Josiane Nunes -205 vs Priscila Cachoeira +170<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCachoeira has been dominated in her last 2 fights by women who can take her down\u00a0and control the ground game, but I\u2019m not sure Nunes can do that as she\u2019s primarily a\u00a0striker, and to be honest I\u2019m not sure Nunes is all that good. She\u2019s undersized, she\u2019s\u00a0 short with almost no neck, and she\u2019s really struggled in her last 2 fights losing to\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Chandler and Cavalcantie. I think this fight takes place all on the feet, and Cachoeira with her length is going to be too much for Nunes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Cacoeira is probably going to love\u00a0 that she isn\u2019t fighting someone who will take her down and submit her so look for her\u00a0confidence to be high from the start. I\u2019ll take the underdog here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSu Young You -700 vs AJ Cunningham +500<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThere\u2019s no other way to put it\u2026AJ Cunninham is terrible. He lost on Contender Series,\u00a0went to RDC and beat a guy with a losing record, and then steps in for the UFC to take\u00a0 on Ludovit Klein, and he gets obliterated. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His durabilty isn\u2019t there, his cardio isn\u2019t there,\u00a0his striking isn\u2019t there, he\u2019s just not UFC caliber. You isn\u2019t great, but he\u2019s coming off\u00a0winning Road To UFC, and he has decent enough striking and cardio to get this out of\u00a0 round 1 where Cunningham\u2019s energy will fall off a cliff. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s an insane moneline number,\u00a0but we\u2019ll have to use it in a parlay or something because I refuse to not make money off\u00a0 of fading AJ Cunningham. You is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJosias Musasa -625 vs Carlos Vera +455\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nVeteran vs a young prospect here, and I like the raw athleticism to overcome his lack of\u00a0 experience. Musasa won a really close fight on Contender Series against a really good\u00a0 fighter, and he showed great cardio, and solid striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking defense needs work,\u00a0and with only 8 total fights on his resume, he\u2019s going to get better every fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Vera doens\u2019t have a lot of upside as he got dominated by Nakamura on the ground, and\u00a0before that he lost to Katona on TUF. He\u2019s 37, he\u2019s been around a while, and he just doesn\u2019t have any upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think this will be a fight on the feet, maybe Vera tries to mix\u00a0 in takedowns, but Musasa should be fine with fighting them off and getting back to his\u00a0feet. Vera is a tough veteran so I don\u2019t think he gets finished so Musas by decision will\u00a0be the play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including UFC Fight Night & More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Stephanie Luciano -258 vs Sam Hughes +210\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nHere we go with Sam Hughes being completely undervalued, she\u2019s the pick here.\u00a0Luciano had a draw against Alencar on Contender Series so they run it back in the UFC and she gets the win, but she was really unimpressive. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The striking wasn\u2019t powerful,\u00a0 and she just got the benefit of fighting an undersized grappler who can\u2019t strike. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Sam Hughes is a bit undersized, but she just doesn\u2019t quit and has good cardio and\u00a0aggression for 3 rounds, and I think she can get the takedown on Luciano if she wants.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I just don\u2019t think Luciano has the striking to scare Hughes, I think Hughes does what she\u00a0does, which is keep this close and win by decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCarli Judice -425 vs Yuneisy Duben +330<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDuben is coming off the moment of the season on Contender Series where she was a\u00a0 massive underdog who hadn\u2019t fought anyone good, and somehow got the flash KO win\u00a0that stunned everyone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I still don\u2019t think she\u2019s that good. Judic has good volume on the\u00a0feet, and she just needs to not get knocked out, and I think she dominates. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Judice lost\u00a0 a close split decision against Fernandes, but it was a solid showing as she had\u00a0moments in the clinch and with the striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Before her CS win, Duben had only fought\u00a0 fighters who were 0-0 so I\u2019m not going to overreact to a lucky win. Judice is the play<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nWaldo Cortes-Acosta -155 vs Ryan Spann +140<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSpann looked great when he knocked out Dominick reyes, but he immediately lost 3 in\u00a0 a row before getting a win over the corpse of the retiring Ovince St. Preaux, but I\u2019m not buying it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His cardio goes away after the first round, and we just watched Cortes-Acosta\u00a0beat Despaigne and Arlovski, guys who struggle with cardio as well. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think this is pretty\u00a0 easy. Spann will need the early finish, if he doesn\u2019t get it Cortes-Acosta will pull away in\u00a0rounds 2 and 3 and get the late finish on the ground or win a decision. Great live bet\u00a0opportunity on Waldo if this gets out of the first<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAndre Lima -310 vs Daniel Barez +250\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLima looked great in his last fight against Santos as he showed his power, but more important, he showed good ground game and control time, and I think that will be the\u00a0 difference in this fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I wasn\u2019t high on Lima who barely beat Mitch Raposo, but he won\u00a0 me over in his last fight. Barez is a good striker, but I don\u2019t think he has the goods to\u00a0 thwart the takedowns, and once on the ground, Lima won\u2019t let him up. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I give the volume edge to Barez, but the power and takedown advantages to Lima. It\u2019s probably going to\u00a0 be a close fight, but Lima should win a round or 2 just with his ground game. Lima is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nKevin Vallejos -485 vs Seung Woo Choi +370\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nVallejos lost on his first CS attempt to a fighter named Jean Silva, and he took Silva to decision so that loss has aged nice. He got another chance on CS this past season and\u00a0he KO\u2019d Teague in the first to get the contract. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking looks fantastic, as does his\u00a0movement and I don\u2019t worry about him making his debut as he could be one of the best\u00a0 to come out of this last CS season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I\u2019ve seen him control fighters on the ground and get\u00a0solid ground and pound so he\u2019s dangerous on Choi has decent striking, but his striking\u00a0 defense is bad, and his only win recently is over Jarno Errens where he used his takedowns, but I don\u2019t think he\u2019ll be able to do that to Vallejos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think eventually Vallejos\u00a0will get to the chin of Choi, and once he does I don\u2019t see Choi surviving for long.\u00a0Vallejos by KO is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAlexander Hernandez -185 vs Kurt Holobaugh +154<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nFight goes the distance, I don\u2019t care who wins. Hernandez\u2019s last 4 fights, and\u00a0Holobaugh\u2019s last 2 fights have gone the distance, and these guys seem to get tired\u00a0 pretty quick so after the first round, I don\u2019t see where the finish comes from. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Both guys\u00a0will throw punches, but eventually they\u2019ll clinch to conserve energy so I wouldn\u2019t be\u00a0 surprised to see long stretches of wrestling and fighting for position. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Hernandez has pretty bad striking defense, but he\u2019s tough as nails so while he\u2019ll get touched, I don\u2019t\u00a0 think he goes down. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
There\u2019s good value on Holobaugh as a dog becasue Hernandez\u00a0gets hit a lot in every fight, but for betting purposes I\u2019ll just stick with taking the fight to\u00a0go the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDa\u2019mon Blackshear -360 vs Cody Gibson +285<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI don\u2019t think Gibson has a high celing as he can beat guys like Annheliger and Kelleher,\u00a0but he lost to Katona and Miles Johns so he just can\u2019t get over the hump. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Gibson\u00a0showed his ground game abilities against Annheliger, but he couldn\u2019t get the finish, and Blackshear is really good on the ground so I see Gibson not being able to implement his\u00a0 game plan on the ground. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Blackshear has shown weakness on the feet so Gibson\u00a0 could find success striking, but I think eventually Blackshear gets this to the ground where he\u2019ll work for the submission and ground and pound. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think Gibosn can make\u00a0this closer than the line would suggest, but Blackshear will be the pick<\/strong>, but I won\u2019t be\u00a0betting on it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDiyar Nurgozhay -298 vs Brendson Ribeiro +240<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI wouldn\u2019t expect an exciting fight here. Nurgozhay has good power, but doesn\u2019t throw a lot of volume, and even though he won on CS, it wasn\u2019t an impressive performance, and\u00a0his cardio was looking shaky in the second round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s not your typical Dagestani as\u00a0 he doesn\u2019t wrestle, he primarily strikes, but he\u2019ll need more volume in the UFC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ribeiro\u00a0isn\u2019t exactly an ironman, but after going 9 fights in a row that ended before the third, he\u00a0 went to distance his last 2 fights, albeit against some bad fighters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think Nurgozhay is going to look slow, and I think Ribeiro can have some success striking, and with low\u00a0 volume strikers with bad cardio, anything is possible if it goes to the judges. Ribeiro at\u00a0+240 is a solid underdog look<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nElizeu Zaleski Dos Santos -180 vs Chidi Njokuani +150\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI like this fight to go the distance. Both guys can go 3 rounds, but they get tired fairly\u00a0 quick, and Chidi has made his last 2 fights really boring, and up against the fecne for\u00a0 most of it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think Santos will have the early advantage with power, but this fight really\u00a0comes down to who gets more tired, and that\u2019s a tough one to figure out. I\u2019ll lean\u00a0Santos to squeak out a close fight, but the only way I\u2019ll be this is to take it to go the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUFC Fight Night Main Event: Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I can\u2019t think of a main event I\u2019ve been less interested in than this one. Neither of these\u00a0guys is exciting, and Vettori has been to decision in 14 out of his last 15 fights, and that\u2019s the only way I\u2019ll be playing this. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Dolidze\u2019s only finish in his last 4 fights was a\u00a0Kevin Holland injury, and I think we just see a lot of wrestling and clinch against the\u00a0 fence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If they\u2019re standing and striking, I don\u2019t think either guy has a huge advantage,\u00a0but we haven\u2019t seen Vettori in almost 2 years so I don\u2019t know what we\u2019re going to get\u00a0 from him. I lean Dolidze at the underdog price, but the play in this one is taking it to go the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33915","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33915"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33915\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33916,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33915\/revisions\/33916"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33915"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33915"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33915"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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