Nurulio Aliev -520 vs Joe Solecki +390\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSolecki has one path to victory, and that\u2019s to wrestle and grind out rounds, but Aliev is a\u00a0 solid wrestler himself so Solecki is going to have to come up something really special in\u00a0 this one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Aliev had a nice win in his UFC debut against Alves where he got the wrestling\u00a0and takedowns working, and he was able to hold control position for most of the fight.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
That being said, Aliev isn\u2019t this amazing title contender, and he has some big holes in\u00a0his game as his striking isn\u2019t scaring anyone so while I think he wins, there\u2019s no world\u00a0 where I lay this price on him. Solecki is a talented wrestler and grappler and I think they\u00a0could end up cancelling each other out in that department so take this fight to go the\u00a0distance as I don\u2019t see a finish as a strong possibility with these two<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nFatima Kline -800 vs Victoria Dudakova +550\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nKline is my favorite parlay piece on this card. Dudakova isn\u2019t powerful, her striking isn\u2019t\u00a0notable, and her UFC career consists of a win over Nunes who dislocated her elbow 30\u00a0seconds into the fight, a win over Frey who is truly awful and isn\u2019t in the UFC anymore\u00a0(and Dudakova got taken down and controlled in the first round), and a loss to Sam Hughes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kline lost her UFC debut to Jasudavicius, but she was competitive with the\u00a0wrestling and ground game, and she showed good cardio and activity in a fight she took\u00a0 on short notice. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
She\u2019ll be able to wrestle and control Dudakova, and I expect this fight\u00a0 to be one way traffic. Kline in an easy win is my prediction<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMagomed Gadzhiyasulov -225 vs Bruno Lopes +185\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMagomed has to be the worst 9-0 fighter I\u2019ve seen with a UFC win. He beat Jose\u00a0 Medina on Contender Series, and Medina is TERRIBLE, and Gadz couldn\u2019t get the finish, and then he beat Brendson Ribeiro in his UFC debut, and he somehow went to\u00a0 decision against Ribeiro and showed little to no upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking is meh, he doesn\u2019t\u00a0 really have a dynamic wrestling\/takedown game to speak of, and he\u2019s ripe to be beat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I\u00a0don\u2019t know if Lopes is the guy as he\u2019s coming off a Contender Series win, but it wasn\u2019t a\u00a0 great performance as he didn\u2019t do much, but his opponent gassed in the second and he\u00a0won with body shots. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Neither of these guys are good, but I\u2019ll take a sprinkle on the underdog here<\/strong> as Gadz offers nothing special, and I think Lopes can hang with him on the feet and possibly win a couple of rounds. It\u2019s not a client play, but be careful betting\u00a0on someone named \u201cMagomed\u201d who can\u2019t wrestle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nGet $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including UFC Fight Night & More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ernesta Kareckaite -298 vs Nicolle Caliari +240\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nKareckaite is a really good kickboxer who impressed on Contender Series with her\u00a0volume and activity, and although she lost to Barbosa, she put on a good performance\u00a0with her striking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
She was exposed with her bad takedown defense and defense on the ground, and Caliari is powerful with her takedowns, and is coming off a submission win on Contender Series where she took her opponent down, controlled her and\u00a0wrapped up the arm. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Caliari can have success on the ground for sure in this one, but\u00a0 unless she gets the finish, I think Kareckaite is going to have to much activity with the\u00a0 striking, and if she just prevents 1-2 takedowns early, she\u2019s going to tire out Caliari. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s\u00a0a big price that I\u2019m not willing to lay, but if you like Kareckaite to win, take her to win by\u00a0decision<\/strong> as she\u2019s not going to submit Caliari, and she\u2019s a volume striker, not a big power\u00a0 puncher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Thiago Moises -198 vs Trey Ogden +164\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMoises just hasn\u2019t looked great to me as he got beat really bad by Saint-Denis, and then\u00a0 he beat a really bad Mitch Ramirez followed up by a loss to Klein where his volume was low, and he couldn\u2019t get any pressure or momentum working, and I\u2019m wondering if the\u00a0wear and tear is catching up to him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s only 29 years old, but he hasn\u2019t shown any\u00a0 explosiveness to me, and Trey Ogden should be able to stand and trade strikes or\u00a0Ogden might be able to work the takedowns and ground game like he did against\u00a0 Radzhabov. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ogden is hittable on the feet, but I haven\u2019t seen much from Moises to think\u00a0he\u2019s ready to outstrike or outgrapple Ogden. The underdog is the play for me in this\u00a0one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMarco Tulio -500 vs Ihor Potieria +380\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nPotieria has 2 wins in the UFC, against Rua who was retiriing and Bryzczek who was\u00a0 making his debut, and was terrible. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s gotten beat by everyone else as his cardio\u00a0falls off a cliff after the first round, and he doesn\u2019t have a ground game so he\u2019s going to\u00a0 have to win this fight on the feet, and probably early. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Tulio looked good on Contender\u00a0 Series, and he has experience as he\u2019s 12-1 so the stage isn\u2019t going to be too big for\u00a0him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He has good striking, he can adapt to his opponents, and he\u2019s a strong fighter that\u00a0I noted would beat a bad UFC fighter in his debut after his Contender Series win, and I\u00a0think Potiera is a bad UFC fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Tulio\u2019s striking is going to be to much for Potieria,\u00a0 especially when we get to rounds two and three, and I think Tulio is going to start off his\u00a0UFC career with a few wins until he gets a step up in competition. This price by itself is\u00a0high, but it\u2019s a solid parlay piece<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJose Johnson -192 vs Felipe Bunes +160\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBoth these guys are sloppy fighters, but I like the+160 on Bunes. Johnson really got\u00a0worked over on the ground by Almabayev in his last fight, and while Bunes isn\u2019t as good as Almabayev, he made his debut aganst Josh Van and had a good first round on the\u00a0ground before he got tired and finished in round 2. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Now he has a full training camp, and\u00a0 I expect his cardio to be better, and I don\u2019t see where Johnson has big advantages.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Johnson is tall, but doesn\u2019t seem to know how to truly utilize his length, and at times it\u2019s\u00a0a disadvantage as he\u2019s lanky and easy to control and takedown. This isn\u2019t a big bet, but I\u2019m getting +160 against a guy who is 1-2 in the UFC<\/strong>, and has shown real weakness on\u00a0 the ground. Bunes will be the play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUros Medic -198 vs Punahele Soriano +164\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSoriano moved down a weigh division in his last fight, and he got the win against Baeza.\u00a0His cardio looked much better, but his opponent was really bad in that fight so it didn\u2019t\u00a0 take much for him to get the win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
To be positive, he just looked much healthier and\u00a0active at the new division, and the fact that he was active in the third round means good things for him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s still a striker so him and Medic will probably go toe to toe in this one\u00a0 where whoever lands the big shot first gets the win. In the end, I trust Medic a bit more\u00a0so I\u2019ll take him to win by KO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Medic has never been to the scorecards, I don\u2019t see why\u00a0 this fight would be any different. He has big time power, and even though Soriano\u00a0looked better in his last fight, I still don\u2019t trust him against a dangerous fighter like Medic<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAustin Bashi -270 vs Christian Rodriguez +220\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThe UFC has high hopes for Bashi, and for good reason. He has all the potential in the\u00a0world, he can strike, he can wrestle, he\u2019s powerful, and he\u2019s undefeated. He was great\u00a0 on Contender Series, and I think his upside is going to be too much for Rodriguez here.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rodriguez likes to grapple, but he was submitted by Erosa in his last fight, and his wins\u00a0 in the UFC have been a bit underwhelming. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Most people think he should\u2019ve lost against\u00a0Dulgarian, and he won against Rosas when Rosas gassed after almost finishing him in\u00a0 round one, and his decision win against Cameron Saiman wasn\u2019t great. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking\u00a0 isn\u2019t good, and I think Bashi is going to figure out quickly that Rodriguez just doesn\u2019t\u00a0 have weapons he should be scared of. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Look for Bashi to be a bit timid to start the fight\u00a0in his UFC debut, but to get comfortable in the second en route to victory<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nRoman Kopylov -270 vs Chris Curtis +220\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI don\u2019t agree with this line at all. Kopylov has won 5 out of his last 6 fights, but Chris\u00a0 Curtis is fighter than Di Chirico, Soriano, Ribeiro and Cesar Almeida, and Almeida\u00a0almost got the win as the fight went to split decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kopylov\u2019s striking has gotten a lot\u00a0 better, but Curtis has incredible defense on the feet, and he\u2019ll be throwing some\u00a0 powerful shots back at Kopylov, and I can see Curtis\u2019s body work doing some damage\u00a0 here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Kopylov might try and work in some wrestling and grappling, but Curtis has\u00a0 outstanding takedown defense, and Curtis is going to have the better cardio as Kopylov\u00a0has shown he can get tired at times later in the fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I see this as close to a pick em\u00a0fight so I\u2019ll gladly take the plus money on Curtis to win a close decision<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCesar Almeida -290 vs Abdul Razak Alhassan +240\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nAlhassan is a power puncher, but there aren\u2019t many levels to his game and Almeida\u00a0 shouldn\u2019t have problems staying out of danger. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s a kickboxer who has made a great\u00a0 transition to MMA as his striking is never an issue, but his wresting and clinch work has\u00a0 translated well, and his kicks at range are going to be a problem for Alhassan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Alhassan has cardio issues outside of the first round so if he doesn\u2019t get the KO early, he\u2019s in\u00a0 trouble. All of Alhassan\u2019s wins have come in round one except fo the 2nd round KO against Ribeiro, and he\u2019s lost every decision he\u2019s been to. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Almeida should show\u00a0 patience early, and pull away the later the fight goes. A finish is possible from Almeida,\u00a0and he can\u2019t submit anyone so taking to win by finish or KO double chance is a great bet<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nSantiago Ponzinibbio -110 vs Carlston Harris -110<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis is one of the strangest co-mains I\u2019ve ever seen. Ponz has lost 4 out of 5, and\u00a0 Harris is coming off of getting flatlined by Khaos Williams early in the first. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ponz should\u00a0 be the better fighter, but he\u2019s looked awfully slow and low volume recently, but that may\u00a0 be good enough to beat Harris. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking is laughably bad, and he got knocked out\u00a0 bad against Khaol in his last fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He beat Jeremiah Wells before that, but he was\u00a0losing bad until he randomly pulled out an Anaconda Choke in the third round. This\u00a0fight is going to be bad, and low quality so while I\u2019ll take Ponz to get the win, I don\u2019t recommend betting on it<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUFC Fight Night Main Event: Mackenzie Dern +160 vs Amanda Ribas -190<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Interesting fight here as Dern is going to be better with the clinch\/takedown\/ground\u00a0 game, and Ribas is going to have the pace and volume here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ribas has been fighting\u00a0 the top women in the division, but she\u2019s only 3-4 in those fights, and her last win was a\u00a0fight she was losing til the third round and her opponent gassed and she caught Pinheiro with a nice kick and finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Dern\u2019s striking defense is bad, and even though\u00a0 she got the win against Loppy, Dern got beat up on the feet and had damage to her eye so I think Ribas will have her moments on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
This fight comes down to what can\u00a0Dern do on the ground, and can she win big portions of rounds on the ground or get the\u00a0 submission because I think her striking and lack of striking defense is a big liability.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Both should have the cardio to go five rounds, so I\u2019ll stay away from picking a winner,\u00a0 and I\u2019ll take this fight to go the distance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I don\u2019t see a KO, and Ribas isn\u2019t submitting Dern, and Dern doesn\u2019t have a submission win in her last eight fights. I see five close\u00a0rounds in this one.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33020","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33020"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33020\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33022,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33020\/revisions\/33022"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33020"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33020"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33020"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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