{"id":25404,"date":"2023-12-31T14:23:45","date_gmt":"2023-12-31T19:23:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25404"},"modified":"2023-12-31T14:24:04","modified_gmt":"2023-12-31T19:24:04","slug":"fiesta-bowl-bet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/fiesta-bowl-bet\/","title":{"rendered":"Fiesta Bowl Best Bets :  Oregon vs Liberty Best Bets, Massive Predictions 1\/1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oregon Ducks vs Liberty Flames<strong> Best Bets<\/strong> : Fiesta Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0offers some wild betting picks on The Fiesta Bowl being played on January 1st, between Liberty and Oregon. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  Find top predictions here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oregon scored 31 points or more in all 13 games.\u00a0 36-33 and 34-31 losses to Washington knocked them out of the final four.\u00a0 Liberty had one of the easiest schedules I\u2019ve ever seen in the NCAA.\u00a0 They ran the table to get this bowl invite.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Their challenge will be to prove they belong on the same field as a Power Five team.\u00a0 Power Five teams have fallen before in this type of game during the bowl season, but this seems like quite a tall task for the Flames.\u00a0 Let\u2019s take a further look into this matchup.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\"><strong>Get 15% Off All Premium Bowl Picks<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Predictions and Best Bets:  Oregon Offense<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Oregon is one of the more well-balanced teams we\u2019ve seen over the past several years.\u00a0 They ran 6.15 per carry and QB Nix passed for an incredible 77%, with an unheard of 40-3 touchdown to interception ratio.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nix will play in this game, and likely be unstoppable, but his NFL-bound WR Troy Franklin (1,383 yards, 14 touchdowns) will not play.\u00a0 Keep an eye on Tez Johnson, who is a solid 2<sup>nd<\/sup> option as there are reports he may not play.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Word to the wise: You have to stay on top of things this bowl season.<\/strong>\u00a0 We saw Minnesota\u2019s fine RB play after missing five weeks (a surprise) and he ran for 200+ yards in the win over Bowling Green, whose own RB did not play.\u00a0 On Thursday, Arizona\u2019s elite WR due played, and dominated as I expected, facing Oklahoma.\u00a0 In more good news, stout RB Irving plans to play.\u00a0 He\u2019s a threat every time he touches the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Duck Defense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>There have been times where Oregon\u2019s defense has let them down, but hiring Dan Lanning from the SEC has given them more of a presence on this side of the ball.\u00a0 After allowing 4.6 per carry in Lanning\u2019s initial season, Oregon allowed just 3.7 per carry this year.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The near 65% pass defense also improved, down to 60%, which is no small feat when considering the QB talent the PAC 12 had this season.\u00a0 Last year\u2019s sack ratio was 16-14.\u00a0 This year?\u00a0 How about a fantastic 30-5 ratio!\u00a0 Kicking was down, at 11-17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Video Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_81337\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/EsG7NbhlH8Q?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Fiesta Bowl Betting Preview | Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks Prediction and Picks\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/EsG7NbhlH8Q\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/EsG7NbhlH8Q\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Fiesta Bowl Betting Preview | Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks Prediction and Picks\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Who will win the Fiesta Bowl, Liberty Flames or Oregon Ducks? The spread is a tall order, but Oregon&#039;s offense certainly has the capability to cover. Drop your betting insights in the comments below! #collegefootballprediction #collegefootballpicks #cfbpicks \ud83d\udd25\ud83e\udd86 Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks - Fiesta Bowl Betting Preview! \ud83c\udfc8\ud83c\udf35 Prepare for an exhilarating clash as the Liberty Flames take on the Oregon Ducks in the Fiesta Bowl on 1\/1\/24! This highly anticipated matchup promises high-octane football action as two powerhouse teams battle for supremacy on the grand stage. \ud83d\udd25 Liberty Flames: Representing the Flames, Liberty brings their fiery spirit and determination to the Fiesta Bowl. Known for their tenacious playstyle and resilience, the Flames are set to make a statement in this prestigious bowl game. \ud83e\udd86 Oregon Ducks: Hailing from the Pacific Northwest, the Ducks bring their dynamic and fast-paced gameplay to the Fiesta Bowl. With a reputation for innovation and skill, Oregon is ready to showcase their prowess against a formidable opponent. \ud83d\udccd Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ \ud83d\udcfa How to Watch: Catch all the excitement live on ESPN at 1pm ET. Check your local listings for broadcast details to ensure you don&#039;t miss a moment of the action. \ud83d\udcca Current Spread &amp; Total: ORE -16.5, Total 67.5 \ud83d\udd17 Team Twitter Hashtags: Liberty Flames: #LibertyFlames Oregon Ducks: #OregonDucks \ud83d\udd0d Interesting Facts: Liberty&#039;s journey to the Fiesta Bowl marks a significant milestone for the program, showcasing their growth and competitiveness at the highest level. Oregon, with its dynamic football culture, has consistently been a force to be reckoned with, bringing innovation and flair to the game. Don&#039;t miss the gridiron spectacle as the Liberty Flames and Oregon Ducks light up the Fiesta Bowl with their skill, passion, and determination. Tune in for a football experience that promises to kick off the new year with a bang! \ud83d\udd25\ud83c\udfc8\ud83e\udd86 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free College Football Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/EsG7NbhlH8Q\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT4M43S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-12-29T23:50:57Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Picks:  Is Liberty Any Good?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Liberty matched Oregon\u2019s rushing figures at 6.15 per carry as the new staff (from Coastal Carolina) lived up to their solid reputation.\u00a0 I\u2019ll talk schedule disparity later on, but suffice to say that averaging 303 rush yards per game is fantastic.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>QB Salter is highly experienced, and his ratio was 31-5.\u00a0 I would have liked to see more than \u201cjust\u201d 61% vs. the level of competition faced, but he\u2019s a dual threat, rushing for 1,064 yards and nearly a seven yards-per-carry average.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has two extremely efficient RB\u2019s and a decent array of pass-catching targets.\u00a0 All, or almost all of their offensive starters will play in this game.\u00a0 Liberty scored 31 or more points in every game.\u00a0 The concern lies on the defensive side of the ball.\u00a0 They allowed 24 or mor points eight times to far inferior teams.\u00a0 They thrived on takeaways, with 21 defensive interceptions.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The overall numbers were decent (3.9 allowed per carry, just under 58% passing), but Oregon\u2019s offense will be on another level.\u00a0 Two defensive starters may miss the game, which is not a dealbreaker, but isn\u2019t ideal either.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, Liberty allowed 26 pass TD\u2019s, which is high for a 13-0 team.\u00a0 Time of possession was stout, at +7:25, and that is the path that Liberty must take to make this game interesting.\u00a0 Kicking was not good, at 9-14.\u00a0 The sack ratio was 25-9, which is not bad as the new staff made things better in pass protection (39 sacks allowed in 2022).\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"538\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/chb2309021227_psu_at_uo-e1697203191254.jpg\" alt=\"fiesta bowl\" class=\"wp-image-24133\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/chb2309021227_psu_at_uo-e1697203191254.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/chb2309021227_psu_at_uo-e1697203191254-300x161.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/chb2309021227_psu_at_uo-e1697203191254-768x413.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Best Bets &#8211; The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Most of my keys are on the Liberty side of things.\u00a0 They absolutely have to win time of possession on their own terms.\u00a0 Time of possession figures can be skewed if Oregon takes 90 seconds to score.\u00a0 Liberty must consistently move the chains on offense and limit Oregon\u2019s splash plays.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given their kicking game, it would be a confidence builder if that first field goal attempt is successful.\u00a0 QB Salter must keep the Ducks off balance.\u00a0 Can Liberty continue to created turnovers with pass interceptions?\u00a0 If not, does Oregon score at will?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl &#8211; The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ve seen so many bowl games in this bowl season be decided by who is the more motivated team.\u00a0 Opt-outs are changing (and ruining) the spirit of the bowl season.\u00a0 I don\u2019t think that applies to this game because Bo Nix is a different type of QB, and he is completely team-oriented.\u00a0 Instead, this game is all about how much strength of schedule matters.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I\u2019ve NEVER seen a schedule as soft as what Liberty has, with not one team faced showing even an ounce of defensive ability.\u00a0<\/strong> I like Liberty\u2019s offense and that might be their path to staying with the Ducks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: Fiesta Bowl Expert Betting Recommendation!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The line opened Oregon -15.5 with a total of 65.5 points, implying Oregon would score in excess of 40 points.\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tread carefully, but with the number now about 42 points my recommendation is still to consider Oregon\u2019s team total OVER.\u00a0 I\u2019d also consider going over for longest pass TD and for some WR\u2019s and RB\u2019s (longest pass reception and longest run).<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk&#8217;s Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oregon Ducks vs Liberty Flames Best Bets : Fiesta Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky\u00a0offers some wild betting picks on The Fiesta Bowl being played on January 1st, between Liberty and Oregon. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting? Find top predictions here. Oregon scored 31 points [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":21933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2044],"tags":[8,5239,7916,7915,8096,8097,1088,5152,5151,11,8098],"class_list":["post-25404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football","tag-college-football-best-bets","tag-college-football-bowl-game-betting-advice","tag-college-football-bowl-game-preview","tag-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football-bowl-picks","tag-college-football-picks","tag-free-college-football-picks","tag-free-ncaaf-picks","tag-ncaaf","tag-ncaaf-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Oregon Ducks vs Liberty Flames<strong> Best Bets<\/strong> : Fiesta Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0offers some wild betting picks on The Fiesta Bowl being played on January 1st, between Liberty and Oregon. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  Find top predictions here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Oregon scored 31 points or more in all 13 games.\u00a0 36-33 and 34-31 losses to Washington knocked them out of the final four.\u00a0 Liberty had one of the easiest schedules I\u2019ve ever seen in the NCAA.\u00a0 They ran the table to get this bowl invite.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Their challenge will be to prove they belong on the same field as a Power Five team.\u00a0 Power Five teams have fallen before in this type of game during the bowl season, but this seems like quite a tall task for the Flames.\u00a0 Let\u2019s take a further look into this matchup.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Predictions and Best Bets:  Oregon Offense<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Oregon is one of the more well-balanced teams we\u2019ve seen over the past several years.\u00a0 They ran 6.15 per carry and QB Nix passed for an incredible 77%, with an unheard of 40-3 touchdown to interception ratio.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Nix will play in this game, and likely be unstoppable, but his NFL-bound WR Troy Franklin (1,383 yards, 14 touchdowns) will not play.\u00a0 Keep an eye on Tez Johnson, who is a solid 2<sup>nd<\/sup> option as there are reports he may not play.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Word to the wise: You have to stay on top of things this bowl season.<\/strong>\u00a0 We saw Minnesota\u2019s fine RB play after missing five weeks (a surprise) and he ran for 200+ yards in the win over Bowling Green, whose own RB did not play.\u00a0 On Thursday, Arizona\u2019s elite WR due played, and dominated as I expected, facing Oklahoma.\u00a0 In more good news, stout RB Irving plans to play.\u00a0 He\u2019s a threat every time he touches the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Duck Defense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There have been times where Oregon\u2019s defense has let them down, but hiring Dan Lanning from the SEC has given them more of a presence on this side of the ball.\u00a0 After allowing 4.6 per carry in Lanning\u2019s initial season, Oregon allowed just 3.7 per carry this year.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The near 65% pass defense also improved, down to 60%, which is no small feat when considering the QB talent the PAC 12 had this season.\u00a0 Last year\u2019s sack ratio was 16-14.\u00a0 This year?\u00a0 How about a fantastic 30-5 ratio!\u00a0 Kicking was down, at 11-17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Video Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/EsG7NbhlH8Q?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Picks:  Is Liberty Any Good?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Liberty matched Oregon\u2019s rushing figures at 6.15 per carry as the new staff (from Coastal Carolina) lived up to their solid reputation.\u00a0 I\u2019ll talk schedule disparity later on, but suffice to say that averaging 303 rush yards per game is fantastic.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>QB Salter is highly experienced, and his ratio was 31-5.\u00a0 I would have liked to see more than \u201cjust\u201d 61% vs. the level of competition faced, but he\u2019s a dual threat, rushing for 1,064 yards and nearly a seven yards-per-carry average.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He has two extremely efficient RB\u2019s and a decent array of pass-catching targets.\u00a0 All, or almost all of their offensive starters will play in this game.\u00a0 Liberty scored 31 or more points in every game.\u00a0 The concern lies on the defensive side of the ball.\u00a0 They allowed 24 or mor points eight times to far inferior teams.\u00a0 They thrived on takeaways, with 21 defensive interceptions.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The overall numbers were decent (3.9 allowed per carry, just under 58% passing), but Oregon\u2019s offense will be on another level.\u00a0 Two defensive starters may miss the game, which is not a dealbreaker, but isn\u2019t ideal either.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, Liberty allowed 26 pass TD\u2019s, which is high for a 13-0 team.\u00a0 Time of possession was stout, at +7:25, and that is the path that Liberty must take to make this game interesting.\u00a0 Kicking was not good, at 9-14.\u00a0 The sack ratio was 25-9, which is not bad as the new staff made things better in pass protection (39 sacks allowed in 2022).\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/chb2309021227_psu_at_uo-e1697203191254.jpg\" alt=\"fiesta bowl\" class=\"wp-image-24133\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl Best Bets - The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Most of my keys are on the Liberty side of things.\u00a0 They absolutely have to win time of possession on their own terms.\u00a0 Time of possession figures can be skewed if Oregon takes 90 seconds to score.\u00a0 Liberty must consistently move the chains on offense and limit Oregon\u2019s splash plays.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Given their kicking game, it would be a confidence builder if that first field goal attempt is successful.\u00a0 QB Salter must keep the Ducks off balance.\u00a0 Can Liberty continue to created turnovers with pass interceptions?\u00a0 If not, does Oregon score at will?<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fiesta Bowl - The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ve seen so many bowl games in this bowl season be decided by who is the more motivated team.\u00a0 Opt-outs are changing (and ruining) the spirit of the bowl season.\u00a0 I don\u2019t think that applies to this game because Bo Nix is a different type of QB, and he is completely team-oriented.\u00a0 Instead, this game is all about how much strength of schedule matters.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I\u2019ve NEVER seen a schedule as soft as what Liberty has, with not one team faced showing even an ounce of defensive ability.\u00a0<\/strong> I like Liberty\u2019s offense and that might be their path to staying with the Ducks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: Fiesta Bowl Expert Betting Recommendation!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The line opened Oregon -15.5 with a total of 65.5 points, implying Oregon would score in excess of 40 points.\u00a0 <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tread carefully, but with the number now about 42 points my recommendation is still to consider Oregon\u2019s team total OVER.\u00a0 I\u2019d also consider going over for longest pass TD and for some WR\u2019s and RB\u2019s (longest pass reception and longest run).<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk's Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25404","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25404"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25404\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25406,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25404\/revisions\/25406"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21933"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}