{"id":25384,"date":"2023-12-29T21:18:21","date_gmt":"2023-12-30T02:18:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/?p=25384"},"modified":"2023-12-29T21:18:23","modified_gmt":"2023-12-30T02:18:23","slug":"peach-bowl-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/peach-bowl-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Peach Bowl Free Picks : Mississippi vs. Penn State Best Bets, #1 Predictions 12\/30"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State<\/strong> Nittany Lions Best Bets: <strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0offers huge betting picks on The <strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> being played on December 30th, between <strong>Mississippi and Penn State<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  Find top predictions here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mississippi lost twice, but there\u2019s no shame in losing to Georgia and Alabama.\u00a0 Penn State lost twice, but there\u2019s no shame in losing to Ohio State and Michigan.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both schools would love to get over that hump, but on this day, two very good programs instead square off against each other.\u00a0 <strong>This is will one of the better games to handicap.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-black-color has-luminous-vivid-orange-background-color has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\"><strong>Get 15% Off All Premium Bowl Picks<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Predictions and Best Bets:  Mississippi Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Lane Kiffin vowed to finish this season stronger than the last, when adversity got the best of them.\u00a0 Mission accomplished.\u00a0 QB Dart was efficient, but not spectacular.\u00a0 He has limited turnovers, and has a nice run skill set.\u00a0 The Penn State defense will be a great test in both areas.\u00a0 RB Judkins had a banner 2022 and a very slow start to 2023.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His yards-per-carry dropped significantly (4.4), which had a direct effect on Mississippi\u2019s yearly output (5.65 in 2022, 4.5 in 2023).\u00a0 He did find the endzone, with 15 rushing TD\u2019s.\u00a0 I like the WR talent, and again, we\u2019ll have a great chess match brewing.\u00a0 Kiffin is one of the best at designing an offense, but they face a very stingy Penn State defense.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ole Miss Defense Overview: Peach Bowl Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In good news, Mississippi allowed just 4.05 yards-per-carry (4.55 in 2022).\u00a0 Better teams broke through, so I do not expect complete stoppage in this game.\u00a0 The goal would be to limit Penn State to about 160 yards (they averaged 190).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the 6<sup>th<\/sup> straight season that the Rebels have allowed over 60% through the air (62%).\u00a0 I project near seasonal averages allowed in this game, with a slight chance for even better.\u00a0 In player news, one of their top pass rushers won\u2019t play, but so far most of the other starters are playing.\u00a0 Kicking was at 16-21, and the sack ratio was 34-26.\u00a0 Two concerns are their -5:30 time of possession disadvantage and the 19 rushing TD\u2019s allowed.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Video Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"epyt-video-wrapper\"><div  style=\"display: block; margin: 0px auto;\"  id=\"_ytid_51505\"  width=\"870\" height=\"489\"  data-origwidth=\"870\" data-origheight=\"489\" data-facadesrc=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Wv2CdN8FOCY?enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=1&#038;cc_lang_pref=&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=1&#038;playsinline=0&#038;autohide=2&#038;hl=en_US&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__ epyt-facade  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-spai-excluded=\"true\" class=\"epyt-facade-poster skip-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"Ole Miss Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction and Picks - Peach Bowl Picks\"  src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Wv2CdN8FOCY\/maxresdefault.jpg\"  \/><button class=\"epyt-facade-play\" aria-label=\"Play\"><svg data-no-lazy=\"1\" height=\"100%\" version=\"1.1\" viewBox=\"0 0 68 48\" width=\"100%\"><path class=\"ytp-large-play-button-bg\" d=\"M66.52,7.74c-0.78-2.93-2.49-5.41-5.42-6.19C55.79,.13,34,0,34,0S12.21,.13,6.9,1.55 C3.97,2.33,2.27,4.81,1.48,7.74C0.06,13.05,0,24,0,24s0.06,10.95,1.48,16.26c0.78,2.93,2.49,5.41,5.42,6.19 C12.21,47.87,34,48,34,48s21.79-0.13,27.1-1.55c2.93-0.78,4.64-3.26,5.42-6.19C67.94,34.95,68,24,68,24S67.94,13.05,66.52,7.74z\" fill=\"#f00\"><\/path><path d=\"M 45,24 27,14 27,34\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div><\/div><span itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><meta itemprop=\"embedUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Wv2CdN8FOCY\"><meta itemprop=\"name\" content=\"Ole Miss Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction and Picks - Peach Bowl Picks\"><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"If you are looking for a Peach Bowl betting preview with picks and predictions for the match-up between the Ole Miss Rebels and Penn State Nittany Lions, we have you covered! Our college football handicapping experts discuss this matchup from a sports betting perspective, sharing their picks and predictions vs. the current odds. #collegefootballprediction #collegefootballpicks #cfbpicks Peach Bowl Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions | 12\/30\/23 Get ready for an epic clash at the Peach Bowl as the Ole Miss Rebels face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions on December 30, 2023! \ud83c\udfc8\ud83c\udf51 \ud83d\udd25 Matchup Overview: In this highly anticipated showdown, the Rebels from the University of Mississippi will go head-to-head against the Nittany Lions of Penn State in a battle for Peach Bowl supremacy. The excitement is palpable as these two powerhouse teams bring their A-game to the gridiron. \ud83d\udcc5 Date &amp; Time: Catch all the action on December 30, 2023, and make sure to mark your calendars for a thrilling matchup that promises to deliver edge-of-your-seat moments! \ud83d\udccd Location: The game will be held at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA \ud83d\udcfa How to Watch: Don&#039;t miss a single play! Tune in to the broadcast on ESPN at 12pm ET to witness the intensity unfold. Check your local listings for specific channel information. \ud83d\udcc8 Current Spread &amp; Total: Stay in the know with the latest betting odds! As of now, the spread and total for the game stand at PSU -4.5 and 48.5, adding an extra layer of excitement for fans and enthusiasts alike. \ud83e\udd1d Team Hashtags: Show your support for your favorite team by using their official Twitter hashtags: Ole Miss Rebels: #HottyToddy Penn State Nittany Lions: #WeAre \ud83d\udd17 Connect with the Teams: Stay updated with the latest news, player insights, and behind-the-scenes content by following &#064;OleMissFB and &#064;PennStateFball on Twitter. Get ready for an exhilarating Peach Bowl clash between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Penn State Nittany Lions! Who will emerge victorious in this gridiron battle? Tune in to find out! \ud83c\udfc8\ud83c\udf51 #PeachBowl #OleMissvsPennState #CollegeFootball \ud83d\udc4d Make sure to SUBSCRIBE to WagerTalk TV; \ud83d\udd14 CLICK the Bell and never miss an episode! \ud83c\udfc8 More Free College Football Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football \ud83e\udd11 Free Sports Picks: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks \ud83d\udcca Live Odds: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds \ud83d\uddde\ufe0f News: https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news \ud83d\udc4d Stay connected with WagerTalk \ud83d\udcfa YouTube: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tv \ud83d\udc4d Facebook: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/fb \ud83d\udc26 Twitter: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/tw \ud83d\udcf8 Instagram: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ig \ud83d\udcf0 Reddit: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/rd \u2764\ufe0f iHeart Radio: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/iheart \ud83c\udf4e Apple Podcasts: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/ap \ud83d\udccc Pinterest: https:\/\/wt.buzz\/pin\"><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/Wv2CdN8FOCY\/0.jpg\"><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT5M15S\"><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2023-12-29T23:00:14Z\"><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Picks:  Penn State Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>QB Allar is developing, but had some rough outings vs. the top defensive teams he faced with the exception of Iowa.\u00a0 Mississippi is a step up from many defenses faced, so let\u2019s put Allar near his seasonal numbers for this one.\u00a0 He threw just one interception on the season.\u00a0 Penn State has two solid RB\u2019s who share the load almost equally.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen outperformed Singleton this season and could be a threat to have a better than average game.\u00a0 Like with Mississippi, Penn State has a variety of reliable WR\u2019s, plus some stout TE\u2019s.\u00a0 They may lack the athleticism of the Rebels, but they can move the chains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/dlv221126043_msu_v_psu-e1694613901864.jpg\" alt=\"peach bowl\" class=\"wp-image-23358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/dlv221126043_msu_v_psu-e1694613901864.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/dlv221126043_msu_v_psu-e1694613901864-300x165.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/dlv221126043_msu_v_psu-e1694613901864-768x422.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Penn State&#8217;s Defense is Peachy&#8230;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not a shock that Penn State plays great defense.\u00a0 The run defense (3.05 per carry) was even better than usual and the pass defense (58%) was solid, although down from 2022.\u00a0 In doing a deeper dive, Penn State allowed 95-140 through the air in games 7-12.\u00a0 This is where QB Dart needs to make a difference.\u00a0 The return game is solid, but the punt returner may or may not play (in the portal).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The sack ratio was tremendous at 48-15.\u00a0 Their main kicker was 18-22.\u00a0 Their time of possession figure was +6:05.\u00a0 In coaching and player news, defensive coordinator Manny Diaz is now the Duke Head Coach.\u00a0 Several players are in the portal, but at the present time, it has been reported that some will play in this bowl game.\u00a0 Watch this development carefully.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Best Bets &#8211; The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Can QB Dart avoid Penn State\u2019s pass rush?\u00a0 If so, he has some good matchups downfield.\u00a0 Can Mississippi get off the field?\u00a0 They clearly project to a below par time of possession figure, and now must slow down or stop two capable RB\u2019s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> &#8211; The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe you can take 1-2 points off Penn State\u2019s Power Number due to site of game and loss of Manny Diaz, but that still gives Penn State value.\u00a0 The Nittany Lions have the point\/rush stat double in their favor, which is typically a solid edge.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They are currently 13-4 against the spread as a bowl favorite, and we know James Franklin takes every game (and every snap) seriously.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I thought coming into this writing I would like Mississippi, but bad things happen when I go against the numbers I\u2019ve just listed.\u00a0 It\u2019s a bowl season like no other, so Power Numbers often take a very long back seat to bowl motivation.\u00a0 For this game, the opt-outs as of 12\/26 are not that much a factor, and both teams seem motivated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: <strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Prediction!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<strong><em>I have a token play UNDER 49 points, and would lean Penn State at the current line of -5 (possible play at -4).\u00a0 As for the player news, my best recommendation right now is going UNDER RB Junkins rushing total of 87.5 yards.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk&#8217;s Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>Latest Betting Odds and Public Action<\/strong><strong>: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/wt.buzz\/odds\" data-schema-attribute=\"\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Vegas lines<\/a> updated in real time, including who the public is betting on<\/span> and anytime touchdown scorer odds. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Last Minute Handicapping Advice<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">: Check out our extensive library of <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/sports-betting-guide\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">handicapping tips<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/videos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">sports betting tips video library<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">)<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Want an expert opinion?<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> Check out the latest <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Free Sports Picks<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> and <\/span><a style=\"font-size: 12pt;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Best Bets<\/a><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"> from our team of expert sports handicappers.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State Nittany Lions Best Bets: Peach Bowl Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky\u00a0offers huge betting picks on The Peach Bowl being played on December 30th, between Mississippi and Penn State. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting? Find top predictions here. Mississippi lost [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":173,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2044],"tags":[8,5239,7916,7915,8096,8097,1088,5152,5151,11,8098],"class_list":["post-25384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football","tag-college-football-best-bets","tag-college-football-bowl-game-betting-advice","tag-college-football-bowl-game-preview","tag-college-football-bowl-games","tag-college-football-bowl-picks","tag-college-football-picks","tag-free-college-football-picks","tag-free-ncaaf-picks","tag-ncaaf","tag-ncaaf-predictions"],"basic_html":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Ole Miss Rebels vs. Penn State<\/strong> Nittany Lions Best Bets: <strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Analysis &amp; Massive Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ronacesports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Football content contributor Ron Marmalefsky<\/a>\u00a0offers huge betting picks on The <strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> being played on December 30th, between <strong>Mississippi and Penn State<\/strong>. What are his takeaways and things to watch when considering betting?  Find top predictions here. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Mississippi lost twice, but there\u2019s no shame in losing to Georgia and Alabama.\u00a0 Penn State lost twice, but there\u2019s no shame in losing to Ohio State and Michigan.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Both schools would love to get over that hump, but on this day, two very good programs instead square off against each other.\u00a0 <strong>This is will one of the better games to handicap.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Find free <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/free-sports-picks\/college-football\">college football best bets<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">bowl game coverage<\/a> this postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New Customers Get 15% Off ALL Premium Expert Bowl Game Picks - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">Get Started Now<\/a>!<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/a.slack-edge.com\/production-standard-emoji-assets\/14.0\/google-medium\/1f6d2@2x.png\" alt=\":shopping_trolley:\">&nbsp;All FIRST TIME customers will receive <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/picks\/college-football\">15% OFF anything<\/a> and everything in their cart on their first purchase! There is no cap or limit, including from daily to long-term, and the discount is automatic with no coupon code needed!<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Predictions and Best Bets:  Mississippi Overview <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Lane Kiffin vowed to finish this season stronger than the last, when adversity got the best of them.\u00a0 Mission accomplished.\u00a0 QB Dart was efficient, but not spectacular.\u00a0 He has limited turnovers, and has a nice run skill set.\u00a0 The Penn State defense will be a great test in both areas.\u00a0 RB Judkins had a banner 2022 and a very slow start to 2023.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>His yards-per-carry dropped significantly (4.4), which had a direct effect on Mississippi\u2019s yearly output (5.65 in 2022, 4.5 in 2023).\u00a0 He did find the endzone, with 15 rushing TD\u2019s.\u00a0 I like the WR talent, and again, we\u2019ll have a great chess match brewing.\u00a0 Kiffin is one of the best at designing an offense, but they face a very stingy Penn State defense.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ole Miss Defense Overview: Peach Bowl Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>In good news, Mississippi allowed just 4.05 yards-per-carry (4.55 in 2022).\u00a0 Better teams broke through, so I do not expect complete stoppage in this game.\u00a0 The goal would be to limit Penn State to about 160 yards (they averaged 190).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>This is the 6<sup>th<\/sup> straight season that the Rebels have allowed over 60% through the air (62%).\u00a0 I project near seasonal averages allowed in this game, with a slight chance for even better.\u00a0 In player news, one of their top pass rushers won\u2019t play, but so far most of the other starters are playing.\u00a0 Kicking was at 16-21, and the sack ratio was 34-26.\u00a0 Two concerns are their -5:30 time of possession disadvantage and the 19 rushing TD\u2019s allowed.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Video Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n<iframe src='https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Wv2CdN8FOCY?origin=https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com'><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Picks:  Penn State Strengths and Weaknesses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>QB Allar is developing, but had some rough outings vs. the top defensive teams he faced with the exception of Iowa.\u00a0 Mississippi is a step up from many defenses faced, so let\u2019s put Allar near his seasonal numbers for this one.\u00a0 He threw just one interception on the season.\u00a0 Penn State has two solid RB\u2019s who share the load almost equally.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Allen outperformed Singleton this season and could be a threat to have a better than average game.\u00a0 Like with Mississippi, Penn State has a variety of reliable WR\u2019s, plus some stout TE\u2019s.\u00a0 They may lack the athleticism of the Rebels, but they can move the chains.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/dlv221126043_msu_v_psu-e1694613901864.jpg\" alt=\"peach bowl\" class=\"wp-image-23358\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Penn State's Defense is Peachy...<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not a shock that Penn State plays great defense.\u00a0 The run defense (3.05 per carry) was even better than usual and the pass defense (58%) was solid, although down from 2022.\u00a0 In doing a deeper dive, Penn State allowed 95-140 through the air in games 7-12.\u00a0 This is where QB Dart needs to make a difference.\u00a0 The return game is solid, but the punt returner may or may not play (in the portal).\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The sack ratio was tremendous at 48-15.\u00a0 Their main kicker was 18-22.\u00a0 Their time of possession figure was +6:05.\u00a0 In coaching and player news, defensive coordinator Manny Diaz is now the Duke Head Coach.\u00a0 Several players are in the portal, but at the present time, it has been reported that some will play in this bowl game.\u00a0 Watch this development carefully.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Best Bets - The Keys to The Game: <\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Can QB Dart avoid Penn State\u2019s pass rush?\u00a0 If so, he has some good matchups downfield.\u00a0 Can Mississippi get off the field?\u00a0 They clearly project to a below par time of possession figure, and now must slow down or stop two capable RB\u2019s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> - The Free Picks &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Maybe you can take 1-2 points off Penn State\u2019s Power Number due to site of game and loss of Manny Diaz, but that still gives Penn State value.\u00a0 The Nittany Lions have the point\/rush stat double in their favor, which is typically a solid edge.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>They are currently 13-4 against the spread as a bowl favorite, and we know James Franklin takes every game (and every snap) seriously.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>I thought coming into this writing I would like Mississippi, but bad things happen when I go against the numbers I\u2019ve just listed.\u00a0 It\u2019s a bowl season like no other, so Power Numbers often take a very long back seat to bowl motivation.\u00a0 For this game, the opt-outs as of 12\/26 are not that much a factor, and both teams seem motivated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Pick: <strong>Peach Bowl<\/strong> Prediction!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<strong><em>I have a token play UNDER 49 points, and would lean Penn State at the current line of -5 (possible play at -4).\u00a0 As for the player news, my best recommendation right now is going UNDER RB Junkins rushing total of 87.5 yards.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAAF Bowl Coverage: WagerTalk Has It All<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Looking for even more college football coverage?  Wagertalk will be provided bowl game predictions and previews for each CFB bowl game - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/college-football-bowl-games\/\">find it here each day<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">WagerTalk's Live Bowl Game Odds Screen<\/h3>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>WagerTalk\u2019s college football <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/odds?sport=L2&amp;cb=0.4228145318819374\">live odds screen<\/a> features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>Track college football moneylines, spreads and betting percentages for all bowl games and monitor your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/news\/football\/article\/2023-12-03\/2023-24-college-football-bowl-game-schedule-scores-tv-channels-times\">NCAAF<\/a> bowl games picks, including moneyline, spread bets, and totals betting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>**************************************************<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?<\/span> Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<ul>\n\n\n\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Make sure to bookmark all the above!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/46"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25384"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25384\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25386,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25384\/revisions\/25386"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/173"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wagertalk.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}