Portugal vs Slovenia Picks | Monday, July 1 | 3:00PM ET<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Portugal -275 | Slovenia +875 | Draw +365<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Slovenia heads to the knockout rounds of a major tournament for the first time in their history after securing third spot over in Group C with three consecutive draws against England, Denmark, and Serbia respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n That historic success for Matjaz Kek\u2019s men has largely come on the defensive end, with Slovenia ranking as one of only three teams at this tournament so far yet to allow a single goal from open play, sitting alongside heavyweights France and Spain in that department.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, they\u2019ll face one such heavyweight here on Monday night in one of the competition favorites in Portugal, a team that topped their group pretty convincingly wrapping up the top spot in their group before the third game had even kicked off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Portugal\u2019s own defense across this tournament has also been elite, allowing just one goal across their opening two matchups before putting out a backup squad ahead of their matchup against Georgia which they lost 2-0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, only England has allowed less total xG to opponents across this tournament so far than Portugal has, and they should have more than enough defensively here to close out a somewhat stunted Slovenian attack on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n We don\u2019t see this being a thriller by any stretch, and while Portugal certainly has the ability to be offensively potent when required, ranking as the top scorers out of any team during qualification, this Slovenian defense has shown itself to be extremely resilient and we don\u2019t see that changing in this match either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Romania +700 | Netherlands -225 | Draw +335<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The Netherlands take on Romania in Munich on Tuesday in a matchup not many envisioned happening back at the start of the tournament, with Romania coming out on top in a group featuring Belgium, Ukraine, and Slovakia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n All four teams finished on the exact same points in that group, but Romania\u2019s superior goal difference was enough to send them through to their first European Championship knockout appearance in 24 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Netherlands meanwhile finished up in third spot behind both Austria and France, a result that has put pressure on manager Ronald Koeman to deliver much better performances ahead of the knockout round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, that’s unlikely to happen as the Netherlands\u2019 underlying numbers at this tournament remain poor, with the Dutch teams\u2019 3.3 shots on target per game ranking among the worst in the entire competition (19th from 24).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Romania have shown themselves to be an extremely well-organized team under manager Edward Iordanescu, with just seven losses recorded across his 27 games in charge, boasting a +12 goal differential also.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In fact, prior to their defeat against Belgium last week, you would have had to go all the way back to June 2022 to find the last time Romania lost a meaningful game, and we use the word meaningful lightly as well as they suffered a 3-0 home loss against Montenegro in the Nations League.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Romania have all the tools to severely frustrate the Netherlands in this game, with an upset not outside the realms of possibility either as the Dutch already experienced a shock loss to the Czech Republic at this same stage in the last Euros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Whatever way you look at it, getting over a full goal headstart on Romania here simply looks far too big in a game we expect them to be competitive in.<\/p>\n\n\n\nEuro 2024 Prediction: Under 2.5 (-120)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Romania vs Netherlands Best Bets | Tuesday, July 2 | 12:00PM ET<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Euro 2024 Prediction: Romania +1.25 (-125)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
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