UNLV vs Boise State Trends and Angles<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Boise State has won each of the last eight meetings, including a 29-24 road win in Las Vegas in October and a 44-20 road win in last year’s Mountain West Championship Game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Broncos have covered the number in each of the last three meetings, but all three of those games were in Sin City. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The road team has covered the number in each of the last six meetings. Teams that won the regular season matchup have gone 29-18 straight-up in conference championship rematches since 2010. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
This note would also apply to Conference USA (Western Kentucky won the regular season meeting), the MAC (Miami beat Ohio) and SEC (Georgia beat Texas). <\/p>\n\n\n\n
UNLV won all six of its road games this season, going 4-2 against the number including 2-0 as a road ‘dog. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Boise State went 6-0 straight-up at home this season, winning five of those six games by double digits. This is Boise State’s seventh trip to the Mountain West Championship Game in the last eight years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Broncos have gone 1-5 against the spread in the previous six, with the lone win coming against the Rebels last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UNLV vs Boise State Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
This is an interesting matchup between current form vs series history. Current form suggests that Boise State may be in some trouble. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Broncos have largely been going through the motions in recent weeks, beating Nevada by seven as a 22.5-point favorite and beating Wyoming by four as a 22.5-point favorite. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
In last week’s home win over Oregon State, the Broncos jumped out to a 14-0 lead in the first quarter, but didn’t really do anything after that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Maddux Madsen scored a touchdown in the final minute of the game to make the final score look a little better than the flow of the game would indicate. But in terms of the series history, Boise State’s recent success in this matchup is hard to ignore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Broncos closed as a 2.5-point road favorite at UNLV in last year’s title game and they closed as a four-point road favorite in Las Vegas in late October. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Boise State is now playing at home with a very strong home field advantage against a team that plays in a dome, and the Broncos are “only” laying four points. Is the downgrade justified? <\/p>\n\n\n\n
UNLV quarterback Hajj Milik Williams took the Mountain West by storm when he took over as the Rebels’ starter, but he’s slowed down a little bit in recent weeks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
UNLV played in some nasty weather at San Jose State a couple weeks ago, and Williams only went 11-for-20 with 131 passing yards and an interception. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The conditions in Boise are going to present a challenge. Williams went 12-for-21 with 179 passing yards and an interception at home against the Broncos’ defense six weeks ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UNLV vs Boise State Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Our power ratings are right on the number in this matchup so we do not see a lot of value, but Boise State’s history in this matchup is hard to ignore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Based on the closing spread of the last two matchups, you may be getting the Broncos on a post-Thanksgiving discount.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UNLV vs Boise State Prediction: Boise State -4<\/h3>\n\n\n\nStay Updated for More Betting Insights<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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