Loma Lookboonmee -600 vs Istela Nunes +420\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis fight is a joke. Nunes has 1 win since 2018. Nobody knew what COVID was. I\u00a0 was 2 years away from joining Wagertalk. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Patrick Mahomes was in his first season as a\u00a0starter. Taylor Hall was NHL MVP. The Shape Of Water was the Best Picture winner for\u00a0the Oscars. You get the point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
She\u2019s 0-4 in the UFC, and Loma has won 3 straight.\u00a0Her striking, wrestling, everything is better. This is a solid parlay piece<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nVanessa Demopoulos -115 vs Talita Alencar -105\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJust take this fight to go the distance. Neither one of these fighters can finish. Alencar is a grappler who has gone to decision in her CS and UFC fights, and her striking is\u00a0bad. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Demopoulos got finished in her last fight, but that was an exception as her\u00a0previous 6 fights went the distance, and Vanessa protested that Amorim grabbed the gloves, and she was right. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Demo can get taken down, but she\u2019s active from the bottom\u00a0so I don\u2019t see Alencar getting the finish if it goes to the ground, and Alencar is an\u00a0experienced grappler who won\u2019t get submitted. Lean to Demopoulos to get the win, but the over is the way to go here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nVictor Henry -198 vs Pedro Falcao +164<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nFalcoa put on a really uninspiring performance in his UFC debut as he pushed Hugo up\u00a0against the fence, and didn\u2019t do much with it, and he got tired as the fight went on so not\u00a0 great optics for him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Henry isn\u2019t great, but he\u2019s active on the feet, and has loads of\u00a0experience dealing with the low level grappling and wrestling that Falcao will show him.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He got submitted in his last fight, but his striking was fine against Jourdain who\u2019s a\u00a0much bigger fighter than Henry, and Henry was submitted when he was on top and in\u00a0control of Jourdain, he just made a really dumb mistake that I don\u2019t think he\u2019ll make\u00a0again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Honestly, I think Falcao is pretty bad, Henry should win this one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nGet $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including UFC Fight Night & More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Daniel Frunza -166 vs Rhys McKee +130\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nFrunza is making his UFC debut after a lacklust performance on Contender Series. He\u00a0 got his ass kicked in the first round, and then his opponent completely gassed and\u00a0 Frunza got the finish, but make no mistake, he was bad. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His takedown defense was\u00a0bad, his striking defense wasn\u2019t great, and his striking on the feet only worked when his\u00a0 opponent was dead tired. Is McKee a great fighter? No. Is he explosive? No. Is he\u00a0 better than Frunza? Absolutely. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s lost his 2 UFC fights since his return, but one was\u00a0 a split to Chidi Njokuani who is coming off a nice win, and I think he\u2019s going to be able to\u00a0 clinch and work the dirty boxing long enough to get the better of Frunza. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
This fight probably goes the distance, but I\u2019ll gladly fade the debutant in this one. McKee needs a win desparately to keep his roster spot so I expect a spirited effort from him against a\u00a0guy who was awful on CS. Easy play for me on the dog<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDione Barbosa -480 vs Diana Belbita +360\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBarbosa ALL DAY in this one. Belbita isn\u2019t going to be able to keep up with the\u00a0physicality and wrestling of Barbosa, and I don\u2019t even know if Belbita can keep up with the striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Barbosa had a really tough couple of fights to start her UFC career, but she\u00a0got the win against a tough kickboxer in Kareckaite, but Miranda Maverick was able to\u00a0 defeat her using the ground game advantage, but Belbita doesn\u2019t possess those skills.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Barbosa will use her striking to set up the wrestling, and I see a lot of control time for\u00a0Barbosa against the fence and on the ground. It\u2019s a steep price, but this should be in\u00a0your parlays this week<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDaniel Santos -180 vs Davey Grant +150\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nIt\u2019s been almost 2 years since we last saw Santos, and I\u2019m not sure why he had the long\u00a0 layoff, but I think he\u2019ll have success here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He has powerful striking, and he\u2019s shown the\u00a0ability to get takedowns and hold guys down, and Grant has a decent ground game, but\u00a0at age 39 I\u2019m not sure he\u2019s going to have the speed and power to keep up for all 3\u00a0rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Grant\u2019s striking is good, but it\u2019s just not as devestating as Santos\u2019s, and I think\u00a0 that will be the difference. Santos will have the bigger moments on the feet, but Grant is\u00a0tough guy to finish as he\u2019s never been knocked out. I think Santos edges out Grant on the scorecards, Santos by DEC is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLuis Gurule -205 vs Ode Osbourne +170<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nOde has lost 3 in a row, and his most recent loss to Ronaldo Rodriguz is not aging well\u00a0 as Rodriguez looked bad last Saturday in his loss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ode has shown bad fight IQ in the past, and his takedown defense and ground game has been bad recently as he\u2019s been\u00a0submitted twice in his last 3 fights, and then against Rodriguez he had the chance to finish Rodriguez with a choke, and he couldn\u2019t finish it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
On the feet, his striking is ok, but\u00a0 it\u2019s not scary, and his volune isn\u2019t great either. He shouldn\u2019t have to worry about Gurule\u00a0taking him down as Gurule is a striker so Ode will have to avoid the big shot, and piece\u00a0up Gurule on the fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
As bad as Ode\u2019s ground game has been, Gurule\u2019s is non existant and he barely escaped CS with a split decision win over an opponent that I\u00a0wasn\u2019t too impressed with. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Some of these CS fighters making their debut have looked\u00a0bad in the UFC, and I have a feeling Gurule may be in a bit over his head. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ode is a\u00a0UFC veteran, I think he\u2019ll show Gurule things that Gurule won\u2019t be ready for, I\u2019ll ride with Ode one more time to get the win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nTorrez Finney -238 vs Robert Valentin Frey +195\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nValentin lost to Loder in TUF finale, and he was dominated on the ground, which is not a\u00a0 good sign when you\u2019re fighting Finney. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Finney is a tank that will pick anyone up and\u00a0 he\u2019ll slam them, jump on them and land ground and pound. The issue is he\u2019s so big, and has so much muscle that he can get tired if he doesn\u2019t get the early finish, and\u00a0 that\u2019s what this is going to come down to. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If Finny gets him on the ground early, he can end this fight quick, but I think Valentin is going to give him some problems. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Valentin\u00a0has really powerful striking, and if he can get some early damage going on Finney, he\u00a0can slow him down, and all Valentin needs to do is get out of the first round, and I think Finney gets exhausted. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I don\u2019t think this fight goes the distance, I\u2019ll take Valentin to\u00a0survive early, and get the finish with Finney gasses in the 2nd or 3rd round<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBrad Tavares -258 vs Gerald Meerschaert +210\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI don\u2019t know what we did to deserve this fight, but this will be a snoozer. Meerschaert needs to get this to the ground to work his submission game, but Tavares is really tough\u00a0to take down so it\u2019s an uphill battle for sure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Tavares has lost 4 out of 5 fights, he\u2019s low\u00a0 volume on the feet, but he won\u2019t need to be too active to win a striking battle against Gerald. I don\u2019t see Meerschaert getting Tavares down and keeping him there for long,\u00a0I\u2019ll take Tavares to win by decision here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nKennedy Nzechukwu -325 vs Martin Buday +260\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nYou can\u2019t have any confidence in Martin Buday despite his solid UFC record. He\u2019s 5-1\u00a0 in the UFC, but every one of the guys he\u2019s beaten aren\u2019t in the UFC anymore, and the\u00a0one guy who is still left (Shamil Gaziev) KO\u2019d him with nasty elbows that cut him bad.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Buday\u2019s last fight was a split decision win against Arlovski, and that was Arlovski\u2019s last\u00a0 fight for the UFC. Buday was being controlled against the fence for chunks of the fight,\u00a0and somehow he let Arlovski land good punches when Arlovski was the oldest and\u00a0 slowest he\u2019s ever been. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kennedy is coming off of 2 KO wins, albeit against 2 terrible\u00a0 fighters in Barnett and Brzeski, but he showed he can finish fighters who aren\u2019t as good\u00a0as him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Neither guy has great cardio so I don\u2019t think either has the advantage the longer the fight goes, I just think Kennedy is going to be more crisp and stronger with\u00a0his strikes<\/strong>. He should win this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nChang Ho Lee -155 vs Cortavious Romious +135\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLee is the perfect example of what type of fighters are coming out of Road to UFC. He\u00a0has quick hands, but not super polished or powerful. He can wrestle, and get\u00a0takedowns, but opponents can reverse him. He has good cardio, and he\u2019s hard to\u00a0 knockout. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s a monster when he\u2019s fighting Asian fighters at lower levels, but I don\u2019t\u00a0 know how he\u2019s going to fare against UFC fighters. Honestly, Romious is more of the\u00a0 same. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Last fight against Bolanos, he got the wrestling and takedowns going, but he got\u00a0 reversed every time and Bolanos walked away with the win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Both these guys have big\u00a0 holes, I won\u2019t be betting this fight because I wouldn\u2019t be surprised by any outcome, but\u00a0I\u2019ll lean Lee to get the win<\/strong>. I think he\u2019s just a bit quicker, and I don\u2019t think he\u2019ll have trouble reversing the wrestling of Romious.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJoanderson Brito -205 vs Pat Sabatini +170\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSimple breakdown. Sabatini needs to get this to the ground so he can work for a\u00a0 submission because on the feet, Brito will destroy him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Sabatini is going to shoot as\u00a0 soon as the fight starts, but Brito can wrestle, and he has several submission wins in the\u00a0UFC so he\u2019s no slouch in those departments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think the lack of striking from Sabatini is\u00a0 going to be too mch for him to overcome, and if gets damaged at all, he\u2019s going to\u00a0struggle mightily to get this to the ground. Brito should win<\/strong>, I wouldn\u2019t be surprised if he\u00a0gets the KO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUFC Fight Night Main Event: Josh Emmett vs Lerone Murphy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I\u2019ve been so impressed with Murphy in his last 2 fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s undefeated, but I haven\u2019t been blown away by him, but it feels like he\u2019s taken his game to the next level as he\u00a0won a bruising, tough 5 round match against Barboza, and then against Ige he got\u00a0dropped in the first, but he recovered and then did really good damage in the next 2\u00a0rounds with striking, and knees and his grappling was great, and he won rounds 2 and 3 to get the win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He showed big time toughness, cardio, and power in the last 2 fights, but\u00a0 you do have to worry about the striking defense. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s hittable, and Josh Emmett can hit\u00a0 really hard as we saw in his last fight. He\u2019s only lost to Topuria and Yair Rodriguez\u00a0 recently so the 40 year old only loses to the top guys, but you have to wonder if the 40\u00a0year old can keep up for 5 rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The longer this fight goes, the bigger advantage for\u00a0 Murphy I believe, but Emmett can put your lights out instantly. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I\u2019ll lean Murphy to get the\u00a0win pre-fight, but this could be a great live betting situation<\/strong>. If Emmett has a good first\u00a0round, but doesn\u2019t get the KO, a good bet on Murphy might materialize.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34171"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34171\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34172,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34171\/revisions\/34172"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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