Rob Wilkinson -175 vs Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +145<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nWe can\u2019t take anything away from either of their last fights because they were at the elevation in Utah, and everyone got tired early in the fight, and both got decision wins with pretty boring, low volume fights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
These guys can be exciting strikers as they both have first-round finishes recently, and since both guys are tied for 2nd and 3rd in the points, I expect fireworks on the feet early. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I lean Wilkinson to get the better of those exchanges as he\u2019s a bit more explosive, and he\u2019s super motivated this season to prove he\u2019s Championship caliber after the positive drug test. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Yags is going to have to get to Wilkinson\u2019s chin early, but if he doesn\u2019t he\u2019ll eventually eat a big shot that I don\u2019t think he can recover from. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
However, if this gets out of the first round and both guys used a lot of energy, this could turn into a wrestling\/clinch match that goes the distance. Wilkinson is the play<\/strong>, but I can\u2019t play him by finish as Yags is a tough guy to KO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nGadzhi Rabadanov -575 vs Miael Dufort +425<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDufort really blew it in his last fight losing a decision to Piccolotti at the high elevation in Utah, and he really looked awful. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
This was coming off a fight against Burnell where he got the 2nd round guillotine finish, but he didn\u2019t look amazing in that fight either as he was hittable on the feet, and struggled with takedowns and Burnell\u2019s forward pressure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rabadanov shouldn\u2019t have any trouble landing strikes on Dufort, and he has the better takedown game as Dufort has had the benefit of submitting a lot of weak opponents, but just stepping up in competition to Piccolotti and Burnell, we\u2019ve seen him struggle to win control of his opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rabadanov will stay away from the choke\u2019s of Dufort, and piece him up on the feet which will set up the wrestling, clinch and takedowns. It won\u2019t be an exciting fight, but Rabadanov should win a decision<\/strong> over three rounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBrent Primus -135 vs Clay Collard +114<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis should be a great fight as Primus will have the advantage on the ground, and
Collard will have the advantage on the feet so whoever can win the battle of where will the fight take place will most likely win the fight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Collard\u2019s inability to stop takedowns or reverse positions on the ground or in the clinch has cost him big time as he\u2019s lost three out of the last four fights by the same recipe, and he just doesn\u2019t seem to know how to handle himself if it\u2019s not a boxing match. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Primus isn\u2019t a dummy, he\u2019ll entertain Collard on the feet for a bit before closing the distance and getting a clinch or takedown, and I think he can do that throughout the fight. I\u2019ll take Primus to win<\/strong> unless Collard can damage him early on the feet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBiaggio Ali Walsh -1100 vs Brian Stapleton +700<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis fight is truly laughable. Walsh is their Golden Boy, and they\u2019re trying to bring him along slow, and they know his striking defense is awful so they keep giving him very low level fighters, but Stapleton might be the worst I\u2019ve seen. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
This is his first pro fight, and he absolutely is not a professional caliber fighter. He\u2019s lankly, holds his hands way to low, his stance is awful, and he\u2019s fought other amateurs with similar abilities, and he\u2019s only 4-4. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Walsh is going to steamroll this guy, but don\u2019t be too quick to take Walsh to win in the first round. Cage time is really important for Walsh at this stage in his career, and we saw him go the distance in his last fight against Palacio where I thought he could\u2019ve finished him, but it was pretty obvious the strategy was to go all 15 minutes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Walsh will use this as a training session so while I expect him to dominate, I don\u2019t think it will be a quick round one finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The sneaky play might be Walsh by submission<\/strong> as this will be a great fight for him to work on takedowns and chokes on a bad opponent, but really the only play is to use Walsh as a parlay piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n2024 PFL Playoffs Week 1 Main Event: Impa Kasanganay -500 vs Josh Silveira +380<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Josh Silveira might have the most fraudulent run in PFL history. He beats Sam Kei, who is awful and isn\u2019t in the promotion anymore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He fights Delon Monte who blows out his knee in the first round when he stepped on it awkwardly, and Josh gets credited with a first round KO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Next he fights Ty Flores, and Josh is gassing hard, lands a hail mary knee to get the KO, but make no mistake, he was getting ready to lose. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Then this season, Sadibou Sy randomly breaks his thumb early in the fight against Josh, and Silviera gets credited with another first round KO. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
However, in two of his last three fights he\u2019s lost decisions to Wilkinson and Impa Kasanganay, and I see the same result here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Impa worked him over easily for five rounds in last years final, and Impa showed he had better cardio, better striking, and better movement, and I don\u2019t see what adjustments Josh will have made. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s not polished on the feet, and his cardio is bad. In his last five wins, all have been in the first round. His last three losses have all been by decision so he wins early, gasses and fades quickly. Impa by decision<\/strong> is the play here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30699","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30699"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30699\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30966,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30699\/revisions\/30966"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30699"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30699"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30699"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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