Mahashate Hayisaer -198 vs Nikolas Motta +164\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI\u2019m not a big fan of Mahashate so I\u2019ll take Motta at plus money here. Mahasahte is a\u00a0striker, and while he\u2019s getting better I just don\u2019t see great defense from him, and his\u00a0striking can be slow at times. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He barely beat Benitez in a split decision last fight, and he\u00a0 had lost two in a row before that, and I think his style is predictable and easy to game\u00a0plan for, and Motta has pretty decent striking, and I like his counter punches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u00a0knocked out Tom Dolan with his counters in his last fight, and if Mahashate leaves\u00a0himself open, Motta will have success<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nQuang Le -120 vs Xiao Long -110\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nNot a strong opinion on this fight, but I\u2019ll take Le as I think his ground game is a bit\u00a0 better, and Xiao doesn\u2019t seem to have big upside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Neither of these guys are great, and\u00a0the striking will be sloppy, but Le has some actual takedown offense, and while Long\u00a0can clinch, he just doesn\u2019t do much with it, and I think Le will be able to win those\u00a0exchanges when they get in close. I like this fight to go the distance<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLone\u2019er Kavanagh -350 vs Jose Ochoa +275\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI thought Kavanagh looked like the best fighter to come out of Contender Series this\u00a0 season, and I think he\u2019ll start his UFC career off with a win here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He doesn\u2019t have a\u00a0 weakness that I can see, he just needs UFC experience, and I think his striking will be\u00a0 the difference here as he has really good power, and his movement on the feet allows\u00a0him to get good angles for his strikes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He has good kicks as well, but I don\u2019t think this is\u00a0 a walk in the park fight. Ochoa has solid weapons, and a good submission game, but I\u00a0don\u2019t think he\u2019ll be able to get to the neck to get the finish, and although he has a lot of\u00a0KO finishes, I think Kavanagh is just too fast to get hit. Kavanagh is the pick<\/strong> here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nGet $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including UFC Fight Night & More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Bin Xie -118 vs Kangjie Zhu -102\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI think Xie has more upside so I\u2019ll pick him to win here, but it\u2019s not a fight I\u2019m going to bet\u00a0 on. These guys have big holes in their game like Xie\u2019s awful strike defense, and Zhu\u2019s\u00a0 sub-par wrestling and clinch game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Xie has a long reach, and I expect him to get the\u00a0jab working which should open up his power shots, but I wouldn\u2019t be surprised if Zhu has success with the striking as well. These are two guys I don\u2019t want to bet<\/strong> on so I\u2019ll pass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Su Young You -143 vs Balgyn Jenisuly +116<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI\u2019ll take this fight to go the distance, I don\u2019t care who wins. You has decent punching,\u00a0but I think Jenisuly is going to be able to stay away from it by clinching and wrestling,\u00a0and Yoo has the ability to do that as well so I think this fight is a bit of a stalemate. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
They\u00a0both have solid cardio, and 3 out of their 4 Road To UFC fights have gone the distance.\u00a0No strong opinion on the side, but I like this fight to go all 3 rounds<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCarlos Hernandez -192 vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel +160<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis fight will probably be wild as Tumendemberel throws wild punches with a ton of\u00a0power behind it, and if he lands he can bloody up his opponent bad. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
His striking is a bit\u00a0 too out of control for my liking, and while it\u2019s worked against Road To UFC opponents, Carlos Hernandez is a UFC veteran, and although his record isn\u2019t great, he\u2019s losing to\u00a0wrestlers and ground game specialists. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Tumendemberel has some wrestling, but I think\u00a0Hernandez is better in that department, and I\u2019ve seen Tumendemberel get tired after\u00a0some of his big striking flurries. I\u2019ll take Hernandez to win<\/strong>, but it\u2019s not a super confident\u00a0bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nXiaocan Feng -310 vs Ming Shi +250\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThe length of Feng is going to give her the win as her arms and legs are insanely long,\u00a0and she throws good kicks and punches to keep the distance from opponents, and Shi\u00a0is going to struggle mightily to get inside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Shi is a decent fighter, but her striking isn\u2019t\u00a0powerful enough or quick enough to damage Feng. Feng will probably land early, and\u00a0that will get Shi nervous about lunging in, which she\u2019ll have to do to land anything. Feng\u00a0should roll<\/strong> in this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDoon Hoon Choi -140 vs Kiru Sahota +114<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThese Road To UFC fights just scream \u201cFight Goes The Distance\u201d, and that\u2019s what I\u2019ll\u00a0take in this one again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
All 4 of these guys\u2019s Road To UFC fights have gone the distance,\u00a0and I see this one with a similar outcome. Sahota has long legs and good kicks, but\u00a0Choi is durable and moves pretty good so I don\u2019t think Sahota will land clean, and even\u00a0 if he does land clean I don\u2019t think he can get the KO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Choi has won his 2 Road To UFC fights by split decision so he\u2019s playing with fire in these fights, and I\u2019m not sold that he\u00a0won the last fight. I don\u2019t see upside in him, taking the fight to go the distance<\/strong> is how\u00a0 I\u2019m playing this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nZhang Mingyang -298 vs Ozzy Diaz +240\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nTwo heavy power punchers here so don\u2019t blink. Diaz got KO\u2019d on Contender Series by Joe Pyfer, but took 2 fights in LFZ and finished both of them by knockout, and Mingyang\u00a0 has never been to decision, all of his losses are when he was 21 years or younger.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s 26 years old, has grown in to his manbody, and his strikes are scary strong. His\u00a0striking defense needs work, but I\u2019m not sure Diaz is that guy to take advantage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He leaves his hands down quite a bit, and his last 2 knockouts were when his opponents got tired, and I though he was losing the fights up until that point. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
This feels like a\u00a0showcase fight for Mingyang in front of his home country crowd, he\u2019s the pick by KO<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCarlos Ulberg -250 vs Volkan Oezdemir +205\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nWhen looking at this fight, I\u2019m just trying to figure out what to make of Oezdemir\u2019s last 2\u00a0wins. He submitted Guskov in Guskov\u2019s debut, and Guskov has no ground game, and\u00a0he knocked out Johnny Walker, but Walker is a chiny as it gets in the UFC right now.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Before that he lost to Prochazka, Ankalaev and Krylov, and had a win over Paul Craig\u00a0mixed in so he\u2019s beating the guys he should, but losing to the higher celing guys.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ulberg is on a tear as he\u2019s won 6 straight, and his striking is insanely sharp and\u00a0 powerful, and he\u2019s getting better each fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I don\u2019t think Oezdemir will want to stand\u00a0and bang with Ulberg so maybe he tries to wrestle and get a submission, but I think\u00a0Ulberg is special and I\u2019m sure he\u2019s been working on the takedown defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ulberg just\u00a0needs to land one punch to get the KO or change the fight completely, and now that we\u2019re back to the old gloves, I think he can do it. I\u2019ll take Ulberg to win again<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nCong Wang -850 vs Gabriella Fernandes +575\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis price is crazy, but I get it. Wang is insanely good, and she can do it all in the\u00a0octagon, and while I think she wins I won\u2019t be putting her in parlays. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
She has good\u00a0 activity, and she can wrestle a bit, and her two UFC losses are to Jasaduvicius and\u00a0Bleda, 2 wrestlers and I don\u2019t think Wang is that polished as a wrestler. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
In her UFC debut, she knocked out Leonardo in a minute, and I would\u2019ve liked to have seen more of\u00a0her in that fight as she only has 6 professional fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Fernandes showed decent cardio\u00a0 in her last fight, and I wonder if Wang will be able to show the same cardio that Fernandes will have. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Wang should win with her striking, but this is the best striker that\u00a0Wang has faced so I won\u2019t be surprised if Fernandes has a few solid moments in this fight. Wang is the pick, but not at -850<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMuslim Salikhov -180 vs Kenan Song +150\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI love fading old fighters, but the older fighter here is Salikhov, and I think he wins here.\u00a0 Song beat Ricky Glenn in his last fight, who isn\u2019t a full time fighter, and is awful, and\u00a0Song was exhausted in the second round, and barelly squeaked by. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He isn\u2019t good at\u00a0 wrestling, and his striking is effective for about half the fight, then he falls off a cliff.\u00a0 Salikhov had lost 2 in a row, but I thought he looked in much beetter shape in his last fight, and it resulted in a nice win for him, and what was surprising was that his cardio\u00a0 looked solid in the third round. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He has a much better wrestling game, and even though\u00a0he\u2019s 40 years old, I think he\u2019s the clear favorite here. Song was pretty bad in a fight that was just a few months ago, I don\u2019t see him getting a lot better so I\u2019ll take Salikhov<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nXiaonan Yan -198 vs Tabatha Ricci +164\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI love Yan\u2019s power, and if she just lands a couple of strong shots early in the fight, she\u2019ll slow down Ricci\u2019s forward pressure and pace, but that what scares me about this fight\u00a0 for Yan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ricci\u2019s pace is really quick, and she doesn\u2019t stop coming forward, and she can win these close rounds just with her activity. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Yan should have the bigger moments as\u00a0 she knocked down Zhang several times in her last fight that she lost, but Weili is next level with her wrestling and ground game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I won\u2019t over think this one, and I\u2019ll take Yan to\u00a0win<\/strong>, but I won\u2019t be surprised if Ricci makes a couple of these rounds pretty close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nUFC Fight Night Main Event: Petr Yan -298 vs Deiveson Figueiredo +240<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I really like Yan here<\/strong>, and the biggest reason is that it\u2019s a 5 round fight. If it was 3\u00a0 rounds, I might be a bit hesitant, but the pressure that Yan can put on after the first\u00a0round is going to be too much for Figueiredo. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nYan starts slow, but then he picks up the\u00a0 pace and I haven\u2019t seen much pace from Figueiredo in his last few fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s been through some wars in his career, and with the new move up to bantamweight, he\u2019s just\u00a0 not landing enough strikes for my liking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Compare each of their last fights, both that went the distance. Figueiredo landed 45 strikes in a boring fight against Marlon Vera,\u00a0 and Yan landed 99 in a war against Song. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Figueiredo will have some decent power,\u00a0and he\u2019ll want to wrestle, but Yan is great on the ground, and he can actually tire out Figueiredo with his scrambles. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Yan\u2019s strikes have good enough power to damage opponents, and once this gets to rounds 4 and 5 I expect Yan to be hitting his groove,\u00a0and Figueiredo to be getting tired. Look for Yan to start off round 1 a bit slow, but then\u00a0pick up the pace and outlast Figueiredo<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32475"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32475\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32477,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32475\/revisions\/32477"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32476"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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