Nick Borrman<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nIt\u2019s been a long time since I bet on JT in any market, let alone the Outright Winner, but this seems like the time to jump back on board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
We rarely see JT at this long of a price. Even in his darkest days over the last year, he was never much longer than these odds and now he is showing excellent form with four straight Top-5s coming in. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
This is one of those scenarios I just have to bet him for FOMO reasons. If he wins, or even contends again, it seems almost impossible we will see him at this price for a while.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Over his last four starts, he has gained strokes on both approach and around the green in each event, both of which are key metrics I\u2019m looking at this week with Pebble\u2019s small greens. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
It will take strong iron play to hit more than the field average and considering everyone will miss at times, it\u2019s good to know his short game is strong. He has also gained strokes putting in three of four events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
JT\u2019s driver is about the only thing that hasn\u2019t been great during his run, but he is coming off his best week of his last four gaining +0.80 strokes per round. Now\u2019s the time to go all in on JT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Top-20 Finish: J.T. Poston +160 (Bet365)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Poston doesn\u2019t have good course history this week as he has played in this event just twice finishing 66th and 68th in 2017 and 2018, but considering many of the top names have skipped this event over the years, I\u2019m not too worried.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Instead, I\u2019m betting on his form which has been fantastic as he has finished in the Top-25 in ten of his last 12 starts dating back to the John Deere Classic in July. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
He took off last week at Torrey Pines to get ready for this event but played in each of the first three events of 2024 finishing T5, 6th and T11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Poston\u2019s weakness is with his driver as he\u2019s not long, nor super accurate for that matter, but his approach game is strong, gaining strokes in ten of his last 11 starts, his short game is solid, gaining strokes in nine of his last 13 starts, and his putting is lights out, gaining strokes in 12 straight starts where he ranks #2 in this field in SG Putting over the last six months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Ride the hot hand with the \u201cother\u201d JT this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
See you next week for the WM Phoenix Open!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\nhttps:\/\/youtu.be\/Mjx9kuGp5is\n\n\n\n\n\n
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