Bekzat Almakhan -185 vs Brad Katona +154<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nIt\u2019s a Brad Katona fight so we\u2019ll just play the over. He doesn\u2019t have a lot of finishing ability, but he is tough, durable, and skilled enough to not get finished himself, and we\u2019ve made a lot of money taking his overs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s gone to decision in 13 out of his last 14 fights, and his striking is ok as his volume is good, but the power really isn\u2019t there, his wrestling is ok as well, but again, he\u2019s not finishing anyone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Almakhan fought Umar Nurmagomedov in his debut, and more than held his own despite the loss, and we can expect him to try and get this to the ground quick as he loves getting takedowns and getting the ground and pound damage going. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019ll have success against Katona, I think he wins as his takedowns and ground game is relentless, but I would take him to win by decision<\/strong> to get a better price or just play the over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDaniel Santos -110 vs Jeong Yeong Lee -110 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLee is coming off one of the most insane 1 minute fights you\u2019ll see as he got in a firefight with Amil, and he paid the price getting knocked out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The fight was so crazy that Daniel Cormier was screaming like a girl as it got stopped\u2026it\u2019s worth going back and watching. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Lee and Santos are very similar in their striking, and ground game as neither guy is great at one thing, but both are pretty well rounded. Both have gotten takedowns in the past, both have shown their striking can last over 3 rounds, but Santos hasn\u2019t fought in almost 2 years so I really don\u2019t know what he\u2019s going to look like here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s a pass on betting who wins, but I\u2019ll take this fight to go the distance<\/strong> as both are equal everywhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nModestas Bukauskas -112 vs Ion Cutelaba -108<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI\u2019ll take a stab here on Cutelaba who has awful striking defense, but a good takedown and ground game and that\u2019s where he\u2019s going to have to win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Bukauskas has decent striking, but it\u2019s not amazing, and yet he still should find success as Cutelabla doesn\u2019t move his head, throws without protecting his chin, and is ripe to be hit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
In his last fight, we saw Aslan landing big shots on the feet, but as soon as Cutelaba got a clean takedown, he easily got the submission, and I don\u2019t think Bukauskas has a great ground game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If Bukauskas can land his jabs early, he can have success, but he\u2019ll have to stuff the takedowns to win, and he may only need to stuff a couple of them as Cutelaba\u2019s gas tank is pretty bad. That being said, I think Cutelaba can get it to the ground and get the win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNavajo Stirling -278 vs Ivan Erslan +210 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nStirling was unimpressive on Contender Series to me, he\u2019s raw, needs experience, and polishing, but he has all the physical tools as he\u2019s strong and powerful. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
They had him fight Tokkos in his debut, which was a layup for a debut, and while this is a little bit of a step up, I don\u2019t think Erslan is that good. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He gets tired easily, his striking is great and it\u2019s low volume, and his only chance in this one is to clinch, and try and get this on the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking is decent, but it\u2019s not as good as Stirling\u2019s so the longer this stays on the feet, the more Stirling is going to land his big strikes and wear down Erslan. As long as Stirling keeps getting guys at this caliber for his opponents, you have to take him to win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJasmine Jasudavicius -285 vs Jessica Andrade +230 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nToo much recency bias in this line for me. Jasmine has won 4 in a row, against good\u00a0 competition, but Andrade is by far the best fighter she\u2019s faced so far. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Jasmine should\u00a0 work for the takedown and ground control, and if she gets it, she\u2019ll dominate for sure,\u00a0 but if she doesn\u2019t get it, Andrade can be a menace with her own offense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Andrade just\u00a0lost to Natalia Silva, no shame in that, but had beat Marina Rodriguez and Mackenzie\u00a0Dern before that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
As long as Jasmine doesn\u2019t get cute with her attack, and keeps it to\u00a0 wrestling and getting takedowns, she should win, but at -285, it\u2019s a steep price. Do I\u00a0think Jasmine wins? Yes<\/strong>. Am I willing to pay this price? Not sure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMike Malott -230 vs Charles Radtke +190\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nRadtke has fought 3 bums, and Carlos Prates in the UFC and he beat the 3 bums and\u00a0lost to Prates so it\u2019s a bit tough to get a great read on him. He can strike, and he can\u00a0clinch, and he\u2019ll get his chances to do damage as Malott leaves himself open to get hit.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Malott is coming off a win against Giles, and it was obvious that Malott just wanted to go\u00a0 3 rounds to test his cardio as that\u2019s been his achilles heel. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He was pretty tentative\u00a0 against Giles, but his kicks and body work looked good, but he sacrificed his aggression\u00a0to conserve energy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think this fight is going to be really close, and Radtke has a good\u00a0chance to pull the upset with his striking. Malott has submission wins on his resume,\u00a0 but he hasn\u2019t shown them his last 2 fights, I think Radtke is worth a sprinkle at this price<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMarc Andre Barriault -148 vs Bruno Silva +124\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLoser probably gets cut in this one. Barriault has been knocked out in the first round of\u00a0his last 2 fights, with the last one being at the hands of Dustin Stoltzfus, which is only\u00a0the 2nd KO win for Stoltzfus in his career as he\u2019s a submission fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
So that\u2019s a\u00a0terrible look for Barriault. Silva might be worse though. This guy went the distance\u00a0 against Alex Pereira, and has looked awful since then. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s lost 4 straight, and even\u00a0 though they\u2019ve gone the distance, he hasn\u2019t really looked that competitive. His striking has been awful, he\u2019s not aggressive, it\u2019s really been a string of bad performances.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Barriault\u2019s chin is a gigantic concern, but I don\u2019t think Silva will land the big one to knock\u00a0him out. Barriault will win<\/strong> this with his volume and activity on the feet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBekzat Almakhan -180 vs Brad Katona +150<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nIt\u2019s a Brad Katona fight so I\u2019ll make this short and sweet. Fight goes the distance<\/strong>.\u00a0Katona has gone the distance in 13 out of his last 14 fights as he is good, but not great\u00a0 everywhere, and he\u2019s tough and durable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nHe doesn\u2019t finish anyone, and he doesn\u2019t get\u00a0 finished. Almakhan will work his relentless takedowns and ground game, I think he\u00a0 wins, but we just take the overs in every Katona fight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Benoit Saint-Denis -1200 vs Kyle Prepolec +800<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNo writeup needed. Prepolec is stepping in short notice, and he is getting a nice\u00a0payday to be a sacrificial lamb. Saint-Denis will win by however way he wants<\/strong>.\u00a0Number is unplayable, but throw it in your parlays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJose Aldo -225 vs Aiemann Zahabi +185<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nZahabi comes in on a five-fight win streak, but the level of competition hasn\u2019t been elite.\u00a0Aldo, despite being 38, still moves well and showed in the Bautista fight that he can\u00a0avoid damage and control distance \u2014 even in a loss that many thought he could\u2019ve\u00a0won. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Zahabi has decent power, but Aldo\u2019s elite footwork and signature kicks should\u00a0 neutralize that threat. Zahabi doesn\u2019t have the wrestling to hold Aldo against the cage,\u00a0which has been Aldo\u2019s biggest weakness in recent years. Expect Aldo\u2019s experience,\u00a0striking IQ, and volume to carry him to a clear win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNatalia Silva -218 vs Alexa Grasso +180<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSilva looks like a future UFC champion \u2014 elite speed, explosive striking, crisp combos,\u00a0and rock-solid takedown defense. She completely outclassed Andrade in her last fight,\u00a0staying composed and dominant even in clinch positions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Grasso, meanwhile, looked\u00a0flat in her last outing against Shevchenko: hesitant on the feet, no pop in her shots, and\u00a0 easily controlled on the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Unless Grasso shows drastic improvement, she\u2019ll be\u00a0outgunned here. This should stay standing, and Silva\u2019s speed, variety, and aggression\u00a0should overwhelm Grasso. Silva gets it done<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nManon Fiorot -148 vs Valentina Shevchenko +124\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nFiorot will be the bigger, longer, and stronger fighter \u2014 with clear advantages in reach\u00a0 and power on the feet. If this stays standing, she has the edge in a pure striking match.\u00a0But Shevchenko looked rejuvenated in her last fight, using her wrestling and top control\u00a0 to dominate Alexa Grasso. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
She\u2019s still one of the most well-rounded fighters in the\u00a0 division and has elite cardio and five-round experience. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If Valentina mixes in the\u00a0takedowns and keeps Fiorot off balance, she can chip away and control the tempo. At\u00a0plus money, Shevchenko\u2019s championship pedigree and versatility make her a great\u00a0value play<\/strong> here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUFC 315 Main Event: Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Belal hasn't lost since 2019, 10 wins and a no contest since his last defeat and he has\u00a0 really developed into a problem that's hard to solve. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He is reliable and we know what\u00a0 we are going to get from him. There's nothing particularly flashy but his fundamentals\u00a0are excellent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He rarely makes mistakes, has a great gas tank, mixes in all the grappling\u00a0\u00a0and striking and has good defense. He also is likely to be pushing forward which will\u00a0make striking harder for Maddalena who hasn't looked great going backwards in his UFC\u00a0career and has gas tank concerns. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His wrestling defense has also looked poor\/ mediocre and I think over 5 rounds Belal is going to pick his shots and moments and\u00a0wear him down<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34738","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34738"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34738\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35321,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34738\/revisions\/35321"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34740"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
![\"WagerTalk](\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\")
\n Sign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n