{"id":25387,"date":"2023-12-30T09:52:04","date_gmt":"2023-12-30T14:52:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25387"},"modified":"2023-12-30T09:52:06","modified_gmt":"2023-12-30T14:52:06","slug":"orange-bowl-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/orange-bowl-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Orange Bowl Free Picks :  Florida State vs Georgia Best Bets, #1 Predictions 12\/30"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Bulldogs<\/strong> Best Bets: Orange Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0offers huge betting picks on The <strong>Orange Bowl<\/strong> being played on December 30th, between <strong>Florida State and Georgia<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  Find top predictions here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Florida State (FSU) ran the table, going 13-0.\u00a0 Their reward: A NO vote to the NCAA final four.\u00a0 Two-time NCAA title holder Georgia was 12-0 until losing to Alabama by only three points!\u00a0 Their reward: A NO vote to the NCAA final four.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Neither team wants to be here, but one team is going to be massively more affected than the other.\u00a0 This game is impossible to handicap.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\"><strong>Get 15% Off All Premium Bowl Picks<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Predictions and Best Bets:  Florida State Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Offensively, FSU ran 5.2 per carry, and QB Travis was solid.\u00a0 Missing this game will be their top two QB\u2019s, top two RB\u2019s, top two WR\u2019s and their strong TE option.\u00a0 If you want a silver lining, their OL was not affected nearly as much.\u00a0 QB Glenn takes over.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He was 8-21 for 55 yards vs. Louisville\u2019s sound defense in the ACC title game.\u00a0 The good news is that he now knows he\u2019ll be the starter, and gets valuable practice time.\u00a0 The bad news is that facing Georgia\u2019s defense is not the ideal opponent to be facing.\u00a0 The leading RB left had 190 yards, at just 3.8 per carry.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The leading WR left had twelve receptions.\u00a0 Six of their top fifteen tacklers are gone, including their elite edge rusher.\u00a0 The only area relatively unaffected (we think) would be LB.\u00a0 Three guys who got into the opposing team\u2019s backfield do remain.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To my knowledge, FSU\u2019s fine PK is active (18-20).\u00a0 So is their kick returner.\u00a0 Assume that their 45-24 sack ratio and 47% pass defense edges will disappear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Video Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_25673\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b7GTyimtsKQ?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction and Picks - Orange Bowl Picks\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/b7GTyimtsKQ\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b7GTyimtsKQ\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction and Picks - Orange Bowl Picks\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"If you are looking for an Orange Bowl betting preview with picks and predictions for the match-up between the Georgia Bulldogs and Florida State Seminoles, we have you covered! Our college football handicapping experts discuss this matchup from a sports betting perspective, sharing their picks and predictions vs. the current odds. #collegefootballprediction #collegefootballpicks #cfbpicks \ud83c\udfc8 Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles Orange Bowl Showdown | 12\/30\/23 Betting Preview Get ready for a gridiron clash of titans as the Georgia Bulldogs take on the Florida State Seminoles in the highly anticipated Orange Bowl matchup on December 30, 2023! \ud83c\udf4a\ud83c\udfc6 \ud83d\udcc5 Date: December 30, 2023 \ud83d\udd52 Time: 4pm ET \ud83d\udccd Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL \ud83d\udcfa How to Watch: Catch all the action live on ESPN! \ud83d\udcc8 Current Spread and Total: UGA -14.0 Total: 44.5 Join the conversation on social media using the official team hashtags: #GeorgiaBulldogs #FloridaStateSeminoles #OrangeBowl Don&#039;t miss out on this epic clash between two college football powerhouses! Mark your calendars, set your reminders, and get ready for a football spectacle like no other. \ud83c\udfc8\ud83d\udd25 \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free College Football Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/b7GTyimtsKQ\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT4M44S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-12-29T03:00:18Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Picks:  Georgia Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0QB Beck has stated he WILL play in this game.\u00a0 His <strong>worst<\/strong> performance was 65%.\u00a0 The top two RB\u2019s are available.\u00a0 Edwards and Milton shared the load, and combined for 27 rushing TD\u2019s.\u00a0 Elite TE Brock Bowers will not play.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In my world only about 5-7 NCAA players have legitimate reasons to sit out a 2023 bowl game.\u00a0 Bowers would be one of the 5-7 guys.\u00a0 There\u2019s decent, but not spectacular WR talent.\u00a0 This is clearly not the Georgia defense of the past few seasons.\u00a0 The run defense \u201cslumped\u201d to 4.1 allowed per carry (3.0 average past four seasons).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The pass defense remained steady, averaging 56%, almost the same as the previous four seasons.\u00a0 I suspect this defense will have a huge edge in every area except \u201cperhaps\u201d the pass rush (29 Georgia defensive sacks).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even that could tilt in Georgia\u2019s favor depending on how FSU\u2019s QB looks in the pocket.\u00a0 Georgia comes into this game with a +6:38 time of possession edge.\u00a0 It could get ugly.\u00a0 Their 3<sup>rd<\/sup> down offensive success rate is extremely high (55%).\u00a0 Their return defense is more than solid.\u00a0 The OL allowed just 12 sacks.\u00a0 Kicking was good at 21-25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/dkb211204038_ala_vs_uga.jpg\" alt=\"orange bowl\" class=\"wp-image-21694\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/dkb211204038_ala_vs_uga.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/dkb211204038_ala_vs_uga-300x161.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/dkb211204038_ala_vs_uga-768x412.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Best Bets &#8211; The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no Marvin Harrison for Georgia to defend in this game.\u00a0 All Georgia has to do is prevent the splash offensive or special team play, as it sure would appear that FSU will be less than fluid offensively.\u00a0 Expect trick plays, but FSU must convert at least one of these plays to stay in range.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The only other pathway for FSU is to find a RB to \u201cexpose\u201d the so-called softer Georgia rush defense.\u00a0 At least a few FSU players who had success getting to the QB (with pressures) are scheduled to play.\u00a0 Maybe they can make a big play on a key down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl &#8211; The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Motivation matters.\u00a0 FSU has NONE.\u00a0 Let\u2019s look at the bowl results thus far.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I wrote going in that Syracuse, with the exception of QB Shrader, had a severe lack of motivation, while South Florida was thrilled to play the game.\u00a0 When Shrader opted out, it became a bloodbath.\u00a0 In Duke\u2019s situation (loss of Head Coach, staff), most of their starting defensive players opted to play even though they were leaving the program through the portal.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That was a real surprise.\u00a0 James Madison was at a coaching and personnel disadvantage, and facing a disciplined Military school was not the best formula for success.\u00a0 As I write this, Tulane, down their coach, QB, and several other players, seem to be no match for a motivated Virginia Tech team.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I\u2019m not giving the 17.5 points in this game, which might even tick higher as the list of FSU no-shows grows, but there\u2019s just no way to recommend FSU.\u00a0 This is a sad day for college football, and for the bowl system.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: Orange Bowl Prediction!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>PASS, but consider the UNDER for the second half IF you can find a shop that offers second half totals prior to the start of the game.\u00a0 Remember, if this is indeed a rout, Georgia starters will not play the full game.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk&#8217;s Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Bulldogs Best Bets: Orange Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky\u00a0offers huge betting picks on The Orange Bowl being played on December 30th, between Florida State and Georgia. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting? Find top predictions here. Florida State (FSU) ran [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":24360,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2044],"tags":[8,5239,7916,7915,8096,8097,1088,5152,5151,11,8098],"class_list":["post-25387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football","tag-college-football-best-bets","tag-college-football-bowl-game-betting-advice","tag-college-football-bowl-game-preview","tag-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football-bowl-picks","tag-college-football-picks","tag-free-college-football-picks","tag-free-ncaaf-picks","tag-ncaaf","tag-ncaaf-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Bulldogs<\/strong> Best Bets: Orange Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0offers huge betting picks on The <strong>Orange Bowl<\/strong> being played on December 30th, between <strong>Florida State and Georgia<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  Find top predictions here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Florida State (FSU) ran the table, going 13-0.\u00a0 Their reward: A NO vote to the NCAA final four.\u00a0 Two-time NCAA title holder Georgia was 12-0 until losing to Alabama by only three points!\u00a0 Their reward: A NO vote to the NCAA final four.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Neither team wants to be here, but one team is going to be massively more affected than the other.\u00a0 This game is impossible to handicap.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Predictions and Best Bets:  Florida State Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Offensively, FSU ran 5.2 per carry, and QB Travis was solid.\u00a0 Missing this game will be their top two QB\u2019s, top two RB\u2019s, top two WR\u2019s and their strong TE option.\u00a0 If you want a silver lining, their OL was not affected nearly as much.\u00a0 QB Glenn takes over.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>He was 8-21 for 55 yards vs. Louisville\u2019s sound defense in the ACC title game.\u00a0 The good news is that he now knows he\u2019ll be the starter, and gets valuable practice time.\u00a0 The bad news is that facing Georgia\u2019s defense is not the ideal opponent to be facing.\u00a0 The leading RB left had 190 yards, at just 3.8 per carry.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The leading WR left had twelve receptions.\u00a0 Six of their top fifteen tacklers are gone, including their elite edge rusher.\u00a0 The only area relatively unaffected (we think) would be LB.\u00a0 Three guys who got into the opposing team\u2019s backfield do remain.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>To my knowledge, FSU\u2019s fine PK is active (18-20).\u00a0 So is their kick returner.\u00a0 Assume that their 45-24 sack ratio and 47% pass defense edges will disappear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Video Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b7GTyimtsKQ?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Picks:  Georgia Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0QB Beck has stated he WILL play in this game.\u00a0 His <strong>worst<\/strong> performance was 65%.\u00a0 The top two RB\u2019s are available.\u00a0 Edwards and Milton shared the load, and combined for 27 rushing TD\u2019s.\u00a0 Elite TE Brock Bowers will not play.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>In my world only about 5-7 NCAA players have legitimate reasons to sit out a 2023 bowl game.\u00a0 Bowers would be one of the 5-7 guys.\u00a0 There\u2019s decent, but not spectacular WR talent.\u00a0 This is clearly not the Georgia defense of the past few seasons.\u00a0 The run defense \u201cslumped\u201d to 4.1 allowed per carry (3.0 average past four seasons).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The pass defense remained steady, averaging 56%, almost the same as the previous four seasons.\u00a0 I suspect this defense will have a huge edge in every area except \u201cperhaps\u201d the pass rush (29 Georgia defensive sacks).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Even that could tilt in Georgia\u2019s favor depending on how FSU\u2019s QB looks in the pocket.\u00a0 Georgia comes into this game with a +6:38 time of possession edge.\u00a0 It could get ugly.\u00a0 Their 3<sup>rd<\/sup> down offensive success rate is extremely high (55%).\u00a0 Their return defense is more than solid.\u00a0 The OL allowed just 12 sacks.\u00a0 Kicking was good at 21-25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/dkb211204038_ala_vs_uga.jpg\" alt=\"orange bowl\" class=\"wp-image-21694\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl Best Bets - The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no Marvin Harrison for Georgia to defend in this game.\u00a0 All Georgia has to do is prevent the splash offensive or special team play, as it sure would appear that FSU will be less than fluid offensively.\u00a0 Expect trick plays, but FSU must convert at least one of these plays to stay in range.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The only other pathway for FSU is to find a RB to \u201cexpose\u201d the so-called softer Georgia rush defense.\u00a0 At least a few FSU players who had success getting to the QB (with pressures) are scheduled to play.\u00a0 Maybe they can make a big play on a key down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Orange Bowl - The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Motivation matters.\u00a0 FSU has NONE.\u00a0 Let\u2019s look at the bowl results thus far.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I wrote going in that Syracuse, with the exception of QB Shrader, had a severe lack of motivation, while South Florida was thrilled to play the game.\u00a0 When Shrader opted out, it became a bloodbath.\u00a0 In Duke\u2019s situation (loss of Head Coach, staff), most of their starting defensive players opted to play even though they were leaving the program through the portal.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>That was a real surprise.\u00a0 James Madison was at a coaching and personnel disadvantage, and facing a disciplined Military school was not the best formula for success.\u00a0 As I write this, Tulane, down their coach, QB, and several other players, seem to be no match for a motivated Virginia Tech team.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong>I\u2019m not giving the 17.5 points in this game, which might even tick higher as the list of FSU no-shows grows, but there\u2019s just no way to recommend FSU.\u00a0 This is a sad day for college football, and for the bowl system.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: Orange Bowl Prediction!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>PASS, but consider the UNDER for the second half IF you can find a shop that offers second half totals prior to the start of the game.\u00a0 Remember, if this is indeed a rout, Georgia starters will not play the full game.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk's Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25387","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25387"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25387\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25393,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25387\/revisions\/25393"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25387"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25387"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25387"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}