{"id":33980,"date":"2025-03-18T11:54:05","date_gmt":"2025-03-18T15:54:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=33980"},"modified":"2025-03-18T11:54:07","modified_gmt":"2025-03-18T15:54:07","slug":"pga-valspar-championship-2025-expert-predictions-betting-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/golf\/pga-valspar-championship-2025-expert-predictions-betting-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"PGA Valspar Championship 2025: Expert Predictions &#038; Betting Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the <strong>Valspar Championship<\/strong> teeing off from <strong>Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) in Palm Harbor, FL<\/strong>! Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, a long shot to win and other expert picks surrounding<strong> <\/strong>the<strong> Valspar Championship<\/strong> starting on March 20th!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Valspar Championship<\/th><th>Valspar Championship Betting Notes<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>When:<\/td><td>March 20-23<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Where:<\/td><td>Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) &#8211; Palm Harbor, FL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Defending Champ:<\/td><td>Peter Malnati<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current Favorite:<\/td><td>Scottie Scheffler (+500 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Golf Channel, NBC<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Odds Board<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"598\" height=\"361\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/valspar-championship-2025.png\" alt=\"2025 Valspar Championship\" class=\"wp-image-33981\" style=\"width:525px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/valspar-championship-2025.png 598w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/valspar-championship-2025-300x181.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The next three weeks represent a light schedule with no Signature Events until next month\u2019s Masters Tournament.\u00a0While the purses and fields will loosen accordingly, this week\u2019s stop, the final leg of the Florida Swing, still has a solid field including 15 of the Top-50 in the OWGR.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That list includes co-betting favorites\u2019 Tommy Fleetwood, still in search for his first PGA Tour win and Xander Schauffele, the Tour\u2019s leader in consecutive cuts made, but still working his way back from injury, both listed at 14-1.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those are both good reasons to stay away from the favorites this week and look to the other 154 entrants (field of 156).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Copperhead Course is a difficult one to say the least.\u00a0 Last year\u2019s winning score was 12-under, which was only the fourth time in the last 11 years in which the winning score was lower than 10-under.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The last two years, the course ranked as the hardest of the Florida Swing with the field averaging nearly one stroke over par in 2023 (71.93) and a half-stroke last year (71.41).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copperhead is a par-71 with five par 3s to go along with the traditional four par 5s and measures 7,350 yards.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What makes the course tricky is that driving distance tends to be negated as the fairways are tree-lined with chokepoints further up the fairway.\u00a0That makes laying back the more ideal choice.\u00a0Rough will also be up like the last couple of tournaments, starting the week at 3.5 inches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For those reasons, roughly 50% of approach shots will be coming from 175 yards or more putting a premium on long iron play, and probably a big reason why scoring tends to be higher here than a wedge-fest track.\u00a0That, and the Snake Pit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The par 4-3-4 finishing stretch known as the Snake Pit is as tough of a 3-hole stretch as it gets. Two years ago, the field averaged +0.59 strokes over par, while last year it played slightly easier at +0.41.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, we won\u2019t see the same high winds we saw last week at THE PLAYERS, but Thursday\u2019s opening round is forecasted at 10-20 mph, reaching its peak in the afternoon, before gradually dying down over the next three days.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That will could give the Thursday AM-Friday PM wave the slightest of advantages.\u00a0 Temperatures will be high-60s to mid-70s all week and rain is not expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Winner:<\/strong> <strong>Sepp Straka +2500 | Top-10 +260 | Top-20 +125<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Third straight week Straka has made the list, the only difference this week is now his odds have dropped into \u2018Favorite\u2019 status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet another great tournament last week at THE PLAYERS finishing T14.\u00a0 Prior to that, a T5 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and a T11 at the Cognizant Classic.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He is going for the perfect sweep on finishing inside the Top-20 at each event during the Florida Swing.\u00a0 Further, that is now eight Top-15 finishes in his last ten starts including a win at The American Express in January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His iron game is up there with the top players in the world, and although he doesn\u2019t hit it long, his driver accuracy keeps him gaining strokes Off the Tee.\u00a0That accuracy could gain him a few more strokes given the tree-lined fairways and once again, deep rough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, while this is only Straka\u2019s third start here with a MC last year and a T46 in 2019, he is a much different golfer now than he was even a year ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Winner:<\/strong> <strong>Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson +10000 | Top-10 +750 | Top-20 +330<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though it wasn\u2019t against PGA Tour competition, Rasmus did have three wins in 2024 on the Challenge Tour, the 2nd-tier Tour in Europe, equivalent to the Korn Ferry Tour here in the states.\u00a0Still, three wins is three wins and evidence of a high ceiling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As he graduated to the DP World Tour in September, all he has done is finish inside the Top-20 in seven of 12 starts including four Top-10s.\u00a0He is also coming off back-to-back runner-up finishes at the Qatar Masters (DP World Tour) and two weeks ago at the Puerto Rico Open in his PGA Tour debut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That finish earned him a start this week and his potential is worth jumping on.&nbsp; One more strong finish from him on this Tour and we won\u2019t see these odds again anytime soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you next week for the Texas Children\u2019s Houston Open!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">$15 FREE for PREMIUM GOLF PICKS &#8211; CLAIM BELOW<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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<\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Valspar Championship Betting Preview WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Valspar Championship teeing off from Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) in Palm Harbor, FL! Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, a long shot to win and other expert picks surrounding the Valspar Championship starting on March 20th! [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":33982,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[439],"tags":[13721,442,443,444,467,466,2101,4186,665,13720,13722,9372,2380,2381,9371],"class_list":["post-33980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-golf","tag-2025-valspar-championship","tag-golf","tag-golf-picks","tag-golf-predictions","tag-pga-picks","tag-pga-predictions","tag-scottie-scheffler","tag-sepp-straka","tag-valspar-championship","tag-valspar-championship-2025","tag-valspar-championship-betting","tag-valspar-championship-odds","tag-valspar-championship-picks","tag-valspar-championship-predictions","tag-valspar-championship-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the <strong>Valspar Championship<\/strong> teeing off from <strong>Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) in Palm Harbor, FL<\/strong>! Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, a long shot to win and other expert picks surrounding<strong> <\/strong>the<strong> Valspar Championship<\/strong> starting on March 20th!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Valspar Championship<\/th><th>Valspar Championship Betting Notes<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>When:<\/td><td>March 20-23<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Where:<\/td><td>Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course) - Palm Harbor, FL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Defending Champ:<\/td><td>Peter Malnati<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current Favorite:<\/td><td>Scottie Scheffler (+500 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Golf Channel, NBC<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Odds Board<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/valspar-championship-2025.png\" alt=\"2025 Valspar Championship\" class=\"wp-image-33981\" style=\"width:525px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The next three weeks represent a light schedule with no Signature Events until next month\u2019s Masters Tournament.\u00a0While the purses and fields will loosen accordingly, this week\u2019s stop, the final leg of the Florida Swing, still has a solid field including 15 of the Top-50 in the OWGR.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That list includes co-betting favorites\u2019 Tommy Fleetwood, still in search for his first PGA Tour win and Xander Schauffele, the Tour\u2019s leader in consecutive cuts made, but still working his way back from injury, both listed at 14-1.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Those are both good reasons to stay away from the favorites this week and look to the other 154 entrants (field of 156).<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Copperhead Course is a difficult one to say the least.\u00a0 Last year\u2019s winning score was 12-under, which was only the fourth time in the last 11 years in which the winning score was lower than 10-under.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The last two years, the course ranked as the hardest of the Florida Swing with the field averaging nearly one stroke over par in 2023 (71.93) and a half-stroke last year (71.41).<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Copperhead is a par-71 with five par 3s to go along with the traditional four par 5s and measures 7,350 yards.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>What makes the course tricky is that driving distance tends to be negated as the fairways are tree-lined with chokepoints further up the fairway.\u00a0That makes laying back the more ideal choice.\u00a0Rough will also be up like the last couple of tournaments, starting the week at 3.5 inches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For those reasons, roughly 50% of approach shots will be coming from 175 yards or more putting a premium on long iron play, and probably a big reason why scoring tends to be higher here than a wedge-fest track.\u00a0That, and the Snake Pit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The par 4-3-4 finishing stretch known as the Snake Pit is as tough of a 3-hole stretch as it gets. Two years ago, the field averaged +0.59 strokes over par, while last year it played slightly easier at +0.41.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, we won\u2019t see the same high winds we saw last week at THE PLAYERS, but Thursday\u2019s opening round is forecasted at 10-20 mph, reaching its peak in the afternoon, before gradually dying down over the next three days.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That will could give the Thursday AM-Friday PM wave the slightest of advantages.\u00a0 Temperatures will be high-60s to mid-70s all week and rain is not expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Valspar Championship Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Winner:<\/strong> <strong>Sepp Straka +2500 | Top-10 +260 | Top-20 +125<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Third straight week Straka has made the list, the only difference this week is now his odds have dropped into \u2018Favorite\u2019 status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Yet another great tournament last week at THE PLAYERS finishing T14.\u00a0 Prior to that, a T5 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and a T11 at the Cognizant Classic.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He is going for the perfect sweep on finishing inside the Top-20 at each event during the Florida Swing.\u00a0 Further, that is now eight Top-15 finishes in his last ten starts including a win at The American Express in January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His iron game is up there with the top players in the world, and although he doesn\u2019t hit it long, his driver accuracy keeps him gaining strokes Off the Tee.\u00a0That accuracy could gain him a few more strokes given the tree-lined fairways and once again, deep rough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, while this is only Straka\u2019s third start here with a MC last year and a T46 in 2019, he is a much different golfer now than he was even a year ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Winner:<\/strong> <strong>Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson +10000 | Top-10 +750 | Top-20 +330<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Though it wasn\u2019t against PGA Tour competition, Rasmus did have three wins in 2024 on the Challenge Tour, the 2nd-tier Tour in Europe, equivalent to the Korn Ferry Tour here in the states.\u00a0Still, three wins is three wins and evidence of a high ceiling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>As he graduated to the DP World Tour in September, all he has done is finish inside the Top-20 in seven of 12 starts including four Top-10s.\u00a0He is also coming off back-to-back runner-up finishes at the Qatar Masters (DP World Tour) and two weeks ago at the Puerto Rico Open in his PGA Tour debut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That finish earned him a start this week and his potential is worth jumping on.&nbsp; One more strong finish from him on this Tour and we won\u2019t see these odds again anytime soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>See you next week for the Texas Children\u2019s Houston Open!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">$15 FREE for PREMIUM GOLF PICKS - CLAIM BELOW<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33980"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33983,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33980\/revisions\/33983"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}