{"id":25664,"date":"2024-01-28T13:57:33","date_gmt":"2024-01-28T18:57:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25664"},"modified":"2024-01-28T13:57:35","modified_gmt":"2024-01-28T18:57:35","slug":"chiefs-ravens-free-picks-best-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/nfl\/chiefs-ravens-free-picks-best-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Free Picks and Best Bets &#8211; AFC Championship"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions: The Betting Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>NFL content contributor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on January 28th at 3:00pm ET. What should you look at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Playoff betting analysis now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free NFL picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long &#8211; including on the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens. Get your free picks now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff Preview&#8230; Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up!<br>You are not eligible for this offer\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <h3>\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\" class=\"get-wagertalk-img\">\n          Sign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n          <span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span>\n        <\/h3>\n        <p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n        <div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n          <form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"formSubmitted\" value=\"yes\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" value=\"\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" value=\"\">\n            <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n            <input type=\"email\" name=\"data_email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n            <div class=\"icon\">\n              <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n              <input type=\"submit\" name=\"signup\" value=\"Sign Up\" class=\"sign-up\">\n            <\/div>\n          <\/form>\n          <p class=\"signup-form-text\" style=\"color: red !important;font-weight: bold;\"><\/p>\n          <p class=\"small\">\n            This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.\n          <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions: Best Betting Odds &amp; Game Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Sunday, January 28<\/th><th>NFL Playoff Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_11692b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=11692&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Spread:<\/td><td>Kansas City Chiefs +3 vs Baltimore Ravens<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total:<\/td><td>44.5 (Over -110 \/ Under -110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Time:<\/td><td>3:00pm ET \/ 12:00pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>M&amp;T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>CBS<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_72046\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b9uUcBHVJBI?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"The Opening Line Report | 2024 AFC &amp; NFC Championship Odds &amp; Spreads | NFL Betting Advice | Jan 22\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/b9uUcBHVJBI\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b9uUcBHVJBI\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"The Opening Line Report | 2024 AFC &amp; NFC Championship Odds &amp; Spreads | NFL Betting Advice | Jan 22\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"\ud83c\udfc8 After defeating the Buccaneers yesterday, the Lions are one win away from reaching their first Super Bowl in team history. How big of underdogs should they be in their NFC Championship game against the 49ers on Sunday? Join Teddy and Drew for the NFL Opening Line Report running through betting analysis surrounding both the AFC and NFC Championship games! #SportsBetting | #NFL | #nflbetting \ud83d\udc4d You can get free sports picks and betting tips direct from Vegas by following the WagerTalk handicappers on Twitter: \u25ba WagerTalk: https:\/\/twitter.com\/WagerTalk \u25ba Sportsmemo: https:\/\/twitter.com\/sportsmemo \u25ba GoldSheet: https:\/\/twitter.com\/thegoldsheet \u25ba Drew Martin: https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrewMartinBets \u25ba Teddy Covers: https:\/\/twitter.com\/teddy_covers \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV, \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/b9uUcBHVJBI\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT42M54S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2024-01-22T18:51:43Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs Ravens Free Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Divisional Round Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I could write a book about this, but I\u2019ll try to be brief. Buffalo\u2019s game plan was superb at the start, as they kept Josh Allen out of harm\u2019s way by utilizing his legs, and RB Cook\u2019s legs to attack KC\u2019s run D weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mahomes also looked sharp early on, but was kept off the field in the 3rd quarter with Buffalo\u2019s clock stretching drives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The game took a left turn on Buffalo\u2019s failed fake punt attempt. For the Bills, they went away from what worked as Josh Allen was charged to throw deep against KC\u2019s strong secondary. Their late drive to tie or win the game was mismanaged, and the missed field goal was a killer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For KC, putting the ball in Hardeman\u2019s hands near the goal line wasn\u2019t ideal, although it\u2019s a little bit random that the touchback rule came into play at the goal line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Point of Concern with Kansas City&#8217;s Offense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>What I didn\u2019t like was how KC\u2019s offense got out of rhythm once they got the ball back. Kelce and WR Rice were not a big part of the final quarter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The star of the game was easily RB Pacheco. I noted that he runs angry. He ran 15-97, and KC moves on to the AFC final. One final KC note. KC\u2019s defense produced zero sacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"540\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/dcr23100820546_bal_at_pit-e1705688011336.jpg\" alt=\"Ravens RB preps for Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens AFC Championship\" class=\"wp-image-25649\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/dcr23100820546_bal_at_pit-e1705688011336.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/dcr23100820546_bal_at_pit-e1705688011336-300x162.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/dcr23100820546_bal_at_pit-e1705688011336-768x415.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">PITTSBURGH, PA &#8211; OCTOBER 08: Baltimore Ravens running back Gus Edwards (35) runs with the ball during the regular season NFL football game between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers on October 08, 2023 at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA. (Photo by Mark Alberti\/Icon Sportswire)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs Ravens Predictions: Baltimore Ravens Divisional Round Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore\u2019s defense came to play, as evidenced by holding the Texan\u2019s to just three offensive points, but the real story was how Todd Monken and the Raven\u2019s offense delivered a second half knockout punch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston barely saw the field in the second half, as Baltimore controlled clock with a 24-0 shutout after the game was tied at the half. This is exactly why Monken was hired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I projected Lamar Jackson to hit 70% (21-30) in this game, and he bettered that by going 16-22. Houston was held to 213 total yards, but in a surprise, Baltimore had no defensive sacks (60 during the regular season). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I was right about Justice Hill taking carries away from Gus Edwards, which actually gives Baltimore versatility in the run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The one surprise? Odell Beckham was not more involved offensively. He had just one reception, and just the one target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore is built to run the ball to set up the pass and KC is built more to defend the pass. We often talk about 3rd down conversion rates (and 3rd down stop rates) but my initial thought is that 1st down will be the important down when Baltimore\u2019s offense is on the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I believe Kansas City wants to force Lamar Jackson to throw on their terms, and I also believe they want to see if Lamar is up to the challenge. Based on how they fared vs. both Houston and Buffalo, the Chiefs better be prepared to stop the run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With that in mind, the play-action pass success rate might help determine how effective Baltimore\u2019s offense will be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Neither defense recorded a sack this past weekend. Mahomes will continue to utilize TE Kelce and WR Rice, which should come as no surprise. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, RB Pacheco will be tasked once again to pick up the tough yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The PICK<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The line on this game opened Baltimore -3 but is trending toward -3.5. My updated Power Numbers show -3 to be too low. The Pat Mahomes\/Andy Reid combination is tough to bet against, but Baltimore -3 has some value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lean: Baltimore Ravens -3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! From Week 0, in college football all the way through the Super Bowl, get expert analysis, box score recaps, power ratings and much more from the <em><strong>country&#8217;s oldest and most popular sports betting newsletter<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg\" alt=\"clemson vs duke\" class=\"wp-image-21517\" style=\"width:489px;height:175px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-300x107.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-768x275.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball.jpg 1090w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all <a href=\"http:\/\/nfl.com\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"nfl.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NFL<\/a> games including Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>:&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vegas lines<\/a>&nbsp;updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong>: Check out our extensive library of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a>&nbsp;and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Want an expert opinion?<\/strong>&nbsp;Check out the latest&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a>&nbsp;from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions: The Betting Analysis NFL content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on January 28th at 3:00pm ET. What should you look at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Playoff betting analysis [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":25649,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2197,8569,2199,8568,8570,8562,8566,8565,8564,8563,8567],"class_list":["post-25664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-afc-championship","tag-afc-championship-odds","tag-afc-championship-picks","tag-afc-championship-predictions","tag-afc-championship-preview","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-baltimore-ravens","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-baltimore-ravens-bets","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-baltimore-ravens-odds","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-baltimore-ravens-picks","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-baltimore-ravens-prediction","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-baltimore-ravens-preview"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Predictions: The Betting Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>NFL content contributor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\">Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on January 28th at 3:00pm ET. What should you look at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Playoff betting analysis now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free NFL picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long - including on the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens. Get your free picks now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Playoff Preview... Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Buffalo\u2019s game plan was superb at the start, as they kept Josh Allen out of harm\u2019s way by utilizing his legs, and RB Cook\u2019s legs to attack KC\u2019s run D weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mahomes also looked sharp early on, but was kept off the field in the 3rd quarter with Buffalo\u2019s clock stretching drives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The game took a left turn on Buffalo\u2019s failed fake punt attempt. For the Bills, they went away from what worked as Josh Allen was charged to throw deep against KC\u2019s strong secondary. Their late drive to tie or win the game was mismanaged, and the missed field goal was a killer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>For KC, putting the ball in Hardeman\u2019s hands near the goal line wasn\u2019t ideal, although it\u2019s a little bit random that the touchback rule came into play at the goal line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Point of Concern with Kansas City's Offense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>What I didn\u2019t like was how KC\u2019s offense got out of rhythm once they got the ball back. Kelce and WR Rice were not a big part of the final quarter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The star of the game was easily RB Pacheco. I noted that he runs angry. He ran 15-97, and KC moves on to the AFC final. One final KC note. KC\u2019s defense produced zero sacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/dcr23100820546_bal_at_pit-e1705688011336.jpg\" alt=\"Ravens RB preps for Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens AFC Championship\" class=\"wp-image-25649\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">PITTSBURGH, PA - OCTOBER 08: Baltimore Ravens running back Gus Edwards (35) runs with the ball during the regular season NFL football game between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers on October 08, 2023 at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA. (Photo by Mark Alberti\/Icon Sportswire)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs Ravens Predictions: Baltimore Ravens Divisional Round Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore\u2019s defense came to play, as evidenced by holding the Texan\u2019s to just three offensive points, but the real story was how Todd Monken and the Raven\u2019s offense delivered a second half knockout punch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Houston barely saw the field in the second half, as Baltimore controlled clock with a 24-0 shutout after the game was tied at the half. This is exactly why Monken was hired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I projected Lamar Jackson to hit 70% (21-30) in this game, and he bettered that by going 16-22. Houston was held to 213 total yards, but in a surprise, Baltimore had no defensive sacks (60 during the regular season). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I was right about Justice Hill taking carries away from Gus Edwards, which actually gives Baltimore versatility in the run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The one surprise? Odell Beckham was not more involved offensively. He had just one reception, and just the one target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore is built to run the ball to set up the pass and KC is built more to defend the pass. We often talk about 3rd down conversion rates (and 3rd down stop rates) but my initial thought is that 1st down will be the important down when Baltimore\u2019s offense is on the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I believe Kansas City wants to force Lamar Jackson to throw on their terms, and I also believe they want to see if Lamar is up to the challenge. Based on how they fared vs. both Houston and Buffalo, the Chiefs better be prepared to stop the run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>With that in mind, the play-action pass success rate might help determine how effective Baltimore\u2019s offense will be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Neither defense recorded a sack this past weekend. Mahomes will continue to utilize TE Kelce and WR Rice, which should come as no surprise. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, RB Pacheco will be tasked once again to pick up the tough yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The PICK<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The line on this game opened Baltimore -3 but is trending toward -3.5. My updated Power Numbers show -3 to be too low. The Pat Mahomes\/Andy Reid combination is tough to bet against, but Baltimore -3 has some value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lean: Baltimore Ravens -3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all <a href=\"http:\/\/nfl.com\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"nfl.com\">NFL<\/a> games including Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25664"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25664\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25734,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25664\/revisions\/25734"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}