Loneer Kavanagh -175 vs An Tuan Ho +150<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nI think Kavanagh is the most UFC ready of the two as he has the better striking on the feet, and I think he may have a pretty big strength advantage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ho showed some nice moves on the ground in his last fight, but I don\u2019t see this fight taking place on the ground as both guys have good ground games, but they are more comfortable on the feet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ho has good speed, but he leaves himself open, and I think that will lead to Kavanagh having a few more big moments on the feet. Ho lunges in a lot on his punches, and he\u2019s open to the counter shot so I think Kavanagh edges out a close decision win<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nJose Delgado -315 vs Ernie Juarez +265<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nDelgado is the biggest favorite on this card for a reason. His striking is very powerful, and he\u2019s relentless with his pressure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I like that he has a 3rd round finish a couple of fights ago, and in that fight he got rocked early, and he survived, recovered and got the finish. Juarez doesn\u2019t seem to respond well to pressure, and Delgado is certainly going to pressure him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Juarez comes from Urijah Faber\u2019s A1 Combat series, and the competition just isn\u2019t very good there. Delgado should get the win, and a contract<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nBruno Lopes -190 vs Mikheil Sazhiniani +165<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nThis will be Lopes\u2019s second fight on Contender Series as he got melted in the first round as a big favorite against Brendson Ribeiro, and he responded by getting a solid finish in the LFA in January. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I though Lopes looked slow and cocky on Contender Series, and although I wasn\u2019t impressed by his LFA win, he looked a lot better. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He has good takedowns and BJJ, but his striking is just a bit slow to me. Sazhiniani has fought most of his fights in the GFC, which I don\u2019t know much about, but the competition isn\u2019t very good. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Sazhiniani doesn\u2019t have amazing skills, and his cardio isn\u2019t very good so I really don\u2019t want to pick him to get the win here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Lopes is the play, but I hate the price, and even if he gets a contract, I don\u2019t see much success in the UFC for him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
If Lopes is smart, he\u2019ll take Sazhiniani down and work the ground game, but he should have done that in his first Contender Series fight, and he didn\u2019t do that and it cost him. Probably a stay away from a betting perspective<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nMeng Ding -172 vs Rami Hamed +147<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nHamed has won his last two fights by leg kick KO\u2019s, and while his kicks are powerful, his competition has been awful, and I\u2019m sure we\u2019ll see a lot of leg kicks early so it will be up to Ding to weather the storms on those. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Hamed fought three times in 202, twice in 2022, but he\u2019s had no fights in 2023 or 2024, but on his IG he\u2019s put up videos of him working on his punches, which is good because his punches in the past have been pretty terrible, and in much need of improvement. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ding has fough a TON of fights, 42 pro fights, but this will be his first fight in 2024, which I like, as he is probably the healthiest he\u2019s been in a while. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He has really good forward pressure, and I think closing the distance, pushing Hamed against the fence and working the grappling is the easiest path to victory for him. If he doesn\u2019t absorb too many leg kicks, I think Ding can win this easy, but it only takes a few of those leg kicks to do damage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I think taking this fight to not go the distance is a sneaky way to play this one<\/strong> as Ding can finish him on the ground, but Hamed can finish him with his kicks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Dana White Contender Series Event: Mansur Abdul-Malik -305 vs Wes Schultz +245<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I really don\u2019t have a strong opinion on how to bet this main event so I\u2019ll be sitting this one out. Both guys have shown good wrestling, takedowns and finishes recently, but they probably cancel each other out so I don\u2019t see who has the advantage in the wrestling and ground game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
I would lean Spivac as I really like how his game has evolved, but we just watched him have no success against Gane, and on the feet he got tired and knocked out in round 2. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Tybura isn\u2019t amazing on the feet, but I\u2019ve watched him go deep into fights, and if he can get this out of round 1, I see him having the cardio advantage based on how gassed Spivac looked against Gane. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
The under 3.5 rounds is -130, and maybe that\u2019s the best way to play this as I think Spivac needs a finish early<\/strong>, and if he doesn\u2019t get it he may be in trouble quick. Keep your live lines open, and the second you see Spivac start to gas, jump on Tybura, but pre-fight I\u2019ll pass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nLooking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\nMake sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30655","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30655"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30655\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30656,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30655\/revisions\/30656"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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