and athleticism. Gibbs will likely shoot\u00a0 for takedowns, but he doesn\u2019t have the skill or strength to hold Walsh down. Eventually, Walsh\u00a0 finds the chin. Play it the only way that makes sense: Walsh by KO<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Valentin Moldavsky -225 vs Alexandr Romanov +180\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Romanov hasn\u2019t evolved \u2014 he\u2019s still the same plodding, one-round-or-bust heavyweight who\u00a0struggles with conditioning and has minimal striking polish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He may have won his PFL debut,\u00a0but it came against Tim Johnson, who\u2019s far from elite and barely active as a full-time fighter.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moldavsky is smaller but significantly quicker, much sharper on the feet, and has the cardio to\u00a0 take over late. If this gets out of the first round, it\u2019s Moldavsky\u2019s fight all day. Great value here\u00a0 \u2014 Moldavsky at -180 is a gift<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalton Rosta -130 vs Aaron Jeffery +100 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rosta looks like he’s on another level physically and brings serious power and athleticism into\u00a0every fight. He submitted Sy back in April \u2014 an impressive feat \u2014 while Jeffery barely edged\u00a0out a split decision against him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jeffery\u2019s tough, but he\u2019s not going to match Rosta\u2019s\u00a0explosiveness or strength. Rosta should have the edge in both striking and grappling exchanges,\u00a0and unless he gasses or makes a huge mistake, he likely controls this fight start to finish. Rosta is\u00a0the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Raufeon Stots -190 vs Sergio Pettis +155 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pettis seems to be plateauing \u2014 two straight MMA losses and a boxing defeat in 2023 suggest\u00a0he’s no longer evolving. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He\u2019s well-rounded but doesn\u2019t have a standout skillset, and at this point,\u00a0he looks like a fighter collecting paychecks rather than chasing titles. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stots is 36, but still active,\u00a0explosive, and has legit finishing ability. He’s the more dangerous and motivated fighter here,\u00a0and should push the pace and take over. Stots is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Phil Davis -395 vs Sullivan Cauley +310 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cauley is a live underdog in this spot. His wrestling could pose real problems for Davis, who is\u00a0 solid everywhere but aging and not as explosive as he once was. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Davis is coming off a KO win,\u00a0but that was against Rob Wilkinson, who hasn\u2019t looked the same since his suspension. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

While\u00a0Davis is the more experienced and well-rounded fighter, Cauley\u2019s grappling and toughness make\u00a0 him a threat to grind out a decision. The price on Davis is steep, and Cauley has enough tools to\u00a0make this one interesting<\/strong>. Live dog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2025 PFL Tournament 7 Main Event: Fabian Edwards vs Josh Silveira<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

This line has gotten out of control, and that opens the door for value on Silveira. Edwards is a\u00a0 sharp striker, but his volume is low and he\u2019s often content to fight off the back foot. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He had a\u00a0highlight KO over Impa, but he was losing the clinch battle before landing that shot. Silveira is a\u00a0 strong wrestler and can win minutes if he dominates the clinch and grappling exchanges. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

His\u00a0cardio isn\u2019t great, but Edwards doesn\u2019t force a high pace, which gives Silveira a real shot in a\u00a0close fight. At this price, Silveira is absolutely worth a sprinkle<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

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