{"id":26418,"date":"2024-03-05T10:23:15","date_gmt":"2024-03-05T15:23:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=26418"},"modified":"2024-03-05T10:23:17","modified_gmt":"2024-03-05T15:23:17","slug":"arnold-palmer-invitational-predictions-best-bets-free-picks-and-odds-march-7-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/golf\/arnold-palmer-invitational-predictions-best-bets-free-picks-and-odds-march-7-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions, Best Bets, Free Picks and Odds March 7-10"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the Arnold Palmer Invitational teeing off from Bay Hill Golf Course in Orlando, FL. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Arnold Palmer Invitational starting March 7th!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">$15 FREE for PREMIUM GOLF PICKS &#8211; CLAIM BELOW<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n<div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n<div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n<div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\nSPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">Thanks for signing up!\nYou are not eligible for this offer<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n<h3><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"get-wagertalk-img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\">\nSign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n<span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n<span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n<span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n<div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n<form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\"><input name=\"formSubmitted\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"yes\">\n<input id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n<input id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"\">\n<input id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"\">\n<!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n<input name=\"data_email\" type=\"email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n<div class=\"icon\"><!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n<input class=\"sign-up\" name=\"signup\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Sign Up\"><\/div>\n<\/form>\n<p class=\"small\">This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n<a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n<a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">Free NFL Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Arnold Palmer Invitational<\/th><th>Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Notes<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>When:<\/td><td>March 7-10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Where:<\/td><td>Bay Hill Golf Course in Orlando, FL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Defending Champ:<\/td><td>Kurt Kitayama<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current Favorite:<\/td><td>Scottie Scheffler (+650 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Golf Channel, NBC<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds Board<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"570\" height=\"345\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Screen-Shot-2024-03-04-at-11.08.24-PM.png\" alt=\"Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds Board\" class=\"wp-image-26419\" style=\"width:387px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Screen-Shot-2024-03-04-at-11.08.24-PM.png 570w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Screen-Shot-2024-03-04-at-11.08.24-PM-300x182.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 570px) 100vw, 570px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This week marks the 4th Signature Event of the season and the second with a cut as the field of 69 will be trimmed to the Top-50, or those within ten shots, after 36 holes. Both the purse and FedEx Cup points are elevated this week, so it\u2019s no wonder this is one of, if not the, best field this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arnold\u2019s signature course presents a tough challenge to the players every year with the winning scored staying in the single digits in three of the last four editions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The course can stretch nearly 7,500 yards playing to a stock par-72. Rough is long, upwards of three inches, and this winter has been wetter than normal so players will likely find it even thicker than usual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fairways around Bay Hill are narrow making finding them more difficult than most tracks as the course routinely ranks in the Top-10 hardest to find the fairway (54%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That in turn has a major effect on finding the greens, also ranking in the Top-10 difficulty in greens in regulation at (58%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Nick&#8217;s Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview&#8230; Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks &#8211; including the Arnold Palmer Invitational &amp; More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up!<br>You are not eligible for this offer\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <h3>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\" class=\"get-wagertalk-img\">\n          Sign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n          <span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span>\n        <\/h3>\n        <p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n        <div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n          <form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"formSubmitted\" value=\"yes\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" value=\"\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" value=\"\">\n            <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n            <input type=\"email\" name=\"data_email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n            <div class=\"icon\">\n              <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n              <input type=\"submit\" name=\"signup\" value=\"Sign Up\" class=\"sign-up\">\n            <\/div>\n          <\/form>\n          <p class=\"signup-form-text\" style=\"color: red !important;font-weight: bold;\"><\/p>\n          <p class=\"small\">\n            This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.\n          <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With that many errant shots, short game and putting will be crucial for the winner to be able to save shots throughout the four rounds. Adding icing on the \u201cdifficulty\u201d cake is the greens are expected to stimp at 13 or longer this week. Yikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because of its length, players will face more than the average number of approach shots from 175 yards or more, so both driving and long iron play will be the other important statistics to look at this week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That skillset is even more obvious when you look at past winners here that include McIlroy, Scheffler, DeChambeau and of course, the goat, Tiger Woods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, experience has proven important at Bay Hill as six of the last seven winners have finished inside the Top-15 in a previous edition of the tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Weather looks great on Thursday and Friday before winds kick up on Saturday with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph. Rain looks to be a threat for the finale on Sunday as temperatures drop into the 70s for the daytime high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Outright Winner: Justin Thomas +3300 (FanDuel or PointsBet)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Borrman<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I said it before, at odds this high, JT is a must-play. He missed the cut in his last start at the Genesis Invitational, but that snapped a streak of seven straight Top-12 finishes including five Top-6s. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His iron play and his short game have been phenomenal which the latter is likely to be a big factor this week as the greens here are difficult to hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The negative for JT is that this is an event his usually doesn\u2019t tee it up at, but given its Signature status, of course he is in the field. He has played here just twice before though he did have a solid finish at T21 last year, which was in the middle of one of his worst years on Tour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ludvig Aberg, Tommy Fleetwood and Cameron Young are all listed at shorter odds than JT this week and with the three of them having a combined one PGA Tour win under their belt, it simply is a head shaker to get JT, a 15-time Tour winner, at a longer number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Top-20 Finish: Adam Scott +165 (DraftKings or PointsBet)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Ho hum. Adam Scott has quietly produced seven straight Top-20 finishes worldwide including each of this three PGA Tour starts this season. He finished T20 at Pebble, T8 at the WM Phoenix Open and T19 in his last start at the Genesis Invitational.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scott\u2019s ball-striking has been fantastic as he has gained strokes off the tee in 16 of his last 17 measured starts, as well as gaining an average of +1.12 strokes on approach over his last five starts. Throw in that Scott\u2019s sweeping putter stroke is always on point and that is a nice recipe for success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scott has a spotty record at this event having played here 11 times over the last 20 years with only three Top-20 finishes. But with this event being Signature status with a field of only 69, his odds are much better to have to beat just two-thirds of the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Puerto Rico Open Outright Winner: Ben Silverman +5500 PointsBet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember, for those that didn\u2019t qualify for the API, there is an alternate field event at the Puerto Rico Open where you can take some longshot chances on guys like Ben Silverman who was a winner on the Korn Ferry Tour last season and is coming off back-to-back Top-20 finishes on the PGA Tour at the Mexico Open and Cognizant Classic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like we previewed a couple weeks ago with Jake Knapp, you are looking for potential in these types of fields as you aren\u2019t going to find a ton of guys with great current form results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you next week for the PLAYERS Championship!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on. <\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Arnold Palmer Invitational teeing off from Bay Hill Golf Course in Orlando, FL. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Arnold Palmer Invitational starting March 7th! $15 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":3987,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[439],"tags":[9188,623,9184,2324,9185,2325,9183,9186,442,2414,445,443,444,8263,2382,9187],"class_list":["post-26418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-golf","tag-adam-scott","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational-odds","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-and-predictions","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational-predictions","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational-preview","tag-arnold-palmer-invitational-winner","tag-golf","tag-golf-bets","tag-golf-odds","tag-golf-picks","tag-golf-predictions","tag-golf-preview","tag-justin-thomas","tag-scottie-schefffler"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/nick-borrman\">WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman<\/a> offers his thoughts on the Arnold Palmer Invitational teeing off from Bay Hill Golf Course in Orlando, FL. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Arnold Palmer Invitational starting March 7th!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">$15 FREE for PREMIUM GOLF PICKS - CLAIM BELOW<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n<div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n<div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n<div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\nSPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">Thanks for signing up!\nYou are not eligible for this offer<\/div>\n<div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n<h3><img class=\"get-wagertalk-img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\">\nSign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n<span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n<span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n<span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n<div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n<form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\"><input name=\"formSubmitted\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"yes\">\n<input id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n<input id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"\">\n<input id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" type=\"hidden\" value=\"\">\n<!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n<input name=\"data_email\" type=\"email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n<div class=\"icon\"><!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n<input class=\"sign-up\" name=\"signup\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Sign Up\"><\/div>\n<\/form>\n<p class=\"small\">This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n<a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n<a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Stay on top of the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/golf\">Golf<\/a> updates direct from Las Vegas!<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk also offers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">Free NFL Picks<\/a> all year long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Arnold Palmer Invitational<\/th><th>Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Notes<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>When:<\/td><td>March 7-10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Where:<\/td><td>Bay Hill Golf Course in Orlando, FL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Defending Champ:<\/td><td>Kurt Kitayama<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Current Favorite:<\/td><td>Scottie Scheffler (+650 at <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings<\/a>)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>Golf Channel, NBC<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds Board<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via <a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/fanduel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FanDuel<\/a> ,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/wagertalk.go.metabet.io\/bet\/draftkings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DraftKings <\/a>and others)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Screen-Shot-2024-03-04-at-11.08.24-PM.png\" alt=\"Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds Board\" class=\"wp-image-26419\" style=\"width:387px;height:auto\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This week marks the 4th Signature Event of the season and the second with a cut as the field of 69 will be trimmed to the Top-50, or those within ten shots, after 36 holes. Both the purse and FedEx Cup points are elevated this week, so it\u2019s no wonder this is one of, if not the, best field this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Arnold\u2019s signature course presents a tough challenge to the players every year with the winning scored staying in the single digits in three of the last four editions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The course can stretch nearly 7,500 yards playing to a stock par-72. Rough is long, upwards of three inches, and this winter has been wetter than normal so players will likely find it even thicker than usual.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Fairways around Bay Hill are narrow making finding them more difficult than most tracks as the course routinely ranks in the Top-10 hardest to find the fairway (54%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That in turn has a major effect on finding the greens, also ranking in the Top-10 difficulty in greens in regulation at (58%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Nick's Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview... Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks - including the Arnold Palmer Invitational &amp; More<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Adding icing on the \u201cdifficulty\u201d cake is the greens are expected to stimp at 13 or longer this week. Yikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Because of its length, players will face more than the average number of approach shots from 175 yards or more, so both driving and long iron play will be the other important statistics to look at this week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That skillset is even more obvious when you look at past winners here that include McIlroy, Scheffler, DeChambeau and of course, the goat, Tiger Woods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, experience has proven important at Bay Hill as six of the last seven winners have finished inside the Top-15 in a previous edition of the tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Weather looks great on Thursday and Friday before winds kick up on Saturday with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph. Rain looks to be a threat for the finale on Sunday as temperatures drop into the 70s for the daytime high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Outright Winner: Justin Thomas +3300 (FanDuel or PointsBet)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nick Borrman<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I said it before, at odds this high, JT is a must-play. He missed the cut in his last start at the Genesis Invitational, but that snapped a streak of seven straight Top-12 finishes including five Top-6s. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His iron play and his short game have been phenomenal which the latter is likely to be a big factor this week as the greens here are difficult to hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The negative for JT is that this is an event his usually doesn\u2019t tee it up at, but given its Signature status, of course he is in the field. He has played here just twice before though he did have a solid finish at T21 last year, which was in the middle of one of his worst years on Tour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ludvig Aberg, Tommy Fleetwood and Cameron Young are all listed at shorter odds than JT this week and with the three of them having a combined one PGA Tour win under their belt, it simply is a head shaker to get JT, a 15-time Tour winner, at a longer number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Arnold Palmer Invitational Top-20 Finish: Adam Scott +165 (DraftKings or PointsBet)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Ho hum. Adam Scott has quietly produced seven straight Top-20 finishes worldwide including each of this three PGA Tour starts this season. He finished T20 at Pebble, T8 at the WM Phoenix Open and T19 in his last start at the Genesis Invitational.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Scott\u2019s ball-striking has been fantastic as he has gained strokes off the tee in 16 of his last 17 measured starts, as well as gaining an average of +1.12 strokes on approach over his last five starts. Throw in that Scott\u2019s sweeping putter stroke is always on point and that is a nice recipe for success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Scott has a spotty record at this event having played here 11 times over the last 20 years with only three Top-20 finishes. But with this event being Signature status with a field of only 69, his odds are much better to have to beat just two-thirds of the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Puerto Rico Open Outright Winner: Ben Silverman +5500 PointsBet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Remember, for those that didn\u2019t qualify for the API, there is an alternate field event at the Puerto Rico Open where you can take some longshot chances on guys like Ben Silverman who was a winner on the Korn Ferry Tour last season and is coming off back-to-back Top-20 finishes on the PGA Tour at the Mexico Open and Cognizant Classic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Like we previewed a couple weeks ago with Jake Knapp, you are looking for potential in these types of fields as you aren\u2019t going to find a ton of guys with great current form results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>See you next week for the PLAYERS Championship!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span><\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26418","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26418"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26418\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26420,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26418\/revisions\/26420"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3987"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}