{"id":27582,"date":"2024-05-04T13:54:30","date_gmt":"2024-05-04T17:54:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=27582"},"modified":"2024-05-08T12:37:23","modified_gmt":"2024-05-08T16:37:23","slug":"kentucky-derby-2024-picks-predictions-overview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/horse-racing\/kentucky-derby-2024-picks-predictions-overview\/","title":{"rendered":"Kentucky Derby 2024 Ultimate Picks, Predictions, &amp; Odds &#8211; A Horse By Horse Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2024 Kentucky Derby Picks<\/strong>, Derby Horses Predictions!  The Only Guide You Need!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Marco D&#8217;Angelo, WagerTalk&#8221;s local horse expert, shares his horse by horse run-down of the Kentucky Derby, making Kentucky Derby 2024 Picks and Predictions! <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-text-color has-background has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/marco-d-angelo\"><strong>GET MARCO&#8217;S FULL ACCESS KENTUCKY DERBY PACKAGE<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The Kentucky Derby, also known as &#8220;The Run for the Roses,&#8221; is one of the most prestigious and exciting horse races in the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2024 Kentucky Derby, the 150th edition of this event, is scheduled to take place on Saturday May 4, 2024, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. If you&#8217;re a horse racing fan or just looking for an exciting event to watch, here&#8217;s how and where you can watch the 2024 Kentucky Derby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Give our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/korean-baseball\">KBO predictions<\/a>&nbsp;and best&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">MLB picks<\/a>&nbsp;a look too!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby 2024 Horse Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#1 Dornoch 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This horse will be hurt by drawing PP 1 as he needs to be on the lead or just off of it to be a factor and by drawing the rail will have to be used hard to get position. His brother is Mage who won the Kentucky Derby last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Dornoch Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Don\u2019t see him winning but could run on ticket underneath for Trifecta or Superfecta<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">#2<strong>&nbsp;Sierra Leone 3-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>While PP 2 is not the most desired post it shouldn\u2019t be that big of a factor as Sierra Leone is a stone cold closer and will be coming from way back anyways. Sierra Leone is one of the Top Horses in the race but will have to hope we get an honest pace, which I think will happen with all the speed in the race. With a honest pace he will be able to close but will still have to navigate thru a field of 20 horses avoid a traffic jam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sierra Leone Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Will be rolling in the Stretch a must use on all Tickets and a TOP Contender to Win<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#3 Mystik Dan 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Got to question if he\u2019s fast enough and if he can get the distance and if the answer is yes to both of those questions you have to figure how does he work out a trip from PP 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mystik Dan <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Mystik Dan is a nice horse just not nice enough to Win the Kentucky Derby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-2185090427752800\"\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\n     style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\"\n     data-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-2185090427752800\"\n     data-ad-slot=\"4363566978\"><\/ins>\n<script>\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#4 Catching Freedom 8-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Catching Freedom is another horse who will be coming from way out of it just like he did in the Louisiana Derby. The added distance of a 1 1\/4 mile should be to his liking. He has 5 career starts and has improved his Beyer figure in every start which is what you want to see as it indicates he hasn\u2019t peaked yet. Trainer Brad Cox has been one of the most successful Trainers over the last few years and Jockey Flavin Prat is one of the best in the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Catching Freedom <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Major Player in this race especially if we get fast fractions in early part of race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#5&nbsp; Catalytic 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Only 3 career starts so clearly has not peaked yet. His claim to fame is running 2nd to Fierceness in the Florida Derby but he was 13.5 lengths behind. Trainer Saffie Joseph does well at Gulfstream but doesn\u2019t always race the same away from home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Catalytic Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>I just feel this horse is in over his head today with only 3 career starts. Look elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby EXPERT PICKS: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Going to Bet the Kentucky Derby? Ride along with WagerTalk\u2019s Horse Racing Expert Marco D\u2019Angelo. Check out Marco&#8217;s full video playlist of Kentucky Derby previews<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@Wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>BUY MARCO&#8217;s PICKS! Marco actually Owns, Breeds and Races horses and has done so since 1986. So when Marco shares his selections you are getting information from someone that knows the sport from the Inside.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-text-color has-background has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/marco-d-angelo\"><strong>GET MARCO&#8217;S FULL ACCESS KENTUCKY DERBY PACKAGE<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#6 Just Steel 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Just Steel Ran a Big Race to finish 2nd in the Arkansas Derby. In that race he sat in behind the two favorites watching them battle. Once Muth put Timberlake away he was able to run past him for Second place. What I don\u2019t like about Just Steel is he has 11 career starts which is just way too many for a Kentucky Derby horse. He is what he is and that\u2019s a nice horse just not a Kentucky Derby Horse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Just Steel <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>I have all the respect in the World for D Wayne Lucas but I don\u2019t see putting this horse in here. Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#7 Honor Marie 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Ran a solid 2nd to Catching Freedom in the Louisiana Derby which he improved his Beyer Figure to a career high 96 in just his 2nd start off the lay off. It was also the 1st time Jockey Ben Curtis rode him so you have every reason to believe he takes another step forward on Saturday. This is another of the deep closers that is going to need a fast pace up front..<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Honor Marie <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Will be a big price and should be used on bottom side of Trifectas and Superfectas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#8 Just a Touch 10-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This is Trainer Brad Cox\u2019s other horse as he has been in the shadow of his stablemate Catching Freedom but don\u2019t sleep on him. Just a Touch only has 3 career starts so he has not reached his peak yet and it\u2019s not uncommon for lightly raced horses to take a Big jump up from one race to the next. But really how much more does he have to jump up as he ran a good 2nd to Sierra Leone in the Bluegrass. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has tactical speed and a Perfect PP breaking from post 8 so he will be able to break from the gate and grab a spot just behind the leaders. This will give him a jump on the closers and if those closers run into any traffic problems he could get clear. In 3 career starts his Beyer Speed figures have improved from 89,90 to 96 in his last start. The one knock is that he didn\u2019t race at 2 and for decades the Golden Rule was horses that didn\u2019t race at 2 don\u2019t win the Derby except Justify did it and that\u2019s his dad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Just a Touch <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>If you like Sierra Leone you have to like Just a Touch at a bigger price as he ran a good 2nd to him and should improve in his 4th career start. Live Longshot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#9 Encino 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s another Brad Cox horse but I think is up against here. Took a big jump Beyer wise winning the Lexington Stakes with a 94 figure. Henderson had to win that race just to get into the Derby and having to come back in just 3 weeks time I think is asking too much. I think he would have been suited to point to the Preakness. Some might say that Brad Cox has Encino in here to ensure we get an honest pace which would help his other horse Sierra Leone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Encino <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t see him getting the distance unless they absolutely walk the opening fractions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#10 TO Password 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Only 2 career starts and ships over from Japan. The Japan horses have not fared well over the years and this looks like a complete reach. He is here because he the race for the automatic berth but that field wasn\u2019t anywhere near as tough as what he is going to face here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">To Password <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Complete Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#11 Forever Young 10-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>As we noted with the other Japan horse we haven\u2019t seen a Japanese horse win the Derby. We have seen several that have come over with some buzz around them but all were no factors. Forever Young however may be the best horse to ship over of the bunch. His Win in the UAE Derby was impressive as he was wide the entire race and still wore down the leader covering all that extra ground. He\u2019s undefeated in 5 career starts but this will be his toughest test. He should be sitting just off the leaders in a stalking position and have the jump on the closers. He is clearly the mystery horse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Forever Young Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Hard not to have him somewhere on your tickets as he is 5 for 5 lifetime with his speed figures improving each race. Live Longshot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">KENTUCKY DERBY SAT MAY 4TH ALL ACCESS PACKAGE<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Marco D&#8217;Angelo not only Bets on Horse Races he actually owns and Breeds Race Horses and has done so since 1980. Join Marco for that 1st Saturday in May for the Run for the Roses the 150th Running of the Kentucky Derby. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Marco is putting together his&nbsp;<strong>All Access Kentucky Derby Package<\/strong>&nbsp;for Saturday May 4th. <strong>A few years ago Marco turned $390 in Bets on the Kentucky Derby into over a&nbsp;$9000 Payday&nbsp;for his clients. Marco knows Horse Racing from the Inside Out. Join him for his Saturday May 4th All Access Package and not only will get the Kentucky Derby just how Marco is betting the race himself but Marco will include all of his Baseball, Basketball and NHL Plays for Saturday as well.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-text-color has-background has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/marco-d-angelo\"><strong>GET MARCO&#8217;S FULL ACCESS KENTUCKY DERBY PACKAGE<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#12 Track Phantom 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Track Phantom only knows one way to race and that is to be on the lead and catch me if you can. That\u2019s good when you can control things and get the lead but it\u2019s not going to be that easy in a 20 horse field with the best speed horse to your outside in the #17 Fierceness. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They are adding blinkers which is generally used to fire one out of the gate which he has not had a problem with so far. He tired in the Louisiana Derby finishing 4th and I see the same here with the added distance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Track Phantom <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Will be a big price and could hang on for 3rd or 4th if we have slow fractions which I don\u2019t see happening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#13 West Saratoga 50-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Ran a beaten 2nd in Jeff Ruby Stakes to Endlessly. West Saratoga was caught wide the entire race as he never could clear from the outside post and will have even tougher time breaking from post 13 in a much larger field. Beyer speed figures no where good enough to contend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;Will be no factor. Hard Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#14 Endlessly 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The good news is this colt has 5 wins in 6 career starts. The bad news is that all those Wins were either on grass or synthetic surface. This is his 1st try on dirt and is asking a lot to make the jump up to run with these horses. His speed figures have improved in every start but he needs another major jump to get to where the Top horses in this race are already at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Endlessly <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Has necessary style as a stalker sitting just off the front runners but needs to really have a major jump up in speed to contend. Could run on bottom of tickets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#15 Domestic Product 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Game effort to get up to win the Tampa Bay Derby as he came from just off the Pace in what was an extremely slow pace up front going 25.2 1st Q and 51.1 to the half. So it was impressive that he was able to get up but bottom line is I don\u2019t think this horse is fast enough to go with others in this field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Domestic Product <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Hard not to use a Chad Brown horse ridden by Irad Ortiz but I just don\u2019t think he is good enough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#16 Grand Mo the First 50-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Grand Mo the First just doesn\u2019t have the speed figures necessary to be competitive in this race. He finished 16 lengths behind Fierceness in the Florida Derby and I don\u2019t see anything changing in this race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#17 Fierceness 5-2<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Fierceness is trained by one of the best Trainers in the country Todd Pletcher. In the Florida Derby he went wire to wire and never broke a sweat in doing so as he won by 13 1\/2 lengths while being hand ridden to the wire. Jockey Johnny Velazquez never moved his hands the entire race. This is the Derby favorite and for good reason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because he drew PP 17 which by the way no one has ever won the Kentucky Derby from Post 17 he is going to have to leave the gate hard to try to get to the front before the first turn which is either going to take too much out of him early or have him going wide in that first turn. Neither are a good thing. The other concern is Fierceness has never run good races back to back in his short 5 race career. He is the horse to beat especially if he gets things his way early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fierceness Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>On paper he is the most likely winner but with so many closers in the race and enough speed horses to run with him early I don\u2019t think he can hold everyone off in the stretch. Use on your tickets but I think he gets caught late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#18 Stronghold 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Stronghold is a colt that is improving in every start for Trainer Phillip D\u2019Amato but has been racing on the West Coast Circuit. He won the Santa Anita Derby but I thought that race wasn\u2019t really that strong. This colt likes to sit just behind the front front runners then make his move late. Having post 18 I don\u2019t see him close enough to run his style of race and I don\u2019t think he is good enough to come from way back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stronghold <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Post Position 18 really hurts this horse I might of considered him to hit the ticket with a better draw but from here I\u2019ll have to pass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#19 Resilience 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Enters the Kentucky Derby off a Win in the Wood Memorial for trainer William Mott. The Wood Memorial wasn\u2019t that strong of a field and my concern is it took Resilience 4 tries before he broke his maiden. His Beyer number has improved in each start but he is still way behind the Top horses in this race. Junior Alvarado will be riding him for the 1st time since as regular Jockey John Velasquez will be on the favorite Fierceness. No disrespect to Alvarado but he isn\u2019t as good as Johnny V.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;Post Position 19 hurts his chances I\u2019ll look elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#20 Society Man 50-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Society Man is in this race simply because he finished 2nd in the Wood Memorial earning 50 points. I thought that race was soft and now he draws post 20. His Beyer speed are way too slow to be competitive. Drawing Post 20 was the final nail in his coffin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;No Chance<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby EXPERT PICKS: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Going to Bet the Kentucky Derby? Ride along with WagerTalk\u2019s Horse Racing Expert Marco D\u2019Angelo. Check out Marco&#8217;s full video playlist of Kentucky Derby previews<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@Wagertalk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>BUY MARCO&#8217;s PICKS! Marco actually Owns, Breeds and Races horses and has done so since 1986. So when Marco shares his selections you are getting information from someone that knows the sport from the Inside.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-amber-background-color has-text-color has-background has-text-align-center wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/marco-d-angelo\"><strong>GET MARCO&#8217;S FULL ACCESS KENTUCKY DERBY PACKAGE<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_59648\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_3ToFQotJVo?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"2024 Kentucky Derby Contenders Betting Preview | Sierra Leone | Kentucky Derby Picks and Predictions\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/_3ToFQotJVo\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_3ToFQotJVo\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"2024 Kentucky Derby Contenders Betting Preview | Sierra Leone | Kentucky Derby Picks and Predictions\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"\ud83c\udfc7 Marco D&#039;Angelo is back in the saddle as we gear up for the 150th Run for the Roses, the 2024 Kentucky Derby! In this video, Marco takes a look at one of the top contenders in the race, Sierra Leone. Be sure to stay tuned as Marco will release more betting videos on the top contenders in the opening leg of the Triple Crown! Fierceness \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/youtu.be\/lST9eKD_Njg Catching Freedom \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/youtu.be\/mVkXu0r05Ps The 150th Kentucky Derby - The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports! \ud83c\udfc6 \ud83d\udcc5 When: Saturday, May 4th, 2024 \ud83d\udccd Location: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky \ud83d\udcfa Watch it on: NBC NBC Sports Website: https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/ \ud83d\udc40 The field: 20 of the top 3-year-old thoroughbreds will vie for racing glory and the coveted garland of roses. Interesting facts: This year marks the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby, making it a truly historic event. The horses qualify through a series of 35 races known as the &quot;Road to the Kentucky Derby.&quot; Each race winner earns points, with the top point earners securing their spot in the Derby. Hashtags: #KentuckyDerby150 #RunForTheRoses #ChurchillDowns Don&#039;t miss this thrilling event - the 150th Kentucky Derby promises to be an unforgettable spectacle! #KentuckyDerby | #HorseRacing | #TripleCrown | #HorseRacingTips | #kyderby \ud83d\udcdd How to Bet on Horse Racing with Marco and Kelly \u27a1\ufe0f https:\/\/youtu.be\/oP5xnmYRIkw \ud83d\udc4d You can get free horse racing picks and betting tips direct from Vegas by following the WagerTalk handicappers on Twitter: \u25ba WagerTalk: https:\/\/twitter.com\/WagerTalk \u25ba Sportsmemo: https:\/\/twitter.com\/sportsmemo \u25ba GoldSheet: https:\/\/twitter.com\/thegoldsheet \u25ba Marco D\u2019Angelo: https:\/\/twitter.com\/MarcoInVegas \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83d\udc40 WagerTalk TV, available for viewing on... \ud83d\udcfa Twitch: http:\/\/wt.buzz\/twitch \ud83e\udde0 More Free Sports Betting Picks and Tips: \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/_3ToFQotJVo\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT7M1S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2024-04-20T14:38:45Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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The Only Guide You Need! Marco D&#8217;Angelo, WagerTalk&#8221;s local horse expert, shares his horse by horse run-down of the Kentucky Derby, making Kentucky Derby 2024 Picks and Predictions! The Kentucky Derby, also known as &#8220;The Run for the Roses,&#8221; is one of the most prestigious and exciting horse [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27561,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[825],"tags":[2831,823,2826,2824,2823,2825,2680,2828,2827,824,2834,2838,2830,2832,2835,2833,2837,2836,2829,2839],"class_list":["post-27582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing","tag-2023-kentucky-derby","tag-horse-racing","tag-horse-racing-betting","tag-horse-racing-odds","tag-horse-racing-picks","tag-horse-racing-picks-today","tag-horse-racing-tips","tag-how-to-bet-horse-racing","tag-how-to-bet-on-horses","tag-kentucky-derby","tag-kentucky-derby-2023-contenders","tag-kentucky-derby-2023-picks","tag-kentucky-derby-betting","tag-kentucky-derby-picks","tag-kentucky-derby-predictions","tag-kentucky-derby-preview","tag-kentucky-derby-start-time","tag-kentucky-derby-winners","tag-ky-derby","tag-ky-derby-2023"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2024 Kentucky Derby Picks<\/strong>, Derby Horses Predictions!  The Only Guide You Need!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Marco D'Angelo, WagerTalk''s local horse expert, shares his horse by horse run-down of the Kentucky Derby, making Kentucky Derby 2024 Picks and Predictions! <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Kentucky Derby, also known as \"The Run for the Roses,\" is one of the most prestigious and exciting horse races in the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The 2024 Kentucky Derby, the 150th edition of this event, is scheduled to take place on Saturday May 4, 2024, at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. If you're a horse racing fan or just looking for an exciting event to watch, here's how and where you can watch the 2024 Kentucky Derby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Give our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/korean-baseball\">KBO predictions<\/a>&nbsp;and best&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/mlb\">MLB picks<\/a>&nbsp;a look too!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby 2024 Horse Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#1 Dornoch 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This horse will be hurt by drawing PP 1 as he needs to be on the lead or just off of it to be a factor and by drawing the rail will have to be used hard to get position. His brother is Mage who won the Kentucky Derby last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Dornoch Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Don\u2019t see him winning but could run on ticket underneath for Trifecta or Superfecta<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">#2<strong>&nbsp;Sierra Leone 3-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>While PP 2 is not the most desired post it shouldn\u2019t be that big of a factor as Sierra Leone is a stone cold closer and will be coming from way back anyways. Sierra Leone is one of the Top Horses in the race but will have to hope we get an honest pace, which I think will happen with all the speed in the race. With a honest pace he will be able to close but will still have to navigate thru a field of 20 horses avoid a traffic jam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sierra Leone Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Will be rolling in the Stretch a must use on all Tickets and a TOP Contender to Win<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#3 Mystik Dan 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Got to question if he\u2019s fast enough and if he can get the distance and if the answer is yes to both of those questions you have to figure how does he work out a trip from PP 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mystik Dan <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mystik Dan is a nice horse just not nice enough to Win the Kentucky Derby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#4 Catching Freedom 8-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Catching Freedom is another horse who will be coming from way out of it just like he did in the Louisiana Derby. The added distance of a 1 1\/4 mile should be to his liking. He has 5 career starts and has improved his Beyer figure in every start which is what you want to see as it indicates he hasn\u2019t peaked yet. Trainer Brad Cox has been one of the most successful Trainers over the last few years and Jockey Flavin Prat is one of the best in the country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Catching Freedom <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Major Player in this race especially if we get fast fractions in early part of race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#5&nbsp; Catalytic 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Only 3 career starts so clearly has not peaked yet. His claim to fame is running 2nd to Fierceness in the Florida Derby but he was 13.5 lengths behind. Trainer Saffie Joseph does well at Gulfstream but doesn\u2019t always race the same away from home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Catalytic Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I just feel this horse is in over his head today with only 3 career starts. Look elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby EXPERT PICKS: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Going to Bet the Kentucky Derby? Ride along with WagerTalk\u2019s Horse Racing Expert Marco D\u2019Angelo. Check out Marco's full video playlist of Kentucky Derby previews<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@Wagertalk\"> here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><em>BUY MARCO's PICKS! Marco actually Owns, Breeds and Races horses and has done so since 1986. So when Marco shares his selections you are getting information from someone that knows the sport from the Inside.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#6 Just Steel 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Just Steel Ran a Big Race to finish 2nd in the Arkansas Derby. In that race he sat in behind the two favorites watching them battle. Once Muth put Timberlake away he was able to run past him for Second place. What I don\u2019t like about Just Steel is he has 11 career starts which is just way too many for a Kentucky Derby horse. He is what he is and that\u2019s a nice horse just not a Kentucky Derby Horse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Just Steel <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I have all the respect in the World for D Wayne Lucas but I don\u2019t see putting this horse in here. Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#7 Honor Marie 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ran a solid 2nd to Catching Freedom in the Louisiana Derby which he improved his Beyer Figure to a career high 96 in just his 2nd start off the lay off. It was also the 1st time Jockey Ben Curtis rode him so you have every reason to believe he takes another step forward on Saturday. This is another of the deep closers that is going to need a fast pace up front..<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Honor Marie <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Will be a big price and should be used on bottom side of Trifectas and Superfectas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#8 Just a Touch 10-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This is Trainer Brad Cox\u2019s other horse as he has been in the shadow of his stablemate Catching Freedom but don\u2019t sleep on him. Just a Touch only has 3 career starts so he has not reached his peak yet and it\u2019s not uncommon for lightly raced horses to take a Big jump up from one race to the next. But really how much more does he have to jump up as he ran a good 2nd to Sierra Leone in the Bluegrass. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He has tactical speed and a Perfect PP breaking from post 8 so he will be able to break from the gate and grab a spot just behind the leaders. This will give him a jump on the closers and if those closers run into any traffic problems he could get clear. In 3 career starts his Beyer Speed figures have improved from 89,90 to 96 in his last start. The one knock is that he didn\u2019t race at 2 and for decades the Golden Rule was horses that didn\u2019t race at 2 don\u2019t win the Derby except Justify did it and that\u2019s his dad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Just a Touch <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>If you like Sierra Leone you have to like Just a Touch at a bigger price as he ran a good 2nd to him and should improve in his 4th career start. Live Longshot<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#9 Encino 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s another Brad Cox horse but I think is up against here. Took a big jump Beyer wise winning the Lexington Stakes with a 94 figure. Henderson had to win that race just to get into the Derby and having to come back in just 3 weeks time I think is asking too much. I think he would have been suited to point to the Preakness. Some might say that Brad Cox has Encino in here to ensure we get an honest pace which would help his other horse Sierra Leone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Encino <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I don\u2019t see him getting the distance unless they absolutely walk the opening fractions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#10 TO Password 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Only 2 career starts and ships over from Japan. The Japan horses have not fared well over the years and this looks like a complete reach. He is here because he the race for the automatic berth but that field wasn\u2019t anywhere near as tough as what he is going to face here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">To Password <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Complete Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#11 Forever Young 10-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>As we noted with the other Japan horse we haven\u2019t seen a Japanese horse win the Derby. We have seen several that have come over with some buzz around them but all were no factors. Forever Young however may be the best horse to ship over of the bunch. His Win in the UAE Derby was impressive as he was wide the entire race and still wore down the leader covering all that extra ground. He\u2019s undefeated in 5 career starts but this will be his toughest test. He should be sitting just off the leaders in a stalking position and have the jump on the closers. He is clearly the mystery horse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Forever Young Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hard not to have him somewhere on your tickets as he is 5 for 5 lifetime with his speed figures improving each race. Live Longshot<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">KENTUCKY DERBY SAT MAY 4TH ALL ACCESS PACKAGE<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Marco D'Angelo not only Bets on Horse Races he actually owns and Breeds Race Horses and has done so since 1980. Join Marco for that 1st Saturday in May for the Run for the Roses the 150th Running of the Kentucky Derby. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Marco is putting together his&nbsp;<strong>All Access Kentucky Derby Package<\/strong>&nbsp;for Saturday May 4th. <strong>A few years ago Marco turned $390 in Bets on the Kentucky Derby into over a&nbsp;$9000 Payday&nbsp;for his clients. Marco knows Horse Racing from the Inside Out. Join him for his Saturday May 4th All Access Package and not only will get the Kentucky Derby just how Marco is betting the race himself but Marco will include all of his Baseball, Basketball and NHL Plays for Saturday as well.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#12 Track Phantom 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Track Phantom only knows one way to race and that is to be on the lead and catch me if you can. That\u2019s good when you can control things and get the lead but it\u2019s not going to be that easy in a 20 horse field with the best speed horse to your outside in the #17 Fierceness. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>They are adding blinkers which is generally used to fire one out of the gate which he has not had a problem with so far. He tired in the Louisiana Derby finishing 4th and I see the same here with the added distance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Track Phantom <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Will be a big price and could hang on for 3rd or 4th if we have slow fractions which I don\u2019t see happening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#13 West Saratoga 50-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ran a beaten 2nd in Jeff Ruby Stakes to Endlessly. West Saratoga was caught wide the entire race as he never could clear from the outside post and will have even tougher time breaking from post 13 in a much larger field. Beyer speed figures no where good enough to contend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;Will be no factor. Hard Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#14 Endlessly 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The good news is this colt has 5 wins in 6 career starts. The bad news is that all those Wins were either on grass or synthetic surface. This is his 1st try on dirt and is asking a lot to make the jump up to run with these horses. His speed figures have improved in every start but he needs another major jump to get to where the Top horses in this race are already at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Endlessly <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Has necessary style as a stalker sitting just off the front runners but needs to really have a major jump up in speed to contend. Could run on bottom of tickets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#15 Domestic Product 30-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Game effort to get up to win the Tampa Bay Derby as he came from just off the Pace in what was an extremely slow pace up front going 25.2 1st Q and 51.1 to the half. So it was impressive that he was able to get up but bottom line is I don\u2019t think this horse is fast enough to go with others in this field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Domestic Product <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Hard not to use a Chad Brown horse ridden by Irad Ortiz but I just don\u2019t think he is good enough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#16 Grand Mo the First 50-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Grand Mo the First just doesn\u2019t have the speed figures necessary to be competitive in this race. He finished 16 lengths behind Fierceness in the Florida Derby and I don\u2019t see anything changing in this race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;Pass<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#17 Fierceness 5-2<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fierceness is trained by one of the best Trainers in the country Todd Pletcher. In the Florida Derby he went wire to wire and never broke a sweat in doing so as he won by 13 1\/2 lengths while being hand ridden to the wire. Jockey Johnny Velazquez never moved his hands the entire race. This is the Derby favorite and for good reason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Because he drew PP 17 which by the way no one has ever won the Kentucky Derby from Post 17 he is going to have to leave the gate hard to try to get to the front before the first turn which is either going to take too much out of him early or have him going wide in that first turn. Neither are a good thing. The other concern is Fierceness has never run good races back to back in his short 5 race career. He is the horse to beat especially if he gets things his way early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fierceness Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>On paper he is the most likely winner but with so many closers in the race and enough speed horses to run with him early I don\u2019t think he can hold everyone off in the stretch. Use on your tickets but I think he gets caught late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#18 Stronghold 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Stronghold is a colt that is improving in every start for Trainer Phillip D\u2019Amato but has been racing on the West Coast Circuit. He won the Santa Anita Derby but I thought that race wasn\u2019t really that strong. This colt likes to sit just behind the front front runners then make his move late. Having post 18 I don\u2019t see him close enough to run his style of race and I don\u2019t think he is good enough to come from way back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stronghold <strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Post Position 18 really hurts this horse I might of considered him to hit the ticket with a better draw but from here I\u2019ll have to pass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#19 Resilience 20-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Enters the Kentucky Derby off a Win in the Wood Memorial for trainer William Mott. The Wood Memorial wasn\u2019t that strong of a field and my concern is it took Resilience 4 tries before he broke his maiden. His Beyer number has improved in each start but he is still way behind the Top horses in this race. Junior Alvarado will be riding him for the 1st time since as regular Jockey John Velasquez will be on the favorite Fierceness. No disrespect to Alvarado but he isn\u2019t as good as Johnny V.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;Post Position 19 hurts his chances I\u2019ll look elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>#20 Society Man 50-1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Society Man is in this race simply because he finished 2nd in the Wood Memorial earning 50 points. I thought that race was soft and now he draws post 20. His Beyer speed are way too slow to be competitive. Drawing Post 20 was the final nail in his coffin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Projection:<\/strong>&nbsp;No Chance<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kentucky Derby EXPERT PICKS: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Going to Bet the Kentucky Derby? Ride along with WagerTalk\u2019s Horse Racing Expert Marco D\u2019Angelo. Check out Marco's full video playlist of Kentucky Derby previews<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@Wagertalk\"> here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><em>BUY MARCO's PICKS! Marco actually Owns, Breeds and Races horses and has done so since 1986. So when Marco shares his selections you are getting information from someone that knows the sport from the Inside.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/_3ToFQotJVo?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Horse-racing-guide-576x1024.png\" alt=\"What Time Does the Kentucky Derby Start 2024\" class=\"wp-image-18235\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27582"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27582\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27683,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27582\/revisions\/27683"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}