{"id":25902,"date":"2024-02-11T12:07:20","date_gmt":"2024-02-11T17:07:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25902"},"modified":"2024-02-11T12:07:23","modified_gmt":"2024-02-11T17:07:23","slug":"kansas-city-chiefs-vs-san-francisco-49ers-super-bowl-best-bets-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/nfl\/kansas-city-chiefs-vs-san-francisco-49ers-super-bowl-best-bets-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Best Bets, Picks &#038; Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Preview: The Betting Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>NFL content contributor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on February 11th at 6:30pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get his Super Bowl betting analysis now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Preview&#8230; Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up!<br>You are not eligible for this offer\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <h3>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\" class=\"get-wagertalk-img\">\n          Sign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n          <span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span>\n        <\/h3>\n        <p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n        <div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n          <form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"formSubmitted\" value=\"yes\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" value=\"\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" value=\"\">\n            <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n            <input type=\"email\" name=\"data_email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n            <div class=\"icon\">\n              <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n              <input type=\"submit\" name=\"signup\" value=\"Sign Up\" class=\"sign-up\">\n            <\/div>\n          <\/form>\n          <p class=\"signup-form-text\" style=\"color: red !important;font-weight: bold;\"><\/p>\n          <p class=\"small\">\n            This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.\n          <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Super Bowl 58 &#8211; Straight to the Best Bets, Picks, Predictions, and Player Props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl Prediction: Chiefs +2, Lean Over 47.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>B<\/strong>onus Section: Some Player Props Worth Considering<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Prop prices are fluid, and since becoming more popular than ever, they change rapidly.&nbsp; I won\u2019t be able to list some of the better props I have in this space due to line movement, but listed below are some recommended plays that are still available which are worth considering.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>As an aside, I will talk more about props on various podcasts later in the week<\/em><\/strong>.&nbsp; Feel free to watch the podcasts live and ask a question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOTE ONE: <\/strong>Always shop for the best line.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOTE TWO<\/strong>: Cross-Sport Props are becoming an increasingly bigger part of my portfolio.&nbsp; There are edges that can be had if one is willing to do the legwork to find the outliers (generous sets or wayward odds set).&nbsp; A great majority of the cross-sport lines involve sports such as soccer and the NHL.&nbsp; These lines come out later in the week, past the deadline for this article.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOAH GRAY OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS AND 12.5 YARDS<\/strong>: This is a replica of what I did last week, although Gray was +135 on the number of catches and at 9.5 yards.&nbsp; Gray has had a 60% snap count, and last week was targeted five times, w\/four open looks.&nbsp; He\u2019s also facing a more forgiving pass defense.&nbsp; Lines range from -110 to -127 on receptions, and 11.5 to 13.5 on yardage.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>MAHOMES OVER 259.5 PASSING YARDS<\/strong> (Range I\u2019ve seen is from 257.5 to 262.5): As an alternative you can get +200 or much more on Mahomes going over 300 passing yards, and anywhere from +350 to +500 on 325 or more passing yards.&nbsp; I personally have +190 on Mahomes over 289.5 passing yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>JUSTIN REID OVER 5.5 tackles and assists<\/strong>: He exceeded this number 12 of 16 times in the regular season, and 13 of 19 times overall.&nbsp; Since I expect more of a shorter passing game from the 49ers, Reid should be involved in plenty of plays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>JI\u2019AYIR BROWN UNDER 6.5 TACKLES AND ASSISTS<\/strong>: We\u2019re starting to see this number dry up a bit, but Wager Web and one or two others still have it listed at 6.5.&nbsp; Brown had 10 tackles and assists just last week, but never exceeded 6 prior to that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I also recommend looking at head-to-head matchups<\/strong>, such as KC\u2019s Scantling with more yards than KC\u2019s Justin Watson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One approach I use in games like this is what I call \u201cmanipulated\u201d parlays. With the BET BUILDER option, you can build your own criteria, such as what I did with Mahomes over 33.5 pass attempts, parlayed to various other players, such as TE Kittle over 3 receptions.&nbsp;These parlays can still pay at plus money depending on how you set the criteria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Do your homework on cross-sport props!<\/strong>&nbsp; Like I noted above, many cross-sport props are not yet posted, at least as of this writing.&nbsp;One play I like that was sent to be was this: The total number of offensive plays in the Super Bowl -1 vs. the total points scored by the New Orleans Jazz when they play at Portland on February 10<sup>th<\/sup>.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FINALLY, HERE\u2019S A NOVELTY PROP FOR FUN<\/strong>: Go UNDER 1.5 times Taylor Swift is shown during the National Anthem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FINAL NOTE<\/strong>: While this concludes the football season, preparation and analysis never stops.&nbsp; Expect to see me active over the next several months with podcasts discussing the changing coaching landscape, and the upcoming NFL Draft.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m hopeful to share the stage with many knowledgeable handicappers in the field along this journey, which is intended to give the viewer a glimpse into the work that is done to prepare for the 2025 NCAA and NFL seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Follow me on twitter @ronacesports to be alerted of future articles, and my weekly podcasts with @lasvegascris.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions: Best Betting Odds &amp; Game Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Sunday, February 11<\/th><th>Super Bowl Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_11692b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=11692&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Spread:<\/td><td>Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 vs San Francisco 49ers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total:<\/td><td>47.5 (Over -110 \/ Under -110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Time:<\/td><td>6:30pm ET \/ 3:30pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>CBS<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_34561\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MC0YtPr9vr8?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Super Bowl 58 Player Props, Predictions and Picks - Shortest Touchdown Prop, O\/U 1.5 Yards?\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/MC0YtPr9vr8\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MC0YtPr9vr8\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Super Bowl 58 Player Props, Predictions and Picks - Shortest Touchdown Prop, O\/U 1.5 Yards?\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Teddy Covers took to WagerTalk Today to discuss the scoring in this year&#039;s Super Bowl 58. Will the shortest touchdown score be from the goal line? Further? Check out this video to find out the best way to play this scoring prop! If you are looking for NFL football player props for Super Bowl LVIII between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, we have you covered! Our NFL football player props experts discuss best bets for player props surrounding the Super Bowl for your sports betting knowledge! #nflpicks #nflpredictions #nflplayerprops Super Bowl LVIII Player Props Preview: Chiefs vs 49ers | 2\/11\/24 \ud83c\udfc8 Dive into the player props action for the Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers matchup in Super Bowl LVIII on 2\/11\/24! \ud83d\ude80 \ud83d\udd34 Kansas City Chiefs: Get ready to watch the Chiefs&#039; star players in action! Follow #ChiefsKingdom on Twitter for all the updates on your favorite team. \ud83d\udd35 San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers&#039; top talents are gearing up for the big game! Stay connected with #FTTB (Faithful to the Bay) on Twitter for exclusive content. \ud83d\udcfa How to Watch: Tune in to CBS on 2\/11\/24 to catch all the thrilling player prop moments as the Chiefs and 49ers battle for supremacy. \ud83d\udcca Current Spread and Total: 49ers -2.0, Total 47.5 \ud83c\udf1f Player Prop Lines: Will Patrick Mahomes throw for over\/under 262.5 yards? Can George Kittle record over\/under 3.5 receptions? Keep an eye on Travis Kelce&#039;s total receiving yards - over\/under 70.5. Explore these player props and more during the Super Bowl LVIII showdown! \ud83e\udd14 Interesting Facts: Patrick Mahomes, known for his incredible arm talent, has set numerous records early in his career. George Kittle&#039;s exceptional blocking skills have earned him praise as one of the most well-rounded tight ends in the league. Don&#039;t miss the chance to elevate your Super Bowl experience with player props excitement! Subscribe now for more updates and join the conversation using #SuperBowlProps. \ud83c\udfc6\ud83d\udd25 #NFLProps #nflbetting \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free NFL Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/NFL \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/MC0YtPr9vr8\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT1M56S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2024-02-06T15:23:19Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs Defense vs 49ers Rushing Offense: Super Bowl 58 Predictions &amp; Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the best indicators of RB success in college and in the NFL is yards-per-carry. As RB\u2019s age, that number typically declines. Anything close to 5.0 per carry is considered well above average. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Christian McCaffrey ran 5.4 per carry in the regular season, and is at 5.1 per carry in two playoff games. Unlike Baltimore, San Francisco figures to stick to the run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brock Purdy was not much of a factor in the run game until last week, when he may have been the difference in the game. It\u2019s something KC will need to keep an eye on. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs are one of the weaker teams vs. the run and will have their hands full in this game. I expect McCaffrey to run at least 16 times in this game, and San Francisco would be wise to control clock with a mixture of the run and pass. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, Deebo Samuel will get some rushing touches as well. KC has plenty of speed on defense, and might match up well with the outside run, but Samuel helps to diversify the attack. Look for Deebo to have 3-4 carries in this game, but I do not expect any big runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_18906\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/o0tjSpsQgyM?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Super Bowl 58 Player Props, Predictions and Picks - Will the Chiefs and Niners Reach 30 Points?\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/o0tjSpsQgyM\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/o0tjSpsQgyM\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Super Bowl 58 Player Props, Predictions and Picks - Will the Chiefs and Niners Reach 30 Points?\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Andy Lang dropped by WagerTalk Today to discuss the scoring in this year&#039;s Super Bowl 58. Will either the Chiefs and\/or the Niners reach 30 points? Both? Neither? Check out this video to find out the best way to play this scoring prop! If you are looking for NFL football player props for Super Bowl LVIII between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers, we have you covered! Our NFL football player props experts discuss best bets for player props surrounding the Super Bowl for your sports betting knowledge! #nflpicks #nflpredictions #nflplayerprops Super Bowl LVIII Player Props Preview: Chiefs vs 49ers | 2\/11\/24 \ud83c\udfc8 Dive into the player props action for the Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers matchup in Super Bowl LVIII on 2\/11\/24! \ud83d\ude80 \ud83d\udd34 Kansas City Chiefs: Get ready to watch the Chiefs&#039; star players in action! Follow #ChiefsKingdom on Twitter for all the updates on your favorite team. \ud83d\udd35 San Francisco 49ers: The 49ers&#039; top talents are gearing up for the big game! Stay connected with #FTTB (Faithful to the Bay) on Twitter for exclusive content. \ud83d\udcfa How to Watch: Tune in to CBS on 2\/11\/24 to catch all the thrilling player prop moments as the Chiefs and 49ers battle for supremacy. \ud83d\udcca Current Spread and Total: 49ers -2.0, Total 47.5 \ud83c\udf1f Player Prop Lines: Will Patrick Mahomes throw for over\/under 262.5 yards? Can George Kittle record over\/under 3.5 receptions? Keep an eye on Travis Kelce&#039;s total receiving yards - over\/under 70.5. Explore these player props and more during the Super Bowl LVIII showdown! \ud83e\udd14 Interesting Facts: Patrick Mahomes, known for his incredible arm talent, has set numerous records early in his career. George Kittle&#039;s exceptional blocking skills have earned him praise as one of the most well-rounded tight ends in the league. Don&#039;t miss the chance to elevate your Super Bowl experience with player props excitement! Subscribe now for more updates and join the conversation using #SuperBowlProps. \ud83c\udfc6\ud83d\udd25 #NFLProps #nflbetting \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free NFL Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/NFL \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/o0tjSpsQgyM\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT3M6S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2024-02-05T22:16:10Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs Rushing Offense vs 49ers Defense: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>RB Pacheco had 97 rush attempts in his last six regular season games, and another 63 attempts in three playoff games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We often think of the Chiefs as a Mahomes-driven passing team, but the greater reliance on Pacheco has paid dividends. Pacheco ran 4.6 per carry in the regular season, and 4.0 per carry in the playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As documented in last week\u2019s article, the 49ers regressed defending the run in 2023. With that in mind, Mahomes won\u2019t have to do everything by himself, and I expect another 15+ carries for Pacheco. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I won\u2019t project him to have as dynamic an impact as McCaffrey, but as long as he is picking up 1st downs the result could be the same. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>RB Edwards-Helaire is the next option. Running sparingly at 3.2 per carry during the regular season, he\u2019s 10-53 in the playoffs, adding four receptions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His value lies more in giving Pacheco a rest as opposed to making a big difference, especially on the ground. As we\u2019ve seen throughout the season, Mahomes is not afraid to take off and run with the ball. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco\u2019s LB\u2019s are collectively among the best in the NFL and will likely limit some of his scrambles, but it is wise to assume that he will have one splash rush result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs Defense vs 49ers RBs and WRs: Super Bowl Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Along with McCaffrey, WR\u2019s Samuel and Aiyuk, plus TE Kittle are formidable options in the pass game. While the slightly injured Samuel has had the most playoff receptions as compared to Aiyuk (10 to 6), Aiyuk was targeted more (14 to 11). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kittle\u2019s touches ebb and flow based on how often he is tasked to block, but he was targeted ten times, with six receptions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most noticeable trend last week was how the four playoff teams relied almost entirely on their stars to do the heavy lifting in the pass game. Given my scouting report on the Chiefs and their solid pass defense, I expect shorter routes from the WR\u2019s, as KC covers fairly well on deeper routes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For me, TE Kittle is the X-factor. We\u2019ll see how much he is featured in the game plan but there\u2019s a path for him to be heavily utilized, especially as all the buzz is focused on the other TE, Travis Kelce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like I said a week ago, the 49ers would be wise to build up QB Purdy\u2019s confidence early with some safer, rhythm throws. The 49ers will want to keep Mahomes off the field, as we know what happens when he gets in rhythm. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think they will do so with a mixture of runs and passes. My initial QB set is 21-33 for Purdy, for 239 yards. I do NOT see fringe WR\u2019s Conley or Jennings involved much unless there\u2019s an injury, but there will be some three WR sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_52009\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5caUkIFKetU?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"49ers vs Chiefs 2024 Super Bowl: Picks, Predictions, Odds, Player Props, and Best Bets - Bet On It\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/5caUkIFKetU\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5caUkIFKetU\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"49ers vs Chiefs 2024 Super Bowl: Picks, Predictions, Odds, Player Props, and Best Bets - Bet On It\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"\ud83c\udfc8 Best Bets, Predictions, Picks, and Odds on the 2024 Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs | Expert Betting Guide \ud83c\udfc8 Dive into the ultimate betting guide for the 2024 Super Bowl! Join our expert panel, including Kelly Stewart, Marco D&#039;Angelo, Teddy Covers, Joe Raineri, Gianni the Greek, Andy Lang, and Ralph Michaels, as they dissect the 49ers vs. Chiefs showdown. Get exclusive insights into picks, predictions, odds, player props, and the best bets to secure your win this NFL season. \ud83d\udd25 What&#039;s Inside: Key matchups &amp; X-factors that could sway the game Comprehensive analysis on bets &amp; moneyline picks Bold predictions &amp; deep dives into player performances Entertaining and insightful prop bet discussions \ud83d\udcc5 Event Details: When: Sunday, Feb 11th, 2024, 6:30 PM ET Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada Watch: FOX, FOX Sports App, NFL Game Pass Latest Odds: 49ers -2 | Total: 47.5 Updated Super Bowl Odds: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/nfl-odds \ud83c\udfc6 Who Will Triumph? Our team leaves no stone unturned, from critical matchups to the best betting angles. Whether you&#039;re rooting for the 49ers&#039; historic defense or the Chiefs&#039; dynamic offense, we&#039;ve got you covered with expert advice to elevate your betting game. \ud83d\udc47 Stay Ahead of the Game: Subscribe: Don&#039;t miss out on our comprehensive NFL playoff coverage. Hit subscribe and the notification bell! Engage: Who&#039;s your pick for the MVP? Share your thoughts in the comments! #SuperBowl2024 #NFLBetting #49ersVsChiefs #ExpertPicks #SportsBetting \ud83d\ude80 Follow Us &amp; Stay Updated: Twitter: &#064;NFL, &#064;SuperBowl, &#064;49ers, &#064;Chiefs, &#064;WagerTalk More Picks &amp; Tips: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com Subscribe for Updates: https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/&#064;Wagertalk \ud83d\udc4d Like &amp; Subscribe for more weekly NFL betting insights, and hit the Notification Bell to stay on top of your game. \ud83d\udc40 Segments to Watch: Ralph Michaels&#039; T &amp; A stats of the week for those looking for an analytical edge. Andy Lang&#039;s &quot;Prop Ship&quot; segment for top NFL betting props. Marco&#039;s &quot;Sandwich Game of the Week&quot; for unique betting opportunities. Insights into potential NFL Trap Games and underdog winners. Closing with Free NFL Expert Best Bets for those final, decisive insights. \ud83d\udd52 Timestamps Segment 1- Super Bowl Preview (Side) : 2:45 Kansas City vs San Francisco Segment 2 - SUPER BOWL Preview (Total) 9:15 Kansas City vs San Francisco Segment 2 - Ralph T&amp;A\/Prop Shop with Andy Lang Open with Ralph for T&amp;A 15:44 Kick to Andy for Prop Shop 23:37 Segment 3 **Best Bets** One Play For Each Host 29:26 \ud83d\udce3 Join Our Community: Be part of our weekly discussions and get a competitive edge for your NFL bets with WagerTalk TV. \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free NFL Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/NFL \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/5caUkIFKetU\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT34M14S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2024-02-02T21:00:04Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs RBs and WRs vs 49ers Defense: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Everything flowed through RB Pacheco, WR Rice, and TE Kelce last week. There\u2019s far less trust in any other WR on the roster, even though Valdez-Scantling had the big play at the end of last week\u2019s game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He had only one other catch, but in THIS game, he will be targeted deep once or twice, at least based on my analysis. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Games can be won or lost depending on the outcome of about 3-5 plays, and in my opinion, one of those plays might be the success or failure of a deep throw to Valdez-Scantling. This is a big stage for a rookie, but Rice has earned the trust of Reid and Mahomes. Baltimore was unable to stop TE Kelce. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It will be interesting to see how much attention San Francisco gives to defending him. Just last week, TE LaPorta was open all day, but mostly on shorter routes. Unlike the 49ers, KC is more than willing to use two TE sets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Noah Gray was \u201cunlucky\u201d not to do more damage last week, as he was targeted five times, and there were two poorly thrown balls to him when wide open in the middle of the field. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having two TE sets will not only improve Pacheco\u2019s chances of running, but also create an additional reliable target for the mercurial Mahomes. Two more points: 1st, of the two teams, KC has had more pass rush success. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Joey Bosa of the 49ers may be the best pass rusher on the field, but I project KC\u2019s pass rush to have more impact. 2nd, do not be surprised to see a few wrinkles in KC\u2019s offensive game plan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reid is famous for running unusual sets with time on his hands, as I remember last year when four players literally spun around in motion before the play call. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Special Teams Notes: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The kicking edge goes to KC\u201ds Butker initially, but rookie PK Moody has a powerful leg and could hit a long field goal. As I\u2019ve said in the past, making that 1st kick can be critical. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It would be best if Moody\u2019s 1st kick is an extra point or a shorter, more confidence-building field goal attempt. I\u2019m not sure if Deebo Samuel will be asked to return kicks, but given KC\u2019s occasional return defense lapses, the edge here could be with the 49ers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coaching Notes: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Reid-Mahomes dynamic is real. Reid will design an offense to (hopefully for KC fans) confuse the 49ers and keep them off guard. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Defensively, KC relies on speed up front, but positioning in the secondary. Their fine defensive coordinator has pushed all the right buttons in the playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SF counters with Kyle Shanahan, who is as creative a play caller as there is. He\u2019ll be willing to mix in the pass with the run, and likely won\u2019t lose site of the fact that you \u201cshould\u201d run on KC in order to create more single coverage in the pass game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The defense under Steve Wilks will try to win in the pass rush, but must do so without letting Mahomes step up in the pocket, as his unworldly vision would then be on display. The back defense will likely play it safer, and underneath throws might be open under this assumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Super Bowl Keys to the Game<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Purdy on the big stage. Will KC\u2019s defense frustrate him or will he lean into his talented offensive weapons and let them take care of business. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each team\u2019s pass rush. Defensively, both teams have the ability to disrupt the opposing QB, but at times we\u2019ve seen them neutralized. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are two solid OL\u2019s. Having time to throw would make either offense (with all their talent) that much more difficult to defend. KC\u2019s run defense once in the red zone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think it\u2019s a given that San Francisco will have some run game success, but once in scoring range, can KC, in a shortened field, make the necessary stops? Will the game be won or lost on the success (or failure) of some deep passing attempts? If so, who does that favor?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The 49ers Will Win If:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>McCaffrey takes over the game with his ability to not only break tackles, but have tacklers miss him completely.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The 49ers make Mahomes pass on their terms, with Bosa having an impact and the LB\u2019s cutting off his run lanes.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>George Kittle reminds people as to why he\u2019s one of the very best TE\u2019s in the current game.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>KC commits too many \u201cunnecessary\u201d penalties, leading to free plays and 1st downs. We\u2019ve seen this before.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Chiefs Will Win If:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pacheco provides value, especially considering the 49ers seem to be regressing vs. the run.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>KC hits on 1-2 big pass plays, as I suspect they will try to go over the top to catch the 49er secondary napping.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>KC\u2019s defensive adjustments help to stymie the 49ers, forcing them to run a more basic offense.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>KC is able to win the time of possession battle.&nbsp; Just like Tom Brady, Mahomes, once allowed to get in rhythm is not going to be easy to stop.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs 49ers Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With all that being said, this is shaping up to be a great game. I use three methods of handicapping, Power Numbers, situational factors, and matchup analysis. Let\u2019s examine all three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My Power Numbers show this as SF -2. At the current line, I show no value. I have no situational factors impacting this game. That leaves the matchup analysis. Based on everything I\u2019ve studied and written about, I show KC with the edge, but it is only a modest one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>McCaffrey and Kittle are quite formidable, and that cannot be discounted. Still, if SF can\u2019t ramp up the pass rush, I show their secondary as being the most vulnerable, and the creative Reid could keep the LB\u2019s and DB\u2019s off balance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kelce and probably Rice will get their yards, but even though KC improved once they stopped going to the less reliable players on their roster, this game might be won with those same players. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I would not be surprised if Valdez-Scantling, Justin Watson, and if he plays, Skyy Moore are schemed open. If that happens, it\u2019s on them to make the play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chase Young has been a liability during the playoffs. He\u2019s clearly capable of better, but I suspect KC will have some plays designed to take advantage of his liabilities. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bottom line: KC has the better pass defense, the better QB, and thus far, the more reliable kicker. I\u2019ll lean San Francisco in a comparison of skilled position players, but overall, this could be yet another trophy for the improving Chiefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! From Week 0, in college football all the way through the Super Bowl, get expert analysis, box score recaps, power ratings and much more from the <em><strong>country&#8217;s oldest and most popular sports betting newsletter<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg\" alt=\"clemson vs duke\" class=\"wp-image-21517\" style=\"width:489px;height:175px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-300x107.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-768x275.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball.jpg 1090w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all <a href=\"http:\/\/nfl.com\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"nfl.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NFL<\/a> games including Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>:&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vegas lines<\/a>&nbsp;updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong>: Check out our extensive library of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a>&nbsp;and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Want an expert opinion?<\/strong>&nbsp;Check out the latest&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a>&nbsp;from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Preview: The Betting Analysis NFL content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on February 11th at 6:30pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get his Super Bowl [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":24120,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[8749,8667,8668,8669,510,8672,8748,2213,8746,8747,8671],"class_list":["post-25902","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-san-francisco-49ers-odds","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-san-francisco-49ers-picks","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-san-francisco-49ers-predictions","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-san-francisco-49ers-preview","tag-super-bowl","tag-super-bowl-betting-advice","tag-super-bowl-betting-tips","tag-super-bowl-odds","tag-super-bowl-picks","tag-super-bowl-predictions","tag-super-bowl-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Preview: The Betting Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>NFL content contributor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\">Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on February 11th at 6:30pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get his Super Bowl betting analysis now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl Preview... Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up!<br>You are not eligible for this offer\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <h3>\n          <img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\" class=\"get-wagertalk-img\">\n          Sign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n          <span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span>\n        <\/h3>\n        <p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n        <div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n          <form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"formSubmitted\" value=\"yes\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" value=\"\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" value=\"\">\n            <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n            <input type=\"email\" name=\"data_email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n            <div class=\"icon\">\n              <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n              <input type=\"submit\" name=\"signup\" value=\"Sign Up\" class=\"sign-up\">\n            <\/div>\n          <\/form>\n          <p class=\"signup-form-text\" style=\"color: red !important;font-weight: bold;\"><\/p>\n          <p class=\"small\">\n            This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.\n          <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Super Bowl 58 - Straight to the Best Bets, Picks, Predictions, and Player Props<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl Prediction: Chiefs +2, Lean Over 47.5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>B<\/strong>onus Section: Some Player Props Worth Considering<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Prop prices are fluid, and since becoming more popular than ever, they change rapidly.&nbsp; I won\u2019t be able to list some of the better props I have in this space due to line movement, but listed below are some recommended plays that are still available which are worth considering.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>As an aside, I will talk more about props on various podcasts later in the week<\/em><\/strong>.&nbsp; Feel free to watch the podcasts live and ask a question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOTE ONE: <\/strong>Always shop for the best line.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOTE TWO<\/strong>: Cross-Sport Props are becoming an increasingly bigger part of my portfolio.&nbsp; There are edges that can be had if one is willing to do the legwork to find the outliers (generous sets or wayward odds set).&nbsp; A great majority of the cross-sport lines involve sports such as soccer and the NHL.&nbsp; These lines come out later in the week, past the deadline for this article.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NOAH GRAY OVER 1.5 RECEPTIONS AND 12.5 YARDS<\/strong>: This is a replica of what I did last week, although Gray was +135 on the number of catches and at 9.5 yards.&nbsp; Gray has had a 60% snap count, and last week was targeted five times, w\/four open looks.&nbsp; He\u2019s also facing a more forgiving pass defense.&nbsp; Lines range from -110 to -127 on receptions, and 11.5 to 13.5 on yardage.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>MAHOMES OVER 259.5 PASSING YARDS<\/strong> (Range I\u2019ve seen is from 257.5 to 262.5): As an alternative you can get +200 or much more on Mahomes going over 300 passing yards, and anywhere from +350 to +500 on 325 or more passing yards.&nbsp; I personally have +190 on Mahomes over 289.5 passing yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>JUSTIN REID OVER 5.5 tackles and assists<\/strong>: He exceeded this number 12 of 16 times in the regular season, and 13 of 19 times overall.&nbsp; Since I expect more of a shorter passing game from the 49ers, Reid should be involved in plenty of plays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>JI\u2019AYIR BROWN UNDER 6.5 TACKLES AND ASSISTS<\/strong>: We\u2019re starting to see this number dry up a bit, but Wager Web and one or two others still have it listed at 6.5.&nbsp; Brown had 10 tackles and assists just last week, but never exceeded 6 prior to that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I also recommend looking at head-to-head matchups<\/strong>, such as KC\u2019s Scantling with more yards than KC\u2019s Justin Watson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>One approach I use in games like this is what I call \u201cmanipulated\u201d parlays. With the BET BUILDER option, you can build your own criteria, such as what I did with Mahomes over 33.5 pass attempts, parlayed to various other players, such as TE Kittle over 3 receptions.&nbsp;These parlays can still pay at plus money depending on how you set the criteria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Do your homework on cross-sport props!<\/strong>&nbsp; Like I noted above, many cross-sport props are not yet posted, at least as of this writing.&nbsp;One play I like that was sent to be was this: The total number of offensive plays in the Super Bowl -1 vs. the total points scored by the New Orleans Jazz when they play at Portland on February 10<sup>th<\/sup>.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FINALLY, HERE\u2019S A NOVELTY PROP FOR FUN<\/strong>: Go UNDER 1.5 times Taylor Swift is shown during the National Anthem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>FINAL NOTE<\/strong>: While this concludes the football season, preparation and analysis never stops.&nbsp; Expect to see me active over the next several months with podcasts discussing the changing coaching landscape, and the upcoming NFL Draft.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m hopeful to share the stage with many knowledgeable handicappers in the field along this journey, which is intended to give the viewer a glimpse into the work that is done to prepare for the 2025 NCAA and NFL seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Follow me on twitter @ronacesports to be alerted of future articles, and my weekly podcasts with @lasvegascris.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions: Best Betting Odds &amp; Game Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Sunday, February 11<\/th><th>Super Bowl Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_11692b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=11692&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Spread:<\/td><td>Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 vs San Francisco 49ers<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total:<\/td><td>47.5 (Over -110 \/ Under -110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Time:<\/td><td>6:30pm ET \/ 3:30pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>CBS<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MC0YtPr9vr8?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs Defense vs 49ers Rushing Offense: Super Bowl 58 Predictions &amp; Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>One of the best indicators of RB success in college and in the NFL is yards-per-carry. As RB\u2019s age, that number typically declines. Anything close to 5.0 per carry is considered well above average. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Christian McCaffrey ran 5.4 per carry in the regular season, and is at 5.1 per carry in two playoff games. Unlike Baltimore, San Francisco figures to stick to the run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Brock Purdy was not much of a factor in the run game until last week, when he may have been the difference in the game. It\u2019s something KC will need to keep an eye on. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs are one of the weaker teams vs. the run and will have their hands full in this game. I expect McCaffrey to run at least 16 times in this game, and San Francisco would be wise to control clock with a mixture of the run and pass. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, Deebo Samuel will get some rushing touches as well. KC has plenty of speed on defense, and might match up well with the outside run, but Samuel helps to diversify the attack. Look for Deebo to have 3-4 carries in this game, but I do not expect any big runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/o0tjSpsQgyM?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs Rushing Offense vs 49ers Defense: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>RB Pacheco had 97 rush attempts in his last six regular season games, and another 63 attempts in three playoff games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>We often think of the Chiefs as a Mahomes-driven passing team, but the greater reliance on Pacheco has paid dividends. Pacheco ran 4.6 per carry in the regular season, and 4.0 per carry in the playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>As documented in last week\u2019s article, the 49ers regressed defending the run in 2023. With that in mind, Mahomes won\u2019t have to do everything by himself, and I expect another 15+ carries for Pacheco. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I won\u2019t project him to have as dynamic an impact as McCaffrey, but as long as he is picking up 1st downs the result could be the same. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>RB Edwards-Helaire is the next option. Running sparingly at 3.2 per carry during the regular season, he\u2019s 10-53 in the playoffs, adding four receptions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His value lies more in giving Pacheco a rest as opposed to making a big difference, especially on the ground. As we\u2019ve seen throughout the season, Mahomes is not afraid to take off and run with the ball. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco\u2019s LB\u2019s are collectively among the best in the NFL and will likely limit some of his scrambles, but it is wise to assume that he will have one splash rush result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs Defense vs 49ers RBs and WRs: Super Bowl Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Along with McCaffrey, WR\u2019s Samuel and Aiyuk, plus TE Kittle are formidable options in the pass game. While the slightly injured Samuel has had the most playoff receptions as compared to Aiyuk (10 to 6), Aiyuk was targeted more (14 to 11). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Kittle\u2019s touches ebb and flow based on how often he is tasked to block, but he was targeted ten times, with six receptions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The most noticeable trend last week was how the four playoff teams relied almost entirely on their stars to do the heavy lifting in the pass game. Given my scouting report on the Chiefs and their solid pass defense, I expect shorter routes from the WR\u2019s, as KC covers fairly well on deeper routes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For me, TE Kittle is the X-factor. We\u2019ll see how much he is featured in the game plan but there\u2019s a path for him to be heavily utilized, especially as all the buzz is focused on the other TE, Travis Kelce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Like I said a week ago, the 49ers would be wise to build up QB Purdy\u2019s confidence early with some safer, rhythm throws. The 49ers will want to keep Mahomes off the field, as we know what happens when he gets in rhythm. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think they will do so with a mixture of runs and passes. My initial QB set is 21-33 for Purdy, for 239 yards. I do NOT see fringe WR\u2019s Conley or Jennings involved much unless there\u2019s an injury, but there will be some three WR sets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5caUkIFKetU?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs RBs and WRs vs 49ers Defense: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Everything flowed through RB Pacheco, WR Rice, and TE Kelce last week. There\u2019s far less trust in any other WR on the roster, even though Valdez-Scantling had the big play at the end of last week\u2019s game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He had only one other catch, but in THIS game, he will be targeted deep once or twice, at least based on my analysis. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Games can be won or lost depending on the outcome of about 3-5 plays, and in my opinion, one of those plays might be the success or failure of a deep throw to Valdez-Scantling. This is a big stage for a rookie, but Rice has earned the trust of Reid and Mahomes. Baltimore was unable to stop TE Kelce. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It will be interesting to see how much attention San Francisco gives to defending him. Just last week, TE LaPorta was open all day, but mostly on shorter routes. Unlike the 49ers, KC is more than willing to use two TE sets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Noah Gray was \u201cunlucky\u201d not to do more damage last week, as he was targeted five times, and there were two poorly thrown balls to him when wide open in the middle of the field. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Having two TE sets will not only improve Pacheco\u2019s chances of running, but also create an additional reliable target for the mercurial Mahomes. Two more points: 1st, of the two teams, KC has had more pass rush success. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Joey Bosa of the 49ers may be the best pass rusher on the field, but I project KC\u2019s pass rush to have more impact. 2nd, do not be surprised to see a few wrinkles in KC\u2019s offensive game plan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Reid is famous for running unusual sets with time on his hands, as I remember last year when four players literally spun around in motion before the play call. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Special Teams Notes: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The kicking edge goes to KC\u201ds Butker initially, but rookie PK Moody has a powerful leg and could hit a long field goal. As I\u2019ve said in the past, making that 1st kick can be critical. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It would be best if Moody\u2019s 1st kick is an extra point or a shorter, more confidence-building field goal attempt. I\u2019m not sure if Deebo Samuel will be asked to return kicks, but given KC\u2019s occasional return defense lapses, the edge here could be with the 49ers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coaching Notes: Super Bowl Preview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The Reid-Mahomes dynamic is real. Reid will design an offense to (hopefully for KC fans) confuse the 49ers and keep them off guard. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Defensively, KC relies on speed up front, but positioning in the secondary. Their fine defensive coordinator has pushed all the right buttons in the playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>SF counters with Kyle Shanahan, who is as creative a play caller as there is. He\u2019ll be willing to mix in the pass with the run, and likely won\u2019t lose site of the fact that you \u201cshould\u201d run on KC in order to create more single coverage in the pass game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The defense under Steve Wilks will try to win in the pass rush, but must do so without letting Mahomes step up in the pocket, as his unworldly vision would then be on display. The back defense will likely play it safer, and underneath throws might be open under this assumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Super Bowl Keys to the Game<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Purdy on the big stage. Will KC\u2019s defense frustrate him or will he lean into his talented offensive weapons and let them take care of business. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Each team\u2019s pass rush. Defensively, both teams have the ability to disrupt the opposing QB, but at times we\u2019ve seen them neutralized. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>These are two solid OL\u2019s. Having time to throw would make either offense (with all their talent) that much more difficult to defend. KC\u2019s run defense once in the red zone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I think it\u2019s a given that San Francisco will have some run game success, but once in scoring range, can KC, in a shortened field, make the necessary stops? Will the game be won or lost on the success (or failure) of some deep passing attempts? If so, who does that favor?<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The 49ers Will Win If:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Chiefs Will Win If:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs 49ers Final Thoughts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With all that being said, this is shaping up to be a great game. I use three methods of handicapping, Power Numbers, situational factors, and matchup analysis. Let\u2019s examine all three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>My Power Numbers show this as SF -2. At the current line, I show no value. I have no situational factors impacting this game. That leaves the matchup analysis. Based on everything I\u2019ve studied and written about, I show KC with the edge, but it is only a modest one. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>McCaffrey and Kittle are quite formidable, and that cannot be discounted. Still, if SF can\u2019t ramp up the pass rush, I show their secondary as being the most vulnerable, and the creative Reid could keep the LB\u2019s and DB\u2019s off balance. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Kelce and probably Rice will get their yards, but even though KC improved once they stopped going to the less reliable players on their roster, this game might be won with those same players. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I would not be surprised if Valdez-Scantling, Justin Watson, and if he plays, Skyy Moore are schemed open. If that happens, it\u2019s on them to make the play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Chase Young has been a liability during the playoffs. He\u2019s clearly capable of better, but I suspect KC will have some plays designed to take advantage of his liabilities. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Bottom line: KC has the better pass defense, the better QB, and thus far, the more reliable kicker. I\u2019ll lean San Francisco in a comparison of skilled position players, but overall, this could be yet another trophy for the improving Chiefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! From Week 0, in college football all the way through the Super Bowl, get expert analysis, box score recaps, power ratings and much more from the <em><strong>country's oldest and most popular sports betting newsletter<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg\" alt=\"clemson vs duke\" class=\"wp-image-21517\" style=\"width:489px;height:175px\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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