{"id":25603,"date":"2024-01-17T10:45:24","date_gmt":"2024-01-17T15:45:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25603"},"modified":"2024-01-17T10:45:26","modified_gmt":"2024-01-17T15:45:26","slug":"kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-predictions-picks-and-best-bets-nfl-playoffs-1-21-24","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/nfl\/kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-predictions-picks-and-best-bets-nfl-playoffs-1-21-24\/","title":{"rendered":"Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Predictions, Picks and Best Bets &#8211; NFL Playoffs 1\/21\/24"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: The Betting Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>NFL content contributor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on January 21st at 6:30pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Playoff betting analysis now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free NFL picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long &#8211; including on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills. Get your free picks now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills NFL Playoff Preview&#8230; Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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The rest enabled KC to reset, while injuries and a short week hurt Miami, who also had to deal with losing the opportunity to secure the #2 overall seed in brutal fashion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not sure why people thought rookie WR Rashee Rice was only now emerging. He\u2019s been great most of the year and the chemistry has been there for two months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The talk after the game was about Tua\u2019s less than stellar performance. Sorry, but not just weather, but KC\u2019s defense (and their edge vs. Miami\u2019s OL) was the cause, as I believe Tua will bounce back. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>KC is especially dangerous vs. the pass. Two more observations. 1st, RB Pacheco runs angry. 2nd, TE Kelce looked as rested and fit as he has been in months. That combination is a pretty good one to have.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Buffalo Bills Wildcard Game Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh had a +11 turnover ratio during the regular season but I questioned how long that could be sustained. On Monday, two quick turnovers put the Steelers in a quick deficit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I suspected missing T.J. Watt would matter, which was not a tough call (now 1-11 straight-up in games where he does not play). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When Josh Allen goes turnover-free, Buffalo becomes very tough to beat. RB Cook ran 18-79 and WR Diggs, who doesn\u2019t like to be ignored in the pass game, went 7-52. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was cold, but Buffalo made this game closer than it really was thanks to a field goal being blocked, coupled with a missed 27-yard field goal attempt which was poorly struck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: The PICK <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This will be Mahomes first true road playoff game. The weather won\u2019t be a factor with both teams and QB\u2019s quite accustomed to it, but streaking Buffalo is happy to be the host. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo beat KC, at KC on 12\/10 but that was a great spot for the Bills, as they were off a full bye week during that time period when the Chiefs were continually facing a negative rest differential. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This turned out to be a tossup game, both in score and on the stat sheet. KC\u2019s task is to force Josh Allen into making mistakes. Buffalo\u2019s job is to do a better job containing TE Kelce (6-83). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo\u2019s Power Number is higher than KC\u2019s, and I understand why, but I did adjust KC\u2019s number up one full point based on the flip of their schedule in their favor (that week 18 refresher). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bookmaker had Buffalo as high as -3, laying -105. Most shops have Buffalo at 2.5, but heavily juiced. I write this on Monday Night and do not know right now which way the odds will swing, but KC +3 is my current recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lean: Kansas City Chiefs +3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! From Week 0, in college football all the way through the Super Bowl, get expert analysis, box score recaps, power ratings and much more from the <em><strong>country&#8217;s oldest and most popular sports betting newsletter<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"366\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg\" alt=\"clemson vs duke\" class=\"wp-image-21517\" style=\"width:489px;height:175px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-1024x366.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-300x107.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball-768x275.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/goldsheetfootball.jpg 1090w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all <a href=\"http:\/\/nfl.com\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"nfl.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NFL<\/a> games including Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>:&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Vegas lines<\/a>&nbsp;updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong>: Check out our extensive library of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a>&nbsp;and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Want an expert opinion?<\/strong>&nbsp;Check out the latest&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Free Sports Picks<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Best Bets<\/a>&nbsp;from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: The Betting Analysis NFL content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on January 21st at 6:30pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Playoff betting analysis [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":24120,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[276,105,8516,8520,8519,8517,8518,8521,8522,256,5988,76,474,2160,473,277],"class_list":["post-25603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-nfl-playoffs","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-odds","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-picks","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-prediction","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-predictions","tag-kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-preview","tag-nfl-odds","tag-nfl-pick","tag-nfl-picks","tag-nfl-playoff-picks","tag-nfl-playoff-predictions","tag-nfl-playoffs","tag-nfl-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: The Betting Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>NFL content contributor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\">Ron Marmalefsky<\/a> offers his expert betting prediction and picks for Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills NFL Playoff matchup kicking off on January 21st at 6:30pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Playoff betting analysis now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>You get <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/nfl\">free NFL picks<\/a> from WagerTalk all season long - including on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills. Get your free picks now!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"amazing-offer-from-expert-nfl-handicappers\">Before You Read Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills NFL Playoff Preview... Get $15 FREE towards all expert picks!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"anchor\" id=\"newsletterfrm\"><\/a>\n<div class=\"hottest_play_area\">\n  <div id=\"newsletter_widget\" class=\"hottest_play_third_area newsletter_widget\">\n    <div class=\"hottest_play_third_area_content\">\n      <div class=\"sign-up-offer-text\">\n        <p>SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS<\/p>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank new\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code.\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-thank old\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <a class=\"anchor-newsletter\"><\/a>\n        Thanks for signing up!<br>You are not eligible for this offer\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"newsletter-form-container\" style=\"display: none;\">\n        <h3>\n          <img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/images\/email-open-wagertalk.png\" alt=\"WagerTalk NewsLetter\" class=\"get-wagertalk-img\">\n          Sign up for WagerTalk news alerts and get free picks, discounts and\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk\">GET<\/span>\n          <span class=\"free-wagertalk\">$15<\/span>\n          <span class=\"get-wagertalk-line2\">FREE<\/span>\n        <\/h3>\n        <p class=\"center\">ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM<\/p>\n        <div class=\"free-wagertalk-signup-form\">\n          <form id=\"splash-email-form\" action=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/emailsignup\" method=\"POST\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" name=\"formSubmitted\" value=\"yes\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-site-key\" name=\"data_recaptchaSiteKey\" value=\"6LdCARkmAAAAAANHM-KhXLNdRk_r8GTFerrGSrZo\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-recaptcha-token\" name=\"data_recaptchaToken\" value=\"\">\n            <input type=\"hidden\" id=\"splash-email-return-url\" name=\"data_returnURL\" value=\"\">\n            <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n            <input type=\"email\" name=\"data_email\" placeholder=\"Enter your email address\">\n            <div class=\"icon\">\n              <!--suppress HtmlFormInputWithoutLabel -->\n              <input type=\"submit\" name=\"signup\" value=\"Sign Up\" class=\"sign-up\">\n            <\/div>\n          <\/form>\n          <p class=\"signup-form-text\" style=\"color: red !important;font-weight: bold;\"><\/p>\n          <p class=\"small\">\n            This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/privacy\">Privacy Policy<\/a> and\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/policies.google.com\/terms\">Terms of Service<\/a> apply.\n          <\/p>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Predictions: Best Betting Odds &amp; Game Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><th>Sunday, January 21<\/th><th>NFL Playoff Betting Notes (Courtesy of <a href=\"https:\/\/wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com\/C.ashx?btag=a_11692b_2550c_&amp;affid=299&amp;siteid=11692&amp;adid=2550&amp;c=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Caesars<\/a>)<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>Spread:<\/td><td>Kansas City Chiefs +3 vs Buffalo Bills<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Total:<\/td><td>45.5 (Over -110 \/ Under -110)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Game Time:<\/td><td>6:30pm ET \/ 3:30pm PT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Arena:<\/td><td>Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>TV:<\/td><td>CBS<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs Wildcard Game Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It wasn\u2019t a fair fight last week, and that was well documented before the game. The rest enabled KC to reset, while injuries and a short week hurt Miami, who also had to deal with losing the opportunity to secure the #2 overall seed in brutal fashion. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not sure why people thought rookie WR Rashee Rice was only now emerging. He\u2019s been great most of the year and the chemistry has been there for two months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The talk after the game was about Tua\u2019s less than stellar performance. Sorry, but not just weather, but KC\u2019s defense (and their edge vs. Miami\u2019s OL) was the cause, as I believe Tua will bounce back. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>KC is especially dangerous vs. the pass. Two more observations. 1st, RB Pacheco runs angry. 2nd, TE Kelce looked as rested and fit as he has been in months. That combination is a pretty good one to have.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Buffalo Bills Wildcard Game Takeaways<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh had a +11 turnover ratio during the regular season but I questioned how long that could be sustained. On Monday, two quick turnovers put the Steelers in a quick deficit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I suspected missing T.J. Watt would matter, which was not a tough call (now 1-11 straight-up in games where he does not play). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>When Josh Allen goes turnover-free, Buffalo becomes very tough to beat. RB Cook ran 18-79 and WR Diggs, who doesn\u2019t like to be ignored in the pass game, went 7-52. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It was cold, but Buffalo made this game closer than it really was thanks to a field goal being blocked, coupled with a missed 27-yard field goal attempt which was poorly struck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills Prediction: The PICK <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This will be Mahomes first true road playoff game. The weather won\u2019t be a factor with both teams and QB\u2019s quite accustomed to it, but streaking Buffalo is happy to be the host. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo beat KC, at KC on 12\/10 but that was a great spot for the Bills, as they were off a full bye week during that time period when the Chiefs were continually facing a negative rest differential. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This turned out to be a tossup game, both in score and on the stat sheet. KC\u2019s task is to force Josh Allen into making mistakes. Buffalo\u2019s job is to do a better job containing TE Kelce (6-83). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo\u2019s Power Number is higher than KC\u2019s, and I understand why, but I did adjust KC\u2019s number up one full point based on the flip of their schedule in their favor (that week 18 refresher). <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Bookmaker had Buffalo as high as -3, laying -105. Most shops have Buffalo at 2.5, but heavily juiced. I write this on Monday Night and do not know right now which way the odds will swing, but KC +3 is my current recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lean: Kansas City Chiefs +3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Get GoldSheet for Football Betting Tips All Year and Best Bets Today<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/profile\/the-gold-sheet\">Football GoldSheet newsletter<\/a> is now available for purchase at WagerTalk! 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Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all <a href=\"http:\/\/nfl.com\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"nfl.com\">NFL<\/a> games including Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25603","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25603"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25603\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25611,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25603\/revisions\/25611"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25603"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25603"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25603"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}