Dakota Ditcheva -380 vs Taila Santos +300 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI expected Santos to be better in PFL, but she hasn\u2019t impressed. Looking back at her UFC career, I think most of us overrated her as her best performance was losing to Shevchenko when Shevchenko may have been injurred. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Santos won a split to Jena Bishop, and even though she beat Carmouche, Carmouche is 40, and it wasn\u2019t a dominating performance. Her path to victory here is to wrestle, take Ditcheva down and do that for all 5 rounds, but I don\u2019t see it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ditcheva\u2019s striking is elite, Ditcheva is younger and more athletic, and her gym is top notch and no doubt they\u2019ll have her ready to defend the takedown, and get up if the takedown occurs. I don\u2019t think Santos can wrestle and avoid the strikes for all 5 rounds, Ditcheva is the pick here<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nImpa Kasanganay -180 vs Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +150 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI give Impa the edge over 5 rounds, but Yags will have his moments early on in this fight. Yags doesn\u2019t throw a ton of volume, but he lands clean when he does.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Impa has the experience edge as he\u2019s won a PFL Championship before, and I think his activity with strikes and with clinching and wrestling will be the difference. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If this was 3 rounds, I would lean Yags, but in a 5-round fight Impa\u2019s going to have too many weapons on offense for Yags to avoid, and with the lack of volume coming from Yags, he\u2019s going to find it tough to win rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He only landed 34 strikes in a 3-round fight against Wilkinson in his last fight, and that won\u2019t get it done against Impa. Impa is the pick<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nShamil Musaev -270 vs Magomed Umalatov +220 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNot sure why Umaltov is this big of an underdog, but he\u2019ll be the pick here. Musaev has really good striking, and he showed good wrestling and takedown defense in his last fight, but Umaltov is the best fighter that Musaev has faced. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Both guys will have to manage their cardio in this fight, and I wonder if Musaev won\u2019t have the early power that he\u2019s showed in the past. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If he doesn\u2019t have the flashy big strikes, Umalatov will be able to piece him up on the outside and make this really close. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I don\u2019t think Musaev will be able to take Ulmatov down so this could be 5 rounds on the feet, and Umalatov can absolutely win some close rounds so he\u2019ll be the pick at this price<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nGadzhi Rabadanov -550 vs Brent Primus +410<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nPrimus is 39 years old, and his cardio is bad so this spells disaster in a 5-round fight. He\u2019s going to have to get a finish in the first round or so because after that his cardio goes away, and his striking and wrestling get very sloppy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He got lucky with his matchups this season as none of his opponents had any type of ground game, but Gadzhi should be able to keep Primus off of him with his striking and takedown defense. This fight could be close early, but Gadzhi will pull away the longer the fight goes on<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nOleg Popov -130 vs Denis Goltsov +110<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI didn\u2019t understand this line at first, but it makes sense now. If Popov gets his wrestling going, Goltsov will be helpless the longer the fight goes on, and Goltsov will get tired. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
However, Goltsov has the better striking, and he\u2019s no slouch on the ground if he can get on top. If you\u2019re playing this fight, it\u2019s Goltsov by finish or Popov by decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I would expect a really aggressive Goltsov early as he\u2019ll need to get the striking going early to keep Popov from shooting in with the wrestling, and I lean that Goltsov will have success so he\u2019ll be the pick. This isn\u2019t a fight I\u2019m super confident in so I won\u2019t be playing it, but Goltsov is the lean<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n2024 PFL World Championship Main Event: Timur Khizriev -325 vs Brendan Loughnane +260 <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
All the obvious plays in this fight are really juiced so the best I can do from a betting perspective is recommend Khizriev to win by decision at -200<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nKhizriev has won 6 fights in a row by decision, and he can strike or wrestle, and I think it will be too much for Loughnane who is 34, and honestly Loughnane has had an easy path to this point with his opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He almost lost to Kai Kamaka, and I don\u2019t see where he wins this fight as it won\u2019t be in the wrestling or ground game, and I don\u2019t think he can outstrike him either. Don\u2019t be surprised if this is a boring fight, but Khizriev should win on the scorecards<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32569","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32569"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32569\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32573,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32569\/revisions\/32573"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32570"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32569"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32569"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32569"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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